Post on 23-Dec-2015
transcript
The Opportunities and Challenges of the Local Carbon Budget
Mike Berners-leeSmall World Consulting
mike@sw-consulting.co.uk
An Associate Company of Lancaster University
Quickly about me
An Associate Company of Lancaster University
Scope 3 Carbon: BT, Booths, Manchester, West
Sussex , Cornwall, Cumbria, Lake District, South Downs, Taylor
Wimpey, Lancaster University, Farms, Hotels, Factories....
Types of emissions and impacts
Direct (Scope 1)
Indirect(Scope 3)
Electricity generation(Scope 2)
Indirect carbon is not an exact science
Consumption Based Emissions Reporting
•UK reporting should take account of emissions in trade• Supply chain carbon is coming into the mainstream • West Sussex, Lake District National Park and Greater Manchester cited as examples of policy opportunity
Hong Kong return: 4.6 tonnes
Low 3.4 tonnes High 13.4 tonnesAverage 4.6 tonnes
Economy First class
Drying your hands: 10gLow 0 g 20g
typical hand drier
Average 10 g
Let them drip
Paper towels
Asparagus (250g pack): 2kg
Low 125 g
Air freighted from Peru
Average 2 kg
Local In-season
High 3.5 kg
London to Glasgow return
London to Glasgow return
120 kg CO2e
53 kg CO2e (by Banana power) to 2.3 tonnes (Peruvian asparagus power)
330 kg CO2e
500 kg CO2e
Laptop: 400KgLow 100Kg?
High 1 tonne?
Average400 Kg
The footprint of WS residents: 13.7million tonnes CO2e per annum (17.3t per annum per resident)
Different messages for different districts...
Household energy (17% of residents footprint)
West Sussex average: 3 tonnes per resident per annum
Driving (16% of residents footprint)
Flying (13% of residents footprint)
Footprint of WS industry: 20.9m tCO2e
Agriculture, forestry and
fishing5%
Production49%
Construction6%
Distribution, transport and
communication20%
Business services and
finance8%
Public administration,
education, health and
other services12%
Four reasons for WS’s consumption based metrics?
• Indirect carbon is the majority of our impact
• It is already instinctive for most of us• Consumption metrics are coming
anyway - so we may as well be prepared and lead.
• It opens up opportunity for actions that cut carbon whilst improving the economy and wellbeing West Sussex
Managing the footprint
Maintain and repair
Holistic approach to policyMAC curve for options
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700-800
-700
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100Maintain, repair & resell
Sustainable Transport Communication
Easit rollout
Car Club
Public procure-ment
20 mph
Bike Hire
More Station Parking
Retrofit delivery plan
Local food strategy
Reduction target
Thousand tonnes of carbon saved/year
MA
C: £
/tCO
2
Lessons from Greater Manchester managing its Total Carbon Footprint
Three themes emerged from multiple criteria
• Product efficiency• Low carbon Procurement• Food
A ‘product efficient’ GM in 2023 …• More utility is derived from goods during their
lifetime than at present: a more circular economy
• More money spent locally translates into local GVA
• Products are shared, repaired, reshaped, reused, recycled more than now
• Maintenance/repair, repurposing and resale markets flourish
• Local finance invests in non-linear business models
• More utility for less resource use and lower cost for people and organisations
Potential impact
Policy PriorityImpact
potential(out of 10)
Mitigating the impacts of austerity on the most vulnerable 9
Reducing dependency on public services 7
Safeguarding existing employment & creating new jobs 8
Safeguarding existing local businesses 5
Creating opportunities for start-ups and facilitating their creation 8
Building social capital 6
Climate change mitigation & other environmental benefits 9
Current clothing spend in GM
£2B clothing spend leaving
residents’ pockets
£80m Manchester clothing
manufacturing GVA
Manchester retail GVA
£500m (?)
£1.42B?Rest of the world GVA.
Manufacture and distribution
(mainly overseas)
(All numbers very approximate)
Situation after 10% shift to repair and resale with same utility.
£1.9B clothing spend leaving
residents’ pockets
£70M Manchester clothing
manufacturing GVA
Manchester retail GVA
£500M (?)
£1.28BRest of the world GVA.
Manufacture and distribution
(mainly overseas)
£100M stays in residents’ pockets
£50M Repair and preparation for
resale – Manchester GVA
Overall Impact
£100m cash saving to residents
-£10m of GVA lost from new
manufacturing
£50mIncrease in
Manchester GVA through repairs
and resale
Overall £140M increase in Manchester’s Wealth
• We picked on clothing as a simple low tech example
• But we could have picked:– Appliances– Electronic goods– Furniture– Soft furnishings– Etc.
It’s starting to happen in GM already
• Typically, created by social entrepreneurs with ethical goals, with a UI that’s all about ‘what’s in it for me’
P2P car hire today
Swishing this week
The Issues & Questions for GM Policy-Makers
The role for policy and policy-makers
It’s happening anyway, so policy goal is to nurture, accelerate.
• Identify target product sectors• Identify the desired infrastructure
and behaviours• Understand the opportunities and
barriers for social entrepreneurs• Commission interventions to enable
change
Low Carbon Procurement: Potential impact
Policy PriorityImpact
potential(out of 10)
Mitigating the impacts of austerity on the most vulnerable 6
Reducing dependency on public services ?
Safeguarding existing employment & creating new jobs 7
Safeguarding existing local businesses 6
Creating opportunities for start-ups and facilitating their creation 8
Building social capital ?
Climate change mitigation & other environmental benefits 10
Happening Already?
• In GM: Progress on sustainable procurement, especially by MCC
• WSCC: consumption-based carbon budgets now in place for each department
•Warp-It platform for sharing used by NHS, schools, LAs, charities – use can be mandated in policy
Mike Berners-LeeMike@sw-consulting.co.uk
An Associate Company of Lancaster University
Questions and comments?