Final Environmental Impact ReportSan Marcos General Plan

State Clearinghouse # 2011071028

February 2012

Lead Agency:City of San Marcos

1 Civic Center DriveSan Marcos, CA 92069

Garth Koller, Principal Planner and General Plan Project Manager

760.744.1050 gkoller@san-marcos.net.

Consultants to City of San Marcos:AECOM

1420 Kettner Boulevard, Suite 500San Diego, CA 92101

619.233.1454

INCORPORATED JANUARY 28, 1963 CHARTERED JU

LY 4, 1

994

V A L L E Y O F D I S C O V E R Y

Draft Final Environmental Impact Report

San Marcos General Plan

State Clearinghouse # 2011071028

February 2012

Lead Agency:

City of San Marcos

1 Civic Center Drive

San Marcos, CA 92069

Garth Koller

Principal Planner and General Plan Project Manager

760.744.1050

gkoller@san-marcos.net

Consultants to City of San Marcos:

AECOM

1420 Kettner Boulevard, Suite 500

San Diego, CA 92101

619.233.1454

Table of Contents

San Marcos General Plan EIR i February 2012

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Section Page

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................................... ES-1 ES.1 Project Summary ........................................................................................................... ES-1 ES.2 Project Location ............................................................................................................ ES-2 ES.3 Potential Areas of Controversy ..................................................................................... ES-2 ES.4 Issues to Be Resolved ................................................................................................... ES-2 ES.5 Summary of Environmental Impacts ............................................................................ ES-3 ES.6 Alternatives Analyzed ................................................................................................... ES-5

1.0 INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................................... 1.0-1 1.1 Purpose of the Program EIR ......................................................................................... 1.0-1 1.2 Lead and Responsible Agencies ................................................................................... 1.0-2 1.3 Scope of this EIR .......................................................................................................... 1.0-2 1.4 Public Review and Participation Process ...................................................................... 1.0-3 1.5 Structure and Organization of the Program EIR ........................................................... 1.0-4 1.6 General Approach to Program EIR Analysis ................................................................ 1.0-5

2.0 PROJECT DESCRIPTION ........................................................................................................ 2.0-1 2.1 General Plan Background ............................................................................................. 2.0-1 2.2 Regional Setting and Planning Area ............................................................................. 2.0-2 2.3 Project Purpose and Objectives .................................................................................... 2.0-2 2.4 Project Characteristics .................................................................................................. 2.0-7 2.5 Intended Uses of this EIR ........................................................................................... 2.0-21

3.0 ENVIRONMENTAL SETTING AND IMPACT ANALYSIS ................................................. 3.0-1 3.0.1 Environmental Setting Summary ..................................................................... 3.0-1 3.0.2 Environmental Issue Areas Analyzed .............................................................. 3.0-4

3.1 Aesthetics ...................................................................................................................... 3.1-1 3.1.1 Existing Environmental Setting ....................................................................... 3.1-1 3.1.2 Regulatory Setting ........................................................................................... 3.1-2 3.1.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance ........................................................ 3.1-4 3.1.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ................................................................. 3.1-5 3.1.5 Mitigation Measures ........................................................................................ 3.1-7 3.1.6 Significance After Mitigation .......................................................................... 3.1-8

3.2 Agricultural Resources ................................................................................................. 3.2-1 3.2.1 Existing Environmental Setting ....................................................................... 3.2-1 3.2.2 Regulatory Setting ........................................................................................... 3.2-1 3.2.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance ........................................................ 3.2-4 3.2.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ................................................................. 3.2-4

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San Marcos General Plan EIR ii February 2012

Section Page

3.2.5 Mitigation Measures ........................................................................................ 3.2-6 3.2.6 Significance After Mitigation .......................................................................... 3.2-6

3.3 Air Quality .................................................................................................................... 3.3-1 3.3.1 Existing Environmental Setting ....................................................................... 3.3-1 3.3.2 Regulatory Setting ........................................................................................... 3.3-8 3.3.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance ...................................................... 3.3-10 3.3.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ............................................................... 3.3-11 3.3.5 Mitigation Measures ...................................................................................... 3.3-18 3.3.6 Significance After Mitigation ........................................................................ 3.3-21

3.4 Biological resources ...................................................................................................... 3.4-1 3.4.1 Environmental Setting ..................................................................................... 3.4-1 3.4.2 Regulatory Setting ......................................................................................... 3.4-26 3.4.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance ...................................................... 3.4-31 3.4.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ............................................................... 3.4-31 3.4.5 Mitigation Measures ...................................................................................... 3.4-39 3.4.6 Significance After Mitigation ........................................................................ 3.4-42

3.5 Cultural Resources ........................................................................................................ 3.5-1 3.5.1 Existing Environmental Setting ....................................................................... 3.5-1 3.5.2 Regulatory Setting ........................................................................................... 3.5-5 3.5.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance ........................................................ 3.5-7 3.5.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ................................................................. 3.5-7 3.5.5 Mitigation Measures ........................................................................................ 3.5-9 3.5.6 Significance After Mitigation ........................................................................ 3.5-12

3.6 Geology, Soils, and Mineral Resources ........................................................................ 3.6-1 3.6.1 Existing Environmental Setting ....................................................................... 3.6-1 3.6.2 Regulatory Setting ........................................................................................... 3.6-7 3.6.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance ...................................................... 3.6-11 3.6.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ............................................................... 3.6-12 3.6.5 Mitigation Measures ...................................................................................... 3.6-18 3.6.6 Significance After Mitigation ........................................................................ 3.6-18

3.7 Greenhouse Gas Emissions ........................................................................................... 3.7-1 3.7.1 Existing Environmental Setting ....................................................................... 3.7-1 3.7.2 Regulatory Setting ........................................................................................... 3.7-4 3.7.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance ........................................................ 3.7-8 3.7.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ................................................................. 3.7-9 3.7.5 Mitigation Measures ...................................................................................... 3.7-13 3.7.6 Significance of Impact after Mitigation ......................................................... 3.7-17

3.8 Hazards and Hazardous Materials ................................................................................ 3.8-1 3.8.1 Existing Environmental Setting ....................................................................... 3.8-1 3.8.2 Regulatory Setting ......................................................................................... 3.8-10 3.8.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance ...................................................... 3.8-24

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San Marcos General Plan EIR iii February 2012

Section Page

3.8.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ............................................................... 3.8-25 3.8.5 Mitigation Measures ...................................................................................... 3.8-33 3.8.6 Significance After Mitigation ........................................................................ 3.8-34

3.9 Hydrology and Water Quality ....................................................................................... 3.9-1 3.9.1 Existing Environmental Setting ....................................................................... 3.9-1 3.9.2 Regulatory Setting ......................................................................................... 3.9-11 3.9.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance ...................................................... 3.9-15 3.9.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ............................................................... 3.9-16 3.9.5 Mitigation Measures ...................................................................................... 3.9-20 3.9.6 Significance After Mitigation ........................................................................ 3.9-23

3.10 Land Use and Planning ............................................................................................... 3.10-1 3.10.1 Existing Environmental Setting ..................................................................... 3.10-1 3.10.2 Regulatory Setting ......................................................................................... 3.10-8 3.10.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance .................................................... 3.10-12 3.10.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ............................................................. 3.10-12 3.10.5 Mitigation Measures .................................................................................... 3.10-18 3.10.6 Significance After Mitigation ...................................................................... 3.10-18

3.11 Noise ........................................................................................................................... 3.11-1 3.11.1 Existing Environmental Setting ..................................................................... 3.11-1 3.11.2 Regulatory Setting ......................................................................................... 3.11-8 3.11.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance .................................................... 3.11-15 3.11.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ............................................................. 3.11-15 3.11.5 Mitigation Measures .................................................................................... 3.11-24 3.11.6 Significance After Mitigation ...................................................................... 3.11-28

3.12 Paleontological Resources .......................................................................................... 3.12-1 3.12.1 Existing Environmental Setting ..................................................................... 3.12-1 3.12.2 Regulatory Setting ......................................................................................... 3.12-3 3.12.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance ...................................................... 3.12-4 3.12.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ............................................................... 3.12-4 3.12.5 Mitigation Measures ...................................................................................... 3.12-5 3.12.6 Significance After Mitigation ........................................................................ 3.12-5

3.13 Population and Housing .............................................................................................. 3.13-1 3.13.1 Existing Environmental Setting ..................................................................... 3.13-1 3.13.2 Regulatory Setting ......................................................................................... 3.13-3 3.13.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance ...................................................... 3.13-4 3.13.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ............................................................... 3.13-4 3.13.5 Mitigation Measures ...................................................................................... 3.13-6 3.13.6 Significance After Mitigation ........................................................................ 3.13-6

3.14 Public Services, Utilities, and Energy ......................................................................... 3.14-1 3.14.1 Existing Environmental Setting ..................................................................... 3.14-1 3.14.2 Regulatory Setting ....................................................................................... 3.14-11

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San Marcos General Plan EIR iv February 2012

Section Page

3.14.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance .................................................... 3.14-17 3.14.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ............................................................. 3.14-18 3.14.5 Mitigation Measures .................................................................................... 3.14-40 3.14.6 Significance After Mitigation ...................................................................... 3.14-42

3.15 Recreation ................................................................................................................... 3.15-1 3.15.1 Existing Environmental Setting ..................................................................... 3.15-1 3.15.2 Regulatory Setting ....................................................................................... 3.15-11 3.15.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance .................................................... 3.15-14 3.15.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ............................................................. 3.15-15 3.15.5 Mitigation Measures .................................................................................... 3.15-18 3.15.6 Significance After Mitigation ...................................................................... 3.15-18

3.16 Transportation and Traffic .......................................................................................... 3.16-1 3.16.1 Existing Environmental Setting ..................................................................... 3.16-1 3.16.2 Regulatory Setting ....................................................................................... 3.16-24 3.16.3 Thresholds for Determining Significance .................................................... 3.16-30 3.16.4 Analysis of Environmental Impacts ............................................................. 3.16-30 3.16.5 Mitigation Measures .................................................................................... 3.16-42 3.16.6 Significance After Mitigation ...................................................................... 3.16-44

4.0 ANALYSIS OF LONG-TERM EFFECTS ................................................................................ 4.0-1 4.1 Maximum Theoretical Buildout Scenario ..................................................................... 4.0-1 4.2 Cumulative Impacts .................................................................................................... 4.0-10 4.3 Growth-Inducing Impacts ........................................................................................... 4.0-20 4.4 Significant Irreversible Environmental Changes ........................................................ 4.0-21 4.5 Summary of Impact Conclusions ................................................................................ 4.0-22

5.0 ALTERNATIVES...................................................................................................................... 5.0-1 5.1 Alternative 1: No Project/Existing General Plan Alternative ....................................... 5.0-4 5.2 Alternative 2: Increased Urban Core Office Professional Land Use alternative ........ 5.0-12 5.3 Alternative 3: city staff recommended alternative ...................................................... 5.0-18 5.4 Alternative 4: transferred density alternative .............................................................. 5.0-23

6.0 REFERENCES .......................................................................................................................... 6.0-1

7.0 PREPARERS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL DOCUMENT ................................................... 7.0-1

Table of Contents

San Marcos General Plan EIR v February 2012

LIST OF APPENDICES

Appendix

Appendix A – Notice of Preparation Appendix A-1: Notice of Preparation for San Marcos General Plan EIR Appendix A-2: Comment Letters Received on Notice of Preparation Appendix B – Air Quality and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Model Outputs Appendix C – Biological Resources Appendix C-1: San Marcos MHCP Subarea Plan Appendix C-2: Biological Resources Technical Report for the City of San Marcos (1996) Appendix D – Land Use and Planning Appendix D-1: Focus Areas ListSummary Appendix D-2: Specific Plan Areas Appendix E – Geotechnical Background Investigation Appendix E-1: Draft Geotechnical Background Investigation (2009) Appendix E-2: Technical Correction to Fault Information (2011) Appendix F – Noise Modeling and Vibrations Calculations Appendix G – Potential Watershed Pollutants Appendix H – Traffic Modeling Outputs Appendix H-1: SANDAG North County Model Runs Appendix H-2: Intersection Assessment Appendix I – Response to Comments on Draft EIR

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San Marcos General Plan EIR vi February 2012

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure Page

2.0-1 Project Regional Location ...................................................................................................... 2.0-3 2.0-2 Project Planning Area ............................................................................................................. 2.0-4 2.0-3 General Plan Land Use Map ................................................................................................... 2.0-9 2.0-4 San Marcos General Plan Focus Areas ................................................................................. 2.0-12 2.0-5 Planning Area Neighborhoods .............................................................................................. 2.0-13 3.1-1 Aesthetic Resources ................................................................................................................ 3.1-3 3.2-1 Agricultural Lands .................................................................................................................. 3.2-2 3.4-1 San Marcos Vegetation Communities .................................................................................... 3.4-3 3.4-2 Open Space Areas ................................................................................................................... 3.4-5 3.4-3 Planning Area Waters ........................................................................................................... 3.4-10 3.4-4 General Plan Identified Wildlife Corridor and Linkage ....................................................... 3.4-35 3.6-1 Geologic Formations .............................................................................................................. 3.6-2 3.6-2 USGS Unstable Soils .............................................................................................................. 3.6-6 3.6-3 Planning Area Mine/Quarry Sites ........................................................................................... 3.6-8 3.6-4 Regional Faults and Earthquakes .......................................................................................... 3.6-13 3.8-1 McClellan-Palomar Airport Location ..................................................................................... 3.8-5 3.8-2 CALFIRE Fire Hazard Severity Zones ................................................................................... 3.8-9 3.8-3 SMFD Community Hazard Zones ........................................................................................ 3.8-11 3.9-1 Surface Waters by Neighborhood ........................................................................................... 3.9-3 3.9-2 FEMA Floodplains and Floodways ...................................................................................... 3.9-10 3.10-1 Existing Land Use Acreage, 2009 ........................................................................................ 3.10-2 3.10-2 Specific Plan Areas ............................................................................................................... 3.10-7 3.11-1 Community Noise Survey .................................................................................................... 3.11-5 3.11-2 Existing Noise Contours ....................................................................................................... 3.11-9 3.11-3 Future Noise Contours ........................................................................................................ 3.11-17 3.14-1 Community Facilities ........................................................................................................... 3.14-5 3.15-1 Parkland and Recreational Facilities .................................................................................... 3.15-2 3.15-2 Existing Open Space ............................................................................................................. 3.15-8 3.16-1 Existing Roadway Network .................................................................................................. 3.16-2 3.16-2 Existing Roadway Segment ADT and LOS ......................................................................... 3.16-7 3.16-3a Existing Peak Hour Traffic Volumes ................................................................................. 3.16-13 3.16-3b Existing Peak Hour Traffic Volumes (Cont.) ..................................................................... 3.16-15 3.16-4 Intersection Geometry ........................................................................................................ 3.16-17 3.16-5 NCTD and Transit Routes .................................................................................................. 3.16-19 3.16-6 Existing and Proposed Bicycle Routes and Facilities ......................................................... 3.16-21 3.16-7 Existing and Proposed Trails .............................................................................................. 3.16-23 3.16-8 Existing and Future Truck Routes ...................................................................................... 3.16-25 3.16-9 Cumulative Project Intersection LOS ................................................................................. 3.16-33

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San Marcos General Plan EIR vii February 2012

LIST OF FIGURES (Continued)

Figure Page

3.16-10 Proposed Mobility Improvements ...................................................................................... 3.16-37 3.16-11 Cumulative with Project ADT and LOS ............................................................................. 3.16-38 5.0-1 Transfer Density “Urban Core” ............................................................................................ 5.0-24

LIST OF TABLES

Table Page

ES-1 Summary of Environmental Significance Conclusions for the San Marcos General Plan ..... ES-3 ES-2 Comparison of Impacts of Alternatives to the Project ............................................................ ES-6 ES-3 Summary of Environmental Impacts and Mitigation Measures for the San Marcos

General Plan ........................................................................................................................... ES-7 2.0-1 General Plan Land Use Designations ................................................................................... 2.0-11 2.0-2 San Marcos General Plan Expected Development Capacity ................................................ 2.0-18 2.0-3 Expected Development Capacity Comparison to Existing Conditions ................................ 2.0-19 3.3-1 National and California Ambient Air Quality Standards ........................................................ 3.3-3 3.3-2 Ambient Air Quality Summary – Escondido Monitoring Station .......................................... 3.3-7 3.3-3 Regional Pollutant Emission Screening Level Thresholds of Significance .......................... 3.3-11 3.3-4 Summary of Modeled Operational Emissions of Criteria Air Pollutants and Precursors ..... 3.3-14 3.4-1 Vegetation Community/Land Cover Type Acreages and Percent Coverage within the

City of San Marcos Planning Area ......................................................................................... 3.4-7 3.4-2 Special Status Species Known to Occur Within or in the Vicinity of the Planning Area .... 3.4-13 3.4-3 Vegetation Community/Sensitive Species Potentially Impacted by Project ........................ 3.4-32 3.5-1 Summary of Historical and Archeological Resources in San Marcos .................................... 3.5-3 3.5-2 Historic Resources in and Adjacent to the San Marcos Planning Area .................................. 3.5-4 3.6-1 Major Faults within Approximately 50-mile Radius of the Planning Area ............................ 3.6-4 3.7-1 Global Warming Potentials and Atmospheric Lifetimes of GHGs ........................................ 3.7-2 3.7-2 San Marcos General Plan – Operational GHG Emissions .................................................... 3.7-11 3.8-1 Cortese List Sites within the General Plan Area..................................................................... 3.8-2 3.9-1 HSA Acreages in General Plan Neighborhoods ..................................................................... 3.9-4 3.9-2 General Plan Neighborhoods Percent of Watershed ............................................................... 3.9-5 3.9-3 HSA Generalized Land Use Acreages in General Plan Watersheds ...................................... 3.9-5 3.9-4 San Marcos Groundwater Basin Acreages in General Plan Neighborhoods .......................... 3.9-7 3.9-5 SWRCB 2010 303(d) Listed Water Bodies in General Plan Area ......................................... 3.9-8 3.10-1 Existing Land Use Acreage, 2009 ........................................................................................ 3.10-2 3.10-2 2050 RTP/SCS: SCS Implementing Actions and San Marcos General Plan ..................... 3.10-15 3.11-1 Human Response to Different Levels of Groundborne Noise and Vibration ....................... 3.11-3

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San Marcos General Plan EIR viii February 2012

LIST OF TABLES (Continued)

Table Page

3.11-2 Summary of Monitored Short Term Daytime Ambient Noise Levels .................................. 3.11-6 3.11-3 Summary of Modeled Existing Traffic Noise Levels in the Planning Area ......................... 3.11-7 3.11-4 Land Use Noise Compatibility Guidelines ......................................................................... 3.11-11 3.11-5 San Diego County Noise Compatibility Guidelines ........................................................... 3.11-12 3.11-6 San Diego County Noise Standards .................................................................................... 3.11-13 3.11-7 Significant Change in Ambient Noise Levels .................................................................... 3.11-14 3.11-8 Representative Vibration Source Levels for Construction Equipment ............................... 3.11-19 3.11-9 Construction Equipment Noise Levels ............................................................................... 3.11-21 3.11-10 Predicted Traffic Noise Levels Future 2035 Conditions and Future 2035 General Plan

Buildout Conditions ............................................................................................................ 3.11-23 3.13-1 City of San Marcos and County Population Growth – 1980 through 2010 .......................... 3.13-1 3.13-2 2010 San Marcos Planning Area Population ........................................................................ 3.13-1 3.13-3 City of San Marcos Housing Units, 1990-2009 .................................................................... 3.13-2 3.13-4 San Marcos Planning Area 2010 Housing Characteristics ................................................... 3.13-2 3.14-1 Average Response Times by Call Type (update % of calls when info is posted on

website) ................................................................................................................................. 3.14-2 3.14-2 San Marcos Unified School District Schools ....................................................................... 3.14-3 3.14-3 Unit Water Demands .......................................................................................................... 3.14-23 3.14-4 Estimated 2030 Water Demand under General Plan (excluding Specific Plan Areas) ...... 3.14-25 3.14-5 VWD Projected Water Supply and Demand Comparison 2015-2030 in AF/YR ............... 3.14-29 3.14-6 VID Projected Water Supply and Demand Comparison 2015-2030 (in AF/Year) ............ 3.14-30 3.14-7 OMWD Projected Water Supply and Demand Comparison 2015-2030 (in AF/Year) ...... 3.14-31 3.14-8 Rincon Projected Water Supply and Demand Comparison 2015-2030 (in AF/Year) ........ 3.14-32 3.14-9 Potential Environmental Impacts Associated with Desalination Projects .......................... 3.14-35 3.14-10 Existing and Projected Wastewater Flows - Existing and 2030 ......................................... 3.14-37 3.15-1 Parkland within the Planning Area ....................................................................................... 3.15-3 3.15-2 Recreational Facilities in San Marcos .................................................................................. 3.15-6 3.15-3 Existing Pedestrian/Equestrian Trails and Multi-Use Corridors within the Planning

Area ...................................................................................................................................... 3.15-9 3.15-4 Existing San Marcos Parkland, Recreational Facilities, and Trails Ratio .......................... 3.15-11 3.15-5 Planned Future Parkland and Trails in San Marcos ............................................................ 3.15-15 3.15-6 Total Existing and Future Parkland, Recreational Facilities, and Trails in San Marcos .... 3.15-16 3.15-7 Future San Marcos Parkland, Recreational Facilities, and Trails Ratio ............................. 3.15-17 3.16-1 Signalized and Unsignalized Intersection Level of Service Criteria .................................... 3.16-6 3.16-2 Daily Roadway Segment Capacity ....................................................................................... 3.16-9 3.16-3 Daily Roadway Volumes and Levels of Service ................................................................ 3.16-10 3.16-4 Existing Intersection Level of Service ................................................................................ 3.16-12 3.16-5 NCTD Bus Routes Serving San Marcos (2011) ................................................................. 3.16-18

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San Marcos General Plan EIR ix February 2012

LIST OF TABLES (Continued)

Table Page

3.16-6 LOS Parameters .................................................................................................................. 3.16-31 3.16-7 General Plan Intersection Level of service ......................................................................... 3.16-34 3.16-8 General Plan Daily Roadway Volumes and Levels of Service........................................... 3.16-39 4.0-1 San Marcos General Plan Maximum Theoretical Buildout Scenario ..................................... 4.0-1 4.0-2 San Marcos General Plan Growth Projections ..................................................................... 4.0-12 4.0-3 Geographic Scope of Cumulative Impacts ........................................................................... 4.0-12 4.0-4 Summary of Environmental Significance Conclusions for the San Marcos General Plan ... 4.0-22 5.0-1 Comparison of Impacts of Alternatives to the Project ............................................................ 5.0-3 5.0-2 SANDAG Growth Projections Approved Land Use Calculation ........................................... 5.0-5 5.0-3 Expected Capacity and Population Existing No Project/Existing General Plan vs.

General Plan ........................................................................................................................... 5.0-5 5.0-4 Project Roadway ADT and LOS Analysis Project vs. No Project/Existing General Plan

Alternative ............................................................................................................................ 5.0-10 5.0-5 Planned Development and Jobs Capacity (20 Industrial acres converted to Office

Professional) Increased Urban Core Office Professional Land Use Alternative vs. General Plan (PROJECT) ..................................................................................................... 5.0-13

5.0-6 Staff Recommended Alternative Land Use Changes by Focus Area ................................... 5.0-18 5.0-7 Development and Population Capacity Transferred Density Alternative vs. General

Plan ....................................................................................................................................... 5.0-19 5.0-8 Development and Population Capacity Transferred Density Alternative vs. General

Plan ....................................................................................................................................... 5.0-23

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