What's next for TV?

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Meine Präsentation zu den Trends an der Schnittselle von TV und Internet auf dem Media Future Day des TPC am 26.01.2012. http://www.tpcag.ch/de/news/wegweisender-media-future-day-2012.html

transcript

Hybrides-Sozial-Multiscreen-Search-OnDemand-Video-App-Linear-Plattform-TV

What's next?

EINE PRÄSENTATION VON BERTRAM GUGEL

2

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Die Zukunft des Fernsehens?

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Nein,die Gegenwart!

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We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and

underestimate the effect in the long run.– Roy Amara

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Wo stehen wir heute?

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NEUER ZUGANG

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Gebt uns was wir wollen!

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87% der Nutzer sehen TV-Inhalte on demand

13% live

TV ist ein on demand Medium

http://downloads.bbc.co.uk/mediacentre/iplayer/iplayer_performance_monthly_0911.pdf

10Nielsen: THE CROSS- PLATFORM REPORT QUARTER 1, 2011

+27min

-35min

Problem für die lineare Übertragung.

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Choices go from finite to infinite. Navigation goes from sequential to random access. And audiences choose content by the item far more than by the collection. We’ve gone from the packaged and channelized to the unbound and itemized. Autonomous albums are fragmented into songs; series into clips;

– Ben Elowitz, CEO Wetpaint

http://netzwertig.com/2010/07/15/spotify-gruender-daniel-ek-die-mp3-datei-ist-zur-url-geworden/

Disaggregation

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Das ganze Netz auf Zuruf

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Apps steuern den Fernseher

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AirPlay öffnet ein neues Universum

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Suche zerstückelt das Programm

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„The central challenge to the folks running the traditional aspects of content businesses is that their business models are based on moving the containers around. No containers means no business model. Chaos.“ 

Brady Gilchrist http://www.slideshare.net/Bradygilchrist/the-death-of-tv

NEUER KONTEXT

Unendliche Auswahl ...

YouTube plus Hangouts

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Watch with Friends, anyone?

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Unterhalte mich 30 Minuten.

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Freunde gestalten das Programm

Tweek.TV SocialGuide.com

Likes/Sharing

Personalisierung durch ...

Tweets

Checkins

Verhalten

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TV liebt Twitter ...

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Twitter als EKG des Programms

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Interaktion mit TV-Inhalten

3m

50cm

10cm

Interaktives TV

28http://www.engadget.com/2011/01/29/study-shocker-mobile-users-piddle-around-on-the-internet-while

86%

14%

No Usage Mobile Internet usage

Parallele Smartphone Nutzung während des Fernsehens

56 %

40 %

37 %

33 %Mobile AppsBrowsingSocial NetworkingTexting

Smartphones fördern Interaktion ...

NEUE INHALTE

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What's going to kill movies and TV is what's already killing them: better ways to entertain people.

– Paul Graham, Y-Combinator

http://ycombinator.com/rfs9.html

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Welten prallen aufeinander ...

>1h Dokumentationen

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Neue Vertriebsmodelle ...

170.000 downloads für $4,99

3.000.000.000 Views/Month

Neue Studios und Produzenten ...

... mit originären Inhalten!

Mortal Kombat: Legacy @ Machinima

= Cable 2.0

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+

+ $100M für Inhalte+ Live streaming= Enabler

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Restricting access to content is a bad business model in the age of a global network that costs practically nothing to distribute on.

– Fred Wilson, Union Square Ventures

Neue Verwertungsfenster ...

http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2012/01/scarcity-is-a-shitty-business-model.html

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Chance zum Direktvertrieb!

$1 Mio in 12 Tagen!

https://buy.louisck.net/news

NEUE ANBIETER

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TV670 MioCHF

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Amazon/Hulu/Netflix

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vs.

Das Spiel beginnt in UK

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All3MediaBBC WorldwideCBSChannel 4’s 4oDDisneyITV, Lionsgate UKMGMMiramaxMomentum PicturesNBCUniversalParamountSony PicturesTwentieth Century FoxViacom

vs.

Kampf um online Inhalte

Sony Pictures Warner Bros.

Entertainment OneStudio Canal

DisneyLionsgate

Momentum ITV

BBC Worldwide

£4.99 £5.99

Netflix & Hulu produzieren Inhalte!

Netflix – Lilyhammer

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Facebook

= Guide

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„We’ve talked to broadcasters about putting their whole EPG as events on Facebook, and letting people RSVP to them to get a reminder.“Christian Hernandez Gallardo – Head of International Business Development Facebook

http://blog.mipworld.com/2011/04/liveblog-facebook-on-engaging-passionate-fans/

Facebook als TV Guide 2.0

= Plattform

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„Facebook would stream Vevo's music videos and the two companies would sell ads and share in the profits, the sources said.“

http://news.cnet.com/8301-31001_3-57362453-261/facebook-in-talks-to-replace-youtube-as-vevos-host/

Facebook als Medienplattform

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Microsoft/Sony

Darf ich vorstellen? XBox Live

The XBox is an entertainment device.

We see nothing but opportunity there.

HD Inhalte über das INTERNET

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30 Std Video pro Monat!

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Google/Apple

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“Google is in the very, very early phases of adding consumer products to our portfolio. [...] The media industry didn’t see us as that. They saw us a search company.”

– Andy Rubin SVP Mobile @Google

http://allthingsd.com/20111019/google-music-store-with-a-twist-coming-soon-says-android-boss/

Überarbeitetes Google TV

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One more thing ...

?I finally cracked it.

– Steve Jobs

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What‘s next?

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Connect the dots ...

NACHFRAGE

NEUER ZUGANG

NEUER KONTEXT

AN

BIET

ER

INH

ALT

E

Vielen Dank!

KontaktBertram Gugel

M: +49 179 22 1 77 63

bertram.gugel@gmail.com www.gugelproductions.de@digitalerfilm