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1 Epidemic Spreading Parameters: External Model based on population density and travel statistics.

Date post: 29-Jan-2016
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1 Epidemic Spreading • Parameters: • External Model based on population density and travel statistics
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Page 1: 1 Epidemic Spreading Parameters: External Model based on population density and travel statistics.

1

Epidemic Spreading• Parameters:

• External Model based on population density and travel statistics

Page 2: 1 Epidemic Spreading Parameters: External Model based on population density and travel statistics.

2

Age Dependency

Page 3: 1 Epidemic Spreading Parameters: External Model based on population density and travel statistics.

3

Vaccination Strategies

Page 4: 1 Epidemic Spreading Parameters: External Model based on population density and travel statistics.

4

Future Work

• More realistic Contact Network– Time/Age dependency– Human Dynamics/Mobility Model– Probabilities for infection– Network Parameters– Non Co-location Infection – Demographical Information

• Social Containment Policies

• Travel Patterns

• Death/Birth Rate

Page 5: 1 Epidemic Spreading Parameters: External Model based on population density and travel statistics.

5

Complex Networks

• Community Detection in Large Networks– Static Social Networks

– Time Dependent/Dynamic Networks

• Novel Network Characteristics– Recurrence Plots

• Novel Network Models– Time dependent networks

Page 6: 1 Epidemic Spreading Parameters: External Model based on population density and travel statistics.

6

Community Detection in Large Social Networks

• Orkut Online Social Network (3M nodes, 0.2B edges)(Mislove et. Al.)

• Largest available network (1B edges)

• Traditional Modularity-optimization approach is slow

• Aim : Real-time– Linear– Accurate– Distributed

Page 7: 1 Epidemic Spreading Parameters: External Model based on population density and travel statistics.

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Real Time Community Detection (in submission to PRE)

• Label Propagation (Nandini, Albert et. Al.)

• Generalisation:

1 22

33 44

22 2

33 44

22 22

2 2

Page 8: 1 Epidemic Spreading Parameters: External Model based on population density and travel statistics.

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Real Time Community Detection

• Asynchronous v. Synchronous

• m, Label Preference

• ∂, Hop Attenuation

Page 9: 1 Epidemic Spreading Parameters: External Model based on population density and travel statistics.

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Real Time Community Detection

• Linear Running Time (almost) – O(|E|)

• Accurate– 5% within state of the art

• Adaptive

• Exploitable:– Localised Metric – Easily

Parallelised– Avoid updating nodes well inside

the community

Page 10: 1 Epidemic Spreading Parameters: External Model based on population density and travel statistics.

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Future Work

• Static Network (OSN, Amazon, Google...relatively speaking) can be boring

• Mostly done offline• Community Detection in Dynamic Networks in Real-Time

• Idea: Consider moving spin glasses• Can apply a similar paradigm as the basis for the

detection• More realistic mobility model

Page 11: 1 Epidemic Spreading Parameters: External Model based on population density and travel statistics.

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Summary

• Altruism in Opportunistic Communication

• Contact Network Modeling of Epidemics

• Real-Time Community Detection in Large

Networks

• ...

Page 12: 1 Epidemic Spreading Parameters: External Model based on population density and travel statistics.

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Thank You!


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