The European Heat Pump Market - Status and Overlook

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European Heat Pump Market 2015 Status and outlook

Thomas Nowak

Secretary General EHPA

Contact

thomas.nowak@ehpa.org

+49 176 6320 1140

Thomas Nowak | European Heat Pump Market 2015 – Status and outlook

European Heat Pump Association

• 111 members

• 22 countries

• Company members

National associations

• “We speak heat

in Brussels”

3 Thomas Nowak | European Heat Pump Market 2015 – Status and outlook

• 1825 Basic principle

• 1852 Refrigeration

cycle for heating and

cooling

• “Invention of the fridge”

• 1938 installation of a

heat pump in Zurich

Wärme

Future cities can be heat pump cities

EU Climate and energy framework 2020

Reduce Greenhouse

Gas Emissions

levels by 20%

Increase share of

Renewables to 20%

Reduce

energy

consumption

by 20%

Source: European Commission, DG Energy2007

Legislation to implement 2020 targets

• RES Directive 2009/28/EU

• Ecodesign framework Directive (2009/125/EU)

• Energy labelling framework Directive (2010/30)

• Energie performance of buildings Directive (2010/31/EU)

• Energy Efficiency Directive (2012/27/EU)

• Ecodesign and the Energylabel

(2013/811,812,813,814/EU)

EU energy roadmap

«The EU is committed to reducing

greenhouse gas emissions to 80–95 % below

1990 levels by 2050»

Energy roadmap 2050. (COM(2011) 885 final | 15.12.2011

Current climate and energy framework: 202020 targets -status 2012

Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions levels by 20%

Increase share of Renewables to 20%

Reduce energy consumption

by 20%

Reductions in 2012:-18%

2020 Targets

2020 Projection

Share in 2011:12.7%

2020 Projection

~16-20 %

Source: European Commission, DG Energy

new targets for 2030

Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions levels

by MIN 40%

Increase share of Renewables to MIN 27%

Reduce energy

consumption by

MIN 27%

2020 Targets

Source: European Commission, DG Energy

Ecodesign and the Energylabel(2013/811,812,813,814/EU)

• Ecodesign requirements for fossil, heat

pumps, micro-CHP … ; Up to 400kWheat output

• Based on primary energy

• Transitional method for efficiency calculation

• Bans of low efficient products from 2015/17:

gas < 86%, electric < 30%/36%, HP: 100% |

115% / 110%/125%

• Energylabel for products up to 70kWheat output

• Consumer information by product / package

• One energy label for products with same

function

• Two distribution systems, Three climate

How much primary energy is needed for 100 units of useful heat?

PEF = 2,5

European heat pump keymark

• ISO type 5 system according to ISO 17065– One set of test requirements including a

robust model range approach

– Application via notified bodies

– Factory Production Control (FPC)

– A quality assurance system

– Usability of manufacturer labs (if accredited by 17025, possibly witness testing)

• Open for all interested certification bodies

• Mutually accepted in all EU Member States

• Market introduction in Q4/2015

Heat pumps a core contributorto the energy union

• Heating and cooling strategy reconfirmed

• EHPA messageHeat pump solutions shall be at the heart of the Energy Union. They contribute to all five dimensions

Heat pump

solutions

Energy security

Integrated market

Energy efficiency

Decarbonised economy

Research, innovation,

competitiveness

EU market report 2015with market data for 2014

http://www.ehpa.org/market-data/2014/http://stats.ehpa.org/login/

+14% +16% +37% -9%

+7.4% p.a.

9% +1% -7% +3%

EU 11 EU 12 EU 14 EU 14 EU 19 EU 21 EU 21 EU 21 EU 21

market development 2005 – 2014accumulated: 7.5 million units installed

market growth rates 2006 - 2014

Air dominant energy source for HP in EuropeAnnual sales by energy source

Split picture of preferred HP across EuropeSales 2014 by country

Biggest growth in sanitary hot water HP

AT BE CH CZ DE DK EE ES FI FR HU IE IT LT NL NO PL PT SE SK UK

units > 20kW

units < 20kW

Large heat pumps – hidden champions?Split of sales in 2014 by capacity

France leads EU heat pump markets

706 602

Scandinavia + Baltics lead HP penetration sales per 1000 households

85.8 TWh renewable energy provided in 20142.7% of the 2030 target

final energy consumption

Croatia 2012:

51.7 TWh primary energy savings in 20140.2% of the 2030 target

energy by German

wind farms 2012

22.1 Mt of GHG emission reduction 1.2% of the 2030 target

CO2 emitted by

Croatia 2010

employment 2014 in man-years: 43 465

• total employment is higher

• technology leadership is in Europe

Turnover and tax generation (million €)

total: € 5.2

billion

- tax share (total: € 0.9 billion)

- actual sales 2014

market potentialsif Sweden was everywhere

total: 4.9 mio

price ratio: electricity / gas - 2014

source: Eurostat

Infavorable price energy ratios dominate

So now what?

• Swift and decisive action

• Recognize heat pumps as available technology

• Create proper price signals

• Technology selective approach

• socio-economic research to overcome

deployment barriers

In 2015 G7 leaders agree to phase out fossil fuel use by end of century