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In this chapter it is attempted to focus on various fundamental aspects of
commodity market such as Commodity, Market, Commodity Market, Evolution of
Commodity Market, History of Commodity Market in India, Regulatory Frame
Work, Commodity Exchanges, and Benefits of commodity exchange.
India, a commodity based economy where two-third of the one billion populations
depends on agriculture commodities. Surprisingly, it has an under-developed
commodity market. Unlike the physical market, futures market trades in
commodity are largely used as risk management (hedging) mechanism on either
commodity itself or open position in commodity stock.
1.1 COMMODITY
A commodity may be defined as an article, a product or a material that is bought
and sold. It can be classified as every kind of movable property, expect actionable
claim, money & securities. Commodities actually offer immense potential to
become separate asset class for investors, arbitragers and speculators. Retail
investors, who claim to understand the equity markets, may find commodities
difficult to understand. But commodities are easy to understand as far as
fundamentals of demand and supply are concerned. Retail investors should
understand the risks and advantages of trading in commodity future before taking
a leap. Historically, pricing in commodities futures has been less volatile
compared with equity and bonds, thus providing an efficient portfolio option.
In order to qualify as a commodity, an article or a product has to meet some basic
characteristics, which are as follows:
1. The product must be basic, raw, unprocessed state. (e.g. wheat is a commodity;
but wheat flour and bread are not commodities). There are of course some
exception to this rule e.g. in case of metal and product like sugar.
2. Major consideration while buying a particular commodity is its price.
3. The product has to be fairly standardized in the sense that there cannot any
differentiation in a product based on its quality (e.g. Rice is rice through
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different varieties of rice can be treated as different commodities and hence
traded as separate contract).
4. Price of the product are determined by market forces, demand and supply and
they undergo rapid changes/fluctuation (price must fluctuate enough to create
uncertainty, which means both risk and potential profit/loss for buyers and
sellers).
5. Usually there would be many competing seller of the product in the market.
6. The product should have adequate shelf life so that delivery of a future contract
can be differed.
1.2 MARKET
Market is a place where buyer and seller meet to transact a business i.e. for
exchange of goods and services for a consideration, which is usually money.
Markets are usually and traditionally at a place or location, where buyer and seller
could meet. However, in modern world, buyer and seller on telephone lines or on
internet can transact the business. Hence, in today’s world market need not exist in
physical form as long as the exchange of goods and services take place for a
consideration. Markets have existed for centuries in India and abroad for selling
and buying of goods and services.
1.3 COMMODITY MARKET
Commodity markets are markets where raw or primary products are exchanged.
These raw commodities are traded on regulated commodities exchanges, in which
they are bought and sold in standardized contract. It is similar to an equity market,
but instead of buying or selling shares one buys or sells commodities.
Existence of a vibrant, active and liquid commodity market is normally considered
as a healthy sign of development of any economy. Commodity markets quite often
have their centers in developed countries though the primary commodities in many
cases are produced in developing countries. Birth and growth of transparent
commodity market is thus a sign of development of an economy. This has
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particular significance in case of country like India, which produced agricultural
products as well as number of basic commodities, which are traded on commodity
exchanges world over.
Commodity future in particular help price discovery and assist investors in
hedging their risks by taking positions in commodities and exploiting arbitrage
opportunities in the market.
1.4 EVOLUTION OF COMMODITY MARKETS
Commodities futures trading have evolved from the need for ensuring continuous
supply of seasonal agricultural crops. In Japan, merchant stored rice in warehouses
for future use. In order to raise cash, warehouse holder sold receipts against the
stored rice. These were known as “rice ticket”. Eventually, such rice ticket became
accepted as a kind of general commercial currency. Rules came into being, to
standardize the trading in rice tickets.
The concept of organized trading in commodities evolved in the middle of 19th
century, in Chicago, United states. Chicago had emerged as a major commercial
hub with railroad and telegraph-lines connecting it with the rest of the world,
thereby attracting wheat producers from Mid-west to sell their produce to the
dealers and distributors. However, lack of organized storage facilities and the
absence of a uniform weighing/grading mechanism often confined them to the
mercy of dealer’s discretion. This led to inherent need to establish a common
meeting place both for farmers and dealers to transact in “spot” grain – to deliver
wheat and receive cash in return. This happened in 1848.
Gradually the farmers (sellers) and dealers (buyers) started to make commitment
to exchange the produce for cash in future. This is how the contract for future
trading evolved whereby the producer would agree to sell his produce (wheat) to
the buyer at a future delivery date at an agreed upon price. In this way the farmer
knew in advance about what he would receive for his produce and the dealer
would know about his costs involved. This arrangement was beneficial to both the
producer and the trader.
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These contracts became popular very quickly and started changing hands even
before delivery date of the product. If dealer is not interested in taking delivery of
the produce he would sell his contract to someone who needed the same. Similarly
the farmer who did not intend to deliver his crop would pass on the responsibility
to another. The price of the contract would depend on the price movement in the
wheat market.
With some more modification, such contract gradually transformed into an
instrument to protect the parties involved against adverse factors like unexpected
price movement, unfavorable climate factors etc. for example, during bad whether
people having contracts to sell wheat would be interested to hold more valuable
contracts due to supply shortage. Conversely, if there is oversupply, the seller’s
contract value would decline. This prompted the entry of traders in the future
market that had no intentions to buy or sell wheat but would purely speculate on
price movement in the market to earn profit. The hedgers (farmers) who wanted to
protect themselves from price fluctuations began to efficiently transfer risk to
dealers.
Trading in futures as a result become a very profitable mode of activity that
encourage the entry of other commodities in the future market thereby creating a
platform to set up a body that can regulate and supervise these contract. Thus,
during 1848, the Chicago board of trade was established. It was initially formed as
a common location known both to the buyers and sellers to negotiate forward
contracts. However, the popularity of the contract and the success of the CBOT in
Chicago created interest in the other local market catering to specific commodities
to establish trade bodies that would facilitate dealing in future contract.
In the early 20th
century, as communication and transportation became more
advanced, centralize warehouse were built in the principal market centers to
distribute goods more economically. Agriculture commodities were the most
commonly traded, but it led to the fact that a market can flourish for any
underlying as long as there is an active pool of buyers and sellers.
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In the 1870s and 1880s the New York coffee, cotton and produce exchange were
born. The largest commodity exchange in USA are the Chicago board of trade,
The Chicago mercantile exchange, The New York mercantile exchange, the New
York commodity exchange and the New York coffee, sugar and Cocoa Exchange.
Worldwide there are major future trading exchange in over twenty countries
including Canada, England, India, France, Singapore, Japan, Australia, and New
Zealand.
The various exchanges are constantly looking for new products in which to trade
futures. In USA, futures’ trading is regulated by an agency of the department of
agriculture called the commodity future trading commission. It regulates the future
exchange, brokerage firms, money managers and commodity advisors.
1.5 HISTORY OF THE COMMODITY MARKET IN INDIA
Bombay Cotton Trade Association Ltd., set up in 1875, was the first organized
futures market. Bombay Cotton Exchange Ltd. was established in 1893 following
the widespread discontent amongst leading cotton mill owners and merchants over
functioning of Bombay Cotton Trade Association. The Futures trading in oilseeds
started in 1900 with the establishment of the Gujarati Vyapari Mandali, which
carried on futures trading in groundnut, castor seed and cotton. A future trading in
wheat was existent at several places in Punjab and Uttar Pradesh. But the most
notable futures exchange for wheat was chamber of commerce at Hapur set up in
1913. Futures trading in bullion began in Mumbai in 1920. Calcutta Hessian
Exchange Ltd. was established in 1919 for futures trading in raw jute and jute
goods. But organized futures trading in raw jute began only in 1927 with the
establishment of East Indian Jute Association Ltd. These two associations
amalgamated in 1945 to form the East India Jute & Hessian Ltd. to conduct
organized trading in both Raw Jute and Jute goods. Forward Contracts
(Regulation) Act was enacted in 1952 and the Forwards Markets Commission
(FMC) was established in 1953 under the Ministry of Consumer Affairs and
Public Distribution. In due course, several other exchanges were created in the
country to trade in diverse commodities.
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1.6 REGULATORY FRAME WORK
The Forward Market Commission (FMC) headquartered at Mumbai, is the
regulatory body for commodity derivatives market in India. It is a statutory body
set up in 1953 under the forward contract regulation Act, 1952. FMC is in turn
supervised by the Ministry of Consumer affairs, Food and Public distribution,
Govt. of India.
The Act provides that the commission shall consist of not less than two but not
exceeding four members appointed by the central govt. to be the chairman thereof.
Currently the commission comprises four members among whom Shri S.
Sundeareshan, IAS, is the chairman and Dr. Kewal Ram, IES, Dr. Jayashree
Gupta, CSS, and Shri Rajeev Kumar Agarval, IRS, are the members of the
commission.
1.7 FUNCTIONS OF FORWARD MARKET COMMISSION
1. To advise the central government in respect of the recognition or the
withdrawal of recognition from any association or in respect of any other
matter arising out of the administration of the forward contract (Regulation)
Act 1952.
2. To keep forward markets under observation and to take such action in relation
to them, as it may consider necessary, in exercise of the powers assigned to it
by or under the Act.
3. To collect and Whenever the commission feels it necessary, to publish
information regarding the trading condition in respect of goods to which any of
the provisions of the act is made applicable, including information regarding
supply, demand and price, and to submit to the central govt., periodically
reports on the working of forward market relating to such goods;
4. To make recommendations generally with a view to improving the
organization and working of forward market;
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5. To undertake the inspection of the accounts and other documents of any
recognize association or registered association or any member of such
association whenever it considers it necessary.
1.8 DERIVATIVES
Derivatives are financial contracts, which derive their value from an underlying
asset. The underlying asset can be equity, commodity, foreign exchange, interest
rates, real estate or any other asset. Broadly four types of derivatives are traded,
namely forward, futures, options and swaps.
1.8.1 Need of Commodity Derivatives in India
India is among top five producers of most of the commodities, in addition to being
a major consumer of bullion and energy product. Agriculture contributes about
22% of GDP of Indian economy. It employees around 57% of the labor force on
total of 163 million hectors of land. Agriculture sector is an important factor in
achieving a GDP growth rate of 8-10%. All this indicates that India can be
promoted as a major centre for trading commodity derivatives.
1.8.2 Derivatives contracts are traded either in an exchange or over the
counter
EXCHANGE
It is central marketplace for buyers and sellers of different asset classes and
financial instruments (contracts) that derive their value from these assets as the
underlying. The contracts are standardized to ensure homogeneity in the financial
instrument traded. The prices in an exchange are determined in the form of a
continuous auction. This auction provides a readily available widely accepted
reference price for the underlying. This facilitates liquidity in the derivatives
instrument being traded due to easy transferability, thereby resulting in price
discovery – The fair value is determined by market participants. For example, all
participants in the futures market are subject to the same specification of quality
(lot size of each future contract) and delivery terms. It is important to understand
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that the exchange neither takes positions in the market nor advises the market
participants on what position to take. The responsibility of the exchange is to
ensure that the market is fair and orderly. The exchange provides “Trade
guarantee” using the settlement guarantee Fund thereby minimizing counterparty
default (credit) risk. Regulatory bodies are appointed by the govt. to regulate the
functioning of all exchanges. In India, the forward market commission is the
regulatory authority for commodity future exchanges in India. Members violating
the rules of the exchange and the regulatory body can be penalized.
OVER THE COUNTER
It is an alternative trading platform linked to a network of a dealers who do not
physically meet but instead communicate through a network of telephone and
computers trades are usually transacted between financial institutions that can also
act as market-makers for the traded financial instruments. All the transactions over
telephone are recorded so that they can be authenticated in case of future disputes.
The buyer and seller can customize the contracts traded to suit their specific
requirements. Hence, the term of contract are not standardized, but customized to
meet specific requirement of the counterparties. The buyer and seller negotiate and
manually agree to the terms of the contract.
1.9 MEANING OF FORWARD, FUTURE, OPTION AND SWAPS
1.9.1 Forward Contract
A forward contract is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a
future date for price agreed upon while signing the agreement. Forward contract is
not traded o an exchange. The terms and conditions of forward contracts are
customized based on negotiation between the counterparties. It is the oldest form
of derivative contract.
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1.9.2 Future Contract
A future contract is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell a specified
and standardized quantity and quality of an asset at a certain time in the future at a
price agreed upon at a time of entering into the contract on the future exchange.
1.9.3 Option
An option gives the right but not the obligation to the option owner, to buy or sell
an underlying asset at a specific price at a specific time period in the future.
There are two types of options:
1. A call option is an option contract that gives the owner of the option, the right,
but not the obligation to buy the underlying asset on or before a specific date
and at a specific price.
2. A put option is an option contract that gives the option owner the right, but not
the obligation to sell the underlying asset on or before a specific date and at a
specific price.
As in any other financial transaction, there are two sides to every contract. For
instance, whereas buyer of a call option has the right to buy an asset, the seller of
the same option has the obligation to sell the same asset if the option is exercised.
The option seller is virtually selling “price protection” to the buyer who pays a
certain amount of money called the premium to the option seller.
1.9.4 Swap
A swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange different streams of cash
flows in future according to predetermined terms. It is a recent innovation. The
basic idea is that the counter parties agree to swap two different types of
payments. A payment is either fixed or is designed to float according to an
underlying interest rate, exchange rate, index or the price of a security or a
commodity. When the payments are to be executed in the same currency, then
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only the net amount of payment are made. The World Bank and IBM entered into
the first ever swap contract in august 1981.
A swap rate and associated cash flow are formulated so that one series of payment
is based on a fixed interest rate and the other series is based on a floating interest
rate like LIBOR or a U.S. Treasury bill yield. A foreign exchange swap consists of
two transactions, the first involves buying a foreign currency at a specific
exchange rate and the second involves selling back that curacy at another specific
exchange rate. A foreign currency swap is structured so that one party makes a
series of payments based on an interest rate in one currency and then receives a
series of payments in another currency based on that currency’s interest rate.
1.10 DIFFERENCE BETWEEN SPOT AND FUTURE MARKETS
Commodities can be transacted in both the spot as well as in the future markets.
Although the two markets are separated, they are interrelated nevertheless. The
commodities are physically bought or sold on a negotiated basis in the spot
market, which is generally considered as the actual physical market for immediate
delivery. Most often, the contract require for the actual delivery of the commodity
traded to be made. It may also specify for immediate or forward delivery in the
future at a set time.
The future market, however, facilitates buying and selling of standardized
contractual agreements (for future delivery) of the underlying assets as the specific
commodity and not the physical commodity itself. The formulation of futures
contracts is very specific regarding the quality of the commodity, the quantity to
be delivered and the date for delivery. However, it does not involve immediate
transfer of ownership of the commodity, unless resulting in delivery. Thus, in
future markets “contractual agreements” to buy or sell the commodity at a future
date can be traded irrespective of whether the buyer or seller of this contractual
agreement has possession of the underlying commodity or not. This is because the
delivery resulting from this contractual agreement is for a future date.
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The physical market for commodities deals in either cash or spot contract for
ready delivery and payments within 11 days, where as forward contracts for
delivery of goods and payment of price after 11 days. These contracts are
essentially party to party contracts, and are fulfilled by the seller giving delivery of
goods of a specified variety of a commodity as agreed to between the parties. In
case of uncontrolled situation which prevents buyer or seller from receiving or
giving deliveries then in such cases contract may be cash settled mutually.
The future market, unlike the physical markets, trade in future contracts primarily
for the purpose of risk management that is hedging on commodity stocks or
forward buys and sells. Most of this contract are squared off before maturity and
thus rarely end in deliveries. Speculators, who are key players in the future
markets, also use these contracts to benefit from price movement.
1.11 DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FUTURE AND FORWARD
CONTRACT
Point Future Contract Forward Contract
Meaning It is an agreement between two
parties to buy or sell a specified
& standardized quantity &
quality of asset at a certain time
on future at a certain price at
agreed at the time of entering
into the contract on the future
exchange.
It is an agreement between the
two parties to buy or sell an
asset at a future date for an
agreed price while entering in to
the forward contract. The terms
& conditions are not decided on
an exchange.
Trading place It is entered on the centralized
trading platform of the exchange.
It is traded on an OTC market.
Size It is standardized in terms of
quantity as specified by the
exchange.
Size of the forward contract is
customized as per the terms of
agreement between the buyer &
seller.
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Point Future Contract Forward Contract
Transparency
in contract
price
The price of future contract is
transparent as it is available on
the centralized trading screen of
the exchange
The price of the forward
contract is not transparent as it
is not publicly disclosed
Liquidity
Liquidity is the measure of trades
that occur in a particular
commodity future contract is
more liquid.
It is less liquid due to its
customized nature. As it is
traded on the exchange.
Counter-
party risks
In this contract, the clearing
house becomes the counterparty
to each transaction. Therefore,
counterparty risk is almost
eliminated.
In this contract, counter-party
risk is high due to the
customized & bilateral nature of
the transaction.
Regulation A regulatory authority and the
exchange regulate the future
contract.
Forward contract is not
regulated by any exchange.
Settlement Future contract is generally cash
settled but option of physical
settlement is available
Forward contract is generally
settled by physical delivery.
Delivery Delivery in future contract
should be of standard quantity &
quality as specified by the
exchange.
Delivery in forward contract is
to be carried out at delivery
centers specified in the
customized bilateral agreement.
1.12 COMMODITY FUTURE CONTRACT
A commodity future contract is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell a
specified and standardized quantity and quality of goods at a certain time in future
at price agreed upon at the time of entering into the contract on the commodity
future exchange.
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The need for future market arises mainly due to the hedging function that it can
perform. Commodity market involves risk associated with frequent price
volatility. The loss due to price volatility can be attributed to the following
reasons:
Consumer preference: in the short term, their influence on price volatility is
small since it is a slow process permitting manufacturer, dealers, and
wholesalers to adjust their inventory in advance.
Change in supply: They are unpredictable bringing about wild fluctuation in
price. This can be especially notified in agriculture commodities where the
weather plays a major role In affecting the fortunes of people involved in this
industry. The future market has evolved to neutralize such risk through a
mechanism namely, hedging.
The objectives of commodity future market areas under:
1. Hedging with the motive of transferring risk related to the possession of
physical assets through any adverse movement in price.
2. Liquidity and price discovery to ensure base minimum volume in trading of a
commodity through market information and demand supply factors that
facilitate a regular and authentic price discovery mechanism.
3. Maintaining buffer stock and better allocation of resources as it augments
reduction in inventory requirement and thus the exposure to risk related with
price fluctuations declines. Resources can thus be diversified for investment.
4. Flexibility, certainty and transparency in purchasing commodity facilitate bank
financing. Predictability in the price of commodity would lead to stability,
which in turn would eliminate the risk associated with running the business of
trading commodities. This would make funding easier and less stringent for
banks to commodity market players.
5. Price stabilization along with balancing demand and supply position. Future
trading leads to predictability in assessing the domestic prices, which maintain
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stability, thus safeguarding against any short term adverse price movements.
Liquidity in the contracts of the commodities traded also ensures in maintain
the equilibrium between demand and supply.
It is necessary to classify investment commodity and consumption commodity in
commodity future. An investment commodity is generally held for investment
purpose whereas consumption commodity is held mainly for consumption
purpose. Gold and silver can be classified as investment commodities whereas oil
and steel can be classified as consumption commodities.
1.13 MYTHS AND REALITIES ABOUT THE COMMODITY
FUTURES MARKET
The government, after prolonged prohibition, has finally approved futures trading
in all commodities. In order to activate the futures market, the government has
mandated four commodity exchanges to establish national level multi commodity
exchanges.
There have been various incorrect perceptions about the commodities market
founded on experiences in the securities market. These have hindered the
development of the commodities market and the protection of real trading
interests. Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) believes that the
commodities market would be successful only if the commodities' eco-system
partners use the exchange for its economic function of price discovery and price
risk management.
1.13.1 Some of the Myths about the Commodities Market
Myth: Commodities markets are very complex to understand.
Reality: The markets are not complex as the products are natural and therefore
cannot be artificially manipulated. The demand and supply also depends on
economic factors. It is easier to understand commodities, as in our everyday life
we are familiar with commodities, we know the ruling prices of these commodities
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in the market, while in the stock market, we are not fully aware about the internal
affairs of a company.
Myth: Only farmers are interested in trading and only they should be trading.
Reality: It is incorrect to say that only the farmers would use this market.
Actually, the farmers only use the commodity futures prices as a tool to decide
which crop to grow and some large farmers would use this market to hedge their
price risk through an intermediary. These intermediaries would normally be the
same commission agents who help the farmers to sell their crop in the cash
market.
Myth: These markets are not really required and they only serve the need of
speculators.
Reality: Commodities markets are needed for the most important economic
function of price discovery and price risk management, Speculators constitute only
one dimension of the market. They can work only because someone is hedging
their risk in the market.
Myth: The economy does not need futures market.
Reality: A Futures Exchange provides price signals to producers and consumers
based on which they meet their long terms requirements. These price signals are
not available to the user unless there is a commodity futures exchange and in its
absence, the markets have large price fluctuations. This is not in the interest of the
producers and consumers. Price stabilization comes from the price discovery
process when market participants react positively to the information available to
decide a price.
Myth: A Commodity Futures Exchange must have large capital.
Reality: A Commodity Futures Exchange has to be run and managed efficiently
with optimal costs as the commodities markets does not provide listing fees as in
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the securities market and therefore all costs have to be recovered from revenues
earned through transactions. Large infrastructure costs may translate into large
costs to traders and which would have direct implications on hedging making it
expensive. If real users of the commodities market use this market as insurance
and discover that the cost of hedging is considerably high, they would prefer not to
hedge but bear the risk instead.
Myth: A Commodity Futures Exchange is represented by the size of its real estate.
Reality: No, it's not true that the Commodity Futures Exchange is known by the
size of its real estate. The new order Commodity Futures Exchanges may not
necessarily require large conventional real estate. In fact in the new era the real
estate is defined by the power of processors deployed to handle system driven
trading and post trading operations. Further, the Exchanges need an efficient team
of professionals who thoroughly understand the intricacies of the commodities
market, state of the art technology support partners and dynamic members.
Myth: A Commodity Futures Exchange must have large number of members to be
successful.
Reality: A Commodity Futures Exchange must have large number of members to
be successful. The Commodity Futures Exchange should focus on good and well-
spread brokerage houses to penetrate the market. The market would soon move
over to many intermediaries with separate trading rights and have few members
with clearing rights like banks.
Myth: An Exchange must have cash settled contracts to avoid the pains of
delivery handling process.
Reality: Cash settled market would be no different than an online lottery system.
In such markets, the price of the commodity futures will have no bearing on the
spot market as delivery is not required and therefore money will be the only factor
that determines prices. At MCX, there is a complete understanding of the
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commodities market and it has a large talent pool to handle deliveries to keep the
link pulsating between the futures market and physical cash market. The
commodities market has to be kept as real as possible.
Myth: The Depository system of electronic transfer of commodities is covered in
the Depositories Act.
Reality: It is incorrect.
Myth: The regulatory framework covers agencies in the chain of the Demat
Process for commodities.
Reality: No, it is merely an understanding being reached within the trade and
industry.
Myth: The Depository/Warehouse guarantees the quality.
Reality: Quality of delivery is not guaranteed by anyone. Until the standards in
ware housing management improves to ensure preservation of the quality of goods
stored no exchange or depository will be able to guarantee quality of the
commodity in warehouse. If the quality is not assured no benefit accrues to the
actual user. Therefore, the Exchange should provide a system, Where by the
sellers must ensure quality certification before tendering delivery and the buyers
must have option to recheck the quality at the time of collecting delivery and in
case of any discrepancies compared to the contract specifications, they should
have an option to reject it. Worldwide there is no Demat delivery operational in
commodities.
Myth: There is no guarantee of quality in a physical settlement between member
to member through a ware house.
Reality: The seller guarantees the quality to the buyer and therefore he takes care
of storing the commodity, as it may be rejected by the buyer. He keeps it in a
warehouse where he ensures preservation of quality and quantity of the
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commodity. Further, the buyer also has the option to recheck the quality at the
time of delivery. For performing all such checks, there are professional firms of
international repute, which are experts in certification. India is exporting a large
number of agro-based commodities to Europe and America on the basis of such
certification. Therefore, a commodity Exchange has to educate the members about
the effective prevailing systems and to implement a settlement process based on a
similar infrastructure.
Myth: The operators can manipulate commodity futures prices and so it is not safe
to operate in this system.
Reality: it is incorrect that commodities prices can be manipulated because all
these commodities are under OGL and in case somebody tries to corner s tocks of
a commodity to manipulate price, some importer will import that commodity from
any other country and deliver in India nullifying the attempt to manipulate the
price. In the stock markets , the floating s tocks are limited so if an operator buys a
large number of shares , prices will rise, which is not the case in commodities ,
because supply and floating s tocks are virtually unlimited. In terms of
fundamentals and technical analysis commodity prices follow the trends with more
accuracy than as compared to scrip, because the commodity markets truly reflect
the demand and supply factors.
Myth: Commodity futures markets are more risky and so it is not advisable to
trade in commodities.
Reality: While a scrip price can go down even by 30-40 percent in a single trading
session, it cannot happen in commodity futures as the commodity futures price is
based on the intrinsic value of the commodity. For instance, a scrip future can go
down fromRs.4000 to Rs. 2800 in a single trading session, but Gold Feb 2004
contract would never come down from Rs. 6100 to Rs. 4100 in a single trading
session, because the inherent value of gold would never fall so drastically.
Therefore, it is always safe to operate in the commodity futures market as against
the stock futures market. It is only an issue of in depth understanding of the real
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market and anticipating and delivering what the commodity industry actually
requires.
1.14 ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE OF COMMODITY FUTURE
MARKET
Price Discovery
Price risk management
Import-Export management
Predictable pricing
Benefits for farmers & agriculturalist
Credit accessibility
Improved product quality
The buyer and seller at the future exchange conduct trading based on their
assessment of input regarding specific market information, expert’s view and
comments, the demand & supply equilibrium, government policies, inflation rates,
Whether forecasts, market dynamics, hopes and fears which transforms into a
continuous price discovery mechanism. The execution of trades between buyers
and sellers leads to assessment of the fair value of a particular commodity that is
immediately disseminated on the trading terminal.
Hedging is the most common method of price risk management. It is the strategy
of offsetting price risk that is inherent in a spot market by taking an equal but
opposite position in the future market. Future markets are used as a mode by
hedgers to protect their business from adverse price changes, which could dent
profitability of their business. Hedging benefits all participants who are involved
in trading of commodities i.e. manufacturer, exporters, importers, farmers etc.
The exporters can hedge their price risk and improved their competitiveness with
the help of future market. Most of the buyers intend to buy forwards if they are
involved in physical trade internationally. For example, The Indian textile mills
exports three months forwards since their buyer needs this security. Also in the
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oilseed sector the international buyer prefer to buy at least one year forward.
Normally, exporters who enter into such forward contract do not possess the entire
stock required. The purchases would have to be made from the physical market,
which would expose them to the risk of price risk resulting to losses. To safeguard
against such risk, the exporters might have to refuse demand for long period
contracts thereby hurting their own competitive position or hold inventory that is
more than required. The existence of a future market would allow the exporters to
hedge their propose purchase by temporarily substituting for an actual purchase till
the time is ripe to buy in the physical market. Without future market this can only
be possible by a meticulous, time consuming and costly timing of their physical
transactions. A future market would allow the processor & oilseeds crushers to cut
down the marketing and processing margin thus enabling them to compete
effectively with the now free imports of edible oils. Similarly, reduced margins
will enable the crushers to offer high prices to oilseed growers.
The demand for certain commodities like edible oils is highly price elastic. The
manufacturers thus have to ensure that the prices are stable in order to protect their
market share with the free entry of imports. Future contract will enable
predictability in domestic prices. As a result, the manufacturer can smooth out the
influence of change in their input prices very easily. With no future market, the
manufacturer can be caught between sever short term price movement of oil and
the necessity to maintain price stability, which could only be possible through
sufficient financial reserves that could otherwise be utilize for making other
profitable investments.
Future market would be beneficial for the farmers as well as to those who do not
use them directly. Price instability has a direct bearing on farmers in the absence
of future market. There would be no need to have large reserves to cover against
unfavorable price fluctuations. This would reduce the risk premium associated
with the marketing or processing margins enabling more return on the produce
storing more and being more active in the market. The price information
accessible to the farmers determines the extent to which traders or processor
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increase prices to them. Since one of the objectives of the future exchange is to
make available these prices as far as possible, it is very likely to benefits the
farmers.
Due to the time lag between planning & production, the market determined price
information disseminated by the future exchanges would be crucial for their
production decision.
The absences of proper risk management tool would attract the marketing and
processing of commodities to high risk exposure making it a risky business
activity to fund. Even a small movement in prices can eat up a huge proportion of
capital own by trader, at times making it virtually impossible to pay back the loan.
There is a high degree of reluctance among banks to fund commodity traders,
especially those who do not manage price risks. If in case they do, the interest rate
is likely to be high and the terms and conditions very stringent. This poses a huge
obstacle in the smooth functioning and competition of the commodities market.
Hedging, which is possible through future markets, would cut down the discount
rate in commodity lending.
The existence of warehouses for facilitating delivery with grading facilities along
with other delivery related Benefits provides a very strong reason to upgrade and
enhance the quality of the commodity to a grade that is acceptable by the
exchange. It ensures uniform standardization of commodity trade, including the
terms of quality standard. The quality certificates that are issued by the exchange-
certified warehouses have the potential to become the norms for physical trade.
1.15 COMMODITY EXCHANGES
A commodity exchange is an association or a company where various
commodities and derivatives products are traded for which license has been
granted by regulating authority. Most commodity markets across the world trade
in agricultural products and other raw materials like wheat, barley, sugar, maize,
cotton, cocoa, coffee, milk product, pork bellies, oil, metal, etc. and contract based
on them. These contracts can include spot forward, future etc.
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A big difference between a typical auction, where a single auctioneer announces
the bids and the exchange is that people are not only competing to buy but also to
sell. By exchange rules and by law, no one can bid under a higher bid, no one can
offer to sell higher than someone else’s lower offer. This keeps the market as
efficient as possible, and keeps the traders on their toes to make sure no one gets
the purchase or sell before they do.
1.15.1 Definition
A commodity exchange refers to the market place where buying and selling of
commodities for future delivery takes place.
1.15.2 List of exchanges in India
1. Bhatinda Om & Oil Exchange Ltd., Batinda
2. The Bombay Commodity Exchange Ltd. Mumbai
3. The Rajkot Seeds Oil & Bullion Merchants’ Association Ltd.
4. The Kanpur Commodity Exchange Ltd., Kanpur
5. The Meerut Agro Commodities Exchange Co. Ltd., Meerut
6. The Spices and Oilseeds Exchange Ltd.
7. Ahmedabad Commodity Exchange Ltd.
8. Vijay Beopar Chamber Ltd., Muzaffarnagar
9. India Pepper & Spice Trade Association. Kochi
10. Rajdhani Oils and Oilseeds Exchange Ltd., Delhi
11. National Board of Trade, Indore
12. The Chamber of Commerce, Hapur
13. The East India Cotton Association, Mumbai
14. The Central India Commercial Exchange Ltd., Gwaliar
15. The East India Jute & Hessian Exchange Ltd.
16. First Commodity Exchange of India Ltd., Kochi
17. Bikaner Commodity Exchange Ltd., Bikaner
18. The Coffee Futures Exchange India Ltd., Bangalore
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19. Esugarindia Ltd.
20. National Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (NMCE)
21. Surendranagar Cotton Oil & Oilseeds Association Ltd.
22. Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (MCX)
23. National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Ltd. (NCDEX)
24. Haryana Commodities Ltd., Hissar
25. e-Commodities Ltd.
Out of these 25 commodity Exchanges the MCX, NCDEX and NMCE are large
exchanges and MCX is the biggest among them.
1.15.3 Registered Commodity Exchanges and Commodities Traded
No. Name of the Exchange Product traded
1. 1. MCX Gold, silver, Copper, Nickel, Sponge,
Iron, Steel Flat, Steel Long, Tin,
Castor oil, Castor seeds, Cotton seed,
Crude palm oil, Groundnut oil,
Kapasia khalli, Mustard seed,
Rapessed oil, RBD palmolein, Refined
soy oil, Sesame seed, Soymeal, Soy
seed, Chana, Masur, Tur, Urad,
Yellow peas, Rice, Wheat, Maize,
Black pepper, Red chilli, Jeera,
Turmeric, Cashewkermal, Rubber,
Coffee, Kapas, Cotton long staple,
Medium staple, Short staple, Gaur
seed, Gaur gum, Gur, Mentha oil,
Sugar, High density polyethylene,
Brent crude oil, Natural gas, etc.
2. 2. Bhatinda Om & Oil Exchange
Ltd.
Gur
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No. Name of the Exchange Product traded
3. 3. The Bombay Commodity
Exchange Ltd.
Sunflower oil
Cotton (Seed and oil)
Safflower (Seed, oil and oil cake)
Groundnut (Nut and oil)
Castor oil, Castorseed
Sesamum (Oil and oilcake)
Rice bran, rice bran oil and oil cake
Crude palm oil
4. The Rajkot Seeds Oil & Bullion
Merchants Association, Ltd.
Groundnut oil
Castor seed
5. The Kanpur Commodity
Exchange Ltd.
Rapeseed/ Mustard seed oil and cake
6. The Meerut Agro Commodities
Exchange Co. Ltd.
Gur
7. The Spices and Oilseeds
Exchange Ltd. Sangli
Turmeric
8. Ahmedabad Commodities
Exchange Ltd.
Cottonseed, Castor seed
9. Vijay Beopar Chamber Ltd.,
Muzaffarnagar
Gur
10. India Pepper & Spice Trade
Association, Kochi
Pepper
11. Rajdhani Oils and Oilseeds
Exchange Ltd., Delhi
Gur, Rapeseed / Mustard seed
Sugar Grade-M
12. National Board of Trade, Indore Rapeseed / Mustard Seed / Oil / Cake
Soybean / Meal / Oil, Crude Palm Oil
13. The Chamber of Commerce,
Hapur
Gur, Rapeseed / Mustard seed
14. The East India Cotton
Association, Mumbai
Cotton
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No. Name of the Exchange Product traded
15. The Central India Commercial
Exchange Ltd., Gwaliar
Gur
16. The East India Jute & Hessian
Exchange Ltd., Kolkata
Hessian, Sacking
17. First Commodity Exchange of
India Ltd., Kochi
Copra, Coconut oil & Copra cake
18. The Coffee Futures Exchange
India Ltd., Bangalore
Coffee
19. National Multi Commodity
Exchange of India Limited,
Ahmedabad
Gur, RBD Pamohen
Crude Palm Oil, Copra
Rapeseed / Mustard seed, Soy bean
Cotton (Seed, oil, oilcake)
Safflower (seed, oil, oilcake)
Groundnut (seed, oil, oilcake)
Sugar, Sacking, gram
Coconut (oil and oilcake)
Castor (oil and oilcake)
Sesamum (Seed, oil and oilcake)
Linseed (seed, oil and oilcake)
Rice Bran Oil, Pepper, Guar seed
Aluminum ingots, Nickel, tin
Vanaspati, Rubber, Copper, Zinc, lead
20. National Commodity &
Derivatives Exchange Limited
Soy Bean, Refined Soy Oil
Mustard Seed
Expeller Mustard Oil
RBD Palmolein Crude Palm Oil
Medium Staple Cotton
Long Staple Cotton
Gold, Silver
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1.16 BENEFITS OF COMMODITY EXCHANGE
BENEFITS TO CONSUMERS AND USERS
a) It is useful for the consumer because he gets an idea of the price at which the
commodity would be available at a future point of time. He can do proper
costing and also cover his purchases by making forward contracts. Predictable
pricing and transparency is an added advantage.
b) Hedging their risks if they are using some of the commodities as their raw
materials in particular can benefit corporate entities. They can hedge the risk
even if the commodity traded does not meet their requirements of exact
quality/technical specifications.
c) Futures’ trading is very useful to the exporters as it provides an advance
indication of the price likely to prevail and thereby help the exporter in quoting
a realistic price and thereby secure export contract in a competitive market.
BENEFITS TO PRODUCERS
It is useful to the producer because he can get an idea of the price likely to prevail
at a future point of time and therefore can decide between various competing
commodities. The best that suits him farmers for instance, can get assured prices,
decided on the crop that they want to take and since there is transparency in prices,
he can decide when and where to sell.
BENEFITS TO INVESTORS
a) High financial leverage is possible in commodity markets. In case of stocks, an
investor needs to put up the full amount of the stock value to buy the stock.
With commodities, you control commodity futures contacts with a margin,
which varies from 2% to 10% of the value of the commodity .Investor can
effectively hedge the risk in price fluctuation of a commodity.
b) Investors can also hedge his risk on investments in stocks and debt markets
since commodities provide a choice and provide one more alternative avenue
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in the investment port for. It may be mentioned here that the Commodities are
less volatile compare to equity market, through more volatile as compare to
Government security.
c) Commodity markets are extremely transparent in the sense that the
manipulation of prices of a commodity is extremely difficult. Given the
knowledge of the commodity, the investor can be thus clear about what he can
expect in foreseeable future.
d) Business involves just the investor and the market.
e) With the rapid spread of derivatives trading in commodities, this rout too has
become an option for high net worth and savvy investors to consider in their
overall asset allocation.
f) The fact that the stock indices and commodity indices are not correlated
implies that the commodity markets can be used as an effective diversification
tool, where investor can park their money.
g) A look at the performance of the commodities markets during the last year
shows that the positive movement was witnessed during most parts of the year.
BENEFITS TO EXCHANGE MEMBERS
a) Access to a huge potential market much greater than the securities and cash
market in commodities.
b) Robust, scalable, state-of-art technology deployment.
c) Member can trade in multiple commodities from a single point, on real time
basis.
d) Traders would be trained to be Rural Advisors and commodity specialists and
through them multiple rural needs would be met, like bank credit, information
dissemination, etc.
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GENERAL BENEFITS AND OTHER ADVANTAGES FOR ALL
PLAYERS
A) Improved Product Quality: since the contracts for commodities are
standardized, it becomes essential for the producers/sellers to ensure that the
quality of the commodity is specified in the contract.
B) Credit Accessibility: buyers and sellers can avail of the bank finances for
trading in commodities. As mentioned here, some nationalized banks and some
banks in the private sector have come forward to offer credit facilities for
commodity trading. More and more banks are likely to fall in line looking at
the huge potential that commodity market offers in India.
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References
1. Chandra, Prasan, (2002), Financial Management, 5th
Edition, pp. 1052-1061.
2. Chitaliya, Jayesh, (2012), Future and Options, Parichay Trust, Mumbai, 1st
Edition.
3. Hull, John C., (2008), Options, Futures and Other Derivatives, Dorling
Kindersley (India) Pvt. Ltd., Delhi, 7th
Edition, pp.1-43.
4. Shah Jignesh (2007), Reference Material for MCCP, MCX, pp. 1-30.
5. Kabra, Pooja R., (2009), Commodity Market, Project Report of T.Y.B.B.A.
Student, Sardar Patel University.