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Regional Demographic Summary VISION CALIFORNIA ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( § ¨ ¦ 5 £ ¤ 11 0 § ¨ ¦ 5 £ ¤ 11 0 § ¨ ¦ 40 § ¨ ¦ 15 § ¨ ¦ 8 § ¨ ¦ 10 § ¨ ¦ 80 ( ! 9 9 § ¨ ¦ 5 [ 0 50 100 Miles SAN FRANCISCO TRANSBAY TERMINAL MILLBRAE-SFO REDWOOD CITY/PALO ALTO SAN JOSE DIRIDON GILROY SACRAMENTO STOCKTON DOWNTOWN MODESTO DOWNTOWN MERCED FRESNO VISALIA/TULARE/ HANFORD-- POTENTIAL STATION BAKERSFIELD PALMDALE AIRPORT SYLMAR BURBANK LOS ANGELES NORWALK ANAHEIM IRVINE INDUSTRY ONTARIO AIRPORT RIVERSIDE MURRIETA ESCONDIDO UNIVERSITY CITY SAN DIEGO 49% 61% 1,098,900 582,500 SAC SAC ACRAM RA RAMENT ENT TO A O A O REA REA POP. HHS JOBS B J/H 2006 2,251,225 1 886,272 6 1 953,600 2 1.08 2035 3,350,091 4 1,332,682 4 1,536,097 4 1.15 2050 4,054,045 1 26% 60% 1,889,600 1,960,100 A SA SA AN AN N FR FR RA AN AN NC NC CIS IS ISC ISC CO O O B O BA BAY AY A Y Y ARE AREA ARE AREA P POP P. H HHS HS JOBS JOBS 20 006 6 7 7,14 141,9 1,915 15 1 2, 2,689 689,489 489 1 1 3,287 3,287,7 700 0 20 20 2035 35 9,0 ,031,5 1,500 00 4 3,2 3,2 3,292, 92,530 530 4 5 5,24 247, 7,780 80 205 2050 50 94, 1 10,2 0,294, 94,746 746 1 86% 102% 3,347,400 SAN SAN SAN AN JO JOAQU AQUIN IN VAL VALLEY LEY AN AN SAN SAN O POP. HHS JOBS OBS 2006 3,877,679 2035 7,225,125 2050 9,455,181 31% 41% 5,703,500 908,400 2,995,600 602,800 30% 46% O S SA SA AN AN N D D DI DI IEG EG GO GO O PO POP. P H HHS HS JO JOBS 20 2006 6 3 3,07 076,3 ,347 47 1 1,11 119,2 9,224 24 1 3 1, 1,310,900 310 900 030 2030 2030 3,9 984, 4,753 53 5 5 1,38 ,383,80 3,803 3 5 5 1,913,682 1,913,682 50 2 2050 50 4,5 4,508, 08,728 728 1 1 24% 40% 177,800 116,400 Mo Mo Mon Mont on onter ter er erey ey ey ey B y y Ba Ba Bay Bay y PO POP. P H HHS HS JO OBS S J J/H H 2006 742,901 01 1 259 59,60 606 6 1 1 0 287 87,9 900 0 2 1. 11 2035 920,713 7 327 27,0 077 7 7 4 404 4,32 20 7 7 7 1 1.23 23 2050 1,125,243 1 28% 47% 72,500 50,300 San Sa Luis Obi Obispo spo Sa Sa an an n Lu Lu Lu Luis is is is O Ob Ob Obi Obisp sp ispo spo po po POP POP. H HHS HS JOB OBS J/ J/H H 2006 262,799 1 112 12,59 592 2 1 1 10 107,50 7,500 0 2 0. 0.95 95 2030 335,326 9 137 37,60 600 0 9 9 15 157,7 ,764 4 9 1 1.15 5 2050 364,748 1 SOU SOUTHERN RN RN RN CAL CAL L CALIFO IFO IFO FOR R R N N CAL CALIFO IFOR S SO SO OU OU UT TH TH HE HERN RN CAL CALIFO IFORNI RNIA 20 2006 6 1 18,3 8,353,7 3,781 81 2 2035 35 00 2 24,05 4,057,300 7,300 3 7,7 7,711,700 711 700 2 2 2050 50 27 27,060,0 060,027 27 1 1 16% 27% 67,400 50,300 San Santa ta B ta ta B Bar Bar ar arba ba bar bara ar ara POP POP. H HH HHS S JO JOBS BS J J/H H 2006 419,574 1 152,457 57 1 18 88,4 400 0 2 1. .24 4 2035 487,000 8 165,970 8 2 241 1,0 000 0 8 4 1.4 45 2050 534,447 1 39% 76,400 Sou Southe theast ast st Si Sierr err ra Sou Southe theast ast Si S Sierr err ra a a POP. P. HHS JOBS J/H 2006 200 194,294 4 1 108,138 1 61,560 2 0.57 2035 270,727 1 2050 312,863 1 % % Population change, 2006–2035 Jobs change, 2006–2035 (Not shown if regional projections not available. Projections for San Diego and San Luis Obispo to 2030) 60% 71% 129,600 55,100 JOBS JOBS OB OB J/H J/H 78,100 2 0.84 133,209 10 0.90 65% 73,700 Nor Northe thern rn Sac Sacram ram ment en nto V o Vall alley ey cra ra c P POP. 2006 112,876 1 1 33,170 53% 96,100 Sha Shasta sta POP. J/H 2006 181,528 1 0.88 2035 277,579 7 7 1 2050 0 2 331,724 1 29% 63,900 Nor Northe theast as st Si S Sierr erra Nor Northe theast as st Si Sierr erra r POP. HHS JOBS J/H 217,774 2 1 107,544 1 65,780 2 0.61 281,680 2 1 314,800 00 1 29% 95,800 OP. PO PO J/H H 20 2006 06 6 330 330,93 ,936 108,860 2 0.72 0 20 2035 35 1 4 426,71 26,711 20 2050 50 05 5 480, 480,00 00 2006 data California DOF and EDD projections Interim projection (2030 or 2035) MPO forecast for RTP or Blueprint if available; DOF population forecast for non-MPO areas 2050 projection DOF population forecast High-Speed Train (HST) Preferred Alignments Conceptual High-Speed Commuter Rail/HST Overlay SOURCES: 1 CA DOF 2 CA EDD 3 SCAG 2008 Regional Growth Forecast 4 ABAG Projections 2007 5 SANDAG 2030 Regional Growth Forecast Update, 2006 6 SACOG 2035 Regional Growth Forecast, 2005 7 AMBAG 2035 Regional Growth Forecast, 2008 8 SBCAG 2040 Regional Growth Forecast, 2007 9 SLOCOG 2030 Long-Range Socio-Economic Projections, 2006 10 BCAG 2035 RTP Regional Growth Projections, 2008 11 San Joaquin Valley Blueprint, 2008 REGIONAL POPULATION SHIFTS 2006 1 37.4 million total Southern California 49.1% Bay Area 19.1% San Joaquin Valley 10.4% POPULATION SHARE OF MAJOR MPOs 92.8% San Diego 8.2% Sacramento Area 6.0% Small MPO regions 4.9% Non-MPO regions 2.3% Small MPO regions 4.7% Non-MPO regions 2.3% 2035 1,3-10 51.2 million total Southern California 47.0% Bay Area 17.6% San Joaquin Valley 14.1% San Diego 7.8% Sacramento Area 6.5% POPULATION SHARE OF MAJOR MPOs 93.0% Small MPO regions 4.7% Non-MPO regions 2.2% 2050 1 59.5 million total Southern California 45.5% Bay Area 17.3% San Joaquin Valley 15.9% San Diego 7.6% Sacramento Area 6.8% JOBS/HOUSING BALANCE BY REGION MPO Regions (by population size) Southern California Region San Joaquin Valley Sacramento Area Region San Diego CALIFORNIA Monterey Bay Region Santa Barbara Butte San Luis Obispo Shasta Non-MPO Regions (by population size) Northern Sacramento Valley Region North Coast Region Northeast Sierra Region 0.0 0.5 0.25 0.75 1.0 0.76 0.72 0.61 0.57 Southeast Sierra Region Bay Area Region Projected (2030 or 2035) Based on regional growth forecasts; not shown if not available 2006 1,2 2000 1,2 Jobs/housing balance = Total jobs / Total housing units 0.0 0.5 0.25 1.0 1.5 1.25 .75 1.20 1.06 1.08 1.17 (2006) 1.15 1.11 0.95 0.88 1.22 1.24 0.84
