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Vocal Minority vs. Silent MajorityVocal Minority vs. Silent Majority
Eni MustafarajSamantha FinnCarolyn WhitlockPanagiotis Metaxas
IEEE SocialCom 2011 @ MIT Media LabOctober 10, 2011
GamingGaming
How humans can use technology to “influence” the political process.
Examples of gamingExamples of gaming
Vocal Minority can:1.Frame the conversation2.Put pressure on the media
ImplicationsImplications
Not all user-generated content is equal. The fact that we have lots of it, doesn’t mean we should use it as it is.
2008: Election of President Obama2008: Election of President Obama
2009: The Healthcare Reform2009: The Healthcare Reform
2009: The rise of Tea Party2009: The rise of Tea Party
Aug 2009: Senator Kennedy DiesAug 2009: Senator Kennedy Dies
Special Election in MASpecial Election in MA
Martha CoakleyDemocrat
Attorney General
Scott BrownRepublican
State Senator
Pre-electoral PollsPre-electoral Polls
Boston Globe 01-04-2010 50% 35%
Rasmussen Reports 01-04-2010 50% 41%
Rasmussen Reports 01-11-2010 49% 47%
Twitter Data CollectionTwitter Data Collection
January 13 – 20, 2010 234,697 tweets 56,165 unique Twitter users
Vocal vs. SilentVocal vs. Silent
Silent users(1 tweet)
Vocal users(50+ tweets)
Silent users
Vocal users
User VolumeUser Volume
Tweets VolumeTweets Volume
Political ActivismPolitical Activism
Friendship graph for 574 users with more than 50 tweets
Tweets are not made equalTweets are not made equal
Tweets are not made equalTweets are not made equal
What’s in a Tweet?What’s in a Tweet?
Silent Users Vocal Users
Only Text 42.0% 8.0%
Hashtags 14.1% 53.0%
Links 29.7% 49.4%
Retweets 29.6% 60.3%
Framing the ConversationFraming the Conversation
Social Media CampaignsSocial Media Campaigns
Social Media CampaignsSocial Media Campaigns
Social Media CampaignsSocial Media Campaigns
115 tweets to report progress on Facebook fans54 tweets to report progress on Twitter followers
Campaign AmplificationCampaign Amplification
Targeting the MediaTargeting the Media
Political TweetbotsPolitical Tweetbots
Human Bots?Human Bots?
30 lists with tweets2758 tweets180 media accounts targeted.
Pre-Fabricated TweetsPre-Fabricated Tweets
The Tweets-Factory against MediaThe Tweets-Factory against Media
DO YOUR JOB SHINE THE LIGHT ON ACORNhttp://bit.ly/DoYourJob @ACORN Nat @SEIU@GlobeSenateRace @wwlp #masen
WE THE PEOPLE WANT A FAIR ELECTIONhttp://bit.ly/acRNFraud @ACORN Nat @SEIU@GlobeSenateRace @wwlp #masen
ConclusionsConclusions
Tweets are not equal. Opinion mining and predictions based on
aggregated data cannot be trusted.
Tweets Factory 2.0Tweets Factory 2.0
Thank youThank you
#questions