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S2K+2 will cover the following topics...

S2K+2 Airline Training

CCFP

CCSD/FCA/RMT

SWAP Procedures - CDR, Playbook, Vacape, RAT

Pathfinder

Diversion Recovery

EDCT +-5

Systems 2002 Field Training for Controllers

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Collaborative Convective

Forecast Product

(CCFP)

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CCFP, Foundational for SPO

CCFP is the foundational severe weatherforecasting tool in developing the Strategic

Plan of Operation (SPO).

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All stakeholders have agreed CCFP is thethunderstorm forecast product for SPT planning

CCFP is used during SPT telcons for the

development of the Strategic Plan of Operation(SPO)

CCFP is intended to be used by traffic planners in

developing a strategic plan during thunderstorm

activity

WHAT CCFP IS

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WHAT CCFP IS cont...

CCFP is a tool that can be used by Dispatchers to

supplement weather avoidance planning and pass

on suggested routes to AOC Coordinators for the

SPT.

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CCFP will not meet all thunderstorm forecastingneeds

WHAT CCFP IS NOT

CCFP is not intended to support tactical decisionmaking

Other weather forecasting tools (e.g. NCWF,Convective SIGMETS, ITWS, etc.) should be used in

conjunction with CCFP

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CCFP is not just an ATC/AOC Coordinator Tool.

WHAT CCFP IS NOT

CCFP can be used by Dispatchers in consideringroutings around CCFP forecasted weather.

Based on CCFP forecasts, Dispatchers can giveAOC Coordinators route suggestions on wherethey would like to route aircraft, in a way thatwould maintain operational control and safety of

flight. Make these suggestions to the AOC Coordinator

before the Strategic Planning Team Telcon.

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Collaboration vs. Consensus

CCFP is a Collaboration not a Consensus.

CCFP is not a Consensus where all participants

agree upon the final product before it is issuedCCFP is a Collaboration where all

participants contribute their meteorologicalexpertise and a final decision is made by a

designated authority (AWC is that authority).

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CCFPCollaborative Convective Forecast Product

CCFP

Collaborative Convective Forecast Product

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CCFP Overview Convective weather is the single most disruptive

force affecting the National Airspace System(NAS). These disruptions are the largest cause ofdelays in the system

Mitigation of delays requires collaboration inthunderstorm forecasting used for traffic flowmanagement (TFM) decisions

CCFP seeks to reduce these disruptions by

creating an accurate and reliable convectiveforecast for strategic use through collaboration

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The Goal

The goal of the CCFP is to forecast a level ofthunderstorm activity (25% coverage or higher)that may impact the NAS. It is not intended to

forecast all thunderstorm activity Thunderstorms of less than 25% coverage may

still impact the NAS but are handled as a

tactical issue with input from localmeteorologists

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Maximum Tops (HGHT)Growth (GWTH)

Probability (PROB)

Coverage (CVRG)

CCFP Forecast Format

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Maximum tops within theforecast area are reported in

the following three categories

2531,000 feet

3137,000 feet

37,000+ feet

Note: The heights identified

are the maximum tops forecast

within the area and not the

average.

Maximum Tops

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Growth rate

++ = Fast Positive Growth

+ = Moderate Positive Growth

NC = No Change

- = Negative Growth (area/tops decreasing)

The expansion of the thunderstorms

needs to be considered as expanding in3 dimensions

This is an indicator of how the volumeof denied airspace associated with thedepicted forecast is likely to changewith time

Growth

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Probability is the term

defined as one of three

classes:

70 to 100% High 40 to 69% Medium

1 to 39% Low

This feature is used by

forecasters to give anestimate of how confident

they are a region will

develop and is normally

determined through the

collaborative discussion.

Probability

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Coverage

Solid linesof convection would be

depicted as a purple line

High 75 to 100%and

Med 50 to 74%-areareas where overall

coverage is likely to

exceed 50%.

Low 25 to 49%- is anarea of mostly scattered

thunderstorms that are

predicted to cover 25 to

49% of the area.

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Probability & CoverageLow Probability and

Low Coverage gives us

a higher potential to

transition this airspace.

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Initial Product 60 minutes before final issue time AWC will

post the initial forecast to the chat room for

review 45 minutes before final issue time the chat

room session commences

15 minutes before final issue time AWC closes

the chat room session and develops the finalforecast product based on chat roomparticipation

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Final Product

The final forecast product is posted on the Web

The SPT uses the final forecast product for the

development of a strategic plan

CCFP Ti t bl

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CCFP Timetable(UTC)

CCFP Package Initial Issue

Time

Collaboration

Session

Final Issue

Time

Valid Time

0300 0145 0200-0230 0245 0500, 0700,

0900

0700 0545 0600-0630 0645 0900, 1100,

1300

1100 0945 1000-1030 1045 1300, 1500,

1700

1500 1345 1400-1430 1445 1700, 1900,

2100

1900 1745 1800-1830 1845 2100, 2300,0100

2300 2145 2200-2230 2245 0100, 0300,

0500

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CCFP Web Locations AWC:

http://cdm.aviationweather.noaa.gov/ccfp/index.p

hp3

Forecast Systems Lab:

http://www-ad.fsl.noaa.gov/

ATCSCC:

http://www.fly.faa.gov/

http://www-ad.fsl.noaa.gov/

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Command Center Web Site WWW.FLY.FAA.GOV

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CCFPCollaborative Convective Forecast Product

CCFP

Collaborative Convective Forecast Product