+ All Categories
Home > Documents > 1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street...

1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street...

Date post: 02-Sep-2018
Category:
Upload: dodieu
View: 213 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
13
On the instruction of 1 1
Transcript
Page 1: 1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street lower ... sean o’casey bridge samuel beckett bridge e g d i r b e k r a l c 15

On the instruction of

1

11 - 3 E A S T R O A D

Page 2: 1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street lower ... sean o’casey bridge samuel beckett bridge e g d i r b e k r a l c 15

Development Overview 04

Location 06

Accessibility 08

The Property 10

Docklands Occupiers 12

The Docklands Development Pipeline 14

Development Potential and Zoning 1 6

Market Overview 1 8

Contacts 20

C O N T E N T S

Page 3: 1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street lower ... sean o’casey bridge samuel beckett bridge e g d i r b e k r a l c 15

M I N I M A LV A C A N C Y

C O N T I N U E D P O P U L A T I O N G R O W T H

R E C O R D L O W S U P P L Y

ROBUSTRENTAL GROWTHINFLATION AVERAGING

5.8%

17%

DUBLIN ACCOUNTS FOR

48%OF TOTAL ECONOMIC OUTPUT NATIONALLY

GREATER DUBLIN AREA ACCOUNTS FOR 30% OF ALL ADDITIONAL JOBS CREATED NATIONALLY

OF IRELANDS URBAN DWELLERS

LIVE IN DUBLINHOUSEHOLDS INTO PRSSINCE 2011

DUBLIN’S POPULATION IS RISING BY

SINCE BEGINNING OF 2011 A NET ADDITIONAL

PERSONS HAVE BEEN ADDED TO DUBLIN’S POPULATION

PERSONSPER ANNUM

50%

44 ,200

44,200 NET ADDITIONAL

RECORD LOWPRS VACANCY RATE IN

SIGNIFICANTLYBELOW THE 5.9%NATURAL VACANCY RATE

DUBLIN

NATIONAL

1.4% 1.3%

OR

30%

17,400

83,600+

LACK OF INSTITUTIONAL LANDLORDS IN IRELAND

84%OF LANDLORDS OWN TWOOR LESS PROPERTIES

(2014)

LESS THAN

1,150RESIDENTIAL PROPERTIES AVAILABLEFOR RENT IN DUBLIN IN AUGUST 2017

2

2006 2017THE LOWEST SUPPLY FIGURE RECORDED IN A SERIES DATING BACK TO 2006

HPI FORECAST TO INCREASE BY 26%COMPOUND OVERTHE THREE YEARS2017-2019

S T R O N G U N D E R L Y I N G E C O N O M I C F A C T O R S

12minutes by car

2minute walk

2minute walk

5minute walk

1minute walk

HPI RENTS FORECAST TO INCREASE 17% COMPOUNDOVER TEN QUARTERSTO Q2 2019

E X C E L L E N T G R O W T H P R O S P E C T S

A T R A N S P O R T H U B

26%

(2016)

31 - 3 E A S T R O A D2

Page 4: 1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street lower ... sean o’casey bridge samuel beckett bridge e g d i r b e k r a l c 15

C O N V E N T I O N C E N T R E

F A C E B O O K

3 A R E N A

C U S T O M H O U S E

G R A N D C A N A L D O C K

G O O G L E

I F S C

C E N T R A LB A N K

S P E N C E R D O C K

Exceptional development site which provides an

opportunity to capitalise on an area undergoing

significant change in the North Docklands.

Comprises a development site

extending to approximately 2.11

hectares (5.21 acres) with extensive

frontage to East Wall Road.

Strategically located in the North

Docklands – a highly sought after

residential and commercial location.

Accessible and convenient location -

Luas, Rail and Bus services available

in the immediate vicinity.

Feasibility study available to

demonstrate the development

potential of the site to accommodate

a scheme comprising 414 no.

apartments and a 120 bedroom

Hotel, subject to planning permission.

Favourable zoning objective

(Strategic Development and

Regeneration Area) – Permissible

uses include Residential and wide

range of commercial uses.

Vacant possession is available in

August 2018 – opportunity to benefit

from short-term income stream while

seeking planning permission for a

scheme of development.

D E V E L O P M E N T O V E R V I E W

Existing and CGI (For Illustrative Purposes only)

51 - 3 E A S T R O A D4

Page 5: 1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street lower ... sean o’casey bridge samuel beckett bridge e g d i r b e k r a l c 15

The property benefits from

a prominent location in the

North Docklands – a highly

sought after location to both

live and work. Its proximity

to all city centre landmarks

and attractions enhances the

appeal of the subject location for

tourists to reside.

Docklands Innovation Centre 5

3 Arena 10

National College of Ireland 10

Eastpoint Business Park 15

O’Connell Street 15

Bord Gais Theatre 15

Grand Canal Dock 15

Abbey Theatre 15

Gate Theatre 20

The Spire 20

Grafton Street 25

Trinity College 25

L O C A T I O N

M I N U T E S W A L K

71 - 3 E A S T R O A D6

Page 6: 1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street lower ... sean o’casey bridge samuel beckett bridge e g d i r b e k r a l c 15

K E N I L W O R T H

RA

TH

GA

R

RD

T E R E N U R E R D

M I L L T O W N R D

H I G H F I E L D R D

M E S P I L R D

B A T H A V E

MO

UN

T S T L OW

E R

P E M B R O K E R D

SH

EL

BO

UR

NE

R

D

NO

RT

HU

MB

ER

LA

ND

R

D

G R A N D C A N A L S T L O W E R

C I T Y Q U A Y

EA

ST

R

OA

D

BE

AC

H R

D

S C I R C U L A R R D

G R O V E R D

CL

AN

BR

AS

SI

L

ST

L

OW

ER

HE

YT

ES

BU

RY

S

T

GR

AF

TO

N

ST

AU

NG

IE

R

ST

D A M E S T

CA

MD

EN

S

T

LO

WE

R

O'C

ON

NE

LL

ST

GA

RD

INE

R S

TR

EE

T

CA

PE

L S

T

DO

RS

ET

ST

RE

ET

P A R N E L L S T R E E T

W O O D B I N E R D

BE

AV

ER

R

OW

E G L I N T O N R D

T E M P L EB A R

E A S T W A L L

S A N D Y M O U N T

R I N G S E N D

C L O N S K E A G H

S T H E L E N S

R A T H M I N E S

D A R T R Y

R A N E L A G H

P O R T O B E L L O

P O I N TV I L L A G E

D U B L I NP O R T

G R A N D C A N A L D O C K

D U B L I NB A Y

D O N N Y B R O O K

G R A N D C A N A L

R I V E R L I F F E Y

R O Y A L C A N A L

Pearse

Docklands

Grand Canal Dock

Sandymount

Sydney Parade

TaraStreet

Lansdowne Road

D A R T

Four Cour t s

Jer vis

George's Dock

Mayor S quare

Spencer Dock

The Point

Busáras

Connol ly

Smithf ie ld

Abbey Street

Dawson

O’ConnellUpper

Phibsborough

Broadstone

Marlborough

Dominick

TrinityWestmoreland

O'ConnellGPO

M 5 0

St . Stephen's Green

Beechwood

Cowper

Milltown

Harcourt

Charlemont

U N I V E R S I T Y C O L L E G E

D U B L I N

D U B L I N C A S T L E

NationalConcertHall

C O N V E N T I O N

C E N T R E D U B L I N

E A S T P O I N T

B U S I N E S S P A R K

B O R D G Á I SE N E R G Y

T H E A T R E

3 A R E N A

A V I V A

S T A D I U MF I T Z W I L L I A N

S Q U A R E

H E R B E R TP A R K

M I L L T O W NP A R K

E L M P A R KG O L F & S P O R T S

C L U B

M E R R I O NS Q U A R E

T R I N I T YC O L L E G E

S TS T E P H E N ' S

G R E E N

I V E A G HG A R D E N S

N

S

EW

A I L E S B U R Y R D

ROUTE TO PORT TUNNEL AND DUBLIN AIRPORT

AC

CE

SS

IBIL

ITY

Mainline Rail / Dart

Red Luas Line

Green Luas Line

Luas Cross City Line

Dublin Bikes

Dublin Bus

Aircoach

Proposed Pedestrian Bridges

91 - 3 E A S T R O A D8

Page 7: 1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street lower ... sean o’casey bridge samuel beckett bridge e g d i r b e k r a l c 15

T H E P R O P E R T YThe property comprises a prominent site of approximately

2.11 hectares (5.21 acres). A number of warehouse units

occupy the site, which is accessed from East Road.

The property is currently occupied, however vacant possession is available by August 2018. This provides the purchaser with an opportunity to benefit from short-term income whilst seeking planning permission for a scheme of development.

The property is currently let to Hireco Dublin Ltd, with an annual rent payable of €85,000 per annum.

The site is bounded by Merchants Square residential development to the east, Island Key apartment complex to the north, East Wall to the west and the rail lines to the south.

A V I V A S T A D I U M

3 A R E N A

F A C E B O O K

G I B S O N H O T E L

C A P I T A LD O C K

D U B L I N P O R T

S P E N C E R D O C K

D O C K L A N D S I N N O V A T I O N

P A R K

C E N T R A LB A N K

11

10

Page 8: 1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street lower ... sean o’casey bridge samuel beckett bridge e g d i r b e k r a l c 15

NASSAU STREET

PEARSE STREET

CUSTOM HOUSE QUAY

AM

IEN

S ST

REE

T

CO

MM

ON

S ST

REE

T

EXC

HA

NG

E P

LAC

E

MA

YO

R S

TR

EET

LO

WER SHERIFF STREET LOWER

HARBOURMASTER PLACE

SHERIFF STREET LOWER

ORIE

L ST

REET

UPP

ER

TALBOT STREET

JAM

ES J

OYC

E ST

REE

TG

ARD

NER

STR

EET

LOW

ER

FOLEY STREET

RAILWAY STREET

SEAN MACDERMOTT STREET LOWER

TOWNSEND STREETTOWNSEND STREET

HANOVER STREET EAST

POOLBEG STREET

CITY QUAY

CITY QUAYGLOUCESTER STREET SOUTH

TA

RA

ST

REE

T

LUK

E ST

MA

RK

ST

REE

T

MO

SS S

TR

EET

MERRION ROW

HUME STREET

ELY

PLA

CE

ST S

TEPH

EN’S

GR

EEN

EA

ST BAGGOT STREET LOWER

FRED

ERIC

K S

TREE

T SO

UTH

KIL

DA

RE

STR

EET

MOLESWORTH ST

CLARE STREET

MERRION SQUARE NORTH

MOUNT STREET LOWER

MERRION SQUARE SOUTH

MOUNT STREET UPPER

FITZ

WIL

LIA

M S

TREE

T LO

WER

JAM

ES S

TREE

T EA

ST

POWER’S CT

PERCY PLACE

FITZWILLIAM LANE

MER

RIO

N S

QU

ARE

WES

T

MER

RIO

N S

QU

ARE

EA

ST

STEP

HEN

’S P

LACE

GRA

TTA

N S

TREE

T

HO

LLES

STR

EET

ERN

E ST

REE

T U

PP

ER

ERN

E ST

REE

T L

OW

ER

PEARSE STREET

GRAND CANAL BRIDGE

LIM

E ST

REE

T

HOGAN PLACE

BOYNE STREET

PEARSE STREET

CU

MBE

RLA

ND

STR

EET

SOU

TH

WES

TLA

ND

RO

W

LOM

BA

RD

STR

EET

EAST

MER

RIO

N S

T LW

R

LINCO LN PLA C E

T A R AS T R E E T

S T A T I O N

P E A R S ES T R E E T

S T A T I O N

G R A N D C A N A L D O C K

S T A T I O N

BURGH QUAY

EDEN QUAY

ST STEPHEN’S GREEN NORTH

HAVELOCK TERRACE

BATH AVENUE

LONDONBRIDGE ROAD

HADDINGTON ROAD

CRANMER LANE

GORDON STREETBA

RR

OW

ST

REE

T

SOUTH DOCK STREET

HANOVER QUAY

SIR JOHN ROGERSON’S QUAY

RIVER LIFFEY

GRAND CANAL

ROYA

L CAN

AL

RIV

ER D

OD

DER

FOR

BES

ST

ASG

AR

D R

OA

D

SAM

UEL

BEC

KET

T B

RID

GE

SEA

N O

’CA

SEY

BR

IDG

E

EG

DIR

B E

KR

AL

C M

OT

EAST

WA

LL R

OA

D

EAST

WA

LL R

OA

D

CA

STLE

FOR

BES

RO

AD

NEW

WA

PP

ING

ST

REE

T

PA

RK

LA

NE

PA

RK

LA

NE

GU

ILD

ST

REE

T

SEVILLE PLACE

TH

OR

NC

AST

LE S

TR

EET

YORK ROAD

NORTH WALL QUAY

NORTH WALL QUAY

SHERIFF STREET UPPER

EAST R

OAD M

ERCHANT’S R

OAD

RAVENSDALE ROAD

ST MARY’S ROAD

HAWTHORN AVENUE

CALEDON ROAD

CHURCH ROAD

EAST ROAD

GREEN STREET EAST

BEN

SON

ST

REE

T

GR

AN

D C

AN

AL

QU

AY

MA

CK

EN S

TR

EET

GR

AN

D C

AN

AL

QU

AY

CA

RD

IFF

LAN

E

HANOVER STREET EAST

SOU

TH L

OTT

S R

D

FITWILLIA

M Q

UA

Y

CAMBRIDGE ROAD

RINGSEND ROAD

STEPHEN’S LA NE

MERRIONSQUARE

TRINITYCOLLEGE

GA

RD

INER

STREET M

IDD

LE

C A LEDO N RO A D

KIL

LA

NE

RO

AD

C O N N O L L YS T A T I O N

D O C K L A N D SS T A T I O N

CUSTOMHOUSE

CONVENTION CENTRE

BORD GÁISENERGY THEATRE

SHELBOURNEPARK

LEINSTERHOUSE

SHELBOURNEHOTEL

ROUTE TO PORT TUNNEL AND DUBLIN AIRPORT

DUBLINPORT

6

5

34

7

489

32

42

17

19

30

15

2825

16

39

22

40

20

21

23

24 26 27

38

31

33

235

1

36

43

37

41

11

13

14

18

10

44 12

293

46

45

D O C K L A N D SO C C U P I E R S

1. Yahoo

2. Voxpro

3. Bvlgari

4. Matheson

5. State Street

6. Airbnb

7. Accenture

8. TripAdvisor

9. Logmein

10. HSBC

11. William Fry

12. Capita

13. Facebook

14. McCann Fitzgerald

15. Beauchamps

16. Three

17. Bloomberg

18. Morgan Stanley

19. Grant Thornton

20. Societe Generale

21. Susquehanna Bank

22. Depfa Bank

23. Zurich

24. KPMG

25. Citibank

26. JP Morgan

27. Rabobank

28. A&L Goodbody

29. BNY Mellon

30. AIG

31. Hubspot

32. PwC

33. Central Bank

of Ireland

34. NTMA

35. The Gibson Hotel

36. 3Arena

37. Convention Centre

Dublin

38. The Spencer Hotel

39. Hilton Garden Inn

40. CHQ Building

41. The Clayton Hotel

42. The Marker Hotel

43. Bord Gáis Energy

Theatre

44. Maldron Hotel

45. Trinity College

46. Facebook

131 - 3 E A S T R O A D12

Page 9: 1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street lower ... sean o’casey bridge samuel beckett bridge e g d i r b e k r a l c 15

T H E D O C K L A N D SD E V E L O P M E N T P I P E L I N E

CITY BLOCK 3Developer/Owner: Deloitte

(As Receiver)

Description: 463,548 sq. ft. – 360

residential units; 253,278 sq. ft.

commercial

Status: Residential: Planning lodged

Commercial: Pre-planning

2 CENTRAL BANK OF IRELANDHEADQUARTERSDeveloper/Owner:

Owner Occupied / Walls Contractor

Description: 193,200 sq. ft. office

development

Status: Construction completed

Q1 2017

5 DUBLIN LANDINGSDeveloper/Owner:

Ballymore, Oxley

Description:

548,409 sq. ft. office development,

294 residential units

Status: Construction commenced

8

76 SIR JOHN ROGERSON’S QUAYDeveloper/Owner:

Targeted Investment Opportunity (TIO) –

Bennett Group / NAMA / Oaktree

Description: 95,308 sq. ft. commercial

development; 72 residential units

Status: Anticipated PC Q2

11

THE EXO BUILDINGDeveloper/Owner:

Grant Thornton (As Receiver)

Description: 170,375 sq. ft. office

development

Status: Planning Granted.

Anticipated PC Q3 2019

3 THE POINT CAMPUS STUDENTACCOMMODATIONDeveloper/Owner:

O’Flynn Capital Partners

Description: Student residence

development with 966 beds,

on site area of 0.96 hectares

Status: On site, PC anticipated Q2 2018

6 CAPITAL DOCKDeveloper/Owner:

Kennedy Wilson / NAMA

Description: 339,248 sq. ft. office

development; 204 residential units;

restaurant; leisure; crèche; retail and

cultural space

Status: Anticipated PC Q1 2018

9

6 HANOVER QUAYDeveloper/Owner:

Cairn Homes

Description: 64,000 sq. ft. –

120 residential units

Status: On site. Anticipated

PC Q2 2018

12

SPENCER PLACEDeveloper/Owner:

Ronan Group

Description: Mixed use development

of 715,000 sq.ft - Hotel, Office, Retail

Status: Planning granted

4CITY BLOCK 9Developer/Owner:

Deloitte (As Receiver)

Description:

413,211 sq. ft. – 350 residential units

Status:

Pre-planning

1 WINTERTIDEDeveloper/Owner:

PwC (As Receiver)

Description:

310,251 sq. ft. office development

Status: Planning Granted.

Anticipated PC Q3 2019

7 THE REFLECTORDeveloper/Owner:

Park Developments Group

Description: 127,000 sq. ft. office

development; 40 residential units

Status: On site. Anticipated PC

Q3 2018

10

5 HANOVER QUAYDeveloper/Owner: Targeted I

nvestment Opportunity (TIO) –

Bennett Group / NAMA / Oaktree

Description: 162,924 sq. ft. office

development

Status: On site. Anticipated PC Q2 2018

13

BOLANDS QUAYDeveloper/Owner:

Savills (As Receiver)

Description: Approx. 396,661 sq. ft.

office development, 46 residential

units, retail and cultural space

Status: Anticipated PC Q1–Q4 2019

14

4.19 million sq. ft. (NIA) of office accommodation and over 1,600 residential units in pre-planning, planning or construction phase, providing a favourable outlook for future corporate and leisure demand drivers.

13

14

12

10

119

8

1

27

6 3

5

4

4

Existing and CGI (For Illustrative Purposes only)

151 - 3 E A S T R O A D14

Page 10: 1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street lower ... sean o’casey bridge samuel beckett bridge e g d i r b e k r a l c 15

The property offers an exceptional

development opportunity in the

North Docklands.

While there is no current planning permission pertaining to the property for future development, a feasibility study has been prepared to illustrate the development potential of the subject site, subject to planning permission.

This feasibility study, prepared by O’Mahony Pike Architects illustrates the potential of the site to accommodate a scheme comprising 414 no. apartments and a 120 bedroom Hotel, subject to planning permission.

This feasibility pack is available from Savills.

D E V E L O P M E N T P O T E N T I A L

Under the Dublin City Development

Plan 2016-2022, the subject property

is zoned Objective Z14 (Strategic

Development and Regeneration Areas).

Objective Z14 may be defined as “to seek the social, economic and physical development and/ or rejuvenation of an area with mixed use, of which residential and “Z6” would be the predominant uses”. Residential and a wide range of commercial uses are permitted in principle and open for consideration under this favorable land use zoning objective, subject to planning approval. The lands form part of Strategic Development and Regeneration Area 6 (Docklands – including SDZ area and Poolbeg West) as illustrated in the below zoning map. The lands are located to the north of the North Lotts and Grand Canal Dock SDZ Planning Scheme.

L A N D U S E Z O N I N G

SDZ

Caption: Zoning Map (Extract Dublin City

Development Plan 2016- 2022)

Plans included are for illustrative purposes only

171 - 3 E A S T R O A D16

Page 11: 1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street lower ... sean o’casey bridge samuel beckett bridge e g d i r b e k r a l c 15

Economic Overview

The residential market continues to experience high demand and insufficient supply for apartments and houses in Dublin. However, a number of initiatives have been introduced in 2017 to encourage much needed development and to assist parties purchasing their own homes.

Fast-Track Planning ➢

Recent legislation has introduced fast-track planning for certain types of large-scale residential development from 3rd July 2017.

Under the new regulations, developers may submit planning applications for housing develop-ments of >100 residential units or >200 student accommodation units (or a combination of both) directly to An Bord Pleanála, instead of to local planning authorities as was previously the case.

It is estimated that this could reduce the time in planning for these schemes from approximately 18 months to 7-8 months. This fast-track system will remain in place until December 2019 and, subject to review, may be extended to December 2021.

Help-to-Buy Scheme as introduced in Budget 2017The Help-To-Buy Scheme, in addition to revised and easier mortgage lending for First Time Buyers are both contributing to stronger house price growth.

New National Apartment Planning Guidelines ➢

The new guidelines retain minimum internal apartment sizes but allow for a certain amount of smaller studio-type apartments in certain managed developments. This helps address the minimum number of units with dual aspect, the maximum number of units per lift and revises car-parking

provision in city centres and areas well-served by public transport.

The Dept. of Environment, Community and Local Government estimates these changes could reduce the cost of apartment building by as much as €20,000 per unit in Dublin City. This in return, increases the viability of many developments and encourages further developments to come on stream and enhance much-needed supply. The Dublin market, where affordability was previously a bigger barrier, is experiencing a strong uplift from these combined changes.

We expect 8%-12% house-price inflation across all areas in 2017, with slightly softer inflation in 2018 assuming supply comes on-stream in response to higher prices in 2017.

Notwithstanding recent legislation to limit rent increases to 4% per annum in some areas, investor activity remains strong. This reflects high yields and the opportunities for capital gain. Many investors are buying properties that serve a dual purpose as high-yielding investments and trade-down homes for the investors themselves in the future, or starter homes for their adult children.

Rental Market

Future demand for rental property will be dictated by two factors: firstly, ongoing population growth; and secondly, the proportion of the population that chooses to rent privately over competing tenure types such as owner- occupied housing.

Dublin’s population is currently rising by around 1.3% or 17,400 persons per annum while latest Census figures show a universal tendency towards urbanisation in Ireland. These trends, along with the expectation of increased in-migration, should see Dublin’s population continuing to expand over the coming years.

The number of households renting privately in Dublin has grown by 44,200 since 2011. This number has remained more-or-less flat in 2017

and it remains to be seen whether newly-introduced policy measures, seeking to make home ownership more affordable, will begin to cause a decline in this number.

Firstly, in an acutely under-supplied market, there is a strong possibility that any improvement in affordability due to Help-to-Buy and easier mortgage lending will be quickly inflated away.

Indeed, it is interesting to note that house-price inflation in Dublin has picked up since these new policy measures were introduced at the start of the year.

Secondly, following five years of net outward migration between 2010 -2014, Ireland is now recording positive net in-migration. With a booming economy, this inflow is likely to increase in the coming years. Private renting has typically been the default tenure for new arrived migrants; and all else being equal, we expect this to have a positive impact on rental demand.

Finally, in a context of continued sluggish home building for housing and apartments, any shift from renting to home ownership would inevitably have to be facilitated by the conversion of rental properties to owner occupation.

In this sense, reduced demand for rental accommodation would go hand-in-hand with a reduced supply of rental units, with a largely neutral impact on the vacancy rate which ultimately drives rents.

Rent Forecasts In October 2016, Savills developed and published rental growth forecasts for the Dublin residential market. These forecasts have been updated and now extend out to Q2 2019.

Forecasting Results - DublinThe forecasts produced by the model under our vacancy rate assumptions are summarised below:

Overall continued growth in Dublin residential rents is expected through the forecast horizon.

Rents on new lettings are expected to rise by 17% compound over the 10 quarters Q4 2016 – Q2 2019.

Average rental growth of 7.6% per annum is expected on new lettings over this period, whereas average quarterly growth of 1.6% is forecast.

Annual growth of 6.6% in rents on new lettings is forecast even at the furthest horizon of the forecast window in Q2 2019.

Notes to be considered when interpreting the Forecasting Results:

Firstly, rent controls have been introduced in Dublin and a range of other Rent Pressure Zones since 24th December 2016. Generally, these limit rental growth to a maximum of 4% per annum. However, there are exemptions for properties that have not been previously rented within the last two years (including new units and formerly owner-occupied properties) and for properties where substantial refurbishment works have been carried out. These changes allow for the possibility of a divergence between average rental-growth rates and rental-growth rates on newly-let properties.

Secondly, the modelling input assumptions should be noted. The model is driven by lagged values of the vacancy rate. Our expectation is that the demand for rental property in Dublin should remain robust due to continued

population growth. We allow for a slight tenure shift from private renting to owner occupation, but we do not expect this to be a major factor. This reflects our view that the supposed affordability benefits of Help-to-Buy and easier mortgage lending will be largely erased by rapid house-price inflation, and immigration will drive the demand for rentals.

While there are some signs that the housing development pipeline is beginning to increase, we are also assuming continued lagging supply.

In this context, any shift to owner occupation should have a modest impact on the vacancy rate – that is, any reduction in rental demand is likely to be offset by a reduction in the number of rental units as investment properties (largely those financed with non-performing mortgages) sold back into owner occupation.

Factoring in all of these assumptions we are assuming that the vacancy rate in the Dublin PRS will only rise modestly over the two years to June 2019 – from 1.45% to 1.8%.

Dublin Hotel Market

47% Increase in visitors to Ireland since 2012.

29m expected passengers through Dublin Airport in 2017.

Dublin’s “Europe’s Silicon Valley”.

RevPAR almost doubled in the last 6 years.

The population of the Greater Dublin Area (GDA) is forecast to grow from 1.9m people to 2.4m people by 2026.

European HQ for more than 1,200 International Companies.

10/10 Top “Born on the Internet” Companies.

10/10 Top Global Pharmaceutical Companies.

9/10 Top Global ICT Companies.

15/25 Top Financial Services Firms.

Overseas Arrivals

In 2016, the number of overseas visitors to Ireland grew by 10.9% to 9.6m.

Air Access

Passenger numbers at Dublin Airport exceeded 27.9m in 2016, up 11% (2.8m) on 2015.

By August 2017, passenger numbers were up 6% compared with the same period last year.

Dublin Airport now connects to over 180 worldwide destinations.

Long haul passengers have more than substantially increased since 2010.

M A R K E TO V E R V I E W

191 - 3 E A S T R O A D18

Page 12: 1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street lower ... sean o’casey bridge samuel beckett bridge e g d i r b e k r a l c 15

21

21

TitleA title summary is available in the property data room.

ServicesWe understand that all main services are available. Interested parties are also advised to satisfy themselves as to the presence, adequacy and availability of all services to the subject lands.

VATA tax paper is available in the data room.

ViewingsViewings strictly by appointment and to be arranged with the sole selling agent.

Data RoomFurther information is available through a dedicated web based data room.

DOMHNAILL O’SULLIVANDirector, Investment+353 1 618 1364 [email protected]

MARK REYNOLDSDirector, Development+353 1 618 [email protected]

DONAL O’RAGHALLAIGH+353 1 607 [email protected]

JOHN SWARBRIGG Divisional Director, Development+353 1 618 [email protected]

PHILIP FLAHERTY+353 1 511 [email protected]

COLETTE MULROYAssociate, Development+353 1 618 [email protected]

Solicitor

33 Molesworth StreetDublin 2www.savills.ie

McCann FitzGeraldRiverside One37 - 42 Sir John Rogerson’s Quay,Grand Canal Dockwww.mccannfitzgerald.com

Sales Agents

F U R T H E R I N F O R M A T I O N & C O N T A C T S

www.1-3eastroad.com

Page 13: 1-3 EAST ROAD 1 · 1-3 east road 3 2. convention centre facebook 3 arena ... sean macdermott street lower ... sean o’casey bridge samuel beckett bridge e g d i r b e k r a l c 15

1 - 3 E A S T R O A D

www.1-3eastroad.com


Recommended