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1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPoint PowerPoint Presentation by Presentation by LuAnn Bean LuAnn Bean Professor of Accounting Professor of Accounting Florida Institute of Florida Institute of Technology Technology © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password- protected website for classroom use.
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Page 1: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

1

Financial Modeling for Short-Term

Decision-Making

CHAPTER 6

Managerial Accounting 11E

Maher/Stickney/Weil

PowerPointPowerPoint Presentation by Presentation by

LuAnn BeanLuAnn BeanProfessor of AccountingProfessor of AccountingFlorida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in

part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or

otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.

Page 2: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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CHAPTER GOAL

This chapter explains and illustrates financial modeling. Financial modeling canProvide an overview of an organization’s financial

activitiesHelp managers make specific decisions

Financial modeling relies on concepts of fixed and variable cost behavior.

☼ ☼

Page 3: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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FINANCIAL MODEL

Financial modeling enables analysts to test the interaction of economic variables in a variety of settings. It requires analysts to develop a set of equations that represents a company’s operating and financial relations.

Financial modeling enables analysts to test the interaction of economic variables in a variety of settings. It requires analysts to develop a set of equations that represents a company’s operating and financial relations.

LO 1

Page 4: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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COST-VOLUME-PROFIT (CVP)

CVP can be used to answer questions such as What effect on profit can GM expect if it builds a

larger SUV?How will NBC’s profit change if ratings increase

for its evening news program?How many subscribers must a Dish Network

obtain to break even for the year?What happens if Verizon reduces fees charged to

customers?

LO 2

Page 5: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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EXAMPLE: Early Horizons Daycare

Early Horizons Daycare is a daycare center that defines a unit of output as “service provided for 1 child for a month.” Building capacity is 30 children. An accountant developed the following estimates:

LO 2

Continued

Price per child per month $ 600

Variable cost per child per month 200

Fixed costs per month 5,000

EHD

Page 6: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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CAPACITY and COSTS Early Horizons Daycare has a capacity of 20

units (relevant range), after which it must hire more staff.Variable costs include

Snacks and food Supplies A portion of insurance

Fixed costs include:Rent and utilitiesA portion of insuranceMinimum staffing

LO 2EHD

Page 7: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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BREAK-EVEN POINT: DefinitionBREAK-EVEN POINT: Definition

Is the point in the basic CVP model where revenues equal

costs.

Total Revenue = Total Costs

LO 2

Page 8: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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BREAK-EVEN: Table Format

Using break-even computations:

LO 2

Sales Revenue (12.5 X $600) $ 7,500

Less Variable costs (12.5 X $200) 2,500

Contribution Margin (CM) $ 5,000

Less Fixed costs 5,000

Operating profit $ 0

EHD

Page 9: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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CONTRIBUTION MARGIN: Definition

CONTRIBUTION MARGIN: Definition

Is the excess of revenue over variable costs.

Total Revenue – Variable Costs

LO 2

Page 10: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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Can we use contribution margin

to compute break- even (BE) volume?

YES!

BE Volume =

Fixed cost / CM per child

LO 2MANAGERS WANT TO KNOW!EHD

Page 11: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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CONTRIBUTION MARGIN APPROACH

Using the contribution margin approach:

LO 2EHD

Break-even Volume = Fixed Costs / CM per child= $5,000 / $400

= 12.5 children

Click the button to skip equation approach

Page 12: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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EQUATION APPROACHUsing the equation approach (Operating profit at break-even = 0):

LO 2EHD

Operating profit 0= Sales revenue - Costs

= Sales revenue -Variable costs (VC) – Fixed costs (FC)

= (Unit selling price (SP) × Sales volume) - (VC per unit × Sales volume) - FC ($600 - $200) × Sales volume = $5,000

Sales volumeBE = $5,000/$400 = 12.5 children/month

Page 13: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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Can we graph the relationships in CVP

analysis?

YES!

LO 2MANAGERS WANT TO KNOW!

Page 14: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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LO 2

EXHIBITEXHIBIT 6.16.1

By graphing revenues

and costs on same graph,

you can find BE,

profit and loss areas.

By graphing revenues

and costs on same graph,

you can find BE,

profit and loss areas.

Break-even Volume = Fixed Costs / CM

EHD

Page 15: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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LO 2

EXHIBITEXHIBIT 6.26.2

Slope of line is

variable cost per

unit.

Slope of line is

variable cost per

unit.

Break-even Volume = Fixed Costs / CM

EHD

Page 16: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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TARGET PROFIT: CM Approach

LO 2

Target profit Volume = (Fixed costs + Target Profit) / CM

= ($5,000 + $3,000) / $400

Sales revenue (20*$600) $ 12,000

Less Variable costs (20*$200) 4,000

Contribution Margin $ 8,000

Less Fixed costs 5,000

Operating profit $ 3,000

EHD

Continued

# children = 20

Page 17: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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TARGET PROFIT: Equation Approach

LO 2

Sales revenue – Variable costs - Fixed costs = Operating Profit

($600 - $200) × Sales volume - $5,000 = $3,000

$400*Sales volume = $8,000

Sales revenue (20 X $600) $ 12,000

Less Variable costs (20 X $200) 4,000

Contribution Margin $ 8,000

Less Fixed costs 5,000

Operating profit $ 3,000

EHD

Continued

Sales volume = 20 children

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TARGET PROFIT: Reminder

LO 3

Target profit Volume = (Fixed costs + Target Profit) / CM

Sales revenue (20 X $600) $ 12,000

Less Variable costs (20 X $200) 4,000

Contribution Margin $ 8,000

Less Fixed costs 5,000

Operating profit $ 3,000

EHD

Continued

Page 19: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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EARLY HORIZONS DAYCARE: Sensitivity Analysis

EARLY HORIZONS DAYCARE: Sensitivity Analysis

Assumptions

Price/child $ 600 $ 600 $ 600 $ 660

VC/child $ 200 $ 200 $ 210 $ 200

Monthly FC $5,000 $4,500 $5,000 $5,000

Children enrolled 20 20 20 18

Model results: IS

Sales revenue $ 12,000 $ 12,000 $ 12,000 $ 11,880

Less VC 4,000 4,000 4,200 3,600

Total CM $8,000 $8,000 $7,800 $ 8,280

Less FC 5,000 4,500 5,000 5,000

Operating profit $3,000 $3,500 $2,800 $ 3,280

LO 3

Base Cost FC $500 VC $10 Price $60, Vol. 2Alt #1 Alt #2 Alt #3

EHD

EX

HIB

ITE

XH

IBIT

6.36.3

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MARGIN OF SAFETY: DefinitionMARGIN OF SAFETY: Definition

Is the excess of projected (or actual) sales units over Break-

even unit sales level.

Sales units – BE Sales units or

Sales dollars – BE Sales dollars

LO 3

Page 21: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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COST STRUCTURE: DefinitionCOST STRUCTURE: Definition

Refers to the proportion of fixed and variable costs to total costs.

LO 4

OPERATING LEVERAGE: Definition

OPERATING LEVERAGE: Definition

Is the extent to which an organization’s cost structure is made up of fixed costs.

Note: the higher the fixed costs, the higher the break-even point.

Page 22: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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What is the contribution margin

ratio?

Contribution margin ratio (CMR) is the contribution amount per dollar of sales.

CM / Sales

LO 4

Page 23: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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LO 6MANAGERS WANT TO KNOW!

How can a company determine the effect of

taxes will be on its profits?

After tax profits = Before tax profits X (1 - tax rate)

EHD

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SUMMARY OF SIMPLIFYING CVP ASSUMPTIONS

Can separate total costs into fixed and variableCost and revenue behavior is linear. Implies

the following in the relevant rangeTotal fixed costs do not change Variable costs per unit remain constantSelling price per unit remains constant

Product mix remains constant over relevant range

LO 7

Page 25: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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USING ABC FOR EHD

Previously, Early Horizons Daycare used a financial model with only volume (number of children) as the cost driver. What if multiple cost drivers using the cost hierarchy are identified and used?

Previously, Early Horizons Daycare used a financial model with only volume (number of children) as the cost driver. What if multiple cost drivers using the cost hierarchy are identified and used?

LO 8EHD

Page 26: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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Activity Category ExampleCapacity Size limitations Building size: 30 children

Customer Needs Children transported

Product Production needs Field trips

Batch Batch A room of 5 children

Unit Variable costs Child

HIERARCHY OF COSTS: Reminder

LO 8

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COST EQUATION

LO 8EHD

Total Cost = (Unit-level cost × #children) + (Batch-level cost × # rooms) + (Product-level cost × #field trips) + (Customer-level cost × #children transported) + (Capacity-level costs × #facilities)

Continued

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EHD: ABC and Sensitivity AnalysisEHD: ABC and Sensitivity Analysis

Sales $ 12,000 $ 13,200 $ 9,000

Unit-level costs 400 440 300

Batch-level costs 2,800 3,500 2,100

Product-level costs 300 300 300

Customer-level costs 800 800 500

Facility-level costs 4,700 4,700 4,700

Operating profits $ 3,000 $ 3,480 $ 1,100

LO 8

Base CaseIncrease to 22

Decrease to 15

EHD

EX

HIB

ITE

XH

IBIT

6.86.8

Page 29: 1 Financial Modeling for Short-Term Decision-Making CHAPTER 6 Managerial Accounting 11E Maher/Stickney/Weil PowerPointPresentation by PowerPoint Presentation.

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End of CHAPTER 6


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