PEIIEH3l4f,

! lncrrryr no iBSnFirauhoHNx r, l(0f t ry l r$xaqF0f ir{x re x lono r l I - 5AH

s.. nn . /. /- (.^.l //^,'(./,.. zo.#...,

Ha A[ceprau[onen TpyA 3a np[ABxAaHe Ha o6pa:onaremra n HayqHa creneu ".{OKTOP"

no npoQecnonaJrno HanpaBJrenue 4.6. "lIHQopMaruKa r{ KoMnrcTbpHIr HayKrl",

Hayrrna crequa.nnocr 01.01.12. "llntfopuaruxa",

TEMA: "llrc,leAnane na Data Mining nroqe.nu :a x.nacn{uxaqnr"

ABTOP HA AIICEPTAIIIIOHHI4fl TPY,{: acncr, uar..{opnna Ilerpona Ka6arquena

IE|OTBIIJI CTAHOBIIIIIETO: aoq. q-p Cr.nsrs Xpucrona ll.rnena' IIIIKT-BAH

1. Arryamrocr Ha rrpo6JreMarr.rKa, Bbpxy Korro pa6orfi KaHA[Aara

,{lrcepraqr.ronnu rr lpy4 e B aKTyanHara o6racr na rr3BJrlrqaHe Ha 3narr4s or roreuu o6elrlr

4annrE. B ctBpeMeuHoro o6qecrso exeaHeBHo ce HarpylBar ofpoMHrr KorruqecrBa AaHHr{ npu

ToBa or pa3JIIrqHLr rlrnoBe, Karo e Bce [o-BaxHo Aa ce IBBJIeqe cbluecrBeHara uu$opuaqnr ra

cnequ(lu.*rr.rre Hyxrr.r Ha norpe6lrrenure. ,,Educational Data Mining" rrrK e eAHo or uafi-

HoB[Te HaflpaBnen]lf, s Data Mining, o$oprrluno ce npe3 rrocJreAHr{re 10 roAr.rnu B cBeroBeH

uarqa6 u flpeacraBeH[r ar,rceprarlr{oHeH Tpya e rtlpBr.r B ToBa HanpaBJrenue n Burrapux. KarorureH Ha eKr4na no (aqecrBo r erpoueficrr.r npoerr IDEALIST creas BcuqKr,r 3arBKrr 3a rr,pceHe

Ha rraprHr,opu sa $opruzpane Ha Kopcopquylru 3a yqacrr{e B r(oHrypcr4re na 7 PaMxosa

flporprMa. 3a nocregnlrs KoHK)4)c nocrr,rru 3arBKa rrMeHHo n o6nacrra na,,Educational Data

Mining" rr r43fpaxrarrero Ha KoMrrereHrlr4r.r B ra3r{ o6racr s Ernrapur e KaKTo [peaflocraBKa 3a

6lAerqoro yqacrr.re na 6r:rrapcru KoJTeKTHB n enponeftcxu HayrrHr.r npoeKTu, TaKa I{ [oreHIIIrilJr

3a [oArroMarane ua 6r:rrapcxnre nnclrr yre6HH 3aBeAeHnr flpu npeAcKa3BaHe Ha yclexa Ha

CTYAEHTIITE I,IM.

2. Anarus Ha Hayrrnr{Te nocr[xeHrrfl Ha KaHAuAara no cb,qbptraHnero Ha

ArrcepTarlrroHHnf TpyA

,{ucepraqzrra e c o6eu 193 crpauuqr,r u e crpycypxpana e 3 rraer4. flpanra nne.raueulre

flpeqr,r3uoro o$opu:renue - Qurypure ca rprrxlrr.rBo HanpaBeHr4 r4 KopeKrHo peQepupaHI,r.

Jlorr.rqecro crplroypxpaHe Ha ArceprarluoHHr4r rpyA e noAxoArrrloro, raro npanu ao6poBleqarJIeHI,Ie HaJrlrqllero Ha cI,IcreMar[3I,IpaHIr Ir3BoaI4 B Kpiul Ha Bc{Ka rJrasa. Clntrst ga

I{3JIoxeHIle e JreceH 3a qereHe, BbttpeKrl cJroxnocrra Ha [peAJr.rerna'ra o6nacr.

crp. 1/4

fraea 1 e o6aopua. T.r rrrexga s o6racrra na Data Mining, raxro r4 B ABere [p]rnoxHrro6:racru Ha I,I3cneABaHe - Educational Data Mining r4 paAapHr4 cr4ruaJrrr. llpegcraneuurr o6oopua Data Mining Merorr4re ra rcracurfuraqur - orKprrBaHe Ha 3HaH u B AaHHrr vpea o6yreuue uaxlacrEtpuraropu, rroKarlBa [o3HaBaHe Ha repMltHono 4ara v :aaor6oqenu 3*aHvg 3aCIIIIECTBYBAIIII,ITE MCTOII' U IOAXOAI,I T O6IACIIA, KAKTO I,I KPIITEPI,II4 34 OqEHXA II CPABHEHXC HAreHepr{paHHre Mo1enH 3a uacu<pnrauur.

fnaea 2 crgrpxa uz6panara Merorr4Ka 3a [poBex(AaHe Ha u3c.[e.qBaHusra B rr4ceprarlurra.flpeA:roxeuara ueroAI,IKa 3a l{3c-[e.qBaHe or arrcepraHxara cborBercrBa Ha locraBeHxre 3aaaqr{.c:reg npoy.rnane Ha clBpeMeHHoro cbcrorHr,re s o6racrra cc upeanafa norxon 3a perxaBaHe HarocraBeHara aagava 6a:uparqa ce na cross-Industry Standard process for Data Mining (cRISp-DM) vero4olorutra, uzlupa ce flo.qxoAsul r.rucrpy-]!{eHTapr4yr,r, rofiro ce flpfinara B IBepa3nfiqHr.r [peaMerHr4 06aacru u ce aHaJ]r.r3r,rpar lonrreHr4re pe3ynrarr.r. flpe4craneuu ca uBZlXHIrre 4efinocru or npernoxeHara MeroalrKa - [oaroroB(a Ha aaHHI,I u noJ]WaBaHe HaKpafrHa cbBx)'nHocr or AaHHr4 B ABere flDerMerulr o6lacru

l:raga 3 flpercraBnrBa c'rrlHocrHara rracr or ar.rceprarlrro'Hr4 s "rpyl, K'aero calpeAcraBeHlr v aHurri3r4paEu pe3ynrarrrre or rr3cJreABaHero ua o6yveHlero ua uaclrQuxaropz3a u3Bnr.IrlaHe Ha 3HaHU.f, OT Aar{HIt, Vpe: us6pauure rnacutfuraquouHl4 aJlroplcrMrr, T.e.lpuJroxrrMocTra sa Data Mining Mogerr.rre sa rcracurpuraqlrr, B ABere rrpeaMerHx o6:racur.Pety:rrarlrre noKa3Bar, .re Data Mining r',rero4r.rre 14 cpeAcrBara Morar ra 6r,aar erfexrunnofipunaraHr4 BGpxy pa3nr4r{Hr.r Br.rAoBe IaHHr.] or pa3nrrqnr,r nayrnu o6lacru.

I{urlrpauara nr4Tepar}?a o6xsaqa 7l }rsro.rHrara. Bcu.{rure ca na aHr:ruficKr{ e3lrx rr6onufiHcrsoro ca uy6:rurynanu npe3 nocneArrr-tre l0 ro.qlrHr.

3. Hayvnn rr Hayquo-rprrJron(Hrr rprruocrr peaJr[3rrpann B Auceprarlr{flTa

rlprleuau aBTopcK4Te npereurlr,rfi 3a Ha) {Ho-lp]rnoxHr.r flprrHocrr, Kor,rro ca [peAcraBeHr4 BcneAHure rprr rpynu - lonyqaBaHe r{ AoKa3BaHe Ha HOBr4 <paXrU, UOgrrrp rr4TeJtELl $axru urrprrHocr{ 3a BHeApSBaHe, Br'rrpeKr4 rre Bce orle 6lrxa uor:I.r [a 6slar Qopuy:rrapauu flo-rcHo BCTETHAT CTIIJI.

BaNeu npuuoc Ha ALIcepraIIuoHHI4t rpyA e 4erafimroro I43cngrBaHe Ha Hufirrt."r4 r,,HHLt,npeaocraBeHr4 or Er:rrapcrr.r )'HrrBepcr4Ter, (aro ca flpeanoxeHr.r pear4rra opHrr4HanHrr perieHHtHa Bsnpocu, Karo: norroroBKa Ha AaHHI,ITe; aHaJIIr3:br r.ru; tpopunpaue na 6a:a eunltpuunrzreyMeHr'rr Ha AoKTopaHra, <popuupaue na xparina crBKynHocr or .qaHHrr 3a cryAeHTr.rre 3ar'r3cneABaHe; reHepr4paHe Ha Data Mining rrro4enu ra rcraczrfuraqr,ra (o6yreuue naxnacnrpuxaropr.r) ra rlc.ne4nane ua r.rsopauure Data Mining anropt4TMr4 sa rcracu$uxaqur upercoQryep WEKA, rcuvt<u re ca cBrp3aHL c [paKTnqecKoro r43noJr3Bage ua us6panlrre datamining a,rropzrrrar.r. B rosr4 cMr.rcrJr r{3cJreaBaHero e HoBo r,r orpa3.,{Ba crequQlryara Ha ro3rr rr4n.{aHHIr 3a Harrlara crpaHa r4 Karo noAKperra Ha ra3rr re3a r4Ma ga6enqgauo uurr,IpaHe Ha

crp.214

ly6nr4Kaqur Ha AoKTopaHTKara IIo re3r,r Bbflpocu B MexlyHapoilHa KoH(bepeHrlr{r.flpe4:roNeuoro or arrcepraHKara perrrenrie Moxe aa 6rae pasrrex.qauo rr Karo ocuoBa 3a6rAeulu auufir3lt r.r r{3cJreaBaHur s ra3fi o6racr.

3a lroueura ne ca LI3BecrHI,I Ir3cJIeABaHI{r, cBrbp3arrr4 c r43noJr3BaHero na data mining uero4usa r:racurf uxaqvrTa Ha pa4aprrt MopcKrr rleJrr.r, Koero Moxe Aa ce orqere Karo rrprrHoc 3a6r4erqoro pa3Br4rr.re n o6racrra. 3acryNana aa ce or6eaeNu, rre r4Ma :a6elrsaHo rlt4Tr,rpaHe Hany6rNxaqur Ha AoKTopaHTKara rro re3u Brttpocu B MexAyHapoAHo cnllcaul4e c BI4coK I4MnaKT

Qaxrop.

flpuuoc e n o6crofiHoro u3cJIeABaHe I,I noryr{eHr,rre pe3yJrrarr.r s o6racrra na Educationaldata mining , Karo aHaJrr,r36T nM e npelopbqvreJrHo Aa ce peAaKTrrpa B rroco(a ro-BrrcoKo HrrBona a6crparqux u o6o6uesue.

Zrno4ure u pe3ynrarr,rre or Anceprarlr{oHHur rpy,q Morar aa ce r{3rroJr3Bar r.r B Apyrr,r Bncmrry.re6uu ranegenur 3a rroAnoMaraHe B3eMauero Ha ynpaBneucru,r pemeHr{r.

4. Ily6.nnraqrr rro ArrceprarlrouHllq rpyA

fly6:ruxaquure KbM Ar,rceprarlfirra ca Irrecr Ha 6poft. B rsx ca [peAcraBeHrr ocHoBHr4Tepe3yJrraru, flonyrreHr4 B Ar4cepraqr,rrra. Bc]r.tru rry6nr.rraqzu ca sa asrluficxra e3r.rK, Karo ABe caB crrucaHr{q (e.qnara noA nevar) r.r rrerltprl B TpyAoBe Ha clequaJrr.r3rrpaHr4 Mexr}'HapoaHrrrou<pepeuqnn. 9erupu or ny6:rr.rxaquure ca B cbaBTopcrBo, Koero rrora3Ba ),\leHr4rra za pa6oraB eKr,rrr Ha Ar4cepraH(ara. 3aclyxara 4a ce or6eleNn, qe ABere ny6:rr-rraquu B crrucaHxr cacaMocrosrerHr,r. flpe4craneua e crrpalra za 2 qurupauut npez 2012 r na ny6.nlrraqun 2 u 3 sa

AllcepraHxara crorBerHo B cnr.rcagrrr International Joumal of Advanced Research in ComputerScience and Software Engineering u IET Radar, Sonar and Navigation.

5. 3a6e.nexrc[ rl flperropLKrr

Crc :a4onorcrno or6errenarv, qe 6orrxuHcrsoro or orlpaBeHrrre or MeH (n ravecrnoro uuHa [peABaprlTenen peqensenr) sa6erexru no BpeMe Ha npeABapr.{re:rnoro o6crN.qaue naArrceprarluouHnr l:pyA B ceKrlnr "I4urerlren:rHz cucreuu" sa LIVKT ca B3err.r npeAsnA. BnpeauuHHre cexuuu 6sxa or6e,rqlaHtr HrKor{ fipenopbKJ4.

Arrope$eparrr e rtrorBen cfiope4 r{3r,rcKBarrrirra, BB[peKrr.{e o6eN{ or 53 crp e ManKo no-IOJI'M OT OqAKB{IHOTO.

He 6eure neo6xo4ztr,to .4a ce [oKa3Bar vacr or us6parurre r,raczr[zraropu 3a r43BrurraHe Ha3Haurrr or paAapHr,r AaHHr,r flpu r,r3cne,4BaHr.rrra, T.K. He ca eQeKTrlBHrr, a fipeABapurenHo Aa ceOTXBIDJI'T.

ctp.3/4

Eux npenoprua:ra Ha AncepralrKara 4a rry6.nuxyra u3cJle4ranurra cr.r rroBerre B crtllcautlt corre4 6sAeqo fi pa3Brrrue.

6. 3aK.lrIoqenne

flpe4craneurer Apceprargloueu TpyI orroBapr Ha u3rrc(Bar {rra u urua neo6xo,rynrxreKaqecrB4 ycrauoBer{r m ,,3arona 3a pa3B[Ttero Ea aKaAeMrqu[r cbcraB B Peny6ru,rraErnrapr,le", KaKTo It Fa rrpaE[Jtrrl{Ka lra I,II4KT-BAH 3a [oryqaBaxe na ucranara o6pa3oBareJrHarr Hayrrxa creuen ",{orrop". B gaxmoqexue, AaBtM troJrolrtrT€JrEr oqenKr Ha rrpeAcraBeuara,ryrceprarlrrlr Ha reMa "I,IgcleApane na Data Mining uogelu m uacu$rmaque" u npenopruanrHa Ha) fio )cypu rro o6rseuara rporleAypa 3a 3arqrra Ha AoKropcxa ,ryrcepraqur g I4I4KT-EAH,Ia nprasbau o6pasonarelRara r.r Hayqta sreleH ,,qoroop" n upoQecuonamro nanpannesue 4.6.,,I4n$opruarrma r{ KoMrtrorbpHu nayrof' xa aBTopa Ha Ar,rceprarl[onrrxr rpyA ac. .(opnnaKa6axqresa.

rp. CoQur10.02.2013 r.

crp.4l4