Date post: | 11-Jan-2016 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | kristina-white |
View: | 219 times |
Download: | 0 times |
1
PRESENTATIONS BY THE PARTNER INSTITUTIONS OF THEJOINT SUMMIT WORKING GROUP – JSWG
INTER-AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK
(Promoting Human Prosperity: Progress, Challenges and Future Priorities)
SUMMIT IMPLEMENTATION REVIEW GROUP (SIRG) OEA/Ser.EThird Regular Meeting of 2008 GRIC/O.3/Inf.3/08September 18-19, 2008 18 September 2008Bridgetown, Barbados Original: English(Hilton Barbados Hotel)
2
Promoting Human Prosperity: Promoting Human Prosperity: Progress, Challenges and Future Progress, Challenges and Future
PrioritiesPriorities
Ian Ho-A-Shu, Social Development Specialist (HQ)Social Protection and Health DivisionInter-American Development Bank
3
The PresentationThe Presentation
• Poverty trends in LAC. Key challenges Poverty trends in LAC. Key challenges and priority areas.and priority areas.
• Education and Health trends in LAC. Education and Health trends in LAC. Key challenges and priority areasKey challenges and priority areas
• Labor market trends in LAC. Key Labor market trends in LAC. Key challenges and priority areas. challenges and priority areas.
• Closing commentsClosing comments
4
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Poverty rates and the number of Poverty rates and the number of poor people have declined poor people have declined
dramatically worldwidedramatically worldwide
Poverty Rates (%)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1970 1980 1990 1998
2 US/day
1 US/day
Number of Poor People (millions)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1970 1980 1990 1998
2 US/day
1 US/day
Source: Sala-i-Martin, NBER Working Paper 8933
5
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
……but not so in Latin Americabut not so in Latin America
Poverty Rates 2US/day
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1970 1980 1990 1998
Source: Sala-i-Martin, NBER Working Paper 8933
World
Latin America
6
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Current poverty rates are Current poverty rates are not much lower than in 1980not much lower than in 1980
Latin America: Trends in Poverty and IndigenceLatin America: Trends in Poverty and Indigence /a /a (percentage of individuals)(percentage of individuals)
14.714.715.415.416.916.9
19.419.418.518.51919
22.522.5
18.618.6
00
1010
2020
3030
4040
5050
6060
19801980 19901990 19971997 19991999 20022002 20042004 20052005 2006b/2006b/
IndigentIndigent Non-indigentNon-indigent
a/ Estimates for 18 countries of the region plus Haiti. a/ Estimates for 18 countries of the region plus Haiti. b/ Projections.b/ Projections.Source: ECLAC (2006). Social Panorama of Latin America 2006. Briefing paper. Source: ECLAC (2006). Social Panorama of Latin America 2006. Briefing paper.
40.540.5
48.348.343.543.5 43.843.8 4444
424239.839.8 38.538.5
7
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
This partly reflects low This partly reflects low growth ratesgrowth rates
8
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
……and income concentrationand income concentration
30.630.6
31.831.8
34.534.5
40.840.8
44.744.7
44.144.1
49.549.5
52.852.8
54.654.6
57.657.6
58.058.0
58.658.6
00 1010 2020 3030 4040 5050 6060 7070
PakistanPakistan
BangladeshBangladesh
PolandPoland
United StatesUnited States
ChinaChina
VenezuelaVenezuela
MexicoMexico
ArgentinaArgentina
PeruPeru
ChileChile
BrazilBrazil
ColombiaColombia
Gini Coefficient, 2000 or latest year availableGini Coefficient, 2000 or latest year available
Source: World Bank (2006).Source: World Bank (2006).
9
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Non-income aspects of development Non-income aspects of development have improved slowlyhave improved slowly
aMediansNote:Latin America and the Caribbean corresponds to the 26 countries members of the IDB .Source: UNDP (2006). Humand Development Report.
Human Development Index (0 – 1 Scale)
0.760.71
0.67
0.74
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1975 1985 1995 2004
LACDevelopedDeveloped AfricaEast AsiaEast Asia Rest of AsiaEastern EuropeEastern EuropeMiddle EastMiddle East
10
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
……but FPI in LAC may further impact but FPI in LAC may further impact poverty and human developmentpoverty and human development
Food Price Index Increases (%)January 2006 - March 2008
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Bahamas
Barbados
Peru
Mexico
Belize
Brazil
ElSalvador
Ecuador
Panama
Colombia
Chile
Argentina
Guatemala
Honduras
Haiti
Guyana
Uruguay
Bolivia
Costa Rica
Jamaica
Paraguay
Nicaragua
Trinidad&Tobago
Venezuela
%
LAC average
11
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Strategic Priorities in Poverty Strategic Priorities in Poverty reductionreduction
• Increase equity and coverage in Social Protection Increase equity and coverage in Social Protection Systems (SPS)Systems (SPS)
• Increase effectiveness of SPS: reduce program Increase effectiveness of SPS: reduce program fragmentation and duplications, reduce administrative fragmentation and duplications, reduce administrative costs, increase accountability.costs, increase accountability.
• Continue efforts to mainstream monitoring, evaluation Continue efforts to mainstream monitoring, evaluation and in general the measurement of the effectiveness, and in general the measurement of the effectiveness, impact and sustainability of social policies and impact and sustainability of social policies and programs. programs.
• Promote demand of health, nutrition and education Promote demand of health, nutrition and education services through information and incentives. services through information and incentives. (Conditional Cash Transfer programs)(Conditional Cash Transfer programs)
• In short: Strengthen Social Safety Nets, and in In short: Strengthen Social Safety Nets, and in particular, Conditional Cash Transfer Programs in particular, Conditional Cash Transfer Programs in the Regionthe Region. .
12
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Conditional Cash Transfer programsConditional Cash Transfer programs
13
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Education Accomplishment: AccessEducation Accomplishment: AccessEducation systems through LAC have almost all primary age students attending school
Net Enrollment Rate for Primary Education
14
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Education Challenges: Education Challenges: QualityQuality
Cognitive level of students lags behind that observed in countries at similar levels of income per capita
PISA 2006 results on science and level of income
Australia
AustriaBelgium
Canada
Czech Republic
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Iceland
Ireland
Italy
Japan
Korea
Mexico
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Slovak Republic SpainSweden
Switzerland
Turkey
United Kingdom
United States
400
425
450
475
500
525
550
575
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000
GDP per capita (USD using PPPs)
Argentina
Source: OECD PISA 2006
15
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Education Challenges: Education Challenges: EquityEquity
Significant income-related inequality in access, learning and overall educational results
Primary completion rates: Share of youths 15-24 years with a primary school degree
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Poorest Quintile
Richest Quintile
Source: Houselhold Surveys 2002-2006, SEDLAC
16
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
TertiaryTertiarySecondarySecondaryPrimaryPrimaryPreschoolPreschool
Education Priority AreasEducation Priority Areas
Quality of TeachersQuality of Teachers
School to Work School to Work TransitionTransition
Readiness to Readiness to LearnLearn
IDB EDUCATION
17
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Health has had outstanding Health has had outstanding improvementsimprovements
Life Expectancy*
5562
71
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1950s 1970-75 2000-05
* AveragesSource: UNDP (various years). Human Development Report.
LACDevelopedDeveloped AfricaEast AsiaEast Asia Rest of AsiaEastern EuropeEastern EuropeMiddle EastMiddle East
18
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
……and infant mortality is converging and infant mortality is converging fast to OECD levelsfast to OECD levels
Infant Mortality (Per 1000 live births)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1970 1980 1990 2004
Source: UNDP (various years). Human Development Report.
LACDevelopedDeveloped AfricaEast AsiaEast Asia Rest of AsiaEastern EuropeEastern EuropeMiddle EastMiddle East
19
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Burden of disease by clusters Burden of disease by clusters of causes in LAC (2002)of causes in LAC (2002)1.1. Infectious Infectious
diseases, diseases, maternal and maternal and birth related birth related causes, acute causes, acute malnutritionmalnutrition
2.2. Chronic Chronic diseasesdiseases
3.3. External Causes External Causes and Violenceand Violence
264%
122%
314%
……nevertheless, new challenges emerge…nevertheless, new challenges emerge…
20
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Strategic priorities in healthStrategic priorities in health
• Supporting the establishment of national health priorities, Supporting the establishment of national health priorities, linked with epidemiological profile and needs of the poor and linked with epidemiological profile and needs of the poor and excludedexcluded
• Strengthening the supervisory and regulatory role of the Strengthening the supervisory and regulatory role of the Health MinistriesHealth Ministries
• Separating financing and service delivery functionsSeparating financing and service delivery functions
• Improving the effectiveness of the services through primary Improving the effectiveness of the services through primary health carehealth care
• Regional initiatives: nutritional, epidemiological surveillance, Regional initiatives: nutritional, epidemiological surveillance, prevention of HIV/AIDS in mobile populations, drugs prevention of HIV/AIDS in mobile populations, drugs management and procurement, national health accounts etc.management and procurement, national health accounts etc.
• Malnutrition: Chronic undernutrition affects 8.8 million children Malnutrition: Chronic undernutrition affects 8.8 million children under 5, particularly in Central America and Andean countries under 5, particularly in Central America and Andean countries
21
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Labor markets in LAC in recent years Labor markets in LAC in recent years
show reason for cautious optimism…show reason for cautious optimism…
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 20068
8.5
9
9.5
10
10.5
11
11.5
12
GDP Growth Urban Unemployment
22
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Unemployment, low wages, and employment Unemployment, low wages, and employment instability are the main labor problems in Latin instability are the main labor problems in Latin
America.America.Most important problem in your country
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Discriminación racial
Medio ambiente
Transporte
Problemas de vivienda
Tráfico de drogas
Problemas de salud
Violaciones derechos humanoa
Consumo de drogas
Falta de oportunidades para jóvenes
Inflación
Baja calidad en la educación
Terrorismo/ violencia política
Bajos salarios
Inestabilidad laboral
Delincuencia /Insecuridad
Pobreza
Corrupción Desempleo
De: Latinobarometro, IPES, BID
23
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Strategic PrioritiesStrategic PrioritiesAccelerate the creation of decent jobs and
improve growth rates in the region
How?• Increasing the efficiency with which workers are matched
to jobs Ease reallocation through effective Labor Intermediation Systems.
• Adequately insuring workers against the risks of high job rotation Provide feasible and adequate income protection that do not penalize work/production.
• Enhancing the opportunities of workers by increasing their skills. Training systems and emphasis on basic education
• Improve the labor administration capacity to register, enforce and evaluate labor laws and regulations
24
Poverty: Poverty: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Education and Education and Health: Health: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPrioritiesLabor markets: Labor markets: Progress, Progress, Challenges, Challenges, Strategic Strategic PrioritiesPriorities
Final CommentsFinal Comments
Thank youThank you
www.iadb.orgwww.iadb.org