Post on 16-Apr-2017
transcript
UCAR Congressional Lunch Briefing September 13, 2016
John McHenry Chief Scientist: Advanced Meteorological Systems Baron Services, Huntsville, AL
Using National Water Model Results to Benefit Industry
Using National Water Model Results to Benefit Industry
baronweather.com
• Baron is an “end-‐to-‐end” US-‐based commercial weather company • Baron partners with industry, government, and the research community to develop/deploy cri>cal weather intelligence to reduce harm to people and property as a result of severe weather-‐related phenomena
Critical Weather Intelligence
Using National Water Model Results to Benefit Industry
Because flood-‐related disasters top the list as most frequent, Baron is deeply commi8ed to helping decrease the resul:ng impacts
baronweather.com
• Flood disasters are the most frequent kind of natural disaster as measured by the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction
• There has been a dramatic increase in the number of flood disasters over the last 15 years
• Population exposed to the potential for flood disasters is increasing
• Flood disasters tend to have (not always) a human-made component, due to the need to manage water resources [Water Too Much, Too Little]
The newly deployed Na:onal Water Model has significant promise toward helping achieve this goal.
Critical Weather Intelligence
Using National Water Model Results to Benefit Industry
Thus à Industry will benefit from Na:onal Water Model results: • The Na>onal Water Model drama>cally increases the number of loca>ons
and lead >mes at which floods are forecast Example à
• The Na>onal Water Model has the promise to allow businesses to significantly reduce property loss through asset reloca:on before the event occurs (much less expensive).
baronweather.com
Critical Weather Intelligence
Critical Weather Intelligence
Using National Water Model Results to Benefit Industry
Example: Business Assets Affected in 2016 – Major US Floods
baronweather.com
• West Virginia Floods (late June)
• Texas Floods including Fort Hood Disaster (Spring)
• Ellico< City Maryland (late July)
• Louisiana Floods (August)
BEFORE
AFTER
Using National Water Model Results to Benefit Industry
baronweather.com
• Texas Floods: At least 20 deaths • West Virginia Floods: At least 26 deaths • Ellico< City Floods: 2 deaths • Louisiana Floods: at least 13 deaths
Furthermore à Human Life and Personal Property will also benefit from Na:onal Water Model results:
• Again, because The Na>onal Water Model drama>cally increases the number of loca>ons and lead >mes at which floods are forecast
Example à • The Na>onal Water Model has the promise to allow people to take life
and property saving ac>ons at >mes and loca>ons they previously could not
Critical Weather Intelligence
Using National Water Model Results to Benefit Industry
Companies like Baron are Vital to Communica>ng the Threats and Warnings resul>ng from the Na>onal Water Model that enable ac:onable intelligence
baronweather.com
Critical Weather Intelligence
Using National Water Model Results to Benefit Industry
The Na>onal Water Model ushers in a “new era” for the availability of opera>onal flood and flash flood forecas>ng
baronweather.com
Example:
Critical Weather Intelligence
Using National Water Model Results to Benefit Industry
Conclusions
baronweather.com
• By drama>cally increasing the geographic coverage and site-‐specific loca>on of forecasted rivers and streams-‐-‐as well as the lead >mes for those forecasts-‐-‐ the Na>onal Water Model ushers in a "new era" in the availability of opera>onal flood and flash-‐flood forecas>ng.
• Industry and the general public will benefit through reduc>on in lives and property lost.
• Partnering with governments and the research community, companies like Baron will be essen>al in >mely communica>on of Na>onal Water Model results in order to maximize its promise to the American people
Critical Weather Intelligence