1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

1/26

(MPW)

Medical Properties Trust

All numbers in thousands

USD

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenues

Percent growth %

Revenues

COGS

As % revenues

COGS

Gross profit

Gross margin

SGA

As % revenues

SGA

Operating expenses

As % revenues

Operating expenses

EBITDA

EBITDA margin

Depreciation and Amort

As % prior net PPE

Depreciation and Amort

Interest income

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

2/26

Surplus funds

Cash

Other

Interest income

Interest expense

Rate of Change+1Additional funds needed

ST notes

Long term debt

Interest expense

EBT

EBT Margin

Net income

Net margin

Income Aft er Interest Expense

Shares Outstanding(Weighted Average

Share Rate of Change+1

Dividends per commond share

Divden Growth Rate+1

Dividends

Payout ratio %

Dividends

Net to retained earnings

BALANCE SHEET

ASSETS

Cash

% of revenues

Cash

Interest rate %

Interest income

Accounts receivable

% of revenues

Accounts receivable

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

3/26

Inventory(Real Estate Assets)

% of revenues

Days of COGS

Inventory(Real Estate Assets)

Gross PPECapex

% of revenues

Capex

Accmulated depreciation

Net PPE

Other assets

% of revenues

rate if change +1

Other assets

Total assets

LIABILITIES

Accounts payable

% of revenues

Days of COGS

Accounts payable

Long term debt

Long term debt

Interest rate %

Interest expense

Other long term liabilities

% of revenues

Other long term liabilities

Total liabilities

EQUITY

Common stock

Common stock

Retained earnings

as a % of Rev

Additional Paid in Capital

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

4/26

Rate of Change +1

Net to retained earnings

Retained earnings

Capital Surplus

Treasury Stock

Retained EarningsTotal S-H equity

Total Liabilities + SH equity

Total Assets

Pluggable

Pluggable as a % of assets

Graphical Displays

Data;

Original;INCOME STATEMENT

Revenues

Percent growth %

Revenues

Dynamic;Modified Revenue

Revenues

Percent growth %

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

5/26

Revenues

F9 Recalculates

Randomized Multiplier

Moderate Fluctuations

Year

Modified Proj. Past 2013

X Axis = Years

2010 = Year 1

Y Axis = Revenues

USD

Acute Fluctuations

Year

Modified Proj. Past 2013

X Axis = Years

2010 = Year 1

Y Axis = RevenuesUSD

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

6/26

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

7/26

Piano accompaniment

Roughly Based On: Building Financial Models by John Tjia

Model By David Stafford of port fo l io-sm ith.com/seekingalpha.com "ins tablogger"/author

Graphs by same author

December 31 2010 December 31 2011

108024.00 135484.00

0.25

108024.00 135484.00

4381.00 738.00

0.04 0.01

4381.00 738.00

103643.00 134746.00

0.96 0.99

26509.00 27219.00

0.25 0.20

26509.00 27219.00

34923.00 35080.00

0.32 0.26

34923.00 35080.00

42211.00 72447.00

0.39 0.53

24000.00 33000.00

na 0.03

24000.00 33000.00

2.00 0.00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qLPUd2q3R44https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qLPUd2q3R44

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

8/26

98000.00 103000.00

0.00 0.00

2.00 0.00

34000.00 44000.00

1.23

369970.00 689849.00

34000.00 44000.00

44720.00 66666.00

0.41 0.49

44720.00 66666.00

0.41 0.49

10720.00 22666.00

101000.00 111000.00

1.09

0.80 0.80

80800.00 88800.00

1.81 1.33

80800.00 88800.00

(70080.00) (66134.00)


98000.00 103000.00

0.91 0.76

98000.00 103000.00

1445000.00 1707000.00

13.38 12.60

1445000.00 1707000.00

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

9/26

1197000.00 1222000.00

11.08 9.02

99727.23 604376.69

1197000.00 1222000.00

1197000.00 1222000.00 1000.00

0.01

1000.00

76000.00 104000.00

1121000.00 1118000.00

74000.00 284000.00

0.69 2.10

1.67

74000.00 284000.00

1269000.00 1686000.00

35974.00 51125.00

0.33 0.38

2997.15 25285.40

35974.00 51125.00

369970.00 689849.00

369970.00 689849.00

0.09 0.06

34000.00 44000.00

23000.00 23000.00

0.21 0.17

23000.00 23000.00

428944.00 763974.00

101000.00 111000.00

101000.00 111000.00

(149000.00) (214000.00)

(1.38) (1.58)

1052.00 1055.00

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

10/26

1.00

(149000.00) (214000.00)

840056.00 922026.00

(262.00) (262.00)

(149000.00) (214000.00)690794.00 707764.00

1119738.00 1471738.00

1269000.00 1686000.00

149262.00 214262.00

0.12 0.13


108024.00 135484.00

0.25

108024.00 135484.00


108024.00 135484.00

0.25

Conclusion; Pluggable discrepancy

projected time periods(2013+),(

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

11/26

108024.00 135484.00


108024.00 135484.00


108024.00 135484.00

0.00

100000.00

200000.00

300000.00

400000.00

500000.00

600000.00

700000.00

0 1 2 3

D

0.00

100000.00

200000.00

300000.00

400000.00

500000.00

600000.00

0 1 2 3

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

12/26

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

13/26

Sources;

Source for 2013 Data Source for up to 2012 Data

Proj Proj

December 31 2012 December 31 2013 December 31 2014 December 31 2015

201397.00 242524.00 292049.49 376522.20

0.49 0.20 0.29 0.29

201397.00 242524.00 292049.49 376522.20

1495.00 1800.29 5201.02 6705.37

0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02

1495.00 1800.29 5201.02 6705.37

199902.00 240723.71 286848.47 369816.83

0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98

28582.00 30063.00 36202.12 46673.26

0.14 0.12 0.12 0.12

28582.00 30063.00 36202.12 46673.26

38965.00 59000.00 71048.31 91598.40

0.19 0.24 0.24 0.24

38965.00 59000.00 71048.31 91598.40

132355.00 151660.71 179598.04 231545.17

0.66 0.63 0.61 0.61

34000.00 33604.65 50595.01 71155.37

0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03

34000.00 33604.65 50595.01 71155.37

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
http://www.4-traders.com/MEDICAL-PROPERTIES-TRUST-13603/news/Medical-Properties-Trust-Inc--Reports-Outstanding-2013-Results-17908603/http://finance.yahoo.com/q/cf?s=MPW+Cash+Flow&annualhttp://finance.yahoo.com/q/cf?s=MPW+Cash+Flow&annualhttp://www.4-traders.com/MEDICAL-PROPERTIES-TRUST-13603/news/Medical-Properties-Trust-Inc--Reports-Outstanding-2013-Results-17908603/

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

14/26

37000.00 45000.00 45000.00 45000.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

58000.00 63000.00 74508.36 87919.86

1.24 1.08 1.18 1.18

1025160.00 1421680.00 1681381.66 1984030.36

58000.00 63000.00 74508.36 87919.86

126937.00 148119.06 165205.15 207063.06

0.63 0.61 0.57 0.55

126937.00 148119.06 165205.15 207063.06

0.63 0.61 0.57 0.55

68937.00 85119.06 90696.79 119143.20

132000.00 151000.00 169875.44 191110.37

1.16 1.13 1.13 1.13

0.80 0.81 0.85 0.89

1.05 1.05

105600.00 122310.00 144479.06 170666.34

0.83 1.32 1.32 1.32

105600.00 122310.00 144479.06 170666.34

(36663.00) (37190.94) (53782.28) (51523.14)

Proj Proj


37000.00 45000.00 61666.67 47888.89

0.18 0.19 0.21 0.13

37000.00 45000.00 61666.67 47888.89

0.03 0.03 0.03

1230.00 1600.00 1643.33

1594000.00 2739765.05 3299248.64 4253526.90

7.91 11.30 11.30 11.30

1594000.00 1594000.00 1594000.00 1594000.00

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

15/26

1228000.00 1823683.00 2550350.94 3288017.21

6.10 8.73 8.73 8.73

299812.71 334638.88 334638.88 334638.88

1228000.00 1823683.00 2550350.94 3288017.21

1228000.00 1823683.00 2550350.94 3288017.21(27000.00) 561683.00 693063.29 687071.26

(0.13) (0.06) (0.06) (0.09)

(27000.00) (15361.79) (18498.80) (32725.58)

123000.00 160000.00 210595.01 281750.38

1105000.00 1663683.00 2339755.93 3006266.83

906000.00 1148000.00 1382431.48 1130823.33

4.50 4.73 3.00 3.00

1.53 1.05 1.42 1.33

906000.00 1148000.00 1382431.48 1130823.33

2917000.00 3959683.00 5104618.88 5267913.49

65961.00 94311.00 104171.10 134301.66

0.33 0.39 0.36 0.36

16104.19 19121.07 7310.57 7310.57

65961.00 94311.00 104171.10 134301.66

1025160.00 1421680.00 1681381.66 1984030.36

1025160.00 1421680.00 1681381.66 1984030.36

0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07

58000.00 86560.21 109774.92 129668.81

21000.00 22333.33 22111.11 21814.81

0.10 0.09 0.08 0.06

21000.00 22333.33 22111.11 21814.81

1112121.00 1538324.33 1807663.87 2140146.83

132000.00 151000.00 169875.44 191110.37

132000.00 151000.00 169875.44 191110.37

(233000.00) (122071.89) (167171.86) (217228.39)

(1.16) (1.37) (1.37) (1.30)

1096.00 1421.25 2303.78 4667.89

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

16/26

1.04 1.30 1.62 2.03

(233000.00) (122071.89) (167171.86) (217228.39)

1804879.00 2421358.67 3296955.01 3127766.66

(262.00) (262.00) (262.00) (262.00)

(233000.00) (122071.89) (167171.86) (217228.39)1571617.00 2299024.78 3129521.15 2910276.27

2683738.00 3837349.11 4937185.02 5050423.11

2917000.00 3959683.00 5104618.88 5267913.49

233262.00 122333.89 167433.86 217490.39

0.08 0.03 0.03 0.04


201397.00 242524.00 292049.49 376522.20

0.49 0.20 0.29 0.29

201397.00 242524.00 292049.49 376522.20


201397.00 242524.00 292049.49 376522.20

0.49 0.20 0.29 0.29

does not have statistically significant effect on

5).

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

17/26

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

18/26

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

19/26

General Notes

May be relatively simplified in regards to regular REIT Modeling per se

May be useful in diagnosing general trends concerning the entities capital per se.

May be helpful none-the less as a model to be "tweeked" to one's taste per se.

Income after interest expense may be more pertinent than for a normal company per seCombination of several sources, thoroughly explained in notes/individual cell comments

A few one time annual charges may be absent

May include some items not so pertinent to an entity like MPW

Volatility may be represented as quite simply volatility, as opposed to intention based volatility per se

Dynamic Revenue Graphs at bottom of sheet

May not take into account full kurtosis/skewness of volatility per se of MPW's investment activities

*Note Slight discrepancy between 2012- and 2013 Data Sources

Proj Proj

December 31 2016 December 31 2017 Morningstar on MPW

485427.89 625833.58 Source for logo

0.29 0.29

485427.89 625833.58

Google Finance Source

8644.84 11145.28

0.02 0.02 MPW Webpage for 2013 Data

8644.84 11145.28

476783.05 614688.29

0.98 0.98

60173.09 77577.62

0.12 0.12

60173.09 77577.62

118092.42 152249.60

0.24 0.24

118092.42 152249.60

298517.54 384861.08

0.61 0.61

91424.93 117566.76

0.03 0.03

91424.93 117566.76

0.00 0.00
http://financials.morningstar.com/ratios/r.html?t=MPWhttp://www.dividend.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/storypics/medical-properties-trust.pnghttps://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AMPW&fstype=ii&ei=COX0UvjpI8PcsQf7vgEhttp://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=185765&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1897670&highlight=http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=185765&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1897670&highlight=https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AMPW&fstype=ii&ei=COX0UvjpI8PcsQf7vgEhttp://www.dividend.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/storypics/medical-properties-trust.pnghttp://financials.morningstar.com/ratios/r.html?t=MPW

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

20/26

45000.00 45000.00

0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00

103745.44 122419.62

1.18 1.18

2341155.82 2762563.87

103745.44 122419.62

267265.70 344871.94

0.55 0.55

267265.70 344871.94

0.55 0.55

163520.26 222452.32

214999.73 241875.33

1.13 1.13

0.94 0.98

1.05 1.05

201600.14 238140.79

1.32 1.32

201600.14 238140.79

(38079.88) (15688.46)

Proj Proj


51518.52 53691.36

0.11 0.09

51518.52 53691.36

0.03 0.03

1491.11 1578.15

5483821.63 7069968.15

11.30 11.30

1594000.00 1594000.00

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

21/26

4239046.87 5465153.39

8.73 8.73

334638.88 334638.88

4239046.87 5465153.39

4239046.87 5465153.39879874.30 1134681.59

(0.07) (0.07)

(34562.14) (46198.21)

373175.31 490742.07

3865871.56 4974411.32

1457903.90 1879589.60 Amalgamation of several different data sources data

3.00 3.00

1.27 1.34

1457903.90 1879589.60

6781679.36 8733590.53

173147.22 223228.51

0.36 0.36

7310.57 7310.57

173147.22 223228.51

2341155.82 2762563.87

2341155.82 2762563.87

0.07 0.07

153009.19 180550.85

22086.42 22004.12

0.05 0.04

22086.42 22004.12

2536389.46 3007796.49

214999.73 241875.33

214999.73 241875.33

(292592.68) (391666.65)

(1.35) (1.34)

11822.53 37429.18

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

22/26

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

23/26

485427.89 625833.58

0.80 0.92


388342.31 575766.89

0.75 0.88


364070.91 550733.55

9

Dynamic Revenues

9

Dynamic Revenues(Acute)

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

24/26

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

25/26

8/13/2019 1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

26/26

Item # Effector

1 95 Multiplier as a %

2 91 1 2 3 4

3 80 0.95 0.91 0.8 0.92

4 92

*Multiplier Range; 65-95

Item # Effector

5 46 Multiplier as a %

6 60 5 6 7 8

7 75 0.46 0.6 0.75 0.88

8 88

Date post:	04-Jun-2018
Category:	Documents
Upload:	david
View:	224 times
Download:	1 times

1 sheet MPW Feb 2014

Documents