Post on 27-May-2018
transcript
UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0 Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, do251@cam.ac.uk
UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0
Executive Summary
Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, do251@cam.ac.uk
UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0 Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, do251@cam.ac.uk
UK Marine Industry Roadmap
UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0 Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, do251@cam.ac.uk
Executive Summary This report results from a series of five one-day workshops to assist the UK Marine Industries Alliance to develop a roadmap to identify future priority, gaps, opportunities and capability needs for the UK Marine Industries. The roadmap funded by the Technology Strategy Board and Transport KTN with support from BIS aims to underpin the national marine growth strategy. These “Deep Dive” workshops covered the following themes (see individual reports for more detail): A: Marine services and ICT B: Marine renewables and resources C: Leisure and equipment D: Shipbuilding and repair E: Ports and infrastructure The workshops took place at venues around the UK between September and November 2011, with input from over 100 experts drawn from across the Marine Industry, academia and other stakeholders. The workshops each took a sub-set of the landscape roadmap, developed in June 2011, which was then developed further to identify priority trends & drivers and then to identify and characterise Market Opportunities – over 200 Opportunities were identified at this initial stage across the 5 themes. Participants contributed before the workshops by providing their perspectives in a roadmap template – identifying priority Drivers, Opportunities, Capabilities and Enablers in the Short, Medium and Long timeframes. These were consolidated ahead of the workshops to provide a start point to which further issues were added and priorities identified. The most important market opportunities were then highlighted, where UK capability could deliver against major global market needs. These assessments were based on defined criteria for Value (global & UK market, competitive strength, added value and impact on societal and environmental challenges) and Capability (in the marine industry, academia, research organisations and from adjacent industries. This report sets out the cross-cutting analysis of outputs from these 5 theme workshops. Appendix C contains background to the programme and the workshop process, with details of the evaluation criteria set out in C4. Guidelines on how to interpret the graphics in this report are set out in Appendix D.
UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0 Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, do251@cam.ac.uk
Executive Summary (continued) In prioritising relevant Trends & Drivers (see section 3), there was a strong emphasis on energy & fuel scarcity/cost leading to demands for reduced consumption and new propulsion energy solutions. This is clearly in harmony with other key drivers to mitigate climate change through low carbon solutions; meet new NOX, SOX and particulates regulations and other EU technical, environmental and safety standards / legislation; and achieve more efficient use of resources.
Changing demographics / consumer demand / ageing population will lead to differing end-user needs and new opportunities (in developed and emerging BRIC economies). The economic downturn will squeeze funding availability and accentuate pressure on procurement & through life costs leading to a greater emphasis on through life support & servitisation and end of Life disposal & recycling. The challenging targets for marine renewables energy (R.E.D. of 15% by 2020) and the strength of the UK’s natural resources will lead to a unique opportunity to achieve a leadership position in this strongly growing market. Priority Opportunities (see section 4) were identified across a range of areas, covering all five themes. The Opportunities were characterised by workshop participants and then reviewed by the Steering Group against a broader set of four criteria typically used by the Technology Strategy Board to determine value for investment (see 4.2) with strong agreement between both. The leading Market Opportunities identified (from the detailed characterisation of over 30) are: 1. Assets for wind, wave & tidal power (more affordable & reliable) 2. Logistics & Services for Offshore Renewable Operations 3. Marine Integration to other transport modes (Infrastructure, IT & Data) 4. Deep Water >60m (Extending operations to more challenging geographies 5. Efficient Propulsion & Energy Management (excl prime mover) 6. Offshore Support Vessels for renewables construction & operations 7. Alternative fuels, Electrification & Hybrids including Sail 8. Decision Support Services 9. Marine ICT & Information Infrastructure 10. Environmental/waste services and low carbon, clean shore power in ports
UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0 Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, do251@cam.ac.uk
Executive Summary (continued) These fall into a small number of clusters with 9 of the top 10 being in: • Integrated transport & logistics; • Offshore renewables; • Low-carbon propulsion; and • Marine ICT. A further important cluster of opportunities covered autonomy & sensors. Whilst not scoring so strongly as end-market opportunities in their own rights, they were consistently identified as enabling capabilities in the cross-cutting analysis. In reviewing the balance of scoring in the detailed Workshop Criteria Scoring (see 4.2.2) it is clear that the major focus for growth must be in Export markets (especially strongly growing BRIC economies), but that the priority opportunities are generally characterised by strongly entrenched competition. It is also evident that, as well as delivering potential for economic growth in UK, success in these opportunities will also yield significant environmental and societal benefit. The overall picture of where UK capability resides to deliver these opportunities suggests real strength in relevant areas. However, much of this capability currently resides in the university and science sectors or outside of the marine industries, making the transfer of technology up the technology readiness scale and between industries a critical capability for success.
Glob
al Ma
rket
Size
Home
(UK)
ma
rket s
ize
Stre
ngth
of co
mpeti
tion
Adde
d Valu
e /
Marg
in
Cros
s-sec
tor
oppo
rtunit
y
Plane
t / En
viron
menta
l
Peop
le /
Socie
tal
Marin
e Ind
ustry
Unive
rsity
/ Ac
adem
ic
RTO
/ Des
ign
Servi
ces
Othe
r Ind
ustry
Othe
r UK
reso
urce
s
3.4 2.1 1.6 2.4 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.6 3.0 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.0
Fit with UK Capability
Timeli
ness
Market Attractiveness: Triple bottom-line
UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0 Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, do251@cam.ac.uk
Executive Summary (continued) In support of these opportunities, a clear pattern emerged in the necessary capabilities required for successful delivery (see section 5), with particular emphasis on Design & Development; Information, Communication & Control and Life-cycle technologies. The ten leading capabilities with the most widely applicable impacts were: In support of these opportunities, a clear pattern emerged in the necessary capabilities required for successful delivery (see section 5), with particular emphasis on Design & Development; Information, Communication & Control and Life-cycle technologies. The ten leading capabilities with the most widely applicable impacts were: 1. Simulation & modelling 2. Systems integration / engineering 3. Naval architecture 4. Sensors, measurement and monitoring technology 5. Control, automation & autonomy 6. Supply chain management 7. Analytical tools & techniques 8. Human factors 9. Service & support 10. Life-cycle analysis The workshops also identified other key enablers for success (see section 6), underpinning these capabilities, with particular emphasis on: 1. Funding & investment 2. Facilities, infrastructure & manufacturing capacity 3. Skills availability, training & education 4. Supply chain / logistics 5. Understanding Customer / Owner / Operator needs 6. Partnerships, networks and international collaboration 7. Technology transfer from other industries 8. Focussed Research programmes
UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0 Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, do251@cam.ac.uk
Executive Summary (continued) Validation and next steps: This report represents the summary outputs from more than 200 participant days of workshop time, with representatives from across the industrial and academic communities. More than 97% of responses from workshop attendees strongly agreed or agreed that they had found the workshops stimulating, enjoyable and worthwhile; felt they had contributed and that the outputs delivered useful insights (Appendix B). The authors and the Steering Group are extremely grateful for these inputs and support. Specific workshop attendees are indicated in the detailed reports and any underrepresentation from key stakeholder groups is noted, where relevant. It is recommended that these gaps should be filled as part of the capability study where they impact priority focus opportunities. The workshops benefitted from good participation from stakeholders representing the customer and supply perspectives in marine defence and an early opportunity was taken for further validation through the joint DSTL / Aerospace and Defence KTN “All at Sea” event on 18 January 2012. This identified clear common ground in research priorities (for example in the areas of low-carbon propulsion and energy management, sensors and autonomy) and great potential for technology transfer between the civil and defence supply chains. A deeper analysis of these synergies might prove to be of value to both communities. One output from the UK Marine Industries Roadmap is to focus the scope and direction of the associated Capability Study. The roadmap scope covers the full landscape of Marine Industries from ports to renewables and defence to leisure, and surveying all relevant capability would clearly represent a vast programme. The priority opportunities identified (see 4.2) fall naturally into a small number of groups (Appendix E) enabling a focussed capability study of a manageable scale whilst still addressing the majority of highest priority opportunities. Major opportunity groups are: • Marine integration with other modes (which is to be addressed in a planned future TSB and Transport KTN study) • Marine Renewables (which is now the focus for the recently announced Offshore Renewable Energy Catapult) • Sensors, autonomy and on-vessel data management and communications • Green ship technologies (for both prime-mover and energy management and efficiency) Whilst the first two groups are being addressed elsewhere, the latter two groups underpin many sectors and applications across the Marine Industries as well as impacting (directly or indirectly) around half of the top 30 opportunities identified here, and would seem to form a sound focus for the capability study.
UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0 Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, do251@cam.ac.uk
1. Roadmap Landscape
UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0 Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, do251@cam.ac.uk
2. Landscape Linkages En
ergy
& F
uel s
carc
ity/c
ost =
> de
man
d fo
r red
uced
con
sum
ptio
n
New
prop
ulsio
n en
ergy
sol
utio
ns
Clim
ate
chan
ge M
itigat
ion
(Low
Car
bon)
Chan
ging
dem
ogra
phics
/ co
nsum
er d
eman
d / a
gein
g po
pula
tion
NOX,
SO
X an
d Pa
rticu
late
s re
gula
tions
EU te
chni
cal,
envir
onm
enta
l and
saf
ety
stan
dard
s / l
egisl
atio
n
Econ
omic
Down
turn
/ Fu
ndin
g av
aila
bility
Thro
ugh
life s
uppo
rt &
Serv
itisat
ion
End
of L
ife d
ispos
al &
recy
cling
Pres
sure
on
Proc
urem
ent &
thro
ugh
life c
osts
Mar
ine
Rene
wabl
es (R
.E.D
. 15%
targ
et b
y 20
20)
Effic
ient
use
of r
esou
rces
Sim
ulat
ion
& m
odel
ling
Syst
ems
inte
grat
ion
/ eng
inee
ring
Nava
l arc
hite
ctur
e
Sens
ors,
mea
sure
men
t and
mon
itorin
g te
chno
logy
Cont
rol,
aut
omat
ion
& au
tono
my
Supp
ly Ch
ain
man
agem
ent
Tool
s &
Tech
niqu
es
Hum
an fa
ctor
s
Serv
ice &
Sup
port
Life
-cyc
le a
nalys
is
Data
man
agem
ent
Deve
lopm
ent t
estin
g &
valid
atio
n
Cond
ition
Mon
itorin
g
Desig
n pr
oces
ses
& M
odul
arisa
tion
Sub-
sea
tech
nolo
gy
Logi
stics
/ tra
ffic
man
agem
ent
Anal
ysis
tool
s
Mat
eria
ls te
chno
logy
Cons
ultin
g
Mai
nten
ance
Fund
ing
& in
vest
men
t
Facil
ities,
infra
stru
ctur
e &
man
ufac
turin
g ca
pacit
y
Skills
ava
ilabi
lity
Supp
ly ch
ain
/ log
istics
Unde
rsta
ndin
g Cu
stom
er /
Own
er /
Ope
rato
r nee
ds
Partn
ersh
ips
& Ne
twor
ks
Tech
nolo
gy tr
ansf
er fr
om o
ther
indu
strie
s
Focu
ssed
Res
earc
h pr
ogra
mm
es
Trai
ning
& E
duca
tion
Inte
rnat
iona
l col
labo
ratio
n
Busin
ess
Mod
el In
nova
tion
Envir
onm
enta
l Reg
ulat
ion
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
3 1 6 4 4 5 0 3 0 1 4 3
A Marine services and ICT
1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 6 5 6 5 3 2 1 2 6 4 3 2
12 3 6 0 1 4 8 4 6 7 9 5
B Marine renewables and resources
1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 6 6 4 4 1 3 3 2 3 0 1 1
4 5 1 11 4 5 5 3 4 4 0 1
C Leisure and equipment
1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 1 4 3 5 4 5 3 4 4 3 2
12 11 6 1 8 4 3 5 4 0 1 3
D Shipbuilding and repair
1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 5 4 4 3 4 3 3 4 1 2 1 4
3 1 1 4 3 0 2 1 2 3 1 2
E Ports and infrastructure
1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 2 3 2 3 3 4 0 3 4 2
Trends & Drivers Capabilities Enablers
Market Opportunities
UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0 Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, do251@cam.ac.uk
3. Trends & Drivers
Rank Driver A B C D E TOTAL1 Energy & Fuel scarcity/cost => demand for reduced consumption 3 12 4 12 3 342 New propulsion energy solutions 1 3 5 11 1 213 Climate change Mitigation (Low Carbon) 6 6 1 6 1 204 Changing demographics / consumer demand / ageing population 4 0 11 1 4 205 NOX, SOX and Particulates regulations 4 1 4 8 3 206 EU technical, environmental and safety standards / legislation 5 4 5 4 0 187 Economic Downturn / Funding availability 0 8 5 3 2 188 Through life support & Servitisation 3 4 3 5 1 169 End of Life disposal & recycling 0 6 4 4 2 1610 Pressure on Procurement & through life costs 1 7 4 0 3 1511 Marine Renewables (R.E.D. 15% target by 2020) 4 9 0 1 1 1512 Efficient use of resources 3 5 1 3 2 1413 Autonomous systems 1 2 1 8 2 1414 UK & Scottish political agendas 0 6 0 3 5 1415 Safety (People, Ships & Cargo) 3 4 3 1 2 1316 Emerging Markets / BRIC Growth 1 1 8 3 0 1317 Green shipping 1 2 1 6 2 1218 Integrated / Multi-Modal Transport Systems 2 1 0 0 9 1219 Gaps between science, policy & implementation 1 6 1 2 1 1120 Skills shortages 0 0 0 11 0 11
UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0 Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, do251@cam.ac.uk
Value Fit TotalO
vera
ll Ra
nk
Wor
ksho
p Ra
nk
SG R
ank
Opp
ortu
nity
(The
me
/ ID
)
Opportunity Wei
ghte
d Va
lue
Wei
ghte
d Ca
pabi
lity
Com
bine
d Va
lue
& Fi
t
1 3 1 BF Assets for wind, wave & tidal power (more affordable & reliable) 3.0 6 3.2 6 3.1 7 7 26
2 1 2 BA Logistics & Services for Offshore Renewable Operations 3.3 6 3.3 5 3.3 6 1 18
3 2 4 EA & DC Marine Integration to other transport modes (Infrastructure, IT & Data) 3.4 4 2.9 4 3.1 2 6 16
4 7 5 BC Deep Water >60m (Extending marine renewables operations to more challenging geographies)
2.8 4 3.1 4 2.9 5 3 16
5 21 3 DB Efficient Propulsion & Energy Management (excl prime mover) 2.1 4 2.5 3 2.3 3 7 17
6 20 6 DD & BE Offshore Support Vessels for renewables construction & operations 2.6 3 2.1 3 2.3 5 5 16
7 5 7 DA & CB Alternative fuels, Electrification & Hybrids including Sail 3.5 4 2.5 1 3.0 3 5 13
8 4 9 AF Decision Support Services 3.3 3 2.8 3 3.1 3 3 12
9 10 10 AE Marine ICT & Information Infrastructure 2.3 3 3.2 3 2.8 2 4 12
10 6 11 EC Environmental/waste services and low carbon, clean shore power in ports 3.2 3 2.7 2 2.9 4 2 11
11 19 8 AA Maritime consulting 2.7 4 2.0 5 2.3 2 2 13
12 22 12 CF Hull Design, Vessel Design & Aesthetics 1.0 1 3.0 5 2.3 2 3 11
13 9 13 CA Easy to use Leisure Navigation System & Integrated Comms/Data 2.3 2 3.2 5 2.8 1 1 9
14 14 14 CC New Leisure Marine Products for Developing Markets 2.1 2 3.0 2 2.6 2 3 9
15 11 15 AD & DG In-service Support of Military & Civilian Assets 3.0 3 2.5 2 2.7 1 1 7
Ranked Opportunities
Tota
l Ste
erin
g G
roup
Sc
ore
UK C
apac
ity to
Del
iver
- Ca
n th
e UK
do
it?
Tim
elin
ess
& Im
pact
- Is
the
idea
‘re
ady’
(in a
3 to
4 y
ear t
imef
ram
e to
ex
ploi
tatio
n)
Adde
d Va
lue
- Can
the
Tech
nolo
gy
Stra
tegy
Boa
rd m
ake
a di
ffere
nce?
Glob
al M
arke
t Opp
ortu
nity
- Is
th
ere
a la
rge
mar
ket
oppo
rtuni
ty?
4. Opportunities
UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0 Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, do251@cam.ac.uk
5. Capabilities
Capabilities A B C D E TOTAL
A Total Design & Development 5.43 3.91 3.04 5.25 2.52 20.14
I Total Information, Communication & Control 3.80 3.99 1.49 3.19 3.02 15.48
L Total Life-cycle technologies 3.63 3.59 2.93 2.27 2.20 14.61
M Total Materials & Manufacturing 0.66 1.62 3.08 2.41 1.05 8.82
O Total Other 1.79 2.28 0.87 1.67 1.81 8.41
P Total Propulsion, Energy & Power 0.77 1.78 0.93 1.96 1.85 7.29
C Total Construction, Structural & Mechanical 1.56 1.43 0.32 1.10 1.12 5.53
S Total Safety & security 0.59 1.04 0.64 0.71 1.24 4.21
A1 Simulation & modelling 1.39 0.86 0.52 0.77 0.60 4.14
O7 Systems integration / engineering 0.51 0.65 0.29 0.81 0.40 2.67
A6 Naval architecture 0.82 0.33 0.35 0.96 0.18 2.64
I1 Sensors, measurement and monitoring technology 0.66 0.70 0.17 0.40 0.55 2.48
I2 Control, automation & autonomy 0.48 0.76 0.22 0.56 0.29 2.30
L7 Supply Chain management 0.34 0.42 0.63 0.36 0.48 2.23
A2 Tools & Techniques 0.61 0.31 0.14 0.76 0.39 2.21
A3 Human factors 0.63 0.42 0.31 0.63 0.19 2.19
L1 Service & Support 0.43 0.59 0.55 0.31 0.31 2.19
L3 Life-cycle analysis 1.12 0.32 0.28 0.17 0.28 2.17
I3 Data management 0.71 0.70 0.07 0.39 0.27 2.13
A8 Development testing & validation 0.30 0.52 0.36 0.57 0.32 2.07
L6 Condition Monitoring 0.54 0.66 0.27 0.30 0.28 2.06
A5 Design processes & Modularisation 0.50 0.35 0.51 0.54 0.15 2.05
C4 Sub-sea technology 0.98 0.63 0.05 0.19 0.15 2.00
I5 Logistics/ traffic management 0.12 0.21 0.44 0.51 0.62 1.90
A9 Analysis tools 0.54 0.50 0.21 0.29 0.35 1.90
M1 Materials technology 0.15 0.31 0.51 0.58 0.29 1.84
O3 Consulting 0.40 0.39 0.45 0.11 0.45 1.80
L2 Maintenance 0.47 0.54 0.15 0.36 0.28 1.80
Ranked by top-level capability grouping
Ranked by individual capability
UK Marine Industries Roadmap Cross-Cutting Report Issue 1.0 Dominic Oughton, IfM ECS, do251@cam.ac.uk
6. Enablers
Rank Enablers A B C D E Total1 Funding & investment 6 6 4 5 4 252 Facilities, infrastructure & manufacturing capacity 5 6 1 4 5 213 Skills availability 6 4 4 4 2 204 Supply chain / logistics 5 4 3 3 3 185 Understanding Customer / Owner / Operator needs 3 1 5 4 2 156 Partnerships & Networks 2 3 4 3 3 157 Technology transfer from other industries 1 3 5 3 3 158 Focussed Research programmes 2 2 3 4 4 159 Training & Education 6 3 4 1 0 1410 International collaboration 4 0 4 2 3 1311 Business Model Innovation 3 1 3 1 4 1212 Environmental Regulation 2 1 2 4 2 1113 Incentives to industry to adopt new technology 1 2 3 3 2 1114 Major pathfinder projects to establish UK position 1 3 1 2 2 915 Marine technology revolution 1 1 2 2 2 816 Open architectures 2 1 1 1 2 717 Safety legislation 4 1 2 0 0 718 Integration with planning & Local Gov't 1 2 0 1 3 719 Standards 1 2 0 1 2 620 Professional Institutions 0 1 1 0 3 521 Technology translators 1 0 3 0 1 522 IP security & Licensing 0 0 2 0 1 323 Oceanographic research centres 1 0 0 0 1 2