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1
Pacific International Science Center for Exploration Systems (PISCES) Conference – Nov 12, 2008
Commercial Lunar Business Perspectives
John KohutChief Executive Officer
Astrobotic Technology, Inc.
2
Phases of Global Lunar Investment
*Astrobotic estimate based upon national projections/estimates
Growth market for lunar robotic systems
2004 through 2018 2015 through 2030 2025 and beyond
Agencies building human transportation systems
Emplace habitats with power, comms; test resource recovery
Develop resources for use on Moon and on Earth
Emerging Market
Robotic experimentation with resource utilization
Fabrication and emplacement of systems prior to humans
Conceptual
In Development
$90B+ Globally* $200B Globally** $500B Globally**
**Astrobotic estimate based upon analogous events/industries
Near Term Need
Lunar data for landing site topography and environment
Engineering data for systems design and fabrication
Long Term Market
Robotic multiplication of human labor
Autonomous exploration, mining, operations
3
Two aspects to Astrobotic Technology
Race to the Moon
High GrowthLunar Business
Pittsburgh Post-
Gazette95¢
******
******
**
**
******
*****
EXTRA
Wednesday
May 19, 2010
BACK TO MOON
Astrobotic Lands a $20M Firs
t!
Pittsburgh le
ads
Return to M
oon
Red Whitta
ker
Wins another Data/IP
Tranquility Trek
Win X Prize and
visit Apollo 11
Q2 - 2010
Prove precision landing technology
"Weathering" of Apollo 11 site materials
Measure rate of micrometeorite impacts
Characterize dust from descent plume
South Pole Scout
Shackleton Crater Rim
Q3 - 2011
Survey landing pad and habitat locations
Ground truth on illumination patterns
Characterize soil and dust conditions
Prove ability to survive the night
North Pole Scout
TBD Crater Rim
Q1 - 2012
Survey landing pad and habitat locations
Ground truth on illumination patterns
Characterize soil and dust conditions
Prove ability to survive the night
Moon Quake 1
Shackleton Crater Rim
Q3 - 2012
Collect seismic and weather data
Prove multi-year ability to function
Laser communication test
Constant TV view of Earth
Ice Surveyor
Shackleton Crater Floor
Q2 - 2013
Confirm water and other volatiles exist
Determine variability of ice concentration
(By location and by depth)
MissionMultiple Missions
CorporateSponsorships
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
Governments Media & Industry
DiversifiedRevenue Sources
4
Prize rules:Land on the Moon
Travel 500 meters
Send HD imagery
Carry X Prize logo
Complete mission by 2012
Collect $20 million
Bonus prizes:Travel 5 kmHeritage siteSurvive nightDiverse team
Astrobotic Plans:Win GLXP with 2010 landing near Apollo 11 historic siteProve capability to collect lunar data, deliver payloads and perform robotic services
5
AstroboticAstrobotic acquires data, generates media content, delivers payloads and services on the Moon through
self-defined and executed missions using proven robotic and aerospace technologies and systems
Customers AstroboticLunar
Missions
• Collect data• Deliver
payloads• Conduct
experiments• Build
Infrastructure
Process and Archive Data
Results
Ast
robo
ticLu
nar
Lib
rary
Academia
Lunar data, payloads and
operation requirements
AerospaceCompanies
Space Agencies
Non-aerospacecompanies withlunar interests
Creative Media
Contract Data Sales
Multi-Client Data Sales
6
Series of Commercial Lunar Robotic MissionsData/IP
Tranquility TrekWin X Prize andvisit Apollo 11
Q2 - 2010
Prove precision landing technology"Weathering" of Apollo 11 site materialsMeasure rate of micrometeorite impactsCharacterize dust from descent plume
South Pole ScoutShackleton Crater Rim
Q3 - 2011
Survey landing pad and habitat locationsGround truth on illumination patternsCharacterize soil and dust conditionsProve ability to survive the night
North Pole ScoutTBD Crater Rim
Q1 - 2012
Survey landing pad and habitat locationsGround truth on illumination patternsCharacterize soil and dust conditionsProve ability to survive the night
Moon Quake 1Shackleton Crater Rim
Q3 - 2012
Collect seismic and weather dataProve multi-year ability to functionLaser communication testConstant TV view of Earth
Ice SurveyorShackleton Crater Floor
Q2 - 2013
Confirm water and other volatiles existDetermine variability of ice concentration(By location and by depth)
Mission
Evolving lunar robotic systems will need regular field testing
7
Robotic Testing Requirements
Surface Rover Testing Lander Testing
• Mobility• Navigation• Obstacle recognition and avoidance
• Sensor system performance
• Regolith movement• ISRU experiments
• Landing characteristics• Plume effects• Obstacle recognition and avoidance
• Rover dismount operations
• Terrain fidelity• Regolith fidelity• Operational flexibility and availability
• Ease of access• Economic value
Test Facility:
Field campaigns for realistic operator training and reliability testing
8
Potential Products/Services for Test Facilities
• Landing/outpost topology• Regolith properties• Illumination characteristics• Communications lines
Benefits to PISCES:• Improve general test site fidelity• Recreate specific landing area characteristics
• Grade and obstacles• Illumination
• Detailed regolith composition and physical properties
Mutually beneficial relationship over long term
9
Preliminary observations from November 2008
Site realism for lunar robotic missions
• Size – Limited at current site, better at Pala Valley (Moon Crater)
• Topography – Interesting features, reasonable soil characteristics
• Vegetation – Excessive at current site, good at Pala Valley
Access
• Local – roads need improvement at both sites, political issues need further refinement to enable broader range use
• Global – comparable to other sites
Infrastructure
• Technical support – Excellent, centralized electrical and mechanical shops at UHH facilities
• Lodging and facilities – Very good on site and access to many facilities, cost may be an issue
• Media access – Very good
• Environment – Very long test season, Pala Valley altitude and temperature
A
B
B
Further development required but PISCES is off to a good start