UK-IRELAND PLANNING RESEARCH CONFERENCE Oxford Brookes University September 2014

‘Larger, denser 21st century cities :

Planning for Sustainable Travel in a New Era’

Peter Headicarpgheadicar@brookes.ac.uk

‘TRAFFIC IN TOWNS’ : THE VIEW IN 1963

COUNTER-URBANISATION

THE ‘NEW’ ERA [from about 1995!]

Higher rate of increase in national population

End of overall counter-urban shift in spatial distribution

‘Peak car’ - end of growth in per capita car mileage

....which coincided with and are now furthered by....

Widespread adoption of urban transport management packages incl promotion of sustainable modes

Planning policies of urban renaissance: economic regeneration, use of brownfield land, higher dev’t densities

THE CHANGING POPULATION CONTEXT

‘PEAK CAR’

CHANGE 2001-2011 IN CAR OWNERSHIP AND COMMUTING BY LOCAL AUTHORITY AREA-TYPE

DRIVING LICENCE-HOLDING AMONGSTYOUNGER ADULTS BY AGE & GENDER 1995-2013

REASONS OFFERED BY YOUNGER ADULTS FOR LOWER TAKE-UP OF DRIVING (ITC 2014)

PROJECTED INCREASE IN POPULATION 2012-2037 FOR LARGEST CITY AUTHORITIES

DENSER CITIES : MORE SUSTAINABLE TRAVEL?

ALTERNATIVES TO PERSONAL CAR OWNERSHIP

THE PRODUCT OF TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT IN OXFORD