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This article was downloaded by: [Tezpur University] On: 13 September 2013, At: 04:46 Publisher: Taylor & Francis Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK International Journal of Ambient Energy Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/taen20 Solar photovoltaic water pumping in India: a financial evaluation P. Purohit MSc. (Physics) a & T. C. Kandpal MSc. (Physics) PhD b a Centre for Energy Studies, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Hauz Khas, New Delhi, 110016, India b Centre for Energy Studies, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Hauz Khas, New Delhi, 110016, India Published online: 30 Mar 2011. To cite this article: P. Purohit MSc. (Physics) & T. C. Kandpal MSc. (Physics) PhD (2005) Solar photovoltaic water pumping in India: a financial evaluation, International Journal of Ambient Energy, 26:3, 135-146, DOI: 10.1080/01430750.2005.9674983 To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01430750.2005.9674983 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & Francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the “Content”) contained in the publications on our platform. However, Taylor & Francis, our agents, and our licensors make no representations or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose of the Content. Any opinions and views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors, and are not the views of or endorsed by Taylor & Francis. The accuracy of the Content should not be relied upon and should be independently verified with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses, actions, claims, proceedings, demands, costs, expenses, damages, and other liabilities whatsoever or howsoever caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with, in relation to or arising out of the use of the Content. This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, redistribution, reselling, loan, sub-licensing, systematic supply, or distribution in any form to anyone is expressly forbidden. Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at http://www.tandfonline.com/page/terms- and-conditions
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This article was downloaded by: [Tezpur University]On: 13 September 2013, At: 04:46Publisher: Taylor & FrancisInforma Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House, 37-41Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UKInternational Journal of Ambient EnergyPublication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/taen20Solar photovoltaic water pumping in India: a financialevaluationP. Purohit MSc. (Physics) a & T. C. Kandpal MSc. (Physics) PhD ba Centre for Energy Studies, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Hauz Khas, New Delhi, 110016,Indiab Centre for Energy Studies, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Hauz Khas, New Delhi, 110016,IndiaPublished online: 30 Mar 2011.To cite this article: P. Purohit MSc. (Physics) & T. C. Kandpal MSc. (Physics) PhD (2005) Solar photovoltaic water pumping in India: afinancial evaluation, International Journal of Ambient Energy, 26:3, 135-146, DOI: 10.1080/01430750.2005.9674983To link to this article:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01430750.2005.9674983PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLETaylor & Francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in thepublications on our platform. However, Taylor & Francis, our agents, and our licensors make no representations orwarranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose of the Content. Any opinionsand views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors, and are not the views of or endorsedby Taylor & Francis. The accuracy of the Content should not be relied upon and should be independently verified withprimary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses, actions, claims, proceedings,demands, costs, expenses, damages, and other liabilities whatsoever or howsoever caused arising directly or indirectlyin connection with, in relation to or arising out of the use of the Content.This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematicreproduction, redistribution, reselling, loan, sub-licensing, systematic supply, or distribution in any form to anyone isexpressly forbidden. Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at http://www.tandfonline.com/page/terms-and-conditionsInternational Journalof AmbientEnergy,Volume 26, Number 3July 2005 Solar photo waterpumping in India: a financial evaluation P.Purohit* andT, C. Kandpal** Pallav Purohit,MSc. (Physics), Senior Research Fellow, Centre forEnergy Studies, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Hauz Khas, New Delhi - 110016, India. " Tara C. Kandpal, MSc. (Physics), PhD, Professor, Centre for Energy Studies, lndian Institute of Technology Delhi, Hauz Khas, New Delhi - 110016. India. (To whom all correspondence be addressed) E-mail: [email protected] O AmbientPress Limited 2005 SYNOPSIS Asimpleframeworkforthefinancialperformance evaluationofasolarphotovoltaic(SPV)water pumphasbeenpresented. Theunitcostofwater deliveredbysuchapumphasbeenestimated. Themonetarybenefitsaccruedtotheenduser havealsobeenquantifiedonthebasisofthe amountofdieselorelectricitysaved.TheNet PresentValueandInternalRateofReturnof investmentinanSPVwaterpump havealsobeen estimated.Theeffectoffuelpriceescalationon thefinancialperformanceindiceshasbeen evaluatedalongwithestimationofthebreak-even pricesofdieselandelectricity.Theeffectsof financialincentivessuchascapitalsubsidy, accelerateddepreciation-relatedincometax benefits and provision of a low interest loan on the break-evenpricesofdieselandelectricityhave alsobeenstudied.Resultsofsomenumerical calculationsfora1. 8kWp SPVpumparebriefly presented anddiscussed. INTRODUCTION Irrigationwaterpumpingisthesecondmost importantenergyenduseinlndianagriculture afterfertilisers.Dieselandelectricityare commonlyusedformeetingirrigationenergy demandinthecountry.Morethan11.8million electricpumpsetsarereportedlyi noperationin theagriculturesector[I]. Formeetingthe increasingdrinkingandirrigationwaterdemand morewellswouldbedugandenergisedthus increasingthedemandsofelectricityanddiesel. Due to a varietyofreasons generationcapacityis notmatchingtheincreasingdemand ofelectricity inthecountry.Ontheotherhand,dieselis expectedtobecomeincreasinglyexpensiveand scarce.Consequently,problemsarebeingfaced inthelarge-scaleenergisationoftubewellsused forirrigation [2]. Erraticsupplyofconventionalsourcesof energyandconcernfortheenvironmentand sustainabledevelopmenthasprovidedrenewed thrusttothedevelopmentanddisseminationof renewable energysources to power the pumpsets. Renewableenergyoptionsforwaterpumping includesolarphotovoltaic(SPV)pumps,wind pumpsanddual-fuelenginepumpsusingbiogas orproducergas.Oftheserenewableenergy optionsforwaterpumping,solarphotovoltaic pumps areconsidered tohave a large potential of utilisationindevelopingcountries,dueto decentralisedavailabilityofsolarenergyandthe graduallyreducingcostofSPVsystems[3-41.In thepasttwodecades,considerableeffortshave beenmadeforlargescaledisseminationofSPV pumpsinlndiaaswellasinotherdeveloping countries[5-1I].Smallpumpingsystemswithan array capacity of300-360Wp weredeveloped and triedduringthe1980s(121.Basedonthe experiencegained,aspecialprogrammewas Downloaded by [Tezpur University] at 04:46 13 September 2013 Solar photovoltaic water pumping in India: a financial evaluationPurohit, Kandpal evolvedin1993 forthesupplyandinstallationof largercapacitySPVwaterpumpingsystemsfor agricultureandrelateduses[13].Underthis programme,users were offered a subsidylinked to thecapacityofthePVarrayusedin thepumping system and a softloan wasalsoprovided to cover 90% oftheremaining costofthesystemafterthe capital subsidy[ I 31. Anambitiousprogrammeforinstallationof 50,000 SPV water-pumpingsystemsovera period of5yearswasalsoformulatedbytheMinistryof Non-conventionalEnergySources(MNES)ofthe GovernmentofIndia[13].However,tillDecember 2002,only51 13 SPVsystemsforwaterpumping werereportedlyinstalled[9].Oneofthepossible barriers to large-scaleuptake ofSPV waterpumps isthefinancialunattractivenessofthesesystems tothefarmers.Inaddition,users'inabilitytopay forPVinfrastructure andalackofavailablecredit orfinancingbothhinderedthedisseminationof photovoltaicsystems[14-191.Itistherefore necessarytostudyalltherelevantaspectsand issuesaffectingthefinancialfeasibilityofSPV water-pumpingsystemstofarmers.Itisinthis contextthatanattempthasbeenmadeinthis papertodevelopasimpleframeworktoassess thefinancialfeasibilityofanSPVwaterpumping system.Theunitcostsofwaterandofhydraulic energydeliveredbytheSPVpumphavebeen estimated.Themonetarybenefitsaccruedtothe end userhave alsobeen quantified on thebasis of theamountofdieseland/orelectricitysaved. The NetPresentValue(NPV)andInternalRateof Return(IRR) ofinvestmentin anSPVwaterpump havealsobeenestimated.Theeffectoffuel priceescalationonthesefinancialperformance indicatorshasbeenevaluatedalongwith estimationofthebreak-evenpricesofdieseland electricity.Theeffectofvariousfinancial incentivesonthebreak-evenpricesofdieseland electricityhas been analysed. SPVWATERPUMP AnSPVwaterpumpingsystem(Figure1) consists ofaphotovoltaicarray,motor-pumpandpower conditioningequipment(optional).Provisionfor storageofelectricityisnotprovidedinthese systems.Instead,ifdesired,provisioncanbe made forwaterstorage, whichmaybe more cost- effective thanprovision ofa storagebattery in the SPVsystem. Thepower conditioningequipmentis usedtostabilisethefluctuatingelectricalenergy outputofthearray.Dependinguponthetotal dynamichead and the required flow-rateofwater, thepumpingsystemcanbesurfaceorsub- mersible type and the motor can be either ACorDC. For ACpumping systems an inverter is also required. VALUATIONOFBENEFITS ThemonetarybenefitsassociatedwithanSPV waterpumping systemdepend upon themonetary worthoffuelsaved.AnSPVwaterpumping systemusuallyreplaceseitherdieselorelectricity. Themonetaryworthoffuelsavedcanbe estimated asa productofannual fuelsavingsand themarketprice of thefuelsaved. TheannualelectricityoutputofthePVmodule depends upon the capacity of the SPV systemand itscapacityutilisationfactor.Thus,theannual electricityoutput,ESP,,ofthePVmoduleused with theSPVpump can be expressed as: ESP,=8760 CUF P(1 whereP(inkW,)representsthecapacityofthe SPVsystemandCUF(infraction)thecapacity utilisation factorof theSPVpump. PhotovoltaicmodulesareratedinpeakWatts (W,).Thisisthemaximumpoweroutputfromthe moduleatacelltemperatureof25 OC andsolar irradianceof1 kW/m2. Theactualpower obtained fromthesystemin thefieldisgenerallylessthan theratedpowerbecause:(i)theefficiencyofa solarcelldecreasesasitstemperatureincreases andcellsinthefieldmayoftenoperateat temperatureshigherthan25 OC intropicalareas, (ii)thesolarirradianceisusuallylessthan 1 kW/m2,(iii)imperfectmatchingoftheloadmay causethemoduletooperateatavoltageand currentthatgivesapoweroutputlessthanthe maximum,(iv)thepumpingsystemisoperated duringperiodsofirrigationwaterdemandonly, and(vi)downtimerequiredforrepairand maintenanceetc.Infacttheaverageoutputover daylighthoursmaybemuchlessthantherated outputeveninalocationwithhighaveragedaily solarirradiation,thusresultinginalowcapacity utilisation oftheSPVpump. Theannualamountofwater,A, , , , (inm3), deliveredby anSPVsystemcan be estimated as: whereq,(infraction)representstheoverall efficiencyofthe SPVwaterpump, p(in kg/m3) the densityofwater,g(inm/s2) theaccelerationdue togravityandh(m) theeffectiveheadforwater pumping. Theannualamountofdiesel,A, , (inlitres), requiredbya dieselenginepurnpset t o pump the sameamountofwaterasdeliveredbytheSPV pump (Equation (2)) could be determined by using thefollowing expression: whereSF,(inlitre/bhp-h)representsthe specificdieselconsumptionintheconventional dieselenginepumpsetandq,(infraction)its efficiency. Downloaded by [Tezpur University] at 04:46 13 September 2013 Solar photovoltaicwater pumping in India: a financial evaluationPurohit, Kandpal Solar photovoltaic array +-- Water supply for irrigation I - / I / / /Iv K / / ' / ' /I ,Submersible pumps driven by A.C. motor Substituting the valueofESP!, fromEquation (1) intoEquation(3) A, , can be est~matedas: A, , =8760 CUF P SF,q (0.746 q, Themonetary worthoftheannual dieselsaved (MW,,) can be expressed as: MWd,=8760( CUF P SF,q, 0.746 q,Pd wherep, represents themarketprice ofdiesel(in Euros ( e /litre). Similarly,theannualamountofelectricity savinglikelytobeaccruedtotheuseofanSPV Storage tank Figure 1 Schematicdiagramofa solarphotovoltaic water Pump. waterpumpingsystem,A,,, (inkwh)canbe expressedas: Ae,= 8760 CUFP ( 5)Te whereq,(in fraction)representstheefficiencyof an electricmotor pumpset. Themonetaryworthoftheannualelectricity saved (MW,,) by the SPVpump can be expressed as: rl MW,, =8760 CUF P (P)p, (7) T e wherep,represents themarketprice ofelectricity (in C2 / kwh). Downloaded by [Tezpur University] at 04:46 13 September 2013 Solar photovoltaic water pumping in India:a financial evaluationPurohit, Kandpal UNlTCOSTOFWATERANDUNlTCOSTOF USEFULENERGYDELIVEREDBYSPVPUMP Theunitcostofwater(U,,,, in fS/ m3) foran SPV waterpump canbe estimated as: Co CRF + Ci Uc,,= Aa,w whereC, representsthecapitalcostoftheSPV waterpump,Ci its annualrepairand maintenance cost, and CRF the capital recovery factor,defined as: CRF= d(1 + d)' (1 + d)' - 1 withadiscountratedandusefullifetimetofthe SPVpump. Theunitcostofusefulhydraulicenergy (U,,,, in fS / MJ) deliveredbythe SPVsystemmay be expressedas: PRESENTVALUEOFNETBENEFITSFORAN INVESTMENTINTHESPVPUMP Thedifferencebetweenthecumulativepresent valueofthebenefits(duet osubstitutionof commercial fue1.s)andthecosts(i.e.capitalcost and annual repair and maintenance cost) is the net presentvalue(NPV) oftheinvestmenton theSPV pump. In thepresentcase, the cumulativepresent valueofbenefits,CPV,,canbe expressedas: CPV,=MW,,I (1 + dl t - 1 d (1 + d)'1 where the terminside the bracket of the right hand side ofEquation (1 1) representsthe present worth factorwithadiscountratedandusefullifetimet ofthe SPVpump. Similarly,thecumulativepresentvalueof costs,CPV,,canbe expressed as: CPV,=Ci { (1 + d)' - 1 d (1 + d)' )- c oTherefore,inthecaseofdieselreplacement, thepresentvalueofnetbenefits(NPV,)ofan investmentin theSPVwaterpumping systemcan be expressedas: NPV,=CPVb-CPV,(13) UsingEquations (1 1) and (12): (1 + d)' - 1 NPV,=[ (MW,,-Ci) {1-co] (14) d (1 + d)' Similarly,inthecaseofsubsti tuti onofgri d electricity, the present value ofnet benefits (NPV,) canbe expressedas: NPV,= (MW,,- Ci) { [ (1 + dlt - 1 d (1 + d)' - ] (15) Itmaybenotedthatthesalvagevalueofthe SPVwaterpumpingsystemhasbeen assumed t o be negligiblysmallinderivingEquations (1 I ) ,(14) and (15). Ifthepricesofdieselandelectricityare expectedtoescalateatuniformannualrates(in fractions)E,,andE,,respectively,Equations(14) and (15) maybe modified as: (MW,,)1 + 5,NPV,'=---]- 1 1[(E,,-d)[ {1 i d- Ci (1 + d)' - 1 (d (1 + d)'I - ~ o l(17) Equations(14-17)werealsousedfor estimatingthevalueoftheinternalrateofreturn (IRR) on the investmentforthe respective cases. BREAK-EVENANALYSIS ItisnormallyexpectedthatanSPVwaterpump shall be financiallymore attractive with an increase inthepricesofdieselandelectricity.Itmay thereforebeusefult oestimatethebreak-even pricesofdieselandelectricitybeyondwhichan SPVpump wouldbe financiallyviabletotheuser. The break-evenprices ofdiesel and electricity with andwithoutfuelpriceescalationhavebeen estimated in the following subsections. The effects ofcapitalsubsidyandotherfinancialincentives have also been incorporated in the analysis. Nofinancialincentives(referencecase).The followingexpressionshavebeenobtainedforthe break-evenpricesofdiesel(p,,,in f S/ litre)and electricity(p,,,in fS/kwh)withoutanyfinancial incentives. 1 Pe,,=- d (1 + ) + Ci] [ C0 1 (1 + d)' - 1 (19) Aes Withfuelpriceescalationtheexpressionsfor thebreak-evenprices ofdieseland electricity are: Downloaded by [Tezpur University] at 04:46 13 September 2013 Solar photovoltaic water pumping in India:a financial evaluationPurohit, Kandpal respectively. (21) Capitalsubsidy.Ifacertainfractionfofthe capitalcost isprovi dedascapitalsubsidythe followingexpressionsareobtainedwi thand withoutfuelpriceescalationforthebreak-even prices ofdieseland electricityrespectively. (a)Withoutfuel pri ce escalation 1 = - [ ( 1 - f ) ~ , [(l+) + ci l (22) pdrbA, , (1 + d)' - 1 (6) With fuel pri ce escalation + Ci( (1 + d)' - 1 d (1 + d)'I1 + Ci{ (1 + d)'- 1 d (1 + d)'I 1Lowinterestloan.Incertaincases,financing agenciesprovidel owinterestloans(upt o90% ofthecapitalcost) tousersfortheinstallationof SPVwaterpumps.Ifafractionf,ofthecapital costisprovidedby the financingagencyasalow interestloan,thefollowingexpressionsare obtainedforthebreak-evenpricesofdieseland electricity. (a)Withoutfuel pri ce escalation 1 - [ ~ , { ( l - f l ) + f l ( im(1 + i ,)"Pd,b- - Ads (1 + im)"- 1 I (1 + dm)" - 1d(1 + d)' It1 ( dm(1 + dm)"(1 + d)'- 1 ] + c i ] (26) ( l+ dm)"( l+] + ci ] (27) ( dm(1 + dm)" ) J{(l+ d)' - 1 (b)Withfuel price escalation (1+ dlt - 1 + Ci (d (1 + d)'I1 (1 + d)' - 1 + Ci (d ( I + d)'I1 wherei , representsthemonthlyinterestrate levied on the loan by the financingagency,dm the monthlydiscountrateandnthetotalnumberof installmentspaidby theuserforrepaymentofthe loan. Accelerateddepreciation-relatedincometax benefits.ToencourageuptakeofSPVwater pumps,theusermaybeallowedaccelerated depreciation-relatedincometaxbenefits. Alternatively,thefinancialintermediariescantake theaccelerateddepreciation-relatedincometax benefitsandtransferacertainfraction(f')ofthe income taxbenefitto the farmers.Ifitisassumed thatonlya fractionm oftheunsubsidised amount Downloaded by [Tezpur University] at 04:46 13 September 2013 Solar photovoltaic water pumping in India: a financial evaluationPurohit, Kandpal isallowedtobedepreciatedinthefirstyearand thattheuserisableto getthe income taxbenefit afterxmonthsofpurchaseoftheequipment,the followingexpressionsareobtainedforthebreak- evenpricesofdieseland electricity. (a)Withoutfuel price escalation 1f ' mT Pd'b= - [ cO{I-(I+ d)X/12 +d)t - 1 Ads 1f ' mT 'esb= - [ c O -(I+4)"12)I(1+d) t - 1 Aes(b)With fuel price escalation + Ci[ (1 + dl' - 1 d (1 + d)'I 1+ Ci( ('1 + dl' - 1 d (1 + d)'I 1whereTrepresentsthemarginalincometaxrate applicable to theuser. Combination ofcapital subsidy andlow interest loan.Sometimes,theusermaybeprovided with both thecapitalsubsidyaswellasalowinterest loan.Inthiscase,thefollowingexpressionsare obtainedforthebreak-evenpriceofdieseland electricity. (a)Withoutfuel price escalation + dm)"- 1 (l+ ) + ci](35) dm(1 + dm)")]{(I+dl t - 1 (a)Withfuel price escalation 1 Pd,b=- [5d- d1 - c 1 - f , )Ads( 1 + 5aJt - 1 1 + d+ ci ( ( 1 +d ) ' - l ] ]d (1 + d)' + Ci{(l+d) ' - l ] ]d (1 + d)' Combinationofcapitalsubsidyandincome tax benefit due to accelerated depreciation.In thiscasetheexpressionsobtainedforthebreak- evenpriceofdieselandelectricityaregiven below. (a)Withoutfuel price escalation (b)With fuel price escalation f ' mT ] +ci( (1 + d)' - 1 (' - (1 + d)X"Z d (1 + d)' Downloaded by [Tezpur University] at 04:46 13 September 2013 Solar photovoltaic water pumping in India: a financial evaluationPurohit, Kandpal Combinationofcapitalsubsidy,accelerated depreciation-relatedincometaxbenefitand lowinterestloan.Theexpressionsobtainedfor thebreak-evenpriceofdieselandelectricityfor theabove-mentionedcase aregivenbelow. (a)Without fuel priceescalation 1i m( l +iJn d=- [ ( l - f ) ~ , { ( l - f , ) + f ,A,, ( ( 1+ imln- 1 1 (b) With fuel priceescalation -f ' mT] + C i( ( 1]I(44) (1 + d)X/12d (1 + d)' 1 P= - [61 -1 [ (1 - f) Co{(l- 1,) Aes( 1 + i e l t - 11 + d-f ' mT] + C i { ( l + d ) t - l ] ] (45) (1 + d)X/12d (1 + d)' ((1 + d)' - 1 (42)RESULTSANDDISCUSSION Forexemplifyingtheuseofthegeneralised frameworkdevelopedinthisstudy,calculations 1 im (1 + i,)"forthe case ofan SPV waterpumping system with ,=- [ ( I- f) co((1 - f1) + f1 ) aratedcapacityof1.8kW,withaDCsurface Ampumphavebeenmadeandtheresultsbriefly summarisedin thissection.Thecapitalcostofan SPVwaterpumpingsystemwithacapacityof ( ~ m ~ ~ f ~ ~ ) ~ 1- (1 1.8 kW,wasapproximately9000 [20-211in the Indian market duringthe year2000-01. The annual repairandmaintenancecostoftheSPVwater (43) pumphasbeenestimatedate 2 0 . Table1 presentsthevaluesofvariousinputparameters Table1. Input parametersused in the financialevaluation of the SPV waterpumping system parameterSymbolUnitValue Capacity ofSPVpumpP Daily average solar radiation availabilityI W,kWh/m2/day Capacity utilisation factor Capital cost ofSPVpump Annual repair and maintenance cost of SPV pump Discount rate Useful lifetime ofSPVsystem Fraction of capital cost as a low interest loan Annualinterest rate of the financing agency Effective head Specific fuel consumption in diesel engine pumpset Efficiency ofelectric-motor pumpset Efficiency ofdiesel-engine pumpset Efficiency of SPV pumpset Market price ofdiesel Market price ofelectricity CUF c oc, d t f, i h SF, fl e 'ld fl P PdPefraction c e fraction years fraction fraction metre I/bhp-hr fraction fraction fraction fS /litre e /kwh Downloaded by [Tezpur University] at 04:46 13 September 2013 Solar photovoltaicwater pumping in India: a financial evaluationPurohit, Kandpal usedinthenumericalcalculations[22-231.The capitalsubsidyprovidedbytheGovernmentof IndiaonthepurchaseofanSPVpumpwas C 2.47/Wpduringtheyear2000-01[20-21,241. Theloanrepaymentperiodhasbeen takenas10 yearsand theloanamountisassumed tobe paid backinequalmonthlyinstallments.Itisalso assumedthat,incaseoftheprovisionof accelerateddepreciation-relatedincometax benefitbeingavailablet otheuser,thetotal unsubsidisedcomponentofthecapitalcostgets depreciatedinthefirstyearitselfandtheamount ofapplicableincome taxrebate forthesamehas beenassumedtobetransferredtotheenduser after sixmonths of purchase. Themarginal income taxrate applicable fortheuserhasbeen takenas 30%.Theannualrateofescalationindieseland electricity prices hasbeen taken as5%. Theannualamountsofdieselandelectricity savedbya1.8kW,SPVwaterpumpingsystem have been estimated at1187 litre (ca 12,500kwh) and2286kwh respectivelyforthevaluesofother inputparametersaslistedinTable1. Theannual amountofwaterdeliveredbytheSPVpumpis estimated at43641m3. Theestimated valuesofunitcostofwaterare presentedinTable2fordifferenttypesofsingle and combined financialincentives. The unit cost of waterpumpedbytheSPVpumphasbeen estimatedatC24. 7perthousandm3forthe reference case withoutany financialincentive. The correspondingvalueoftheunitcostofuseful hydraulicenergyhasbeenestimatedat C0.25/MJ.Asexpected,theavailabilityof financialincentivestotheuserhelpsinreducing theunitcostofwaterpumped.Ofcourse,the efficacyofaparticularfinancialincentivei n loweringtheunitcostofwaterwilldependupon thevaluesofseveralinputparameters.Theunit costsof waterdeliveredby theSPV pump in case ofcapitalsubsidy,lowinterestloan(@5%)and accelerateddepreciation-relatedincometax benefits have been estimated at4312.74,C20.39, ande17. 76perthousandm3ofwater respectively.It may be noted that, for the values of inputparameters as listed in Table1, the unit cost ofwaterdeliveredbytheSPVpump islowestfor thecaseofcapitalsubsidy(@C2. 47perW,)followedbyincometaxbenefitsduetohundred percent depreciation in the firstyearitself. Even at aninterestrateof2.5%(i,e.i = 0.025)the provision ofa lowinterestloanisnot asattractive astheprovisionofcapitalsubsidyorthe accelerateddepreciation-relatedincometax benefits.Obviously,anincreaseintherateof interestontheloanwouldmaketheprovisionof aninterestsubsidyevenlessattractiveforthe investor.Therefore,intheinitialphaseof promotingSPVpumpstheprovisionofcapital subsidyon theSPVpumpisexpectedtobe more attractivet otheuser.Theeffectofseveral combinationsofincentivescanalsobeobserved fromTable2.Obviously,provisionofmorethan oneincentivemakestheinvestmentmore profitable forthe user. However, detailed, in-depth analysiswouldberequiredtoidentifythemost Table 2Unit cost ofwaterand unit cost of usefulenergy deliveredby the SPVpumping system Financial incentivesUnit cost of waterUnit cost of useful energy No financial incentive24.700.25 Capital subsidy (@C 2.47NV,)12.740.13 Low interest loan Accelerated depreciation-relatedincome tax benefit17.76 (100 % ofcapital cost depreciatedin the firstyear) Capital subsidy and low interest loan10.550.1 1 Capital subsidy and accelerateddepreciation-related9.22 income tax benefit Capital subsidy,low interest loan and accelerated7.04 depreciation-related income tax benefit Downloaded by [Tezpur University] at 04:46 13 September 2013 Solar photovoltaic water pumping in India:a financial evaluationPurohit, Kandpal Table 3Financial figures ofmerit forthe SPV waterpump. Financial incentivesFuel saved by the SPVwaterpump DieselElectricity td= 0.0sd= 0.055,= 0.0E, , = 0.05 NPVIRRNPVIRRNPVIRRNPVIRR (1(96)( 1 (%I(C1(%I(1(%I No financial incentive Capital subsidy (@e 2.47NVp) Low interest loan(@2.5%) (@5.0%) (@7.5%) Accelerated depreciation-related income tax benefit (100 % ofthe capital cost depreciated in the first year) Capital subsidy and low interest loan Capital subsidy and accelerated depreciation-related income tax benefit Capital subsidy, low interest loan and accelerated depreciation-related income taxbenefit averylow IRR attractivecombination(s)ofincentivesforeach specificcase. Table3presentsthevaluesofNetPresent Value(NPV)andInternalRateofReturn(IRR) for investmentinanSPVpump.Boththecasesof dieselandelectricityreplacementhavebeen presented.Intheabsenceoffinancialincentives t otheuserstheNPVofinvestmenti nthe SPVwaterpumpingsystemisfoundt obevery lowinbot hdieselandelectricitysubstitution. Thus,in normal circumstances,with the prevailing valuesofassociatedcostsandbenefits, investmentinanSPVwaterpumping systemmay notbefinanciallyattractivet oauser.Withthe inclusionoffinancial/fiscalincentivesconsidered inthisstudytheuseofSPVpumpsislikelyt o becomefinanciallyviableinthecaseofdiesel substitution. Asmentionedearlier,thefinancialviabilityof anSPVpumpessentiallydependsonthe monetary worth of the fuel savedby its use.In the caseofcommercialfuels,i thasbeenobserved thattheirpri ceschangewi thtimeowingt oa varietyoffactorsrelatedt odemand,supplyand geopolitical situations etc. This is true forcoal and oil aswellasnatural. gas.In fact,eventheprices offuelwoodsol dinsemi-urbanareashave reportedlychangedconsiderablywithtime[25].It maythereforebenecessaryt oincludetheeffect ofescalationin the price offuelsavedby the SPV pump in its financialfeasibilityevaluation.Table3 alsopresentstheeffectofdieselandelectricity priceescalationonNPVandIRRofinvestmentin theSPVpump.Asexpected,thefinancial attractivenessofthe SPV pump forirrigation water pumpingimproveswiththeinclusion offuelprice escalationrate. However, even with anannual fuel priceescalationof5%,theSPVpumpdoesnot appearto be a financiallyviableinvestmentforthe user(unlessacombinationoffinancialincentives is also considered). Withtheassumptionthatthefinancialviability oftheSPVpumpfortheuserwouldbean overridingrequirementfori tslarge-scale acceptance,i tmaybeusefult oidentifythe situation(s)thatwouldmaketheuseoftheSPV pump financiallyviable. Several conditions such as anincreaseinthepriceofthefuelsaved, decreaseinthecapitalcostoftheSPVpump, increase in the efficiencyand useful life ofthe SPV pump mayhelp improve its financial attractiveness totheuser.Therefore,foranSPVpumpthatis currentlynotfinanciallyviableitmaybeuseful to determinethebreak-evenvaluesoftherelevant Downloaded by [Tezpur University] at 04:46 13 September 2013 Solar photovoltaic water pumping in India:a financial evaluationPurohit, Kandpal Table 4.Break-even prices ofdiesel and electricity with and without fuel price escalation. Financial incentivesBreak-even prices DieselElectricity kd = 0.0cd = 0.055,= 0.05, = 0.05 Pd,bPd,bPe,bPe,b (C /litre)(C /litre)(G/kwh)(C /kwh) No financial incentive0.910.640.360.26 Capital subsidy(@C 2.47/WP)0.470.330.190.13 Low interest loan(@2.5%) (@5.0%) (@7.5%) Accelerated depreciation-related income tax benefit0.650.460.260.18 (100 % ofthe capital cost depreciated in the first year) Capital subsidy and low interest loan0.390.270.160.1 1 Capital subsidy and accelerated depreciation-related0.340.240.140.10 income taxbenefit Capital subsidy, low interest loan and accelerated0.260.180.100.07 depreciation-related income tax benefit parameters sothatthe useris equally disposed t o theconventionaland theSPVpump.Suchbreak- evenvaluesprovideanimportantperspectivet o policy makers and planners fordecisionmaking in situationswith'uncertainty.Inviewoftheabove, thebreak-evenpricesofdieselandelectricity havealsobeenestimatedforthe1.8kW,SPV pump consideredin thisstudy. Table4presentsthebreak-evenpricesof dieselandelectricity.Thebreak-evenpricesof dieselandelectricityhavebeenestimatedat fSO.Sl/litreandG0. 36/ kWhrespectivelyinthe caseofnofinancialincentives.Theeffectoffuel price escalationon the break-evenprices ofdiesel andelectricityi salsopresentedin Table4.With 5%annualescalationinthepricesofdieseland electricitythebreak-evenpricesofdieseland electricityhavebeen estimatedatfS0,64/litreand C0. 26/ kWhrespectivelyinthereferencecase. Thecurrentprice ofelectricity fortheusersin the countrynormallybeingintherangeoffS0.02to C0. 07 per kwh,the break-even price ofelectricity isratherhigh.Similarly,withdieselbeingpriced aroundC0.50perlitre,thehighbreak-even price ofdieselisalsonotveryencouragingfor promotingSPVpumps.Itisthereforesurmised thatwiththeirprevailingcostsandperformance characteristics,theSPVpumpsmaynotbe financiallyviabletotheusersin India. Thoughthe inclusionoffinancialincentiveslowersthebreak- evenvaluesofunitprice ofelectricityanddiesel, thelatterarestilltoohightomotivatetheusers towardsinvestmentsinSPVsystems.Onlywith theprovisionofmultiplefinancialincentives combinedwithan annual fuelprice escalationrate of5%are the break-even valuesfortheunitprice ofdieseland electricityin an acceptable range. Figure2showstheresultsofasensitivity analysisundertakent ostudytheeffectof uncertaintiesassociatedwi thsomeofthe important input variables on the unit cost of water. Theunitcostofwaterisfoundt obequite sensitivet o thecapacityutilisationofthesystem. Asexpected,theeffectiveheadalsoaffectsthe unitcostofwatersubstantially.Theothert wo factors,i.e.usefullifetimeoftheSPVpumpand discountrate have a rathermoderate effecton the unitcostofwater.Asimilarsensitivitycurvefor the unit cost ofuseful energyis shown in Figure 3. CONCLUSION Itmaybe concluded that, with the prevailing costs and performance characteristics,SPVpumps may not be financiallyviabletopotentialusersin India. Theprovisionoffinancialincehtives,however, improvesthefinancialattractivenessofSPV pumps.Withinherentdistortionsinthepricingof dieselandelectricityinIndia,itmaythereforebe necessarytosupporttheuptakeofSPVpumps throughcapitalsubsidyand/orothersuitable financial/fiscalincentives in the initial stage of their dissemination. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ThefinancialassistanceprovidedbytheCouncil ofScientificandIndustrialResearch(CSIR),New Downloaded by [Tezpur University] at 04:46 13 September 2013 Solar photovoltaicwater pumping in India: a financial evaluationPurohit, Kandpal ." -604-200204060 Percentage variation fromthe base case I-h-CUF-d- tFigure 2 Sensitivity analysis forunit cost ofwater delivered by a 1.8 kWp SPV water pump with respect to (i) capacityutilisation factor;CUF, (ii) useful lifetime; t, (iii) discount rate; d,and (iv) effective head; h. Figure 3 Sensitivity analysis for unit costofuseful energy delivered by a 1.8 kWp SPVwater pump with respect to (i) capacityutilisation factor;CUF. (ii) useful lifetime; t, (iii) discountrate; d,and (iv) effective head; h. -. -- 40-40-2002040GO Percentage variation frombase case Delhi t o the firstauthor(Pallav Purohit) is gratefully acknowledged. REFERENCES 1. 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