Post on 27-Apr-2023
transcript
!"#$%&&%&'(%)*+,-'.#'&/00%".+0%'1#".234%&.'
5/&.")(+),'")+,6)(('+,'577899:;<'=/,$),'5$>%"(%?'
@)"%.2'A%""?B'72"+&.+),'C)>#D'),*'E+$2)%('F%%*%"'
E#,)&2'G,+H%"&+.?'
'
*/,$),;)$>%"(%?I0#,)&2;%*/'
42?'*#'J%'$)"%')D#/.',#".23J%&.'5/&.")(+),'")+,6)((K''
• 7)/&%&K'
• 9%H%")('$#0L%.+,-'2?L#.2%&%&M'
– 5%"#&#(;''
– N"#L+$)('5.(),.+$'&%)'&/"6)$%'
.%0L%")./"%&;''
– O,*+),'P$%),'&%)'&/"6)$%'.%0L%")./"%&;''
• 1#'#DH+#/&'$#,&%,&/&;''
• 4%')"%')+0+,-'.#')**"%&&'.2+&'+&&/%;''
*/,$),;)$>%"(%?I0#,)&2;%*/'
• Q+-/"%M':RST'U'VTTW'(+,%)"'."%,*'+,'=CQ'")+,6)(('X00'?"3:Y;'
• P,(?'L#&+.+H%'."%,*'&2#J,;'''
• =).)'6"#0'A/"%)/'#6'E%.%#"#(#-?;''
Z#JK''• G&%'577899:;<'-%,%")('$+"$/().+#,'0#*%(;''
• 9+0/().%'=%$%0D%"3C),/)"?3Q%D"/)"?'X=CQY':R[R\WT'U'VTT[\TW;'
• Q#"$%*'/&+,-'5EO!'D#/,*)"?'$#,*+.+#,&;''
'
• A%6#"%'J%'$),')&&%&&'.2%'6#"$+,-'0%$2),+&0'J%'0/&.')&&%&&'J2%.2%"'577899:;<'
+&'$)L)D(%'#6'"%L"%&%,.+,-'.2%'")+,6)(('L"#$%&&%&')*%]/).%(?;''
• N2+&'+&'),'+0L#".),.'&.%L'6#"')(('0#*%(&'),*'&2#/(*'D%'$#,&+*%"%*'D%6#"%'J%'$),'
$#,^*%,.(?'+*%,.+6?'.2%'6#"$+,-'0%$2),+&0;''
*/,$),;)$>%"(%?I0#,)&2;%*/'
!"#$%&'()*)'+(,-(./+(/+&.(',0()"$)#'&.",%1((
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
1010.0
1012.0
1014.0
1016.0
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
(a) ERA-Int 08 AWST
1010
10
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S1006.0
1008.01010.01012.0
1014.01016.0
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
(b) ERA-Int 14 AWST
1010
10
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
1008.01010.0
1012.01014.01016.0
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
(c) ERA-Int 20 AWST
1010
10
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
1008.0
1010.01012.0
1014.0
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
(d) ERA-Int 02 AWST
1010
10
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
1008.0
1010.01012.0
1014.01016.0
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
(e) ACCESS 1.3 08 AWST
1010
10
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
1004.0
1006.0
1008
.0
1010.01012.01014.01016.0
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
(f) ACCESS 1.3 14 AWST
1010
10
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
1006.0
1008.0
1010.01012.01014.01016.0
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
(g) ACCESS 1.3 20 AWST
1010
10
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
1006.0
1008
.0
1010.01012.01014.0
1016.0
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
(h) ACCESS 1.3 02 AWST
1010
10
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0Wind speed (m s-1)
• _32#/"(?'E9`!'),*'RVS'2!)'J+,*'
$#0L#&+.%&'6#"')(('=CQ&'#H%"'5EO!'L%"+#*;''
• 92)*+,-'+,*+$).%&'"%-+#,&'#6'(#J'J+,*'
&L%%*;''
'
• 9+0L(%'L"#a?'6#"'+*%,.+6?+,-'.2%'$%,."%'#6'
.2%'2%).'(#J'$+"$/().+#,;'
''
• 8F53O,.%"+0'),*'577899:;<')-"%%'J%(('
*/"+,-'.2%'*)?;''
• =+&)-"%%0%,.'#H%",+-2.;''
• Z%).'(#J'$+"$/().+#,'*+&L()$%*'+,'
577899:;<;''
• 8'.#'18'b#J'.%,*%,$?'+,'8F53O,.%"+0;'
• 8'.#'98'b#J'.%,*%,$?'+,'577899:;<;'''
*/,$),;)$>%"(%?I0#,)&2;%*/'
23/,#$'*(&4+,5.$,6/")(7,0(&%8(),%9+$4+%)+1((
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
55
5
(a) ERA-Interim: 08 AWST
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
55
5
(b) ERA-Interim: 14 AWST
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
55
5
(c) ERA-Interim: 20 AWST
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
55
5
(d) ERA-Interim: 02 AWST
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
55
5
(e) ACCESS1.3: 08 AWST
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
55
5
(f) ACCESS1.3: 14 AWST
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
55
5
(g) ACCESS1.3: 20 AWST
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
55
5
(h) ACCESS1.3: 02 AWST
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E40S
35S
30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
• 5-%#&."#L2+$'b#J'H%$.#"&').'RVS'2!)';''
• 7#,H%"-%,$%M'&2)*%*;''
• 7#,H%"-%,$%'#$$/"&',%)"'.2%'$#)&.'
*/"+,-'.2%'*)?;''
• 1#$./",)('$#,H%"-%,$%'#$$/"&'+,(),*;''
• 9+0+()"'L)..%",&'+,'8F53O,.%"+0'),*'
577899:;<;''
• Z#J%H%"B'+,(),*')-%#&."#L2+$'b#J'
L%,%.").%&'6/".2%"'&#/.2'),*'J%&.'+,.#'
,#".23J%&.'5/&.")(+)'X8F5Y;''
*/,$),;)$>%"(%?I0#,)&2;%*/'
23/,#$'*($&"%-&''(&5(&(6+$)+%.&4+(,-(./+(8&"'*(:+&%(.,.&'(
• NFEE'<AcV'*).)M':RRW\RR'U'VTT[\TW;'
• 577899:;<M':R[R\WT'U'VTT[\TW;'
• N'"%6%"&'.#'d(#$)('.+0%e'U'5/&.")(+),'
4%&.%",'9.),*)"*'N+0%'X@EN'f'WY;'
• F)+,6)(('#$$/"&'.##'%)"(?'+,'0/$2'#6'
%)&.%",'5/&.")(+);''
• NFEE'),*'577899:;<'$#0L)"%'J%(('
+,'.2%')6.%",##,;''
'
• 1#$./",)('")+,6)(('0)a+0/0'&2+6.%*'
&#/.2'),*'J%&.'+,'577899:;<;''
*/,$),;)$>%"(%?I0#,)&2;%*/'
1#.')'*)+(?'#$$/""%,$%g'
• N2%'*+/",)('$?$(%'*#0+,).%&'+,'.2%'$#0L#&+.%&;'
• Z#J%H%"B'.2%"%')"%'0),?'*)?&'J+.2#/.'")+,6)((;''
• N2%"%6#"%'.2%'*+/",)('$?$(%'0/&.',#.'D%'.2%'#,(?'
6)$.#"'-#H%",+,-'")+,6)((;'''
*/,$),;)$>%"(%?I0#,)&2;%*/'
F)+,6)(('+,+.+).+#,'• !%"2)L&'.2%'*+h%"%,$%'$#0%&'6"#0'.2%'$+"$/().+#,K''
'
• 8F53O,.%"+0'RVS'2!)'-%#L#.%,.+)('2%+-2.'),*'J+,*'
$#0L#&+.%&;''
'
• N#LM'4%.'*)?&').'L(/H+#-")L2'&+.%&'X*#.&Y;'
• E+**(%M'="?'*)?&;'
• A#..#0M'=+h%"%,$%&;''
'
• 8,2),$%*'J%&.%"(?').'$#)&.;'
• 8,2),$%*',#".23%)&.%"(?'+,(),*;''
*/,$),;)$>%"(%?I0#,)&2;%*/'
O0)-%'.)>%,'6"#0'Q+-/"%'_'+,M''A%""?B'@;B'E;'C;'F%%*%"'),*'7;'C)>#DB'VT::M'!2?&+$)('0%$2),+&0&'"%-/().+,-'&/00%".+0%'")+,6)(('#H%"',#".2J%&.%",'5/&.")(+);'C#/",)('#6'7(+0).%B'VcB'<[TS3<[:[;'i'50%"+$),'E%.%#"#(#-+$)('9#$+%.?;' 'G&%*'J+.2'L%"0+&&+#,;'
577899:;<'")+,6)(('+,+.+).+#,'
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E 160E30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
5S(a) MP wet
700.0
720.0
740.0
760.0
780.0
800.0
8
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E 160E30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
5S(b) MP dry
700.0
720.0
740.0
760.0
780.0
800.0
8
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E 160E30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
5S(c) MP wet-dry
-13.0
-11.0
-9.0
-7.0
-5.0
-3.0-2.0
2.0
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E 160E30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
5S
4
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E 160E30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
5S(d) RF wet
700.0
720.0
740.0
760.0
780.0
800.0
8
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E 160E30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
5S(e) RF dry
700.0
720.0
740.0
760.0
780.0
800.0
8
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E 160E30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
5S(f) RF wet-dry
-13.0
-11.0
-9.0
-7.0
-5.0
-3.0-2.0
2.0 6.0
10.0
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E 160E30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
5S
4
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E 160E30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
5S(g) NP wet
700.0
720.0
740.0
760.0
780.0
800.0
8
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E 160E30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
5S(h) NP dry
700.0
720.0
740.0
760.0
780.0
800.0
8
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E 160E30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
5S(i) NP wet-dry
-13.0
-11.0
-9.0
-7.0
-5.0
-3.0-2.0
2.0
6.0
110E 120E 130E 140E 150E 160E30S
25S
20S
15S
10S
5S
4
• 7#""%&L#,*+,-'$#0L#&+.%&'
6#"'577899:;<;''
• 4%)>%,%*'J%&.%"(+%&').'.2%'
$#)&.'U'+,$#""%$.;''
• 1#".23%)&.%"(+%&'+,(),*'U'
$#""%$.;''
*/,$),;)$>%"(%?I0#,)&2;%*/'
;$&<+).,$"+5(
(a) MP Wet (b) MP Dry
(d) RF Dry(c) RF Wet
(e) NP Wet (f ) NP Dry
`#J'(%H%('b#J'6"#0'.2%',#".23
%)&.;''
'
GLL%"'),*'0+*3(%H%('b#J&'
&+0+()"'6#"'D#.2'J%.'),*'*"?;''
'
9+0+()"'.#'A%""?'%.')(;'XVT::Y;''
'
E#+&./"%'$#0%&'6"#0'.2%'7#")('
9%);''
'
*/,$),;)$>%"(%?I0#,)&2;%*/'
7#,$(/&+#,&'• N2%'*+/",)('$?$(%'#6'.2%'$+"$/().+#,'$#""%&L#,*&'J%(('D%.J%%,'577899:;<'),*'"%),)(?&%&j'2#J%H%"B'.2%"%'
)"%'�%'&L).+)('*+h%"%,$%&;'
• N2%'*+/",)('$?$(%'#6'")+,6)(('+,'577899'$#""%&L#,*&'J%(('J+.2'#D&%"H).+#,&').'$%".)+,'.+0%&B')-)+,'.2%"%'
)"%'&L).+)('*+h%"%,$%&'D%.J%%,'.2%'#D&%"H).+#,&'),*'0#*%(;'
'
• 1#".23%)&.%"(+%&'"%&L#,&+D(%'6#"'D"+,-+,-'0#+&./"%'+,(),*'U'J%(('"%L"%&%,.%*;''
• 7#)&.)('")+,6)(('+,+.+).+#,'+&'L##"'+,'.2%'0#*%(;''
'
• 5(('#6'.2%&%'6%)./"%&'*+&$/&&%*'+,'6#".2$#0+,-'L)L%"'.#'D%'&/D0+..%*'.#'C#/",)('#6'7(+0).%'U'&L%)>'.#'0%'
6#"'*%.)+(&'\'$#L?;''
• N2%&%'L"#$%&&%&'+,'L)".+$/()"'0/&.'D%'),)(?k%*'+,'0#*%(&'D%6#"%'J%'$),'%H%,'&.)".'.#'(##>').'6#"$+,-&'U'
*+/",)('$?$(%B'*)?3.#3*)?'+,+.+).+#,'L"#$%&&%&B',#,3."#L+$)('6#"$+,-'0%$2),+&0&;'''*/,$),;)$>%"(%?I0#,)&2;%*/'