Turning Earth Observation Science Into Applications€¦ · Optimal merging of models and...

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Turning Earth Observation

Science Into Applications

Andy Shaw

Director, Knowledge Exchange

National Centre for Earth Observation

7th UK-China Workshop on

Space Science and Technology

August 2011

Abundant challenges

Ice sheets, ocean circulation and

sea level rise

Precipitation patterns and

water availability

Production and

transport of

air pollution

Changing disease

patterns and health issues

Frequency and

severity of extreme events

Responses of

ecosystems to

climate change

SCIENCE

TECHNOLOGY APPLICATIONS

Real-world applications:

scientifically robust, technology enabled

observations

models

knowledge

understanding

instruments

systems

processes

model

map

monitor

measure

Benefits and challenges of satellite

EO

• Global

• Synoptic

• Repeated

• Non-intrusive

Data volumes growing exponentially

And still learning to

- understand physical basis of interpretation

- exploit multiple forms of data synergistically

- operate within a modelling framework

Develop the production chain

Monitoring Polar Oceans

• Ocean topography from Cryosat-2

OBSERVATIONS MODEL PREDICTION

Estimating renewable energy

• Tidal: combining satellite, in-situ and modelled data

Christchurch Earthquake

• Improving our understanding of earthquake dynamics

Optimal merging of models

and observations

GMES: Forthcoming ESA Sentinels to provide ‘services’

such as mapping of crop status

Use a radiative transfer model to infer Leaf area,

chlorophyll concentration and leaf water from Sentinel-2

(optical sensor) over course of a year

Left column: no DA

Right column: with temporal DA

Shaded area is 95% confidence interval

DA provides typical reduction in uncertainty by factor of 2 or 3 for

Sentinel-2 in this case.

Main Screen Layout

REGION MANAGE * Save selected regions* Restore saved regions* Delete regions

CALCULATE METRICS* Select Data Type ( flux , biomass , stock etc )* Select time & resolution of Data (2010 data, 1km)* View calculated metrics values, land area etc* Initiate report download

REGION SELECT * Specify region on map* View Heatmap

Fig : Carbon Metrics calculation for Central Africa region ( approx 14 million square kilometers )

Land Carbon Intelligence WebserviceCANOPY

EO ecosystem?

Earth

Observation

Public

good

ScienceSecurity

Environmental

monitoring

Investor

Regulator

User

G

O

V

E

R

N

M

E

N

T

Commercial

application

Data

Value added

servicesSystems

and

solutions

Employer

Wealth creator

I

N

D

U

S

T

R

Y

CEMS Concept – overall architecture

ESANASAOther

EO Operations

Instrument Calibration Facility

EO Data Providers

UK EO

Data

Manageme

nt

Data

Processin

g Facility

Data

Integrit

y

Facility

EO Science

Community

Modelling

Community

Visualisatio

n and

Application

Centre

Applications

DevelopmentPolicy Advice

Outreach &

Education

CEMS

Exploitation Opportunities

13/09/2011 15

CEMS

Model

Output

EvaluationModel

Re-analysis

In flight

Cal/Val

Synthesis of

ESA and non-

ESA ECV’s

(Coupled)

Model

Initiation

Real-time

Uncertainty for

Dynamic Control

“Knowledge

” from Data

Mining

Applications

Climate Diagnosis

and Prediction

Hazardous

Weather &

Flooding

Atmospheric

Composition and

Air Quality

Maritime

Cryosphere

Carbon Cycles

and Accounting

Summary

• Developing robust applications requires combined

scientific and technological expertise

• Important role of government as both investor and user

• User solutions usually a complex mix of capabilities,

functions, modules and systems

• Scientists must work closely with channel partners, end

users and advisors to determine real market needs

• ISIC provides NCEO a means of cooperation with

industry, government, research and end user partners

Thank you for listening …

andy.shaw@nceo.ac.uk

www.nceo.ac.uk