http://automation.ro Octavian Capatina, http://www.itc-cluj.ro, oct.capa(at)gmail.com
RoEnergy, Bucharest, 7-9 July 2011
Investment efficciency balance between wind and photovoltaic.
Romanian case.
Study case:3 milion euro investment fund
A private look and a state look.
Locatia (sursa)FC [%]
Energy [Gwh/yr]
T.recuperareactualizat [yr] Observatii
Tetchea (3tier) 21,87 3,44 13,63
Calarasi (3tier) 24,52 3,86 11,51
Arsuri (3tier) 32,51 5,12 8,07
Fantanele (3tier) 32,81 5,17 8,01
BERLIN (dwia) 36,66 5,78 6,77
Dealu (3tier) 37,59 5,92 6,72
ALBACETA (dwia) 38,57 6,07 6,36
Istria larg (3tier) 38,59 6,08 6,35
Tarnita (3tier) 43,08 6,79 5,71
Cheatra (3tier) 44,81 7,06 5,33
Simulare L220 mod (50€/Mwh CV=45€)fara indexare cu inflatia
cu turbina VESTAS V100 Hturb=100m
@ 1,3euro/wat
investitie 3mil eurodin care 33% CM
Wind location comparison. References: Fantanele, Berlin, Albaceta
Locatia(sursa NASA)
Radiatia H
[Kwh/mp/day]
Energy
[Gwh/yr]
T.recupactualiz
[yr] Observatii
Sahara 5,26 2,19 5,11
Craiova 3,71 1,55 7,75
Mangalia 3,69 1,52 7,81
Cluj Napoca 3,31 1,37 9,01
Cottbus 2,78 1,16 11,33
Simulare cf L220 modif (50€/Mwh CV=45€)
cu panouri cu ef14,5% la 2,5€/W
investitie 3mil eurodin care 5% CM
Comparison between different solar sites. Refferences Sahara and Cottbus(Ge)
3 mil euro investment balance: photovoltaic vs wind
Locatia(sursa)
FC [%]
Radiatiape oriz.
[kwh/mp/an]
Energy [Gwh/yr]
T.Recupactualiz
[yr]
Simulare cf legii 220/2008
modificata L139/2010
Tetchea 21,87 3,44 13,63
Arsuri 32,51 5,12 7,87
Fantanele 32,81 5,17 8,01
Dealu 37,59 5,92 6,72
Istria larg 38,59 6,08 6,35
Tarnita 43,08 6,79 5,71
Cheatra 44,81 7,06 5,33
Craiova 3,71 1,55 7,75
Mangalia 3,69 1,54 7,81
Cluj 3,31 1,38 8,96
Brasov 3,30 1,37 9,01
cu panourifotovoltaice cu ef. 14,5% @ 2,5euro/w investitie 3 mil euro
50euro/Mwh 45euro/Mwh
cu turbinaVESTAS V100 Hturb=100m @ 1,3 euro/w investitie: 3 mil euro
Cu corectie de inflatie medie pe 15 ani de 4% (37,8 - 77euro/CV)
Tetchea 21,87 3,44 9,73
Fantanele 32,81 5,17 5,82
Dealu 37,59 5,92 4,95
Istria larg 38,59 6,08 4,82
Tarnita 43,08 6,79 4,23
Cheatra 44,81 7,06 4,05
Craiova 3,71 1,55 5,36
Mangalia 3,69 1,54 5,39Cluj 3,31 1,38 6,13Brasov 3,30 1,37 6,15
cu panourifotovoltaice cu ef. 14,5% @ 2,5euro/w
investitie 3 mil euro
57euro/Mwh CV compensat cu infl. 63euro/CVcu turbina VESTAS V100 Hturb=100m @ 1,3 euro/w investitie: 3 mil euro
INVESTITOR PRIVAT-AUTORITATI PUBLICEalte constrangeri
VOLUMUL de investitii versus aria “imobilizata”Mic in zona montana, mare in zona de campie
Eolian (1,8Mw) Fotovoltaic(1Mw)Proiect si date Minim 1 an Minim 1 lunaCertificate autorizari Greu de precizat datorita politiculuiRealizare ~ 1 an ~ 2 luni
TIMPUL INVESTIRII (cazul eolian)
7,196,936,456,06T.R. actualizat2016201520132011Fantanele
DURATA PROIECTULUI
Cazul parcului Fotovoltaic (200ha)de la Cluj Napoca
Photovoltaic world - senior PV market analyst Sam Wilkinson:
After two years of solid growth, demand has softened and PV modules are
being priced highly competitively as a result,he writes in a report: "We've seen modules
from recognized brands being offered for less than $1.45/W (~€1.02).“
30th June 2011
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