Date post: | 13-Feb-2017 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | larissa-hirst |
View: | 142 times |
Download: | 0 times |
5th World Shale Oil & Gas Summit ∙ www.world-shale.com ∙ OCTOBER 2014 5th World Shale Oil & Gas Summit ∙ www.world-shale.com ∙ OCTOBER 2014
Introduction
Shale is the game changer in the oil and gas industry right now. And, if utilised correctly, it could be
a game changer for decades to come. 1
Who would have predicted the unconventional hydrocarbon development in the U.S. ten years or so
ago? Extracting a number of shale reserves was pretty much impossible due to limited capabilities
in drilling technologies and potential environmental concerns. The ability to exploit shale took nigh on
everyone by surprise, and now oil and gas players are looking for the new angle that will change
shale once again.
The industry has come on in leaps and bounds with innovative technological solutions and economic
policy support, the future looks bright for the extraction, production and utilisation of shale.
Trends in Technology:
Technological developments have been a
major driver in changing the shale industry,
enabling extraction and production while
avoiding more hazardous and high-risk
processes.
Fracture propagation modelled in 3D, or 3D
seismic mapping, ensures that a realistic image
is created to study the behaviour of rocks
before, during and after fracturing. 2 Ultimately,
such modelling improves production techniques
because of increased predictability in knowing
how to optimise water volume and pressure
levels.
3D mapping lets one know where to drill, but
what could increase further accuracy is high-
resolution imaging. Seismic technology uses
acoustic vibrations that bounce back off
geological microphones to determine
subsurface features, says Mark P. Mills,
Founder and CEO of the Digital Power Group,
and writer of the Forbes.com Energy
Intelligence Blog. 3
Going forward, microseismic fracture mapping
can enhance the accuracy of fracturing further.
With sensors and instrumentation used to
highlight obstacles in the fracturing process, as
well as understanding distance, geometry and
much more4, microseismic technology deploys
ultrasensitive sensors able to record 3,000
meters underground and listen for noises
where the rocks react. 5
To really understand what is happening
underground, technology also needs to move
from snap-shot coverage to full blown
“continuous real-time monitoring.” 6 Today’s
coverage is episodic, and many occurrences
could potentially be missed because of a lack
of 24/7 surveillance.
Technology is also being utilised not just to
increase the efficiency in shale exploration and
production, but to soften the impact the industry
has on the environment, the local communities
and the surrounding infrastructure, according to
The Denver Post.
Mark Jaffe7 reports that while drilling for shale
can be disruptive to local communities, with
increased road use and tons of sand and
chemicals to move around on site, companies
have begun to look into ways that technology
can not only improve the situation for the
benefit of the oil and gas industry, but can
soften the impact on the surrounding area.
A number of underground pipeline initiatives in
Colorado, U.S., are leading the way in
transporting oil, water and natural gas from
sites to facilities further afield. Anadarko
Petroleum Corp’s “stim center” is a mile away
from the well for example, separating
equipment noise and disturbance from the well
location.
Companies are not only finding that the
consolidation of operations and supplies to one
central but external location is a means to
please communities, but is also a sensible
economic decision as it reduces the amount of
downtime in between moving equipment, field
to field. 8
Trends in Politics:
With armed conflicts and geopolitical risks in
the Middle East and Ukraine, as well as
repercussions still being felt from the Arab
Spring, the oil and gas marketplace has
surprisingly been for the past few years, as
former chief economist of BP Christof Ruhl
says, an “eerie calm”. 9
The North American shale energy boom has
countered much of the lost oil production in
conflict zones10, and a number of governments
have reflected on the appeasing in volatility by
embracing shale into their own politics, while
others have not been as favourable.
France and Bulgaria are the two EU nations
who have banned fracking for shale gas11,
while across the English Channel, Britain is
embracing the shale industry with ministers
announcing over the summer of 2014 that the
country is open to bids from fracking
companies to begin exploration. 12
Europe has been looking for other energy
options to break Russia’s dominance on the
continent’s natural gas supplies in the wake of
the Ukraine crisis and imposed sanctions.
Shale Trends to Watch
Out For Worldwide – Technological, political and
economic development potential
from around the globe.
5th World Shale Oil & Gas Summit ∙ www.world-shale.com ∙ OCTOBER 2014 5th World Shale Oil & Gas Summit ∙ www.world-shale.com ∙ OCTOBER 2014
Poland has been touted as a potential host of
shale gas reserves, with Polish foreign minister,
Radoslaw Sikorski saying in 2010 that “shale
gas offered Poland the chance to replicate
Norway’s success.” 13 Despite the downgrade of
Poland’s shale gas reserves more recently, the
government is still optimistic, approving
amendments to legislation that governs shale
gas. 14
Europe’s shale potential remains hopeful, but
despite politicians making moves to enable a
shale revolution across some of the continent,
the European Union has allowed shale to be
dealt with further down the policy chain, in some
cases regionally, instead of making rulings and
approvals at union level. 15 Despite the potential
future shale offers for Europe, contrasting
policies and politics across the continent mean
Europe will continue to rely on further afield
energy resources.
Politically speaking, shale can be seen as
responsible for creating new political alliances.
Japan is looking to boost imports of shale gas to
replace the loss of nuclear power16, and
Japanese and U.S. relations remain vital to
securing the much needed energy resources.
It is important to note the seriousness much of
the world’s governments are taking in regards to
cutting carbon emissions and adopting greener
energy policies. Together the U.S. and China
are accountable for nearly half the world’s
carbon pollution, at 45%. 17 The U.S. however,
knows it needs to address the perceived stance
on climate change after not ratifying the legally
binding Kyoto Treaty of 1997, from an earlier
United Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change.
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s
Clean Power Plan – a plan to maintain an
affordable and reliable energy system that cuts
pollution, protecting health and the environment
- is one way the US is slashing CO2 emissions.
The fracking boom is attributed by many to have
cut the U.S. carbon dioxide pollution levels.
“As carbon prices increase, coal burning should
decline and be replaced eventually by natural
gas, presumably driving down CO2 emissions
nationwide”, said William Nelson, Analyst for
Bloomberg New Energy Finance, quoted
in climatecentral.org. 18
“Rising U.S. output has
also influenced
economic policies in
other countries looking
to establish a shale
industry.”
Trends in Economy
The U.S. is on the verge of becoming the
world’s largest producer of liquid petroleum
thanks to its shale oil and gas boom. However,
the economics of shale is having a much wider
impact outside of America. Rising U.S. output
has undermined the influence and economic
powers of some OPEC countries, in particular
Saudi Arabia, in controlling oil prices. 19
Rising U.S. output has also influenced
economic policies in other countries looking to
establish a shale industry. It is likely that the
U.S. will become a net gas exporter if export
facilities and infrastructure continue to be
approved20, with other countries wanting to
explore possible gains in their domestic energy
as well.
Argentina is looking to increase its presence in
the shale industry. The hope is that the country
can utilise its rich and condensed resources
found in the Vaca Muerta to assist in
stimulating a more favourable energy trade
balance.21
The Argentine government has therefore been
making sweeping updates to the 1967 Oil and
Gas Law, aiming to rework production
regulation and revenue sharing, as well as
adding additional benefits to enhance the oil
and gas industry22, ultimately to further the
country’s economy. Laws allowing foreign
companies which have invested more than
$USD 250m to export 20% of shale production
tax free after the fifth year of development23 are
also proposed.
While the changes are not without its critics,
Argentine Cabinet Chief Jorge Capitanich has
said that the country needs to have an updated
law unified to taxes, royalties and
environmental standards.24 Companies will also
be offered in the new proposals 35-year
licenses to develop shale oil reserves and 25
years for conventional energy.25 Additionally,
firms can win 10-year extensions, but only if
they fulfil their investment commitments. 26
Lithuania and Algeria too are adjusting
economic policies to favour the exploitation of
shale. Indeed the general consensus of many
5th World Shale Oil & Gas Summit ∙ www.world-shale.com ∙ OCTOBER 2014
is to try and ensure economic feasibility of oil shale extraction and production, with unconventional
shale formations fuelling the U.S. economy as an example to all. Lithuania has adjusted its shale gas
regulations to become more ‘investor-friendly’ 27 and Algeria drafted proposals to offer long-term
licenses to investors interested in unconventional reserves. 28
China wants to increase its own energy security to decrease its reliance on the Middle East. The Gulf
provides roughly half of China’s imported oil29, and has seen a decline in US interest since its shale
boom, meaning China is more susceptible to Middle East disruption than its western counterpart. The
country’s energy regulator, the National Energy Administration, said it will provide subsidies and tax
breaks for companies30 interested in making shale gas happen in China.
Summary The international oil and gas market can change rapidly in response to technological innovations and
geopolitical situations. Trends and possibilities drive the shale industry forward, hence why they are
critical in forecasting energy outlooks.
Chairman, CEO and Founder of American Energy Partners, LP; Aubrey K. McClendon, and Edward
Morse; MD and Global Head of Commodities at Citi Research, will be kicking off the 5th Annual World
Shale Summit by looking at key drivers shaping the industry.
5th World Shale Oil & Gas Summit ∙ www.world-shale.com ∙ OCTOBER 2014
References:
1 - http://www.kpmg.com/FR/fr/IssuesAndInsights/ArticlesPublications/Documents/Shale-gas-global-m-and-a-trends.pdf
2 - http://science.howstuffworks.com/environmental/energy/oil-shale3.htm
3 - http://www.forbes.com/sites/markpmills/2013/05/08/big-data-and-microseismic-imaging-will-accelerate-the-smart-drilling-oil-and-gas-
revolution/
4 - http://theenergycollective.com/jared-anderson/539051/energy-quote-day-what-s-next-shale-gas
5 - http://www.total.com/en/energies-savoir-faire/petrole-gaz/exploration-production/secteurs-strategiques/gaz-non-conventionnels/focus-
gaz-de-schiste/tomorrows-technologies
6 - http://www.forbes.com/sites/markpmills/2013/05/08/big-data-and-microseismic-imaging-will-accelerate-the-smart-drilling-oil-and-gas-
revolution/
7 - http://www.denverpost.com/business/ci_26660219/colorados-biggest-drillers-try-new-techniques-cut-oil?source=infinite
8 - http://www.houstonchronicle.com/business/energy/article/Drillers-in-Colorado-especially-mindful-of-the-5707269.php#/0
9 - http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/9cc592a4-537d-11e4-8285-00144feab7de.html#axzz3G6ySocwY
10 - http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2014-05-08/u-dot-s-dot-shale-boom-keeps-global-oil-prices-from-soaring
11 - http://www.latimes.com/world/europe/la-fg-france-fracking-20140622-story.html#page=1
12 - http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/jul/28/fracking-expansion-shale-gas-opposition-britain
13 - http://www.economist.com/blogs/easternapproaches/2013/07/shale-gas-poland
14 - http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/07/31/poland-shalegas-minister-idUKL6N0Q438P20140731
15 - http://www.forbes.com/sites/christophercoats/2014/04/23/can-shale-save-europe/
16 - http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2014/04/20/national/politics-diplomacy/abe-to-ask-obama-to-boost-shale-gas-exports-to-
japan/#.VD6BevnF8cA
17 - http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/sep/22/us-climate-change-john-kerry-un
18 - http://www.climatecentral.org/news/analysts-states-bullish-on-clean-power-plan-18072
19 - http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/business/industries/naturalresources/article4234447.ece
20 - http://www.the-american-interest.com/blog/2014/09/11/us-approves-two-more-lng-export-facilities/
21 - http://www.businessinsider.com/morgan-stanley-recommends-argentina-shale-oil-fracking-2014-10#ixzz3GCHZv1DV
22 - http://www.buenosairesherald.com/article/166993/sapag-draws-a-hardline-on-vaca-muerta
23 - http://www.oilandgastechnology.net/upstream-news/argentina-attracts-oil-gas-investors-new-legislation
24 - http://www.oilandgastechnology.net/upstream-news/argentina-attracts-oil-gas-investors-new-legislation
25 - http://www.buenosairesherald.com/article/166993/sapag-draws-a-hardline-on-vaca-muerta
26 - http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/09/17/argentina-energy-idUKL1N0RI1KV20140917
27 - http://www.naturalgaseurope.com/lithuania-shale-gas-legislation-chevron-comeback
28 - http://www.oilgasmonitor.com/algeria-keen-to-exploit-shale-reserves/5063/
29 - http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/07/dependence-on-middle-eastern-oil-now-its-chinas-problem-too/259947/
30 - http://www.shaleenergyinsider.com/2013/11/01/china-announces-policy-to-encourage-shale-gas-development/
*Disclosure: We have sourced our statistics from the references as shown in the citation list. While we have sourced these statistics from
reliable sources, The CWC Group cannot guarantee all accuracy and credibility.
Compiled by Larissa Hirst, Online Content Manager, The CWC Group.
Event Information:
As the premier meeting place for the world’s shale oil and gas industry, the 5th Annual
World Shale Oil & Gas Summit, co-hosted by CWC and the American Gas Association,
and co-sponsored by the International Gas Union, offers unrivalled networking
opportunities and discussions on the latest shale updates across the globe, as well as
finding solutions to common challenges.
The summit will feature more than 50 global shale oil and gas leading industry speakers,
including:
Aubrey K.McClendon,
Chairman, CEO &
Founder, American
Energy Partners, LP
and McClendon
Energy Partners, LP
Jin Zhijun, President,
SINOPEC China
Petroleum E&P
Research Institute
\\\
Hector Moreira
Rodriguez,
Independent Board
Member, PEMEX
Ken Kirby, Senior Vice
President for
Development, XTO
Energy
Barry Goldstein,
Executive Director
Energy Resources
Division, DMITRE,
Government of
South Australia
Edward Morse,
Managing Director and
Global Head of
Commodities, Citi
Research
A full list of confirmed speakers can be found here.
The 5th Annual World Shale Oil & Gas Summit is
taking place November 4-7, 2014 at the Fairmont
Dallas Hotel, Dallas, Texas, USA.
Download our brochure for further information, or
email [email protected]
1st photo credit: Nightman1965, http://www.shutterstock.com/gallery-
376780p1.html
2nd photo credit: Calin Tatu, http://www.shutterstock.com/gallery-59511p1.html