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11. Capital Structure.ppt

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    1

    Capital Structure, Dividend Policy(Chapters 14-18)

    Proft and loss diagrams

    Principle o fnancial leverage

    !a" o the Conservation o #nvestment$alue

    Standard allacy% ris& vs' return

    eighted average cost o capitala*es and +an&ruptcy costs

    Dividend policy

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    P0= 100

    t = 1

    D1= 10

    Profit

    50 75

    25

    125 150

    -25

    Buy Stock

    (with payout)

    Loss

    BUY STOCK (proft/loss diagram)

    Future Stock Price (Pt)

    Buy Stock(without payout)

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    P0= 100

    t = 1

    r = .15

    D1= 10

    50 75

    25

    125 150

    -25

    Short Stock

    (with payout and

    with interest on proceeds)

    Short Stock

    Profit

    Loss

    SHORT STOCK (proft/loss diagram)

    Short Stock(with payout only)

    Future Stock Price (Pt)

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    P0= 100

    t = 1

    r = .15

    50 75

    25

    125 150

    -25

    Loss

    Profit

    LEND CASH(proft/loss diagram)

    Future Stock Price (Pt)

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    P0= 100

    t = 1

    r = .15

    D1= 0

    50 75

    25

    125 150

    -25

    Additivity Principle: Add vertical distances of dashed lines to the horizontal axis.

    Loss

    Profit

    !" STOCKand !" CASH#Additi$it% &ri'ipl

    Future Stock Price (Pt)

    50%Stock, 50%Cash

    Lend Cash

    Buy Stock

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    P0= 100

    t = 1

    r = .15

    D1= 0

    50 75

    25

    125 150

    -25

    50%Stock, 50%Cash

    (Lending)

    100%Stock

    150%Stock, -50%Cash

    (Borrowing)

    Loss

    Profit

    X%STOCKa'd (100-X)%CASH#&ri'ipl o* +i'a'ial L$rag

    Principle of Financial Leverage: More borrowing increases the range of possiblegains and losses.

    Future Stock Price (Pt)

    Question: Suppose the

    stock has a higher

    expected return than

    cash, how doesleverage affect overall

    risk and expected

    return?

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    $aluing an sset

    Conceptually, there are two ways you can get the value of

    an asset:

    Calculate the value of what the asset provides

    that is, compute the present value of the expected cash flows

    Calculate the value of all claims to the asset

    for example, compute the value of a company y adding up all the

    claims investors have on the company!s cash flows

    Question:"oes the ratio of det to e#uity affect the value

    of the corporation$

    ssets . !ia+ilities / 0uities

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    !a" o the Conservation o#nvestment $alue

    If the inest!ent alue of an enterprise as a whole is "y definition the present

    worth of all its future distri"utions to security holders, whether on interest or

    diidend account, then this alue in no wise depends on what the co!pany#s

    capitali$ation is% Clearly, if a single indiidual or a single institutional inestor

    owned all the "onds, stocks, and warrants issued "y a corporation, it would not

    !atter to this inestor what the co!pany#s capitali$ation was (e&cept for details

    concerning the inco!e ta&)% 'ny earnings collected as interest could not "e

    collected as diidends% o such an indiidual it would "e perfectly o"ious that

    total interest and diidendpaying power was in no wise dependent on the kind

    of securities issued to the co!pany#s owner% Further!ore, no change in the

    inest!ent alue of the enterprise as a whole would result fro! a change in its

    capitali$ation% Bonds could "e retired with stock issues, or two classes of *uniorsecurities (i%e% co!!on stock and warrants) could "e co!"ined into one, without

    changing the inest!ent alue of the co!pany as a whole% Such constancy of

    inest!ent alue is analogous to the indestructi"ility of !atter and energy+ it

    leads us to speak of the Law of the Conseration of Inest!ent alue, *ust as

    physicists speak of the Law of the Conseration of -atter, or the Law of the

    Conseration of .nergy%/

    0 1ohn Burr 2illia!s, The Theory of Investment Value(3456), pp% 7875%

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    r+itrage Proo

    -odigliani-iller heore!9 he alue of a fir! is independent of

    its capital structure (een with uncertainty)%

    -odigliani-iller heore!9 he alue of a fir! is independent of

    its capital structure (een with uncertainty)%

    VU= EU unlevered fir!" VL= DL+ EL levered fir!"

    X XU= XL # operating inco!e"

    VU= VL VU= VLVU= VL VU= VL

    Homemade leverage argument: don$t pa% for so!eone else to !ake

    so!ething %ou can !ake %ourself for free.

    Current :ate Future :ate

    Buy %shares of U EU= VU X

    Buy %"onds of L DL min[X rDL!

    Buy %shares of L DL m"#[0 X $ rDL!

    otal DL+ EL= VL X

    Le&icon9 alue of fir!/9 V

    alue of stock/9 E

    stock price per share/9

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    13

    Pie heory

    Dept

    Equity

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    11

    ssumptions or the Conservation !a"

    (1) &'er"tin inome (*rom "ssets) is not "**ete ,"'it" struture (/te tot" 'ie is *i#e):no an%ruptcy costs

    no differential transactions costs etween issuing or trading stoc% and onds

    no changes in managerial incentives &stoc% options'

    no changes in stoc%holder incentives &changes in the ris% of assets'

    (2) 3e 'ro'ortion o* te o'er"tin inome t"t is

    4oint "o"te to sto "n ,ons is not "**ete, te *irm6s "'it" struture (/on stooers"n ,onoers e"t te 'ie):no differential taxes etween income from stoc% and onds

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    1

    Pie Chart "ith a*es

    Equity

    Taxes

    Debt

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    15

    Proo*:

    Step 1: t"rt 7it "n une8ere *irm (7it n outst"nin s"res):VU= EU= nU

    Step 2: 3e *irm "ters its "'it" struture , ,uin ," m s"res "n

    re'"in tem o"r *or o"r 7it ,ons:

    VL= EL+ DL= (n $ m)L+ mL= nL

    7ere in ener" te sto o* te e8ere *irm m" se "t " i**erent 'rie 'er

    s"re o* L.

    Step 3: 9o7e8er sine VL= nL "n VU= nU,

    i* VL= VU ten L= U

    Stoc& Price Constancy

    If the alue of a fir! is independent of its capitali$ation structure,

    then so too is the fir!#s stock price%

    If the alue of a fir! is independent of its capitali$ation structure,

    then so too is the fir!#s stock price%

    ;ote9 &f the fir! starts with debt, for this to hold, the recapitalization cannot affect the !arket value of this debt.

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    14

    Standard 6allacy

    ( firm can invest in a pro)ect with an expected rate ofreturn of 10* and orrow money at an interest rate of 5*+hould the pro)ect e funded with det or e#uity$

    et the proportion #of the pro)ect e financed y stoc%and 1 $ #y det+ .hen the expected rate of return tostoc%holders E(4)is determined y:

    .10 = (1 $ #).05 + #E(4)

    ; E(4) = .05 + .05

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    17

    Standard 6allacy (continued)

    hat aout ris%$ uppose the annual standard deviation of the returnof the pro)ect is 20*+ .hen

    .202= V"r[(1 $ #).05 + #4! = #2V"r(4)

    ;.20 =#t(4) ; D(4) = .20

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    1

    eighted verage Cost oCapital (CC)

    .he cost of capital is another name for the

    discount rate or expected return+

    .he ?@AAis the overall expected return ofthe firm as a whole+

    .o see why, thin% of the firm as a portfolio

    consisting of D

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    1

    Signifcance o CC

    6nder the conditions for the .heorem, for

    capital udgeting pro)ects that have the same

    8ris%9 as the average firm investment, ?@AAisthe proper discount rate in calculating its present

    value+

    /f not same ris% as average, then use the C(&to e developed later'+

    /f capital structure affects firm value, then still

    holds as longs as capital structure is not changed+

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    18

    9:euired :eturn; on 0uity ora !evered 6irm

    .he theorem implies that the ?@AAmust

    e the same no matter what the amount of

    leverage+

    .hin% what would happen if the firm only has one

    investor who holds all the det and e#uity+

    et 0e the ?@AAof an all e#uity firm+

    .he (CCof a levered firm is given y

    ED R

    ED

    ER

    ED

    DR

    +

    +

    +

    =0

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    12

    :euired :eturn on 0uity(continued)

    ultiplying oth sides y (D+E)

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    3

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    1

    6ederal #ncome a*ation

    --------- personal tax rates ---------

    year corporate interest dividends cap gains4

    71-7> >* 70* 70* ?5*

    7@->1 A* 70* 70* 2>*

    >2->A A* 50* 50* 20*

    >7 0* ?@* ?@* 2>*

    >>-@0 ?* 2>* 2>* 2>*

    @1-@2 ?* ?1* ?1* 2>*

    @?-@A ?5* 0* 0* 2>*

    @7-00 ?5* 0* 0* 20*

    01-02 ?5* ?@* ?@* 20*

    0?-05 ?5* ?5* 15* 15*

    4 actually much lower in practice due to delay of tax payment until realiBation

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    0>ect o a*es

    hen the firm pays taxes, you can thin% of thegovernment as )ust another claimant+

    .hus there are now three claims on the firm&1' #uity holders

    &2' "et holders

    &?' .he government &/;'

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    5

    ?ey 6eature o the @S a* Code

    /nterest payment on det occurs on a efore-taxasis, whereas as dividends are paid on an after-

    tax asis+.o see the general effect, assume that arningsDefore /nterest and .axes &D/.' is constant inperpetuity+

    arnings after taxes for the all e#uity firm are:

    EBC3(1 $ 3))

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    4

    ll-0uity 6irm

    (ssume earnings after taxes are e#ual to ECE to

    e#uity+ .hen, ecause there are no ondholders,

    this is also the total cash flow paid out after

    taxes+

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    7

    !evered 6irm

    Eirst interest is paid to the ond holders &on a pretax asis':

    DD

    .hus, remaining income is: EBC3 $ DD.he remaining cash flow &after taxes' to e#uity holders is:

    (EBC3 $ DD)(1 $ 3)

    .otal cash flow paid out &to det and e#uity' after taxes:

    (EBC3 $ DD)(1 $ 3) + DD

    EBC3(1 $ 3) + DD3

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    Comparison o the otal Cash6lo" paid out

    6nlevered firm:

    EBC3(1 $ 3)

    evered firm:

    EBC3(1 $ 3) + DD3

    .hus the levered firm pays out higher cash flows to its investors

    .he difference, DD3, is the extra cash flow going to e#uityholders that is not going to the government+ .his is the called

    the 8tax shield+9 Clearly, the cash flow to investors depends in

    this case on the det-to-e#uity ratio+

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    Present $alue o the a* Shield

    .he extra cash flow to e#uity holders is DD3),

    (pplying the perpetuity formulae provides the

    present value of this cash flow:

    (DD3))

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    8

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    2

    @nlevered 6irm %:eturn on 0uity "ith a*es

    hat is the return on e#uity to an unlevered firm

    in the constant perpetuity model$

    0= EBC3(1 $ 3))

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    53

    !evered 6irm %:eturn on 0uity "ith a*es

    hat is the return on e#uity to a levered firm in

    the constant perpetuity model$

    E= (EBC3 $ DD)(1 $ 3))

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    51

    !evered 6irm(continued)

    ustituting for VUfrom the .heorem with taxes

    gives &VL= VU+ 3D':

    E= [(VL$ 3D)0$ DD(1 $ 3)!

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    5

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    55

    Capital Structure PuAAle

    (verage G500 firms have ratio:

    /nterestHD/. F &aout' ?5*

    uBBle: why is this not 100*$

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    54

    Ban&ruptcy (no ta*es)

    Ban&ruptcy process% "or&out Chapter 11 reorganiAation

    Chapter liuidationhat costs are associated "ith +an&ruptcy !oss o sales and employees !a"yersccountants gency

    @nderinvestment :eputation 6ire sales o assets 0*pert "itnesses (+y ar the most Eustifa+le

    e*penseF)

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    57

    :evised Pie heory

    .hese costs areorne y the

    stoc%holders+

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    5

    Caution

    3ere we have to e careful, ecause rational

    customers should understand that if %eeping the

    pro)ects going is a positive IJ investment, thenan%ruptcy cannot affect the decision+

    Der%!s .heory:

    hy do employees suffer$ hy are they not earningtheir mar%et wages$ ;is%+ #uity holders insure

    employees Dan%ruptcy prevents ris% sharing, and

    thus is costly+

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    5

    :evised Pie heory%Ban&ruptcy / a*es

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    58

    Gther Considerations

    (gency costs: moral haBard: ris%y over-

    investment

    (symmetric information ignaling: leverage indicates CK confidence

    (dverse selection: 8lemon!s prolem9 with e#uity

    6n)ustified differences of eliefs

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    52

    Dividend dates

    "eclaration date &arch 2@, 1@@@'

    "ay the oard of directors ma%es a decision to pay a

    dividend

    x-dividend date &.hursday, (pril 15, 1@@@'

    2 usiness days efore date of record+ (ll ro%erage

    houses guarantee that if the stoc% is purchasedbeforethis date, the holder will get the dividend

    Kn (pril 15 the stoc% trades ex-dividendwhile on(pril 1 it trades cum-dividend. Lstoc% price 8falls9M

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    Dividend dates (continued)

    "ate ;ecord &onday, (pril 1@, 1@@@'

    ist of stoc%holders of recordwho will get a dividend

    ayment "ate &Eriday, ay 2>, 1@@@'

    "ay the dividend chec%s are mailed

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    41

    #rrelevance o Dividend Policy

    .o first order &that is, holding investment policyfixed and ignoring taxes' dividend policy isirrelevant -- it should not affect firm value+

    .he reason is any investor can change hispersonal dividend policy y either selling oruying more shares, and the firm can

    accomplish the same thing through sharerepurchase+

    ince dividend policy is a financial decision,this is really )ust and example of + /n this

    context, when might dividend policy matter$

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    4

    Dividend Policy "ith a*es(in the @S)

    ince dividends are usually taxed at higher rate

    than capital gains &even today', it would seem

    that it is not optimal for a firm to issuedividends+

    .hat is, rather than pay dividends firms should

    reinvest the money or repurchase its shares and let

    shareholders manufacture their personal dividends

    y selling stoc%+

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