Wave Power – Status and Challenges … · Wave Power – Status and Challenges 2 CHALLANGES...

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Chalmers Energy Conference

Wave Power – Status and Challenges

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Wave Power – Status and Challenges 2

CHALLANGES

STATUS

Intro

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 3

•Renewable energy source •High energy density • Substantial potential • Expected to have low environmental and visual impact •Relatively predictable and stable •…

INTRO – WHY WAVE POWER?

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 4

INTRO – WHY WAVE POWER?

Theoretical Resource

Practical Resource

Europe 2000+ TWh US 2100 TWh UK 700 TWh 50TWh Norway 600 TWh Ireland 500 TWh Denmark 30 TWh Sweden 10-15 TWh

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 5

INTRO – WAVE ENERGY ENGINEERING

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 6

Commercial wave farms Demonstration Project Pilot Test

•Full scale offshore tests •Test births •Grid connected

•10MW wave energy demo plant •Sub sea grid

Initial R&D

•Concept and theory •Tank test •Scale tests

STATUS – DEVELOPMENT CYCLE

•+100MW wave energy plant •Reduced subsidies

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STATUS – DEVELOPMENT CYCLE

2011-09-16 Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 7

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 8

Commercial wave farms Demonstration Project Pilot Test

•EMEC •MAREN •Lysekil Test Site •WAVE HUB •OCEAN Plug

•Shetland 10MW •Sotenäs 10MW

Initial R&D

•+100 concept word wide

STATUS – DEVELOPMENT CYCLE

•Pentland Firth

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STATUS – SHETLAND 10MW DEMONSTRATION PLANT

2011-09-16 Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 9

Pelamis P1A •Fullscale •Offshore •Gridconnected

Pelamis P1A •Re-launch •Orkney Islands (EMEC)

Pelamis P1 •3x750MW •Aguadora, Spain

Pelamis P2 •EOn •EMEC

Pelamis P2 •Scottish Power •EMEC

Pelamis P2e •Construction

Pelamis P2e •Launch •EMEC

10MW Plant •Launch 4+5 machines •Shetland

Commercial wave farms

2004 2007 2008 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2020

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 10

WILL THIS WORK?

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 11

WILL THIS WORK? CHALLANGES

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 12

CHALLANGES

Technical Economical

Political

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 13

CHALLANGES – TECHNICAL

Sunday 20 September 2009 a problem during the deployment phase led to its demonstration wave generator overturning as it was being taken out to sea to begin its year-long offshore trial.

Hit by a severe storm January 8th 2004 the main mooring connection broke and the platform drifted towards the shore where it stranded close to the beach.

Mc Cabe Wave Pump, Destroyed during sea trials during unexpected storm early 2000.

SURVIVABILITY

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 14

CHALLANGES – TECHNICAL

ABSORPTION

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 15

CHALLANGES – TECHNICAL

•Survivability •Absorption •O&M •Life length •Sub sea grid

•… •…

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 16

CHALLANGES – ECONOMICAL

FUNDING

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 17

CHALLANGES – ECONOMICAL

Investment calculation

CAPEX

O&M

Production

IRR NPV

kr/kWh ? BUSINESS CASE

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 18

CHALLANGES – ECONOMICAL

•Funding •Business case

•Many unknowns •Small margins

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 19

CHALLANGES

STATUS

Intro

WHAT DO WE NEED NOW?

SUCCESS! STAMINA!

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Wave Power – Status and Challenges 20

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Pöyry SwedPower – Marine Energy Team 21

CONTACT: NAME: OSKAR D FÄNGSTRÖM TITLE: MANAGER WAVE ENERGY MAIL: oskar.danielsson-fangstrom@poyry.com PHONE: +46-703-863470

END SLIDE. THANK YOU!