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1 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
Asset Accumulation,Protection, Preservation,
and Transfer, LLC
2 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
North Georgia Technical CollegeMarch 18, 2010
3 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
Big Canoe March 23, 2010
4 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
Woodstock, GeorgiaMay 13, 2010
5 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
Asset Accumulation,Protection, Preservation,
and Transfer, LLC
Go Navy!
6 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
• Registered Investment Advisory Firm John A. Cory, Member(Your Wealth/Legacy Planner/PractitionerTM)
• Securities offered through Resource Horizons Group, LLC, broker-dealer, Member NASD, SIPC
Asset Accumulation, Protection, Preservation, and Transfer, LLC
7 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
ResourceHorizons Group, LLCcommissionFINRA
AAPPT, LLCfeeSECADV
Compensation
generally
8 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
Fee versus Commission
• RIA: Fiduciary duty• Broker Dealer: Suitability• Compensation: Investment vehicle or product
9 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
Relationship
• Advisory Services through AAPPT, LLC• Securities through Resource Horizons Group,
LLC• AAPPT, LLC is not otherwise affiliated with Resource Horizons Group, LLC
10 Copyright ©2010
Planning
Implementation
11 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
Uncertain World
• Political: Afghanistan, Iran, Terrorists, Congress
• Economic: Budget Deficits, Uncontrolled Spending, Oil and Gas, Greece, PIIGS
12 Copyright ©2010
• Funding• Conversions• Distributions• Trust Beneficiaries• Examples• Investments• Estate Tax• Questions and Answers
Agenda
13 Copyright ©2010
What’s a Roth IRA?• New Individual Retirement Account introduced in 1998
– Named after Senator William Roth of Delaware, who ledthe fight to establish it
• Same annual contribution amounts as traditional IRA
• Different income restrictions
• Contributions permitted after age 70½ if still employed
• No required distributions (RMDs) from a Roth after reaching age 70½
But the BIG difference is…Taxes!
14 Copyright ©2010
Roth IRAs
Similar to traditional IRAs except for these important differences:– No deductible contributions– Tax-free qualified distributions – Owner has no required distributions
15 Copyright ©2010
Roth IRA: Pay Tax Now Instead of Later
ContributionsNot Tax Deductible
EARNINGSTAX FREE
Qualified Withdrawals
Investments inside a Roth IRA grow tax-freeAfter-tax Money
After-tax Money
After-tax Money
After-tax Money
Tax-Free Income
Tax-Free Income
Tax-Free Income
Tax-Free Income
Roth IRA
16 Copyright ©2010
Funding
17 Copyright ©2010
Contributions for 2010• $5,000 (or $6,000 if 50 or older by end of
year)• Two requirements
– Earned income at least equal to amount contributed
– Below modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) thresholds
18 Copyright ©2010
MAGI Phase-out Ranges Married filing jointly
$167,000–$177,000
Single $105,000–$120,000
19 Copyright ©2010
What Is MAGI?A rollover of assets from:
20 Copyright ©2010
Traditional IRA
SEP IRA
SIMPLE IRA
Eligible Employer Plan
[including 403(b) and 401(k)]*
What’s a “Roth conversion”?
Roth IRATO
*Other examples include profit sharing plans, stock bonus plans, pension plans and government 457 plans.
21 Copyright ©2010
Conversions• Rollover of assets from a traditional IRA,
SEP-IRA or SIMPLE IRA to a Roth IRA– Two-year period must be met if converting a
SIMPLE IRA
• IRA owner pays taxes on pretax dollars • 10% penalty does not apply
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Conversion Process
IRAIRA Roth IRARoth IRA2) Direct rollover
• 1099R reporting• No 60-day rule
3) Indirect rollover• 1099R reporting• 60-day rule applies• No 12-month restriction
1) Redesignation
• 1099R reporting
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Who’s Eligible to Convert?Through 2009
Filing Status Income Limit
Single MAGI does not exceed $100,000
Married, filing Joint MAGI does not exceed $100,000
Married, filing Separate Ineligible
*Tax Increase Prevention & Reconciliation Act of 2005 (TIPRA)
Starting January 1, 2010*Income LimitFiling Status
Eligible & no income limit
No income limit
No income limit
Married, filing Separate
Married, filing Joint
Single
24 Copyright ©2010
Conversions in 2010Convert to Roth IRA• No MAGI limits
– Anyone can convert regardless of income level
25 Copyright ©2010
Conversions in 2010You can pay tax on the conversion in 2010 OR split the bill, defer tax and pay:
■ One-half in 2011
■ One-half in 2012
26 Copyright ©2010
To Convert…or Not To Convert?
Roth IRA Considerations
27 Copyright ©2010
What Will Your Tax Rate Be?
“New” income tax rates scheduled to sunset; “old” rates scheduled to return to your tax bill
28 Copyright ©2010
29 Copyright ©2010
Conversion Caution
• Using assets outside of the IRA to pay tax:– Reduces taxable estate– Maximizes long-term tax deferral
• Using IRA assets to pay tax may:– Subject some assets to income taxation– Incur a 10% early withdrawal penalty if under 59 ½
30 Copyright ©2010
Converting IRA After Age 70½ RMD amounts cannot be
converted or rolled to a Roth IRA
IRAIRA Roth IRARoth IRA
1. Distribute RMD amount from IRA
2. Convert balance to Roth IRA
RMD
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You Can Now Convert from an Employer Plan
32 Copyright ©2010
Who Let the Roth Out?You can now also convert an inherited
account• Applies only to eligible rollover distributions
from employer plans• Spouse only can roll to an inherited Roth IRA• Which distributions must be taken from
Roth IRA?• Does it make sense for you?
33 Copyright ©2010
Are You Looking to Accelerate a Deduction?
Section 691(c) deduction• Itemized deduction for estate taxes paid• Conversion causes you to pay income
taxes sooner, BUT also accelerates use of this deduction, potentially reducing tax bill in half
34 Copyright ©2010
Conversion Do-oversRecharacterization• First do-over
– By tax return due date, including extensions
Reconversion• Doing over the do-over
– In year following year of conversion– 30 days after recharacterization
35 Copyright ©2010
Do-over Timeline
Conversion Period
10/15Last day to recharacterize
Reconversion Period After 30 days
1/1 to 12/31
Year 1Year 1 Year 2Year 2
1/1 to 12/31
36 Copyright ©2010
Reconversion Examples
ScenarioScenario ConversionConversion RecharacterizationRecharacterization ReconversionReconversion
1 4/1/10 8/1/10 1/1/11
2 4/1/10 12/25/10 1/24/11
3 4/1/10 4/15/11 5/15/11
Time restrictions for eligible recharacterizations and the earliest reconversion date
37 Copyright ©2010
Roth 401(k) and 403(b)
38 Copyright ©2010
Roth IRA Distributions
• Qualified• Nonqualified• Required
(for beneficiaries)
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Qualified (Tax-free) DistributionsTwo requirements
1. Five years since you established a Roth IRA
2. Distribution is made for one of the following reasons:– Age 59½ or older– Disabled – Deceased– First-time home buyer
40 Copyright ©2010
When Can I Withdraw Converted Assets?
• There is no income tax when converted amounts are withdrawn
• However, there will be a 10% penalty unless:– The amount was converted at least 5 years ago, OR– The IRA owner is one of the following:1
• Age 59½ or older
• Deceased
• Disabled2
• Taking “substantially equal periodic payments”
• Paying medical expenses in excess of 7.5% of AGI
• Eligible for a qualified disaster recoveryassistance distribution
The bottom line:After 5 years, converted amounts come out tax- and penalty-free
1.IRC Sec. 72(t)2.Social Security definition of “disabled” essentially means you are unable to perform ANY kind of meaningful work, i.e. not simply that you are
unable to continue to perform the work you were doing prior to your disability.3.After being unemployed for 12 consecutive weeks
• Paying health insurance premiums3
• Paying college expenses
• Withdrawing $10,000 to buy a “1st time” home
• A qualified reservist on active duty
• Withdrawing funds to satisfy an IRS levy on a qualified plan or IRA
41 Copyright ©2010
Nonqualified DistributionsIf you take a distribution but fail to meet requirements for a qualified distribution, then the distribution is made in the following order:
■ Regular contributions
■ Conversion and rollover contributions• 10% penalty if within five years
■ Earnings• Taxes and 10% if no exception
42 Copyright ©2010
Tricky Rollover Rules
• New Roth IRA, then new five-year period
• Existing Roth IRA, then rollover tracks Roth IRA five-year period
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Tricky Rollover Rules
44 Copyright ©2010
DRAC (Designated Roth Account) Rollover Example
Amount includes $65,000 after-tax contributions and $35,000 earnings• Qualified distribution
– $100,000 included as Roth IRA basis
• Nonqualified distribution– Basis and earnings track to Roth IRA
45 Copyright ©2010
You May Wish to Get StartedIn anticipation of a DRAC rollover, establish a Roth IRA now with either:• Contributory Roth IRA • Nondeductible IRA that is then converted to Roth IRA
– BUT beware of the aggregation rule
46 Copyright ©2010
Required Distributions at Death• Death before required beginning date
(RBD) rules• Designated beneficiary (DB)
– May use five-year rule or life expectancy
• No DB– Must use five-year rule
47 Copyright ©2010
Death Distributions and the Five-year Rule
• Required distributions waived for 2009• Five-year rule is currently a six-year rule
– For deaths occurring between 2004 and 2009
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Nonqualified Death DistributionsRoth IRA owner dies before end of five-year period beginning with:
■ First taxable year for which a contribution was made
■ Year of conversion contribution from traditional IRA or rollover
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Qualified Death Distributions
• Spousal rollover– Earlier of spouse’s or decedent’s five-year holding
period
• All others– Decedent’s five-year holding period
50 Copyright ©2010
Who’s Your Beneficiary?
• Designated beneficiary (DB)– Spouse– Non-spousal individual– Qualifying trusts
• Non-DB—estates, charities, etc.
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Spouse
• Lump sum• Five-year rule• Inherited Roth IRA
– Annuitization– Spouse’s recalculated life expectancy
• Delayed until owner would have reached age 70½
• Rollover
52 Copyright ©2010
Non-spousal Individual
• Lump sum• Five-year rule• Inherited Roth IRA
– Annuitization– Life expectancy of beneficiary
53 Copyright ©2010
Qualifying Trusts as Designated Beneficiaries (DBs)
• Valid under state law• Irrevocable at death• Identifiable beneficiaries• Trust documentation by 10/31 of year
following year of death
54 Copyright ©2010
Qualifying Trusts
• Lump sum• Five-year rule• Trust-owned inherited Roth IRA
– Life expectancy of oldest trust beneficiary
55 Copyright ©2010
Trusts•Balancing Control with Flexibility (the terms of
your trust) and Cost.•Revocable, irrevocable, contingent, or
testamentary.•Assets: securities, real estate, life insurance,
retirement plan/IRA (Traditional or Roth).•Provisions: disability, asset/creditor protection
(spendthrift), educational, income and estate tax reduction, second marriage issues, attempted value incentives, special needs, generation skipping, and dynasty provisions.
•Assets to be accumulated, protected, preserved and transferred. (AAPPT, LLC).
56 Copyright ©2010
Non-designated Beneficiaries
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Multiple Beneficiaries
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Important Dates for theYear AFTER Death
59 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
Stretch IRA
No Stretch IRA
• Loses Tax Deferral• Taxes Due on Full Amount• No Legacy Left for Children
®
IRAACCOUNTS
OWNER SON GRANDCHILDIRAACCOUNTS
IRAACCOUNTS
IRAACCOUNTS
OWNER
SON
60 Copyright ©2010
Roth IRA and Social Security
●Distributions from Traditional IRA’s and 401(k)’s are included in provision income (in excess of two thresholds).
●Distributions from Roth IRA’s are not.
61 Copyright ©2010
Roth IRA Advantages
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Roth IRA Disadvantages
63 Copyright ©2010
Do the MathAnalysis is required, because everyone’s situation is differentAssumptions include:
• When distributions will be taken
• What tax rates will be at the time of distributions
• Earnings during the interim
64 Copyright ©2010
Possible Opportunities• You don’t need your traditional IRA for income
and wish to leave it to someone.• You need your IRA to fund your credit shelter
trust.• You are willing to pay income tax on conversion
to reduce your estate (and thus your estate tax).• You have charitable deduction carryovers,
investment tax credits, etc., that will offset income on conversion.
65 Copyright ©2010
Case Study$750,000 Roth IRA• 75-year-old owner dies having named two
beneficiaries
Grand- Grand- daughter,daughter,
Age 25Age 25
Son,Son,Age 50Age 50
66 Copyright ©2010
Opportunity for Separate Accounts
• Separate accounts established by 12/31 of the year following the year of owner’s death
• Son has 34.2 years during which to take distributions
• Granddaughter of deceased daughter has 58.2 years during which to take distributions
67 Copyright ©2010
Thanks, but No ThanksDisclaimers• Son executes a qualified disclaimer• His sons, ages 22 and 20, inherit his interest• Separate accounts established by 12/31
deadline• 22-year-old son’s distribution period is 61.1
years • 20-year-old son’s distribution period is 63 years
68 Copyright ©2010
Conversion Scenario: The Chen’s• At ages 68 and 67, Lee and Grace Chen are
already retired
• Lee has a $100,000 Traditional IRA
• Tax bracket: 25%
• Depending upon how their other investments perform, in some years the Chen’s may need $10,000 from Lee’s IRA after-tax to cover their retirement expenses.
• If there is anything left in Lee’s IRA, they would like to leave it to their grandson.
The Chen’s want to know if converting makes sense for them. They would pay the $25,000 income tax bill using the money in a CD
69 Copyright ©2010
Conversion Comparison for the
Chen’s
Assumptions:• Hypothetical IRA Average Annual Total Return: 8%
• Hypothetical CD Annual Fixed Rate of Return: 2.5%
• Retirement Tax Bracket: 25%
Withdrawals are taken at start of each year
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70
Conversion Comparison for the Chen’s
Assumptions:• Hypothetical IRA Average Annual Total Return: 8%• Hypothetical CD Annual Fixed Rate of Return: 2.5%• Retirement Tax Bracket: 25%Withdrawals are taken at start of each year
This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not reflect the performance of any Franklin, Templeton or Mutual Series fund. Please consult with tax and legal professionals for specific individual recommendations and advice.
Tipping Point:Roth will have more money after 11 years
71 Copyright ©2010
71
Tipping Point:Roth will have more money after 11 years
Conversion Comparison for the Chen’s
Assumptions:• Hypothetical IRA Average Annual Total Return: 8%• Hypothetical CD Annual Fixed Rate of Return: 2.5%• Retirement Tax Bracket: 25%Withdrawals are taken at start of each year
This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not reflect the performance of any AAPPT,LLC or Resource Horizons Group LLC investment. Please consult with tax and legal professionals for specific individual recommendations and advice.
Tax-Free Amount Left to Lee’s Grandson (if no withdrawals):$466,096
72 Copyright ©2010
Leaving a Roth IRA to a Young Beneficiary
Assumptions: 1.AAR on investments: 8%.2.Jason withdraws just the minimum amount required each year
For illustrative purposes only. This illustration does not reflect actual investment results of any,AAPPT,LLC or Resource Horizons Group, LLC investment and is not a guarantee of future results.
Jason is age 6 in the year after he inherits grandpa’s Roth IRA
Tax-Free!
Total CumulativeIncome Received by Age 82:$2,142,458!
73 Copyright ©2010
Conversion Scenario: The Parkers• Janet and Brian Parker are both 46 years old
• Janet has a $50,000 Traditional IRA
• Tax bracket:– Today: 25% – In retirement: 15%
• When they retire at age 66 they will need to withdraw $20,000 from Janet’s IRA each year on an after-tax basis.
• The Parkers want to know if it makes sense to convert Janet’s Traditional IRA to a Roth IRA.
• They would pay the income tax using the $12,500 they have in a CD (Certificate of Deposit)
74 Copyright ©2010
Conversion Comparison for the
ParkersAssumptions:• Hypothetical IRA Average Annual Total Return: 8%
• Hypothetical CD Annual Fixed Rate of Return: 2.5%
• Current Tax Bracket: 25%
• Retirement Tax Bracket: 15%
• No further contributions to IRA
Withdrawals are taken at start of each year
75 Copyright ©2010
75
Conversion Comparison for the Parkers
This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not reflect the performance of any AAPPT, LLC. and Resourec Horizons Group, LLC.lRelease consult with tax and legal professionals for specific individual recommendations and advice.
Assumptions:• Hypothetical IRA Average Annual Total Return: 8%• Hypothetical CD Annual Fixed Rate of Return: 2.5%• Current Tax Bracket: 25%• Retirement Tax Bracket: 15%Withdrawals are taken at start of each year
Tipping Point:Roth will have more money after 7 years
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Conversion Comparison for the Parkers
Assumptions:• Hypothetical IRA Average Annual Total Return: 8%• Hypothetical CD Annual Fixed Rate of Return: 2.5%• Current Tax Bracket: 25%• Retirement Tax Bracket: 25%Withdrawals are taken at start of each year
This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not reflect the performance of any AAPPT, LLC and Resource Horizons Group, LLC. Please consult with tax and legal professionals for specific individual recommendations and advice.
Tipping Point:Roth will have more money after 3 years
77 Copyright ©2010
What About Taxes?• If you convert, you must pay income
tax on amounts not previously taxed
Type of IRA Assets Taxable at Conversion?
IRA Contributions (deducted) Taxable
Earnings Taxable
Pre-tax rollovers from retirement accounts
Taxable
IRA Contributions (not deducted)
Not taxable
78 Copyright ©2010
What About Taxes? (Cont’d)Best to use non-IRA money to pay the tax• More assets go into Roth
• 10% penalty and income tax on all amounts withdrawn (or withheld) prior to age 59½—even if used to pay conversion tax
• If you later “re-characterize” (un-do) the conversion, money taken from an IRA to pay the conversion tax cannot be returned to the IRA it came from
79 Copyright ©2010
What About Taxes? (Cont’d)• When do I pay the tax?
• Taxable portion of conversion is reported as “income” in the year you do the conversion– Could push you into higher tax bracket– Could make you subject to AMT (Alternative Minimum Tax)– Could require you to make quarterly estimated tax payments
• Special option for 2010 conversions only– Declare as income on 2010 tax return
OR– Declare 50% as 2011 income and 50% as 2012 income– Consider: when might your tax bracket be lower?
• Must file Form 8606 with federal tax return
80 Copyright ©2010
Retirement Plan/IRA Taxation• Federal Income Tax• State Income Tax• Too Soon Penalty: 10%• Too Late Penalty: 50%• Federal Estate ax• State Estate Tax
How much shrinkage is in your retirement plan?
Consider giving it to charity or you own Donor Advised Fund.
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81
Reasons to Convert
Reason Benefit
Lock in today’s tax rates • Do you know your retirement tax bracket?
Achieve tax diversification
• Conversion adds flexibility to choose which accounts to pull income from
• Manage your tax consequences
Turn investment losses into a positive
• Lower IRA value means lower tax bill to convert assets
No required distributions at age 70½
• Assets continue to appreciatetax-free
82 Copyright ©2010
82
Reasons to Convert (Cont’d)
Reason Benefit
Roth withdrawals don’t affect taxation of Social Security income
• May prevent up to 85% of Social Security income from being taxed
You can withdraw conversion amounts without penalty
• No penalty applies after five years if you are under 59½
• The five year requirement does not apply if you are 59½ or older
Estate planning considerations
• Taxes paid on the conversion will reduce your taxable estate
• Leave Roth IRA to a beneficiary: spouse, children, grandchildren
• Beneficiary receives tax-free income for life
83 Copyright ©2010
ConsiderationsKeep in mind• Expected return on Roth IRA
investments
• Conversion amount
• How long will assets remain in the Roth IRA
• Use non-IRA assets to cover the tax bill
• Consider your beneficiaries
84 Copyright ©2010
Roth Conversions: Key Factors
• How old is the investor?• How much does the investor spend relative to portfolio
value?• How much relative wealth is held in taxable vs. tax-deferred
(or tax-free) accounts?• What is the investor’s asset allocation?• Can the investor afford to pay the income tax cost of
conversion from taxable assets?• What is the investor’s blended income tax rate currently?
– What is it expected to be in 2010?– In 2011 and 2012– Thereafter?
• Will the designated beneficiary take only minimum required distributions?
85 Copyright ©2010
Potential Candidates for Roth Conversion
• Do not expect significant decline in effective tax rate in retirement years.
• Intend to transfer IRA to family member who will stretch.• Don’t expect to spend meaningfully (or at all) from IRA in
retirement.• Can pay conversion taxes from other (non-retirement)
assets.• Don’t plan to leave IRA to charity
but that begs the question… SHOULD these assets be going to charity?
86 Copyright ©2010
13 Roth Conversion Traps Part 1
1. 60-Day Rollover Mistakes
2. Partial Conversions Involving After-Tax Money and Mid-year Rollovers
3. RMDs Must be Taken First
4. Some Funds are Not Eligible for Conversion or Contribution
5. Non-Spouse Beneficiaries Can't Convert Inherited IRAs
6. On a 2010 Conversion the lncome is Split, Not the Tax
87 Copyright ©2010
13 Roth Conversion Traps Part 2
7. The 10% Penalty Trap/ SIMPLE IRA 25% Penalty
8. Not Using Separate New Roth IRA
9. New Roth Accounts Need New Beneficiary Forms
10.Loss of Credits, Exemption, Deductions
11.Social Security Taxation and Medicare Costs
12.Financial Aid Loss
13.Net Unrealized Appreciation (NUA)
88 Copyright ©2010
Frequently Asked QuestionsIf I convert in 2010 and want to spread the tax over the next two years, what income tax rate will apply?Whatever rates are in effect for the year in which you declare the converted amount as income.
Do I have to convert all of my non-Roth IRAs?No. You can convert as much—or as little—as you wish.
Do I have to convert everything I want to in a single year?No. You can spread it out, converting as much as you wish—or none—from year to year.
89 Copyright ©2010
Frequently Asked Questions (Cont’d)
In some years my income was too high to allow me to deduct my IRA contribution, so I used after-tax money for this. Will I have to pay income tax on this again when I convert?
No. But figuring how much of your conversion will be taxable is a bit tricky, so you should consider working with a professional to get it right. AAPPT, LLC has created a worksheet that will help us estimate this.
However, the final calculation includes certain amounts that won’t be known until the end of the year, so we won’t be able to compute the exact amount until then.
90 Copyright ©2010
Frequently Asked Questions (Cont’d)
If I have a Roth option in my 401(k) or 403(b) plan at work, can I convert my pre-tax assets to the tax-free Roth option in the plan?No. However, when you retire or leave your job, you can roll assets in the Roth side of your 401(k) into a Roth IRA. Pre-tax assets in your 401(k) can either go into a traditional IRA or a Roth IRA. If you roll them into a Roth IRA, you will owe income tax on the amount.
91 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
There have always been reasons not to invest
92 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
9/11
93 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
9/11
94 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
9/11
95 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
Impact of Events
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97 Copyright ©2010
IT’S THE TOTAL DEBT
98 Copyright ©2010
Perspective | Defining recessions A recession is…
•Determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research
•Based on significant declines in industrial, production, employment, real income and wholesale-retail trade
•Ten previous recessions since World War II, each lasting between 6 and 18 months
•Recessions are not officially confirmed until months after they begin, including the current recession
•The current recession, which was confirmed in December 2008, started in December 2007
Source: National Bureau of Economic Research, http://www.nber.org/, 2008
99 Copyright ©2010
United States Recessions Since 1945Duration in Months
Perspective | Previous recessions
Source: National Bureau of Economic Research
100 Copyright ©2010
Perspective | Stock Market Has Delivered Long Term
• From 1968 through 2008, the S&P 500 has returned an average of 9.03%. However, the returns received each year varied greatly, from -37% to +37% 1
• The two worst years of performance (1974 and 2008), prior to 2008, were followed by the two best performing years, 1975 (+37%) and 2009 (29%).
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Sources:1 Ibbotson Associates, SEI , 2008
The benefits of patience…
9.5%14.1%
Average gain 10 years after market
high
Average gain 10 years after market
low
Markets have recovered in 8 bear markets since 1956:*
101 Copyright ©2010
Perspective | Market Recovers Before Recession Ends
1050
1100
1150
1200
1250
1300
1350
1400
1450
1500
-12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Average Stock Market Performance (Last 10 Recessions) 1990-91 Recession
Start of recession 18 months after start of recession12 months before start of recession
NBER Recession Start Date and Average Length of 10 months
Recoveries begin before recessions end
102 Copyright ©2010
Looking forward: | Prospects through 2010
What are economists saying?
Source: Blue Chip Economic Forecast, 2009
103 Copyright ©2010Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Tailwinds: | Country is more productive
Gross Domestic Product1st quarter 2007 to 3nd quarter 2009
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Purchasing Managers IndexJanuary to December 2009
Source: Institute for Supply Management
Tailwinds: | Manufacturers increasing production
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U.S. Unemployment Rate (%)January to December 2009
Source: U.S. Bureau of Statistics
Headwinds: | Unemployment remains too high
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0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Jan 09Fe
b 09
Mar
09
Apr 09
May
09Ju
n 09Ju
l 09
Aug 09
Sep 09
Oct 09
Nov 09
Dec 09
Jan 10
New Home SalesJanuary 2009 to January 2010
Source: National Association of Home Builders
Winds: | Housing market
107 Copyright ©2010
Looking forward: | Sizing up the recovery
• What will recovery look like?
• V = Quick recovery
• U = Lengthy recovery
• W = Double dip recovery
108 Copyright ©2010
Capital Market OutlookCapital Market Outlook• 2008: $X Trillion of assets disappeared• Central Banks print money (stimulus)• How will governments “unwind”• Political Events/Health Care• County Debt/Budget Deficits (Sovereign risks)• Bank Debt/Credit Markets• Weak dollar (Currency)• Low interest rate (deflation/inflation)• Economy: Square Root• Unemployment• Manufacturing Sector• Stock Market/Regulation• Commodities/oil• Taxes: income Bush tax cuts/estate • Residential/Commercial real estate
109 Copyright ©2010
Think positive, remain cautious But be realistic…..Think positive, remain cautious But be realistic…..
Economic tailwinds• Improving equity markets• Increased manufacturing activity• Reviving auto market
Economic headwinds• Employment level remains troubling• Commercial real estate• Cautious consumer spending, but perking up
110 Copyright ©2010
Investing : Ask the right questions
• What are your investment objectives?• What role does the investment vehicles you’re
considering play in meeting objective?• How will the timing of your buy affect your return?• Are you willing to practice patience and not sell after
a negative year?• Are you properly diversified beyond the investment
you’re making in any one fund?• Are you willing to keep your sights focused far down
the road?
111 Copyright ©2010
Investing: Believe in asset allocation
• Consider changing your allocation only . . . – When your situation changes– When there is a change in the risk-reward tradeoff in markets
• Recent events have not altered our assumptions about the markets
• Do not change you asset allocation out of fear or greed
We can help you modify an allocation appropriate for your goals
112 Copyright ©2010
Investing: Rebalance regularly
January 1, 2010 June 30, 2010
60%
40%40%
60%
Your advisor can help you keep your portfolio on target
Steep market changes can alter allocation dramatically
For illustration purposes only, not related to any investment
113 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
The Right InvestmentsTraditional IRA
Inside IRAInside IRA• Growth Mutual Funds• Short-Hold Stocks• Taxable Bonds
Outside IRAOutside IRA• Index/Low Turnover Mutual
Funds• Long-Hold Stocks• Tax-Free Bonds
Roth IRA•Risk/Return Analysis
•Time Horizon
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Moderate Growth
Managed Futures
Target Asset Classes
Cash 5%
Global Bonds 24%
Global Equity 45%
Alternatives 25%
Total 100%
Contemporary Portfolio Allocation
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Target Asset Classes
Cash 5% Global Bonds 24% Global Equity 45% Alternatives 25%
Total100%
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Planning and Implementation
What is your blend of taxable, tax deferred, and tax free investments?
117 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
Portfolio Review
• Diversification• Asset Allocation
118 Copyright ©2010
Work with Your Financial and Tax Advisors
To estimate the taxon a Roth conversion
To choose the rightinvestments for yourRoth IRA
To file the proper paperwork
119 Copyright ©2010Copyright 2007
2009$3.5M
2002$1M
2004$1.5M
2006$2M
Unified Credit
The federal estate tax was repealed on 1/1/10 until 12/31/10. Beginning 2011, the federal estate tax will be reinstated with a federal estate tax exemption amount of $1,000,000 and a maximum estate tax rate of 55%. Congress continues to discuss and consider legislation that, if passed, could change the estate tax exemption and estate tax rates for 2010 and beyond.
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History of Estate Tax• 1797: Stamp Act
• 1802: Repealed• 1862: Civil War
• 1870: Repealed• 1898: Spanish American War
• 1902: Repealed• 1916: WW I• 1924,1930’s,1976 – 1993 (9 Acts)• 2001: EGTRRA
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Estate Tax 2010
• Zero?
• $1M Gift Tax Exclusion
• No Generation Skipping Tax
• Retroactivity ?
• $1M Estate Tax Exclusion in 2011
• Will Codicils and Trust Amendments
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Don’t Procrastinate!
Because…
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Don’t Procrastinate!
Because…
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Question
What are you doing with your life’s resources, gifts, talents, opportunities, and abilities?
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Life is like the
game of MONOPOLY…
When it’s all over, it all goes back into the box.
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He was a great man, but…
…the one scenario he forgot to consider in his forecast, was the certainty of Death.
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Death is the
last big move of your
Life.
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Mission Statement
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Thank you for attending today’s session.
Questions and Answers
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This material is not intended to be used, nor can it be used by any taxpayer, for the purpose of avoiding U.S. federal, state, or local tax penalties. This material is written to support the promotion or marketing of the transaction(s) or matter(s) addressed by this material. AAPPT, LLC and Resource Horizons Group, LLC and their respective representatives and advisors do not provide tax, accounting, or legal advice. Any taxpayer should seek advice based on the taxpayer’s particular circumstances from an independent tax advisor.
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You should carefully consider an investment’s risks, charges, limitations, and expenses. This and other information are provided in the applicable product and underlying fund prospectuses. These prospectuses are available from your registered representative or by calling the toll-free numbers listed on the last page. Read them carefully before investing.
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Disclosures
•There are risks involved with investing including possible loss of principal. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results.
•Index performance returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
•Appreciation is expressed to SEI Investments, Franklin Templeton and Pacific Life for assistance in the preparation of these slides.
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Asset Accumulation,Protection, Preservation,
and Transfer, LLC
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