1
2006: a strong year for Commerzbank Group
Various efficiency programs initiated to fund growth projects
Mittelstand and Corporates & Markets preserved strong momentum
Eurohypo successfully integrated
Strong Group performance continued along with increased earnings quality
Commerzbank is on track to achieve its mid-term targets
Commerzbank reinforced its position as the leading German commercial bank��
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2
Noticeable progress has taken place in German economy
• German economy set to achieve 2.5% growth in 2006, best result since 2000
• German companies with noticeable increased competitiveness
• Exports rose by >10% in 2006• Unemployment decreased significantly• Domestic demand has been picking up
Outlook: • Economy to remain strong in Germany
despite VAT increase • Corporate tax reform to cut rate below
30%• Optimistic outlook in real estate after
phase of consolidation
German GDPReal, seasonally adjusted, q-o-q change in %
German ifo² indexseasonally adjusted monthly figures
-0.60%-0.40%
-0.20%0.00%0.20%
0.40%0.60%0.80%
1.00%1.20%
2003 2004 2005 20061
1 Q4 2006 Commerzbank estimates² ifo Business Climate Index is a widely observed early indicator for economic development in Germany
80.0
85.0
90.0
95.0
100.0
105.0
110.0
2003 2004 2005 2006
3
Focus Germany
Commerzbank benefits from strong German economy
Focused international business• Accompanying German corporates in their international business• Strong presence in main international real estate markets• Seizing growth opportunities in selected regions, i.e. CEE
73
62
77
Claims on customersin %
Operating profitin %
Germany
Abroad Employeesin %
Year end 2005 CB Group before full consolidation EHY
27
38
23
70
30
Revenues after provisioningin %
4
PCAM (Private & Business Customers
and Asset Management)
CIB(Mittelstand and
Corporates & Markets)
CRE/PFT (Commercial Real Estate,
Public Finance and Treasury)
The leading Commercial Bank in Germany
Best Retail Bank in Germany
The best nationwide Bank for
SME Customers (Mittelstand)
Europe´s leading specialist for
Real Estate and Public Finance
Well-diversified business mix with clear objectives
24%
44%
31%
Equity allocation within Group as of Sep 2006
5
Core segments
CRE/PFT
CIB
PCAM
• No 3 German retail bank (5m customers): high market share among affluents• No 1 in online brokerage• No 2 home finance provider• Among top 3 in private banking
Well-positioned in defined segments
• No. 2 Mittelstand (SME) bank (~ 40% of German „SME“ with CB account)• Top 10 player in CEE (BRE one of the leading banks in Poland)• Strong niche player in investment banking, i.e. leading issuer of structured
products in Germany
• No 1 in Commercial Real Estate in Germany • No 1 in Public Finance• No 1 in jumbo covered bonds
Status quo market position
6
Net interest income• Stable lending margins• Higher deposit margins• Improved loan quality
Commission income• Growth trend in commission income• Enhancing wallet share among existing
customers• Active credit portfolio management
Trading profit• Sustainable trading profit – solely driven
by client-business• Low risk and low volatility
Breakdown of main income itemsas of Sep 2006
Overall increased earnings quality
15%50%
35%
Net interest income 2,935
Commission income 2,080
Trading profit 874
2,339
1,770
468
Q1-3 2006Q1-3 2005in € m
7
Cyclical factors• Favorable credit environment
Structural factors: • LLP run-rate in underlying
business significantly reduced
• Considerably improved corporate credit-quality
• Very good LLP results for Mittelstand and Corporates & Markets (low run rate + work out performance)
• Harmonization of default criteria in retail business in Q3
2006: low run rate in risk provisioningLoan loss provisionsin € m
1 incl. EHY LLP are at €832m
Net LLP/total lendingin bps
< 620566
836
1,084
1,321
2932
2002 2003 2004 20051 2006e
< 34
77
66
52
34
2 one-off LLP charges of €293m
8
Operating revenues and expensesin € m
Cost discipline remains strong management focus
Total revenues after LLP CIR, in %Operating expenses
• Constantly strong focus on revenue-related cost management
• Various efficiency programs initiated to fund growth projects
• Strong focus on cost/income ratio
4,511 4,493 4,662
3,809
5,5045,805
6,379
5,070
2003 2004 2005 Q1-3 2006
70.9
57.7
67.173.3
Q1-3 2005
9
Operating profit in € m
1,996
559
1,011
1,717
Net return on equity (RoE)
2003 2004 2005
Operating profit and profitability increased significantly
Q1-3 2006
14.5%*
-22.3%
4.0%
12.4%
2003 2004 2005 Q1-3 2006
Q1-3 2005 * annualized
10
Commerzbank management committed to achieving more
Achievements
Financial achievements
• Strong underlying business will lead to best-ever result in 2006
Strategic achievements
• Germany’s leading commercial bank
• Europe’s leading specialist bank for real estate and public finance
Group targets
Financial targets by 2010• Sustainable profitability of 15% net RoE • CIR < 60%• Double-digit EPS growth (in %) p.a.• Steady increase in dividend
Strategic targets• Building on leading position in Germany• Leverage core competencies
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11
Levers to achieve Group targets sustainable
• Optimizing capital structure via active capital management• Extracting more value per RWA
Capital
• Consistent profitability enhancement in all divisions• Strict cost management
Costs
• Risk-adjusted pricing in the light of Basel II• Prudent growth of loan book • Gradual decrease of problem loan portfolio
Risk
• Extracting more value from existing businesses (value manager)• Investing in organic growth of core divisions• Expanding in regions and products with competitive strengths • Strengthening position via selective acquisitions
Revenues1.
2.
3.
4.
12
Following a balanced approach of growth and further profitability
Self funded growth
Costs• Cost efficiency gains of
€250m to €300m p.a. from 2008 onwards
Main focus• Branch network• Credit administration (=>
reaching cost leadership)• IT and transaction banking • Facility management
Growth• Significant investment
programs in 2007 and 2008• Focused external growth
Main focus • Enhancing organic growth in
all divisions• Strengthening core division
via selective acquisitions
13
German Asset Management
• Growth of AuM• Strengthening distribution,
product quality and innovation
Overview of main efficiency and growth initiatives within GroupC
osts
PBC – Branch businessRetail / Private Banking• Further improvement in
cost efficiency of branches (Branch of the future)
• Optimizing credit administration via new credit centers
Foreign branches • Cost efficiency and
profitability enhancement in Western Europe
Mittelstand• Optimizing credit
processes => reaching cost leadership
Corporates & Markets• De-risking Investment
Banking• Reducing complexity
Gro
wth
PBC • Private Banking:
Continuing organic growth strategy
• Business Customers: New customer advisory model
• Direct Banking: Further focusing on customer growth
• Upper Retail/Affluents: Gaining new customers via new marketing approach and stronger media presence
Mittelstand• Increase wallet share
with existing customers
• Revenue growth by product initiative
• Acquiring new customers
• Strategic initiatives at BRE Bank
IT / TxB• Reducing expenses and
optimizing processes in IT and Transaction Banking
Facility Management
• Further reduction of idle office space
Eurohypo• Back office cost
reduction• Exploring further
synergy potential
External growth 2004: Takeover of
SchmidtBank2005: Acquisition of
Eurohypo2006: Acquisition of
MünchenerKapitalanlageges.
2006: Participation in Promsvyazbank
Corporates & Markets• Focus on areas with
competitive edge, i.e. derivatives and structured products CRE
• Strong focus on origination strategy• Increase of real estate capital market product range
14
Focus on capital management
Concentration on core competencies• Disposals of non-strategic participations (e.g. MAN, Heidelberger Druck, KEB, Ferrari)
Extracting more value per RWA• Securitization via CLO and TSI
• Establishing credit portfolio management
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Optimizing capital structure• Diverse capital measures well received
• Stabilizing Tier 1 ratio in target range of 6.5% to 7.0%��
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RWA/Tier 1in € bn
Mar 06 Jun 06 Sep 06
Tier 1 ratio, in %
6.5 6.5
231.6227.8230.9
6.7
15
Mid-term outlook
• Increase driven by growing commission income• Revenue growth of 5% p.a.
Revenues
• Increasing return on assets• Capital growth based on retained earnings
Capital
• Overall costs will stay more or less flatCosts
• LLP run-rate approx. €700m p.a.• Respectable workout results in the corporate sector • High benefits from foreseeably improving real estate market
Risk
Double digit growth in operating profit p.a.
1.
2.
3.
4.
16
Management strongly committed to deliver on targets
2005
9.6%
2006e
> 10%
1 Adjustments: Net results on participations, restructuring charges
2010e
15%
Long-term RoEgoal
As of 1H 2006
RoE1
2007e
> 11%
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As of Sep. 2006
�
Jürgen Ackermann (Head of IR)P: +49 69 136 22338M: [email protected]
Sandra Büschken (Deputy Head of IR)P: +49 69 136 23617M: [email protected]
Andrea Flügel (Assistant)P: +49 69 136 22255M: [email protected]
Ute Heiserer-JäckelP: +49 69 136 41874M: [email protected]
Simone NuxollP: +49 69 136 45660M: [email protected]
Stefan PhilippiP: +49 69 136 45231M: [email protected]
www.commerzbank.com/ir
For more information, please contact:
18
Disclaimer
/ investor relations /
This presentation has been prepared and issued by Commerzbank AG. This publication is intended for professional and institutional investors./Any information in this presentation is based on data obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but no representations or guarantees are made by Commerzbank Group with regard to the accuracy of the data. The opinions and estimates contained herein constitute our best judgement at this date and time, and are subject to change without notice. This presentation is for information purposes; it is not intended to be and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to acquire, or dispose of any of the securities or issues mentioned in this presentation./Commerzbank AG and/or its subsidiaries and/or affiliates (herein described as Commerzbank Group) may use the information in this presentation prior to its publication to its customers. Commerzbank Group or its employees may also own or build positions or trade in any such securities, issues, and derivatives thereon and may also sell them whenever considered appropriate. Commerzbank Group may also provide banking or other advisory services to interested parties./Commerzbank Group accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever for any expense, loss or damages arising out of, or in any way connected with, the use of all or any part of this presentation./Copies of this document are available upon request or can be downloaded from www.commerzbank.com/aktionaere/index.html