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Mental Capitaland Wellbeing:
Making the most
of ourselves in
the 21st century
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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Mental Capital and Wellbeing:Making the most of ourselvesin the 21st century
Executive summary
This report is intended or:
Policy makers and a wide range o proessionals and researchers whose interests relate to
mental capital and wellbeing. The report ocuses on the UK but is also relevant to the
interests o other countries.
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This report should be cited as:
Foresight Mental Capital and Wellbeing Project (2008).
Final Project report Executive summary.
The Government Oce or Science, London.
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The Government Oce or Science (GO-Science) would like to thank the
Projects Science Co-ordination Team who oversaw the technical aspects o the
Project, who were involved in much o the work, and who were particularly
involved in writing the nal report. They were led by Proessor Cary Cooper, CBE
and are Proessor John Field, Proessor Usha Goswami, Proessor Rachel Jenkinsand Proessor Barbara Sahakian.
GO-Science would also like to thank: Proessor Philip Dewe,
Proessor Eugene Paykel, Proessor Felicia Huppert and Mr Chris Riley who also
contributed to the nal report; Proessor Leon Feinstein, Proessor Tom
Kirkwood and Proessor Michiel Kompier who led parts o the rst phase o the
Project; and the company shitN who worked on the utures and systems aspects.
Particular thanks are due to the Projects High Level Stakeholder Group and
Expert Advisory Group as well as the many experts and stakeholders rom the
UK and around the world who contributed to the work o this Project, whoreviewed the many Project reports and papers, and who generously provided
advice and guidance. A ull list o those involved is provided in Appendix A o the
nal Project report which is available in hard copy or electronically through
www.oresight.gov.uk.
The Foresight Programme in the UK Government Ofce or Science is under the direction othe Chie Scientifc Adviser to HM Government. Foresight strengthens strategic policy-making
in Government by embedding a utures approach.
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The UK is a small country in a rapidly changing world. Major
challenges such as globalisation, the ageing population, the changingnature o work, and changing societal structures are already having
proound infuences on society and on our place internationally. So,
i we are to prosper and fourish in this evolving environment, then
it is vital that we make the most o all our resources and this is
as true or our mental resources as material resources. The
present Project was thereore conceived to provide a vision o
how that can be achieved.
The Projects scope is possibly unparalleled. It has taken an independent look at the
best available scientic and other evidence and has considered the actors that
infuence an individuals mental development and wellbeing rom conception untildeath. It has assessed how these are aected by: the policies o key Government
departments; by important stakeholders such as educators, healthcare proessionals
and employers; and by the diverse environments in which we live amilies,
communities and our physical surroundings. It has also analysed possible interventions
to address the uture challenges, drawing upon considerations such as scientic ecacy,
economics, governance and ethics.
I am most grateul to my predecessor Proessor Sir David King who commissioned this
Project, to the group o senior stakeholders who have advised on the work throughout,
and to those who have contributed to and who have peer-reviewed the work; over
400 leading experts and stakeholders rom countries across the world have beeninvolved. These have been drawn rom diverse disciplines including: neuroscience,
psychology and psychiatry, economics, genetics, social sciences, learning, development
and systems analysis.
The breadth o scope, coupled with the strong use o scientic and other evidence,
provides the key added value o the Project, and has enabled it to provide resh insights
and new thinking across a broad ront. Nevertheless, a report o this breadth cannot
aspire to consider every issue in ne detail, but instead it aims to provide signposts to
important uture challenges, and how they could be addressed within a coherent and
integrated ramework.
Through the publication o this nal repor t, I have pleasure in handing over the ndings
to Government. It is with equal pleasure that I am making all o this work reely
availably within the UK and worldwide.
Proessor John Beddington CMG, FRSChie Scientic Adviser to HM Government, and
Head o the Government Oce or Science
Foreword
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5
Preface
On behal o the Department or Innovation, Universities and
Skills, I am delighted to receive this nal report o the ForesightMental Capital and Wellbeing Project rom Proessor
Beddington. Mental capital and wellbeing are in many ways very
personal concepts, but Government has a role in creating an
environment in which everyone has the opportunity to fourish.
The uture o prosperity and social justice in the UK will be
strengthened by drawing on the mental capital and talents o its
citizens.
As this report demonstrates, the science that shapes our understanding o the
complex unctioning o human brains has progressed rapidly in recent decades, and
continues to develop. This gives policy makers new insights and creates reshopportunities to oer support to individuals, amilies, and organisations in building and
sustaining mental capital and good mental health.
The Project has shown that Government is already on the right track in many areas.
However, it also demonstrates that there is very considerable scope to go urther by
adopting a long-term and strategic perspective that spans an individuals liecourse.
Realising the ull benets could have implications or systems o governance o mental
capital and wellbeing and or how the decisions on trade-os or resource allocation
are made.
Nevertheless, the report identies a number o priority areas, where more immediatebenets could be realised, and the work o the Project is already being used to inorm
a number o important Government initiatives. I am particularly pleased that a wide
range o departments and organisations across Government and more widely are
committed to taking orward the Projects ndings and I will be overseeing the progress
o that over the coming year.
I would like to conclude by thanking Proessor Beddington or this excellent repor t, and
also the many individuals and stakeholders who have contributed, both inside and
outside Government, and rom other countries.
John Denham MPSecretary o State or Innovation, Universities and Skills
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1. The aims and ambitions o the Project 9
2. Mental capital and mental wellbeing explained: their critical importance 10
3. Why the Project was undertaken: major challenges ahead 11
4. How the Project adds value over previous work 13
5. Children 15
6. Adolescence 18
7. Adults and children: mental ill-health 21
8. Adults: learning 25
9. Adults: working lie 28
10. Older adults 33
11. Key choices or policy makers 39
12. Conclusion: next steps or Government 45
Appendix A Structure o the Project reports and supporting papers 49
Appendix B Synthetic view o the mental capital trajectory 52
Contents
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1 The aims and ambitions of the Project
A key message is that i we are to prosper and thrive in our changing society and in an
increasingly interconnected and competitive world, both our mental and material resourceswill be vital. Encouraging and enabling everyone to realise their potential throughout theirlives will be crucial or our uture prosperity and wellbeing.
The aim o the Foresight Project on Mental Capital and Wellbeing
This has been to use the best available scientic and other evidence to develop a
vision or :
The opportunities and challenges acing the UK over the next 20 years and beyond,
and the implications or everyones mental capital and mental wellbeing.
What we all need to do to meet the challenges ahead, so that everyone can realise
their potential and fourish in the uture.
The Project seeks to highlight where action is most important, and how we can better
allocate available resources.
An independent look
The analysis provides an independent look at the challenges ahead and how they might
best be addressed. As such, the ndings do not constitute Government policy. Rather,
they are intended to inorm the strategic and long-term choices acing Government
departments, business and society as a whole.
Executive summary
A word of caution
It is impossible or a broadly-scoped project such as this to consider the range o
issues and disciplines in the same detail as the more ocused work o individual
Government departments.
Rather, its insights should be seen as complementary: providing a resh look rom its
unique perspective; challenging existing thinking; and providing signposts to the most
important issues and to promising approaches. As such, it presents a ramework or
more detailed analysis and policy development by stakeholders.
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Final Project report Executive summary
2 Mental capital and mental wellbeing explained: their critical importance
An individuals mental capital and mental wellbeing crucially aect their path through lie.Moreover, they are vitally important or the healthy unctioning o amilies, communities andsociety. Together, they undamentally aect behaviour, social cohesion, social inclusion, andour prosperity.
A key conclusion o the Project is that mental capital and mental wellbeing are intimatelylinked: measures to address one will oten aect the other. This argues or them to beconsidered together when developing policies and designing interventions.
Mental capital1
This encompasses a persons cognitive and emotional resources. It includes their
cognitive ability, how fexible and ecient they are at learning, and their emotional
intelligence, such as their social skills and resilience in the ace o stress. It thereore
conditions how well an individual is able to contribute eectively to society, and also toexperience a high personal quality o lie.
The idea o capital naturally sparks association with ideas o nancial capital and it is
both challenging and natural to think o the mind in this way.
Mental wellbeing2
This is a dynamic state , in which the individual is able to develop their potential, work
productively and creatively, build strong and positive relationships with others, and
contribute to their community.
It is enhanced when an individual is able to ull their personal and social goals and
achieve a sense o purpose in society.
Whilst it is important or Government to address problems that aect the mentaldevelopment o specic groups, such as learning diculties and mental disorders, policiesand choices also need to nurture the mental capital and wellbeing in the wider population,so that everyone can fourish throughout their lives.
1 See Chapter 2, section 2.1 o the nal Project report and Appendix B o this Executive summary
2 See Chapter 2, section 2.2 o the nal Project report; Wellbeing in this report reers to mental wellbeing
unless indicated otherwise
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3 Why the Project was undertaken: major challenges ahead
Many important actors will aect the country over the next 20 years and beyond. Somewill make demands on our mental capital, requiring new skills and expertise. Some willcreate substantial threats to our mental health and wellbeing. And some will oer newopportunities or people to develop and fourish. Assessing how to manage these
opportunities and threats has been a key aim o this Project.
Important actors that will drive change include:
The demographic age-shift 3
Lie expectancy is projected to grow over the next ew decades: by 2071 the number
o adults over 65 could double to nearly 21.3 million, and those over 80 could more
than treble to 9.5 million. Over the same period, our concept o what constitutes old
age will change, and notions o career and retirement will shit in response to
longer working lives. The number o older people will also increase as a proportion othe working population, thereby creating possible tensions within society.
Two major challenges are:
How to ensure that the growing number o older people maintain the best
possible mental capital, and so preserve their independence and wellbeing.
Dementia will be a major problem and will have a substantial and increasing
impact on individuals, carers and amilies. Over the next 30 years in the UK, the
number o people aected could double to 1.4 million, and the annual cost to
the economy could treble to over 50 billion.
How to address the massive under-utilisation o the mental capital o older adults,
and how to reverse the continued negative stereotyping o older age. Achieving
these would benet everyone: older people themselves, business, and the rest
o society. However, ailure could result in a spiral o poor wellbeing, mental ill-
health and exclusion; and disenchantment in this large and growing sector o the
population.
Changes in the global economy and the world of work 4
Economic growth in countries such as China and India, new technologies and
globalisation will continue to present major challenges to business, and to our
increasingly knowledge- and service-based economy. Skill levels (both high and
low) in the UK workorce will be critical to competitiveness and prosperity.
Increasing numbers o workers will need to compete in a global market or
skills. It will be crucial or them to develop their mental capital by training and
retraining through their working years in order to compete eectively. Preparing
people to meet that challenge will need to start early in lie by ostering the best
possible disposition to learn.
3 See Chapter 6 o the nal Project report
4 See Chapter 5 o the nal Project report
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Final Project report Executive summary
The relentless demands or increased competitiveness will combine with
changing amily commitments, such as the two-earner amily and the increasing
need to care or older adults. These demands will have major implications or
work-lie balance and the wellbeing o workers, and have knock-on eects or
their amilies and communities.
Overall, a major challenge will be to square the circle o meeting the demands o
increasingly intensive work, whilst preserving and nurturing wellbeing.
The changing nature of UK society
The evolving mix o cultures, changing amily structures, and changing patterns o
migration, will drive the need to connect better across cultural groups and across
generations. Several aspects o mental capital and wellbeing could contribute to this: or
example, learning through lie; new approaches to fexible working; and encouraging
the involvement o older people in inter-generational activities. Success could create a
virtuous cycle o oppor tunity, social inclusion and social cohesion. However, inequalityo opportunity could uel a cycle o tensions between dierent cultural and age groups,
ragmentation o society, and social exclusion.
Changing attitudes, new values and expectations of society 5
Increasingly, we expect more rom lie than living healthier and longer; wellbeing has
become one o todays buzzwords. A major issue will be to decide on the values and
expectations we are aiming to meet; and also to determine the balance o
responsibility or action between the State, employers, amilies and individuals.
The changing nature of public services
The trend in recent years has been towards a model o public services based on
greater levels o personal choice, active citizenship, personal responsibility, and co-
production. This is set to continue. To work most eectively, these models o service/
client relationship require the greatest number o the public to be equipped with the
mental capital and disposition to participate. This calls or a policy mindset that aims to
oster mental capital and wellbeing across the whole population.
New science and technology
These will create substantial opportunities or improving how we develop our mental
capital and promote mental wellbeing. For example: new understanding is already
leading to new ways o addressing learning diculties and mental disorders; advances in
new technology or learning has the potential to play an important role in
personalisation o education; and new technology could help everyone to fourish by
changing how we socialise, work, learn and communicate.
However, arguably the biggest challenge will not be the development and
implementation o these new technologies, but rather, in ensuring equality o access to
5 Appendix B o the nal Project report outlines three uture scenarios that have been used to explore dierent
possible utures or the UK.
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the benets. This will be critical i they are to reduce social inequalities in the uture,
rather than uelling urther divisions.
4 How the Project adds value over previous work
The Project combines a uniquely broad vision to take an independent look ar into theuture. In so doing, it sets out to challenge existing thinking.
The Projects analysis has:
Drawn upon the advice o over 400 6 leading experts and stakeholders rom across
the world, and rom diverse disciplines such as: economics; modelling and systems
analysis; social sciences and ethics; neuroscience, genetics and mental development;
psychology and psychiatry; and sciences relating to education, work and wellbeing.
Looked across the liecourse: it has considered how experiences and interventions
at one stage o lie can aect an individuals mental capital and wellbeing or years
and even decades.
Spanned the interests o key depar tments across Whitehall, and o diverse
stakeholders outside o Government.
The state-o-the-art in 80 areas o science have been reviewed7 to develop an
understanding o how mental capital and wellbeing evolve through the liecourse, and
to identiy which aspects are most critical or meeting uture challenges. The ollowing
sections summarise what is important at successive stages o lie.
6 See Appendix A o the nal Project report or details o those involved in the Project.
7 Appendix E o the nal Project report provides a list o the main Project reports and the 80 reviews o the state-
o-the-art o science. These reports, along with a number o other Project discussion papers, workshop reports and
analysis papers will be made available through www.oresight.gov.uk.
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5 Children8
Todays children will shape the uture o the country, and their childhood is critical in settinga course or their trajectories through lie. Early interventions to address learning dicultiesand to help children fourish are particularly promising: or improving outcomes or children,and or oering good value or money.
New science has transormed our understanding o child development, learning andlearning diculties. We need to capitalise on these developments or all children: by placingmore emphasis on starting early, even rom birth; improving parenting, and home andnursery care environments; and combining interventions in dierent settings the amily,nursery care, and school. The benets would be improved pro-social behaviour, improvedattitudes to independent learning through lie, and better resilience in terms o coping withthe challenges o their uture lives.
Learning diculties are a particular problem, aecting up to 10% o children9. Yet too oten
they remain unidentied, or are treated only when advanced. The result can be under-achievement in school and disengagement by the child, sometimes leading to a long-termcycle o anti-social behaviour, exclusion and even criminality. Improvements in earlydetection combined with ocused interventions could prevent problems developing and
create broad and lasting benets or the child and society.
5.1 Interventions to promote the best possible mental development need to start asearly as possible mental development starts in the womb10:
Addressing maternal stress, diet, and smoking should be high priorities , as thesethree actors are particularly crucial. Also, similar concerns exist in regard to
mothers abusing illegal substances, such as stimulant drugs e.g. methamphetamine,
cocaine.
Avoidance o alcohol exposure during pre-natal development is also potentiallyimportant, since oetal alcohol syndrome (FAS) is the most commonenvironmental cause o learning diculties, aecting rom one to seven per 1,000
live-born inants. However, a continuing controversy involves the degree to which
the decits observed in FAS conditions derive rom brain damage in the womb
or rom the neglectul and/or non-stimulating environments provided by alcoholic
mothers who continue to drink.
5.2 Enabling the best possible amily, social and physical environments in whichchildren are nurtured should be a priority11:
Parents should be oered coaching in skills, particularly those who have notexperienced eective parenting skills in their own upbringing. Early amily andnursery environments are crucial, as they provide the learning environments
that can nurture the social and sel-regulation skills that will enable children to
8 See Chapter 3 o the nal Project report
9 Note: learning diculties such as dyslexia are not the same as Special Educational Needs, which include physicaldiculties and generalised intellectual disabilities. Learning diculties are considered in the Project report: Goswami.
Learning difculties: Future challenges; and in the Project science reviews Appendix A reers
10 See Chapter 2, section 2.1 o the nal Project report
11 See Chapter 3, section 3.4 o the nal Project report
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Final Project report Executive summary
fourish: warm and contingent caretaking, rich language, and avoiding directiveness12
and punitiveness are all important and should be promoted. Conversely,
adverse experiences in the post-natal period can lead to cognitive impairments:
environmental risk actors include low socio-economic status, and also trauma such
as childhood sexual abuse.
Ensuring good housing quality is likely to be important poor housing is akey actor associated with childrens mental development, although it is notknown whether the association is causal. Housing quality could be a good proxymeasure or the quality o the home learning environment e.g. lack o resources,
disruptive amily circumstances, lower-quality social support networks. Children
living in poorer-quality housing have also been shown to have higher levels o stress
hormones and behavioural problems.
5.3 Early identication and prompt treatment o learning diculties in childrenare vital13:
Increasing eort here could substantially help to address long-term social and
economic consequences or the child and or society. Two particularly important types
o learning diculty have been considered by the Project:
Developmental dyslexia. This aects the literacy skills o between 4-8% o children:it can reduce lietime earnings by 81,000, and reduce the probability o achieving
ve or more GCSEs (A*-C) by 3-12 percentage points. A range o possible
interventions has been identied by the Project or both home and school.
Developmental dyscalculia because o its low prole but high impacts, its
priority should be raised. Dyscalculia relates to numeracy and aects between4-7% o children. It has a much lower prole than dyslexia but can also have
substantial impacts: it can reduce lietime earnings by 114,000 and reduce the
probability o achieving ve or more GCSEs (A*-C) by 720 percentage points.
Home and school interventions have again been identied by the Project. Also,
technological interventions are extremely promising, oering individualised
instruction and help, although these need more development.
5.4 Teachers and ront-line childcare proessionals should be given scienticallyaccredited training in elds relating to how children learn and develop, and also
learning diculties14:
The training would capitalise on the new scientic understanding in these elds.
It would empower the proessionals to better address the needs o individual children,
and to improve learning and development trajectories. For example, there is a need to
oster wider recognition that most learning diculties in children such as dyslexia and
dyscalculia are genetically transmitted, with genes subsequently interacting with
environments to aect developmental trajectories.
12 Directiveness is ignoring the childs ocus o attention and instead directing them to ocus elsewhere see glossary
o terms in Appendix D o the nal Project report
13 See Chapter 3, sections 3.1 3.3 o the nal Project report
14 See Chapter 3, section 3.5 o the nal Project report
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Looked-after children15
Much more could be done to enable looked-ater children to realise their uturepotential. Only 2% o looked-ater children are so placed because o theirunacceptable behaviour. The majority are in care because they have been the victims
o abuse, neglect and amily dysunction. Yet they are stigmatised as though they
themselves are at ault, and they also experience diculties in accessing services.
It is estimated that 45% o looked-ater children have a mental health disorder, that
they are 10 times more likely to have a statement o special educational need, and
that their educational attainment is considerably worse than that o other children
(or example, 41% attain ve GCSEs [A* to G] compared to 91% o children
overall). Also, these disadvantages ollow them through their lives: or example,
unemployment on leaving school is our times more likely; and around one-third o
prisoners were in care as children. Moreover, children who are in residential care
show even more severely disadvantaged trajectories.
This argues strongly or the need to:
Increase the priority and nature o their support with a view to improving: thepromotion o good mental health; better prevention o mental disorders; and
more eective help or those aected. Strengthened and systematic educational
support is also needed to reduce the major inequality o educational attainment
or all looked-ater children.
Provide training to enable carers to improve developmental trajectories orlooked-ater children, while also supporting amilies. O particular importance
are: investment in the education and skills o oster carers, adopters andresidential sta; and attaching a higher value to the caring proessions.
Foster the better use o the science and evidence base to identiy the causeso these disadvantages.
15 See Chapter 3, section 3.9 o the nal Project report
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Final Project report Executive summary
6 Adolescence16
The adolescent brain has been compared to a car with a strong engine but poor steering.Science helps us to understand what is happening during this crucial period odevelopment.
A Year 8 dip (age 12-13) in academic perormance has been reported and mightcorrespond, at least in part, to the reorganisation o the brain around puberty so that it canlearn more eciently. However, a number o important environmental actors, or example,alcohol and substance abuse, can combine to disrupt this neural reorganisation, making thebrain particularly vulnerable during this critical time.
A key message is the need to address substance and alcohol abuse in adolescents. However,the science shows us that the changing adolescent brain specically makes teenagersvulnerable to poor decision-making. Thereore, we need to use science to inorminterventions to help adolescents to navigate their way through this dicult time.
6.1 Several important actors can contribute to alcohol and substance abuse:
There is evidence that adolescents may process reward dierently to adults:
immediate positive outcomes, such as peer approval, may outweigh potential,
long-term, negative consequences. This dierence in the anticipation o outcomes
may help explain why some young people gravitate toward risky behaviours such
as substance abuse.
Other conditions such as mood disorders may predispose adolescents to substance
abuse.
Youngsters subjected to amilial risk, those with aective disturbance, conduct
problems, and neurotic or disinhibited personalities all appear to be at risk o
escalating substance abuse.
Neuroimaging and neuropsychological studies indicate that adolescent substance use is
associated with neural disadvantages, particularly in neural networks involved in
learning, attention, and executive unction17. Also, heavy use o cannabis during
adolescence may adversely aect brain development and lead to decrements in
attention, learning and memory.
Within a strategy to address the problem o alcohol and substance abuse, action to
reduce availability should orm an impor tant element. This is because rates o
consumption o alcohol and other substances, and hence hazardous consumption and
dependence, are directly related to availability (price relative to earnings, and
distribution).
16 See Chapter 2, section 2.1 o the nal Project report
17 See Appendix D o the nal Project report or a glossary o terms
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The growing use of drugs for cognitive enhancement18
These drugs can prove useul or healthy people, or example, in times o stress such
as sleep deprivation; or or the elderly (see below). They can help combat atigue
and jet-lag, and improve attention and other orms o cognition. They are thereore
becoming more widely used by people in a variety o settings including: shit workers;
international travellers in business or academia; and students or studying and exams.
However, careul and critical evaluation is needed concerning possible long-term
risks, which are presently unknown. In par ticular, their potential eect on the
developing brains o children is a cause or concern. A cautious approach to their
availability and use is thereore warranted.
18 See Chapter 2, section 2.1 o the nal Project report
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7 Adults and children: mental ill-health19
Mental ill-health can have diverse and long-term eects on individuals, amilies and society.Estimates place the costs at about 77 billion per year or England when wider impacts onwellbeing are included, and 49 billion or economic costs alone. The pervasive importanceand long-term costs o mental ill-health in society suggest the need to reappraise the
resources devoted to it: currently only about 13% o the NHS budget.
Many people experience mental ill-health: or example, about 16% o adults and 10% ochildren are aected by common mental disorders such as depression and anxiety at anyone time. However, whilst all disorders are best detected and treated early, many goundiagnosed or are only treated when advanced, and when the impacts are severe or theindividual and amilies.
Mental disorders are infuenced by diverse biological and social risk actors, including:genetic actors; biographic characteristics (age, sex); amily and socio-economic
characteristics (marital status, number o children, employment); individual circumstances(lie events, social supports, immigrant status, debt); household characteristics(accommodation type, housing tenure); geography (urban/rural, region); and societal actors(crime, deprivation index).
These diverse social actors may change over the coming years in a variety o ways, and soit is not possible to make general predictions o the prevalence o disorders. (Dementia is anotable exception see below). Thereore, a challenge will be to develop policies that arerobust to uture uncertainties. A strategy that is fexible and adaptable should emphasisethe ollowing:
7.1 Addressing the risk actors associated with mental disorders:
Examples include:
Debt 20. There is a strong case or Government to work with nancial organisations
and utility companies to break the cycle between debt and mental il lness. Recent
research has indicated that debt is a much stronger risk actor or mental disorder
than low income. A range o possible interventions are suggested: beginning with
better training or teenagers in managing nance; greater awareness o the link
between mental health and debt by banks and nancial institutions; and measures
by utility companies to handle arrears better.
Harnessing wider policies in Government. Common mental disorders aect 16%
o the population and are aected by a wide range o issues such as employment,
housing, urbanisation, exposure to crime, and debt. When policies are developed in
areas such as these, there is a clear case or taking more account o the implications
or mental health, as is generally the case or physical health and saety.
19 See Chapter 3, section 3.8; Chapter 4 o the nal Project report
20 See Chapter 4, section 4.6 o the nal Project report
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7.2 Diagnosing early and treating promptly21:
Realising the considerable scope or the primary care setting to play a pivotal rolein providing more integrated access to appropriate sources o help, such as social,psychological and occupational care22. An estimated 30% o GP consultations havean underlying mental-health cause, many o which have a socio-economic basis,
e.g. debt, amily breakdown, trauma, bullying at work, etc. However, many GPs donot currently eel it is their job to help patients seek support to address those
social risk actors. Promoting reerral rom primary care to social, psychological and
occupational proessionals could thereore be win-win: individuals would benet
rom earlier and more eective treatments; GPs would have ewer repeat visits; and
there could be net savings to the care budget.
Improving access to treatments. This has the potential to oer particularly goodvalue or money. As an example, the Project has considered the specic case o
depression. From data in the recent Kings Fund report and the 2000 Psychiatric
Morbidity Survey, it is estimated that there are 828,000 people with moderate
to severe depression in England, yet in 2007, or example, only 10% o guidanceproduced by NICE related to mental health. Extending NICE-recommendedtreatment to all suerers would deliver economic benets well in excess o 1billion each year, and the extra treatment costs would be vastly outweighed byhigher Government revenues and reduced benet payments. Benets to individualwellbeing would add very substantially to this gure.
7.3 Addressing important mediating actors:
For example:
Addressing stigma associated with mental ill-health 23. Stigma and discriminationrelating to mental ill-health is widespread. It aects peoples willingness to undergo
diagnosis and treatment, and it can itsel exacerbate some disorders. Analysis
commissioned by this Project has shown that a sustained and integrated approach
involving a range o dierent stakeholders (such as the amily, employers, schools, the
media) is needed.
Well-designed work placement, support and intervention programmes to helpthose with mental health problems. Better access to work or those with mentalhealth problems is known to oer both clinical and economic benets; such
schemes oer good value or money.
7.4 Targeting high-risk groups:
These include looked-ater children, drug users, and prisoners. Crucially, mentalillnesses oten go unrecognised and/or untreated in these groups, and the
behaviours associated with the disorders go unrecognised and misconstrued. The
individuals can then easily all into a cycle o exclusion, inappropriate responses by
the authorities, and subsequent deprivation. Breaking this cycle is a major challenge,
but ailure to do so will lead to substantial and long-term costs in the uture.
21 See Chapter 4, sections 4.2 4.5 o the nal Project report
22 See Chapter 4, section 4.3 o the nal Project report
23 See Chapter 4, section 4.7 o the nal Project report
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Promoting positive mental health and wellbeing24
The importance o promoting positive mental health or the general population has
been a consistent message throughout the work o this Project. It is proposed thatachieving a small change in the average level o wellbeing across the populationwould produce a large decrease in the percentage with mental disorder, and alsoin the percentage who have sub-clinical disorder (those languishing).
Throughout this report, interventions are proposed to promote positive mental
health and wellbeing or many groups, or example:
Promoting fourishing in children.
Fostering mental wellbeing or workers.
Unlocking the mental capital in older people and promoting their wellbeing so
that they can fourish.
Promoting wellbeing in key ront-line proessions, such as teachers and doctors.
Five ways to mental wellbeing
In addition, the Project has commissioned work to identiy the wellbeing equivalent
o ve ruit and vegetables a day. The suggestions or individual action, based on an
extensive review o the evidence are:
Connect1. With the people around you. With amily, riends, colleaguesand neighbours. At home, work, school or in your local community. Think o
these as the cornerstones o your lie and invest time in developing them.Building these connections will support and enrich you every day.
Be active2. Go or a walk or run. Step outside. Cycle. Play a game. Garden.Dance. Exercising makes you eel good. Most importantly, discover a
physical activity you enjoy and that suits your level o mobility and tness.
Take notice3. Be curious. Catch sight o the beautiul. Remark on theunusual. Notice the changing seasons. Savour the moment, whether you are
walking to work, eating lunch or talking to r iends. Be aware o the world
around you and what you are eeling. Refecting on your experiences will
help you appreciate what matters to you.
Keep learning4. Try something new. Rediscover an old interest. Sign up orthat course. Take on a dierent responsibility at work. Fix a bike. Learn to
play an instrument or how to cook your avourite ood. Set a challenge you
enjoy achieving. Learning new things will make you more condent as well
as being un.
Give 5. Do something nice or a riend, or a stranger. Thank someone. Smile.Volunteer your time. Join a community group. Look out, as well as in. Seeing
yoursel, and your happiness, as linked to the wider community can be
incredibly rewarding and creates connections with the people around you.
24 See Chapter 2, section 2.2 o the nal Project report
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8 Adults: learning25
Learning in adult lie should not be seen in isolation, but as part o a continuum whichbegins in childhood and extends into old age.
Workers at all levels will increasingly need to be sel-motivated and empowered to take
personal responsibility to train and develop through their working lie. This will be vital ithey are to compete at all levels in the global marketplace or skills.
Government is already implementing important initiatives in this area; however, these couldbe amplied by urther eorts to:
Stimulate demand or learning and skills development in individuals and employers.
Empower individuals to learn, through strengthening inormation, advice and guidance.
Improve levels o basic skills.
Realise the considerable potential o new technologies or learning.
Workers will increasingly need to compete at all levels in the global marketplace or
skills. However, the growth in that marketplace, together with a trend towards shor ter-
term jobs, will reduce the incentive or rms to continuously develop their existing
workorce, thereby creating a market ailure. Starting early will be crucial: it will be
important to create experiences or young learners that promote their motivation
and capacity to engage in learning throughout their lives i.e. promoting their
disposition to learn.
8.1 Stimulating the demand or skills:
A range o possible approaches are suggested or consideration by stakeholders:
Targeted awareness-raising. This could be achieved through a series o high-qualitycampaigns or lielong learning. These would be targeted at specic groups within
the adult population that have particular needs, or that do not engage strongly in
learning e.g. people with specic English language requirements, or those towards
the end o their working lives.
Locally-led and ocused schemes using loans or nancial incentives to motivateand empower individual demand. Evidence shows that these could oer substantialpotential.
Incentive systems or employers, building on Train to Gain. The evidence showsthat such incentives work best when embedded in a wider structure and culture o
collaboration on skills.
The role o trade unions in raising employer demand or skills, as well as
promoting learning to their members, could be developed; particularly or types oemployee that are oten under-represented in education and training.
25 See Chapter 5, section 5.1 o the nal Project report
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8.2 Empowering individuals to learn:
The strategic economic role o career guidance needs to be reconsidered andemphasised. This is because the nature o careers is changing or a large proportiono the population, and because the provision o learning or adults is becoming more
demand-led and more complex.
As careers, career expectations and opportunities change in the uture, it will beimportant to develop new markers o career success and dierent criteria thatrefect the diversity o the workorce and the changing aspirations o individuals.
The announcement o the planned creation o the Adult Advancement and Careers
Service rom 2010/2011 is a welcome development. Importantly, the Department or
Innovation, Universities and Skills (DIUS) has announced that it will be available to all
adults; including those experiencing mental ill-health, who are likely to require special
targeting.
8.3 Addressing the gap in basic skills:
Basic skills will be vital to meet the challenges o the 21st century global economy:
Rapid changes in the job market mean that within the next 15-20 years, the
prospects or employment or those with ew qualications and limited literacy and
numeracy will become substantially reduced.
Longitudinal cohort studies have repeatedly shown that poor basic skills signicantly
increase the probabilities that people will experience unemployment, imprisonment,
and poor health and reduce the probabilities o civic engagement.
These actors underline the need to address the gap in basic skills. However, whilst
there has been some progress in recent years, around ve million adults in the UK
remain unctionally illiterate, and almost seven million unctionally innumerate.
It will be important to build upon existing progress and strategies, rather than launching
entirely new initiatives. In particular, it is impor tant or providers to engage consistently
with stakeholders who represent the groups the initiatives are targeting e.g. union
learning representatives.
8.4 Realising the considerable potential o new technologies or learning should bea priority:
These could play a major role in the personalisation o learning, promoting social
inclusion or learners, and increasing productivity or both learner and teacher.
Two messages are particularly important:
New technologies should be driven by the needs o learners rather than tryingto adjust learners to technologies developed or other purposes (such as the leisure
or business markets). Only then are the ull benets likely to be realised.
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Ensuring equality o access will be vital. For example, it will be important toaddress the digital divide. This is still marked; people rom lower socio-economic
strata are less likely to have internet access than people rom proessional and
managerial backgrounds. Also, rates o access to technology remain strongly
contingent on age.
The Project has identied a number o technologies that are already making an impacton education and training, and others with potential to do so in the uture. The latter
category includes: ubiquitous and mobile technologies; articial intelligence; assessment
technologies; and tools to support teachers in designing and exchanging learning
activities.
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9 Adults: working life26
People can benet rom work not only nancially, but also in their general ullment andwellbeing. It should thereore be a priority to ensure that these benets are available toeveryone, including those with mental health problems. There is strong evidence thatprogrammes to encourage and support people with mental health problems into work
oer very high economic and social returns: these programmes should be expanded andintensied.
The world o work is changing, with ar-reaching consequences: globalisation and thegrowing intensication o work will combine to increase workers levels o stress and anxiety,and aect their health and eciency. Changes in the nature o work will also interact withchanges at home, such as growing numbers o two-earner households and increased needor care or older relatives, thereby creating pressures on amilies. Maintaining andimproving wellbeing in the ace o these trends will be a major challenge. The Project
thereore proposes a range o interventions to encourage employers to promote wellbeingin their workorces.
A Government lead in promoting wellbeing in its own workorce would be win-win: besidesbeneting the considerable number o public sector employees and the perormance o itsown business, it would set an important example to the private sector.
9.1 There is a strong case or expanding activities to improve access to work orthose with mental health problems:
There is a great deal o evidence that interesting and ullling work can be generally
benecial or mental health, and that measures to help people with mental health
problems into work oer high returns. Supported employment schemes such as
Individual Placement and Support have been shown to deliver both long-lasting
economic benets and clinical improvements.
9.2 Ensuring mental health in the workplace:
Poor conditions in the workplace can cause stress and exacerbate mental health
problems, and so limit the benets o working. Also, in the uture, changes in the
economy and increasing global competition may increase these dangers, with
substantial risks to the wellbeing o individuals and their amilies, competitiveness, levels
o employment, and benet payments.
Employers should be encouraged to oster work environments that are conducive to
good mental wellbeing and the enhancement o mental capital. Following consultation
with key stakeholders, promising suggestions are set out below. Economic benets are
dicult to quantiy, but analysis o the rst three suggest they may be very cost-
eective due to reductions in the costs o presenteeism27, labour turnover, recruitment
and absenteeism.
26 See Chapter 5, section 5.2 o the nal Project report
27 Presenteeism is dened as the potential lost productivity that occurs as a result o an individual being less than
totally productive while being at work.
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The collection o wellbeing data against Key Perormance Indicators and theundertaking and implementation o annual wellbeing audits. There is clear evidencethat once people all out o work due to mental disorders, they can lapse into long-
term absences, or may never return to work. However, this initiative would help
prevent this, and enable people to remain in work. Employers in both the public and
private sectors should thereore be encouraged to carry out an annual stress and
wellbeing audit, and to act on its ndings. Standardised auditing instruments o theHealth and Saety Executive (HSE) or others should be used to identiy i there is a
problem, and i so, the source o the problem.
Integration o occupational health proessionals with primary care. This is a subseto the primary-care intervention mentioned above (see Section 7 on mental ill-
health). Here it would have two components:
The co-ordination o employment advisors/occupational health proessionals
and clinical psychologists with GP practices to acilitate the early identication o
workplace stress and mental ill-health in patients (such co-ordination need not
include physical co-location).
The employment advisors/occupational health proessional would, with the
agreement o the patient, approach the relevant employers and work with them
to address those aspects o the workplace environment that are aecting mental
health.
Importantly, this intervention would seek to address the underlying problems in the
work environment, thereby potentially also beneting co-workers.
Extension o fexible working arrangements. Two possible variants have beenconsidered:
The extension o the right o all employees with children at or below the age
o 18 to request fexible working arrangements, and the duty o employers
to consider these requests. This would build on the recent legislation that has
extended the right to request fexible working arrangements or all working
parents o children at or below the age o 16.
A second variant would grant all working people this right.
Economic analysis o these options suggests that better rates o return could be
obtained and the economy strengthened, particularly i the right to request was
extended to all.
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9.3 Other suggested interventions (or which economic analysis has not beenperormed):
Better training or managers so they understand the impact they can have onmental capital and wellbeing. A possible way to promote the training or managersin social and interpersonal skills would be to extend the Train to Gain programme
so that employers, particularly small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), canobtain partial unding or this.
Raising the prole o the importance o mental health and wellbeing at work.This addresses the concern, which is supported by evidence, that levels o mental
ill-health and mental wellbeing in the workplace are insuciently recognised by
employers. One possibility would be to encourage companies to include wellbeing
indicators in their annual reports thereby benchmarking their perormance or
shareholders, and showcasing any improvements.
The establishment o a Workplace Commission. This would: raise awareness o the
importance o mental capital and wellbeing at work; promote stress audits; and helpSMEs to act on the ndings o those audits.
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10 Older adults28
By 2071, the number o people over 65 could double to nearly 21.3 million, while thenumber o people aged 80 and over could more than treble to 9.5 million. However, thisexpanding group will be beset by two major challenges:
The increasing prevalence o cognitive decline, particularly due to dementia will becritical. However, other mental disorders, notably depression and anxiety will also beimportant: addressing the relatively poor access o older adults to treatment (comparedwith younger adults) should be an immediate priority.
The need to reverse the continued negative stereotyping and massive under-utilisationo their mental capital: this is crucial so that the considerable mental resources o olderpeople are recognised and unlocked or the benet o themselves and society.
A new mindset is needed: involving a rethink o older age, and addressing the stigma
associated with it.
At a strategic level, there is a strong case or a step-change in the governance o olderpeople in order to promote their wellbeing and unlock their mental capital. In particular, a
high-level lead within Government will be important to ensure sustainable long-term actionthat is integrated across Government and which adopts a liecourse perspective.
10.1 Addressing cognitive decline should be high priority29:
This is set to rise substantially with the ageing population, and dementia will be a
particular problem, as age is a key risk actor. Over the next 30 years, the number opeople with dementia in the UK could double to 1.4 million, with major impacts on
those aected, their amilies and carers. It also constitutes an expenditure time bomb;
over the same period, costs to the UK economy could treble rom 17 billion a year
today, to over 50 billion a year. For these reasons, the current development o a
national strategy or dementia is par ticularly welcome. However, in view o the
magnitude o the challenge, a high-level commitment to resource its ndings will be
crucial.
A review o evidence in this Project suggests that such a strategy should include:
Starting early in lie. It would be a mistake only to address the risk actors ocognitive decline when they occur in old age. Examples would include encouraging
exercise in middle age in order to promote a healthy cardiovascular system, and
encouraging education and learning through the liecourse to promote cognitive
reserve.
The development and use o new methods or early diagnosis (biomarkers) ocognitive decline and dementia. Biomarkers will acilitate the development, testingand use o new treatments; however, they are costly and risky to develop. A more
ocused approach to research, involving a par tnership between the research
28 See Chapter 6 o the nal Project report
29 See Chapter 6, section 6.2 o the nal Project report
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community and industry, would help to ocus eor t and realise eciency savings,
both in terms o research eort and development costs.
The eective and timely use o new treatments to arrest the progression odementia. A priority should be to develop and use treatments to slow or arrestdecline in the early stages, beore quality o lie suers substantially, and beore
suerers become dependent on amilies and state. Also, there is a case or reviewinghow we make decisions on the provision o new treatments.
Consideration should be given to the development and use o pharmacologicaland other types o cognitive enhancers or older people experiencing decline.The benets could be considerable or this age group in the uture. Moreover, in
the case o pharmacological enhancers, the balance o risks and benets when
used by older adults could be quite dierent compared with their use by children
(see above).
10.2 Addressing other orms o mental ill-health in older adults will also beimportant30:
As mentioned above, mental disorders such as depression and anxiety will continue to
be particular problems or older people, particularly since they can be associated with
actors associated with older age, such as physical and mental decline.
Targeted action is needed now to improve access to treatments or these and other
mental disorders, so that long-term impacts are avoided. Such action will be a critical
component in a wider strategy to improve mental wellbeing in older adults (see
below). Pharmacological and psychological treatments that are matched to the needs
o older people are likely to be important.
10.3 There is a strong case to develop a strengthened strategy or promoting themental capital and wellbeing o older people31:
Here, unlocking the mental capital in older people and promoting their wellbeing are
considered together since they are intimately linked: many interventions that target
one, will also improve the other. This Project has identied a large number o possible
initiatives that should be considered. Older people themselves have helped to rene
these ideas through a consultation exercise. The initiatives are too numerous to list in
this Executive Summary, but are grouped into the ollowing categories:
Promoting social networking. Scientic and other evidence shows the importanceo social networking in promoting mental capital and wellbeing in older adults, and
indicates three specic types o intervention that are successul:
Group interventions involving educational and social activity, targeting social
isolation and loneliness.
Volunteering.
30 See Chapter 6, section 6.3 o the nal Project report
31 See Chapter 6, section 6.4 o the nal Project report
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Interventions that promote trusting relationships, requent contacts with riends,
and which seek to improve the quality o social relationships.
Encouraging and empowering older people to engage better in learning. Evidenceshows that learning can help to promote wellbeing, as well as protecting against
normal age-related cognitive decline. Furthermore, when learning takes place
in social settings, it can promote wellbeing indirectly through social networking.
As elsewhere, initiatives that take account o the particular needs o older people
will be important.
Promoting valued and valuable engagement, enabling people to work i they wish.There is a case or Government to review the right o older adults to continueworking. This could yield a quick win: both the wellbeing and the mental capital oolder workers would be promoted, with consequential benets to wider society.
A key message is that unlocking the mental capital o older people need not incur net costs:
interventions could benet amilies, business, wider society, and Government, as well asolder people themselves. Older people should be a key resource used or planning andimplementing new interventions.
10.4 Promoting environments to enable older people to fourish32:
I older people are to fourish sustainably, then the various environments in which they
live, learn, socialise and work need to suppor t this aim. The policies o many par ts o
Government will be critical in achieving this:
Achieving a physical environment that meets the needs o older people. Becauseit can take decades rather than years to substantially change the built environment,
the needs o the growing number o older people need to be at the heart o long-
term plans being developed now. A range o dierent scales need to be considered
houses, open spaces and town planning. Examples o initiatives could include:
Improving the design o homes and towns to meet the needs o older people;
older people themselves are a key resource to advise on this.
Improving access and reach-ability to public spaces.
Better provision o training or decision-makers who infuence the physical
environment.
Promoting good work environments. Employers could benet considerably romthe skills o older people, and realise savings due to reduced churn in employees.
The ollowing will be important in promoting the right work environments:
Education o employers will be critical so that they understand the benets o
older workers, and understand how to match work and working environments
to the needs and capabilities o older adults.
32 See Chapter 6, section 6.5 o the nal Project report
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The extension and development o middle years and pre-retirement training.
Helping employers to recognise the importance o investing in the training
o older workers and to understand better their training needs. This could
contribute substantially to making lielong learning a reality.
Encourage employment centres (physical and online) to advise older people onwork opportunities, training and retraining.
Harnessing the considerable potential o inormation and communicationstechnology (ICT). The development o new products and services should beencouraged to: enable the elderly to remain socially and economically active or
longer; create new opportunities or learning; and to promote their wellbeing.
However, promoting equality o access and opportunity will be vital to counter
a possible digital divide and to enable all older people to benet. Older people
could themselves provide a valuable resource in helping to design and trial
applications specically or older users, and in promoting their uptake.
Addressing the stigma associated with older age, both within older peoplethemselves, and also within wider society.Substantial and sustained eorts overmany years will be needed to reverse the negative stereotyping o older people in
society. However, this will be vital within a wider strategy to improve their wellbeing.
Methods developed by the Project (or addressing stigma associated with mental
disorders) could be adapted and used to develop an integrated approach involving
teachers, amilies, the media, Government, and older people themselves.
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11 Key choices for policy makers33
The Project has identied a number o undamental issues and choices that cut acrossGovernment and its decision-making process: these are outlined below. However, whilst theresolution o some o these is outside o the scope o the present Project, they willnevertheless condition how best to proceed, and will need to be addressed i the ull
benets are to be realised rom this report. They are thereore provided here as a stimulusto urther debate.
Who needs to act?
The picture is mixed: there is a clear rationale or action by Government in some areas, andor companies and individuals elsewhere. But in many cases, it will be important ordierent parties to work together in concert. Overall, it will be crucial to be clear about thebalance o action, and to ensure adequate inormation and incentives to make actionhappen.
Government
The analysis suggests that action to improve mental capital and wellbeing could have
very high economic and social returns. The high costs, or example o mental illness and
learning diculties, are not sucient in themselves to establish the case or ur ther
intervention. However, the nal Project repor t demonstrates a clear economic case or
Government intervention and, importantly, that there are cost-eective measures it can
take where the economic and social benets are likely to signicantly exceed the costs
involved.
The economic rationale or Government intervention to improve mental capital and
wellbeing is based on a combination o equity and eciency arguments. Equity
considerations suggest that those who are particularly prone to suer rom stigma,
reduced wellbeing, and economic loss because o mental health problems or learning
diculties should not be required to bear those losses without support or themselves
or or their inormal (oten amily) carers. Such people are oten among the poorer in
society. The main eciency arguments relate to the wider social and economic benets
o action, which go well beyond those accruing to the people directly aected, and the
need or better inormation about impacts and potential remedies.
Personal and corporate responsibility
Despite the rationale or action by Government, the analysis has made it clear that
companies and individuals may also need to act and have clear incentives to do so.
Three examples are provided:
In the eld o learning, individuals can substantially increase their employability and
earnings potential by improving their skills and mental capital, and companies can
benet rom helping their employees to train and retrain through their working
lives. However, there is a wider social and economic case or Government to help
individuals to recognise and take advantage o these benets, supporting themin childhood and empowering them to take control o their own learning and
33 See Chapter 7 o the nal Project report
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retraining in later years; and to provide companies with stronger incentives which
take ull account o the wider benets involved.
People have clear incentives to adopt liestyles in mid-adulthood that will prepare
them or older age, and protect them against mental decline. An example here is
exercise, which helps to stimulate the cardiovascular system and coner protection
against normal cognitive decline. However, people apparently tend to discount theselong-term benets rather heavily, and there is a good case on wider economic and
social grounds or Government encouragement and incentives so that they are
accorded a higher priority.
Companies have a strong incentive to adopt working practices that look ater the
mental health and wellbeing o their employees. It makes them more productive
and increases the companys competitiveness. However, provision o Government
support and advice may be needed to ensure that companies also actor in the
wider benets or individuals and society.
Diverse players acting in concert
In general, the greatest benets will be obtained when concerted actions are taken by
a range o dierent stakeholders in par ticular contexts. The Project has identied a
number o instances where an integrated approach will be vital. Two examples are:
Early child development: as indicated above, there is a case or inter ventions that
adopt basic principles (such as responsivity and warmth), to be integrated in
dierent settings in the amily, school, and inter-generationally.
In addressing the stigma o mental health, an integrated approach is needed involving
a range o stakeholders: parts o Government, the media (such as television and
radio), mental health proessionals, and educators.
What criteria should underpin policy development in a situation where resources areinevitably constrained?34
Choices concerning interventions, and the amount o resources assigned to them, will needto be made against a background o evolving public expectations, and the values to which
society will aspire over the next 20 years. There is a strong case or Government to consider
these urther as part o its consideration o this report.
For example:
How should we balance resources between: helping those with the most chronic
or acute problems; preventing problems developing; and shiting the overall level
o wellbeing or the entire population? This latter option, or example, could
substantially transorm the outlook or a large proportion o the population, but
care would be needed to ensure that it was not at the expense o providing the
right level o treatment and support or those with disorders.
34 See Chapter 7, section 7.1 o the nal Project report
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How should we allocate resources between dierent lie stages? There is a strong
case to invest in young people as this will set the course or their uture wellbeing
and productivity. However, it also makes sense to ully use the mental capital that
exists already in people o older ages. Since most people in todays society have
a high likelihood o reaching advanced age, investing at later lie stages has the
potential to benet many.
In deciding priorities, appropriate weight needs to be given to actors such as social
inclusion, social cohesion and individual wellbeing, as well as to economic prosperity.
This will be particularly important or allocating resources or mental capital and
wellbeing policies across dierent age groups, though the general case or acting
early in the liecourse will remain. However, more work is needed to understand
and quantiy the value o such benets in the assessment o particular courses o
action.
When Government allocates resources or interventions relating to mental capital andwellbeing, how broadly should it value impacts across society, and how should it value very
long-term benets?35
For example:
There is a common tendency or people to discount unduly heavily the (known)
long-term eects on their uture mental capital and wellbeing o liestyle choices
such as: ailing to exercise; taking drugs and the excessive use o alcohol; and o
ailing to enhance skills and take advantage o training opportunities over the
liecourse. Government policy should adopt measures which help correct or
that tendency, and give greater weight to longer-term benets, using the standard
approach to social discounting.
Interventions that enhance the learning, development and resilience o children
could have substantial economic and social implications over many decades:
reducing later costs or the cr iminal justice system, the social and healthcare systems,
mental health at work, improving lietime earnings, and even in protecting against
cognitive decline in old age. These need to be taken ully into account.
There is also a very strong case or more intensive adoption o best-practice
treatments or common mental disorders; and well-tested programmes or helping
those with mental illnesses into work which oer the prospect o high returns over
many years.
Early identication o mental health risks and conditions, or example, through
biomarkers, has the potential to enable earlier and more eective interventions
which deliver benets over longer periods. This potential needs to be given ull
weight in the allocation o research unding.
35 See Chapter 7, section 7.2 o the nal Project report
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To what extent should wider policy choices across Government take account o mentalcapital and wellbeing?36
The pervasive impacts o socio-economic, cultural and environmental conditions on mentalcapital and wellbeing illustrate the need to widen the range o circumstances in whichimpacts on mental health are actored into economic appraisals o public sector policies
and projects. However, more evidence is needed to do this eectively.
Several examples illustrate the need to take better account o implications or mental
capital and wellbeing when developing policies across Government:
Common mental disorders are extremely costly e.g. depression in England accounts
or about 9 billion per year, mainly in lost productivity. However, the evidence
shows that they are crucially aected by actors which are infuenced by policies in
diverse areas unrelated to mental healthcare e.g. employment and the economy;
housing; welare; and criminal justice.
There is a good case to intervene in areas such as personal debt and nancial
literacy, specically to break the cycle with mental ill-health. Similarly, interventions to
improve the physical environment could oer benets to mental health. However,
such cases oer particular challenges, since the principal beneting Government
department would be dierent rom the departments that would resource the
intervention.
New evidence conrms that early child-parent and child-carer relationships are
particularly impor tant to later fourishing, both socially and cognitively. It has also
inormed understanding o causal mechanisms. However, these relationships are
aected by many actors, including lack o knowledge by some parents and teachersregarding eective parenting and child development, teenage parenting, sub-optimal
child care settings and low pay levels or childcare workers.
There is a need to improve coordination and to align better incentives in the implementationo policies or mental capital and wellbeing37. For example, the incentives acing dierentdepartments (at present through the Public Sector Agreement system) need to be alignedas ar as possible to embody a consistent and comprehensive approach in this context.
Crucially, success in managing this agenda and delivering real improvements in mental
capital and wellbeing will require strong political leadership and coordination at the centreo Government.
At the level o central Government, at least hal o the 30 departmental Public Sector
Agreements (PSAs), led by eight separate departments, have potential implications or
mental capital and wellbeing, but not all o them recognise this explicitly. Inclusion o
mental capital and wellbeing explicitly in these PSAs, supported by appropriate Key
Perormance Indicators and monitoring rameworks, should be considered.
36 See Chapter 7, section 7.3 o the nal Project report
37 See Chapter 7, section 7.3 o the nal Project report
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More radical possibilities that should be explored include:
The development o a joint PSA across Government geared to improving mental
health and wellbeing; and
The development o an over-arching mental capital and wellbeing measure, akin to
the Communities and Local Government Index o Multiple Deprivation.
How might we address uture challenges in those cases where todays sciencedoes notprovide clear advice?
In general, interventions need to be evidence-based and include a careul appraisal o
costs and benets. However, whilst science tells us a great deal, many uncertainties
remain. In particular, evidence on the cost-eectiveness o mental capital and wellbeing
interventions is generally sparse, certainly or the UK. A very high priority should
thereore be assigned to improving that evidence base.
Where uncertainties remain, it is oten desirable to trial new approaches in ways that
urther understanding. Also, more emphasis on rigorous evaluation o existing and
proposed new interventions is required. Both will require a high-level commitment to
careul planning and, where relevant, a step-by-step roll out.
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12 Conclusion: next steps for Government38
Promoting mental capital and mental wellbeing or everyone will be vital in meeting diverseuture challenges acing our changing society. This report and its supporting papers identiya large number o evidence-based suggestions or new policies and interventions. Thendings have already begun to inorm a number o Government reviews and activities: the
Projects Stakeholder Engagement document39
provides a list and includes others that areplanned.
However, the ull benets oered by this report cannot be realised by a piecemealapproach by individual parts o Government. Instead, a step change in both social andeconomic outcomes could be achieved through a more strategic and visionary approachinvolving:
Better use o scientic and other evidence to plan and link interventions that aect
mental capital and wellbeing through the liecourse.
Better decision making, drawing upon better economic analysis o interventions, to take
account o wider and longer-term benets.
Improving the promotion o cross-Government action and central coordination.
Realising this new approach and the ull benets rom this Project will not be easy.
There will be substantial diculties that would need to be overcome, particularly
relating to the three areas listed above. For this reason, the ollowing suggests a number
o practical steps that constitute a roadmap or urther action by Government:
a. There needs to be a high level commitment and lead in Government to overseethe development and eective implementation o this new approach.
This will be vital to integrate policies and interventions eectively across the
liecourse, and across the interests o delivery departments. It will also be important
to mesh this over-arching approach with the many existing initiatives and policies.
The intention would not necessarily be to require new resources, but rather to
bring the many existing initiatives together within a common vision and ramework,
to reassess the balance o priorities, and to identiy and address gaps.
b. Government needs to act now to prepare society or uture challenges, and to prevent
problems aecting individuals becoming long-term40.
For example:
We need to prepare todays children so that they are set on the best possible
trajectories to meet the challenges ahead. The early years o development are
critical.
In some areas where the situation is set to worsen, such as the growing number
o older people at risk o dementia, we need to act decisively new treatments
could take years to become available, and protective liestyles need to be
established now or those in middle age.
38 See Chapter 8 o the nal Project report
39 The Stakeholder Engagement document will be made publicly available through www.oresight.gov.uk
40 See Chapters 3 6 o the nal Project report
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We need to address problems aecting peoples mental capital and wellbeing
(e.g. relating to learning diculties and mental health), so that they do not
become entrenched and so that we avoid their impact over coming decades.
c. The new strategic approach needs to be inormed by an early debate to decide itsbreadth, and the values and expectations o society that it will seek to address41.
For example, issues such as the balance o roles and responsibilities between the
State, the individual and employers will be important. Also, there is a case or
Government to engage with the wider society to agree priorities. For example, it
will be important to be clear about the relative value o issues such as economic
prosperity, wellbeing, social cohesion and inclusion so that clear pr inciples or the
division o resources can be determined.
d. Work should be commissioned to provide economic assessments o potentiallyworthwhile interventions42.
This will be crucial so that benets o policies and interventions are maximised
both across society (or example, to include the impacts on carers and business),and across the liecourse. This may require the development o new economic
evidence relating to the values that the strategy will target (see above).
e. New ways o incentivising Government departments need to be worked out, so that
eective and sustained action results43.
In particular, it will be important to build upon the existing Public Sector Agreement
ramework to better address the issue o a given department resourcing
interventions that address the priorities and interests o other departments.
. Where possible, the development and implementation o the new approach should be
inclusive.
This suggestion recognises the trend towards more active citizenship. A particular
example concerns older adults: they should play a central role in developing and
implementing the components o the strategy that aects them.
g. A mechanism should be adopted to oversee the rigorous use o science and otherevidence.
This would be important to inorm choices made within the new approach; and to
promote the eective use o economic analysis and randomised control trials to
assess interventions.
h. When new policies and interventions are developed or optimising mental capital andwellbeing, their implications or social equity and social inclusion should besystematically assessed.
For example, the promotion o mental capital and mental wellbeing could be used
explicitly as a tool to reduce divisions and exclusion in society. However, it could
have the opposite eect i only certain groups were able to benet. Access to
new technology or learning is a clear example: i available to all, it could unlock
opportunities or the disadvantaged, but i only available to the privileged, it could
widen social divisions.
41 See Chapter 7, section 7.1 o the nal Project report
42 See Chapter 7, section 7.2 o the nal Project report
43 See Chapter 7, section 7.3 o the nal Project report
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i. There should be a long-term commitment to build upon the existing scientic and otherevidence base44.
Addressing gaps and uncertainties will be important and specic areas o urther
research are suggested in the nal repor t. However, a strategic need that cuts across
Government would be to update and strengthen the long-term strategy or large-
scale, longitudinal studies.
In conclusion, when a Foresight project is started, it is not known where the scientic andother evidence will lead. Here, it has provided a vision o a uture that is beset with manymajor challenges and uncertainties. However, two consistent themes have emergedthroughout: on the one hand the considerable vulnerability o our mental resources andmental wellbeing to those challenges; but on the other hand, the potential o those sameresources to adapt and meet those challenges, and indeed to thrive. This central
importance o mental capital and mental wellbeing to the uture o individuals and towider UK society argues strongly or them to be considered at the heart o policy
development in Government.
44 See Chapter 7, section 7.4 o the nal Project report
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Appendix A: Structure of the Project reports and supporting papers
The accompanying chart details the reports and papers produced by the Project. The
various repor ts are available in the ollowing ormats through www.oresight.gov.uk:
All are available by download.
All are also all available on CD ROM.
The reports in the accompanying chart that are represented by icons o their ront
covers are also available in hard copy.
In addition to the reports and papers in the accompanying gure, a number o other
discussion papers, economics papers, and workshop reports will also be made available
in due course through the above website.
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Mental capital through lie:
Future challenges
SR-E1: Neuroscience oeducation
SR-E2: Human reward
SR-E3: Neuroeconomics
SR-E4: Cognitive reserve
SR-E5: The adolescent brain
SR-E6: Behavioural economics
SR-E7: Resilience
SR-E8: Adolescent drug users
SR-E9: Pharmacologicalcognitiveenhancement
SR-E10: Stem cells in neuralregeneration andneurogenesis
SR-E11: Early detectiono mild cognitiveimpairment and
Alzheimers disease:An example using theCANTAB PAL
SR-E12:Anxiety disorders
SR-E13: Neurocognition andsocial cognition inadult drug users
SR-E14: Normal cognitiveageing
SR-E15: Social cognition inteenagers inclusion
SR-E16: HPA axis, stress, andsleep and mooddisturbance
SR-E17: Nutrition, cognitivewellbeing andsocioeconomic status
SR-E18: Nutrition andcognitive health
SR-E20: Eect o chronicstress on cognitiveunction through lie
SR-E21: Depression and its tollon mental capital
SR-E22: Fitness and cognitivetraining
SR-E24: Eects o exercise oncognitive unction andmental capital
SR-E25: Technology solutionsto prevent waste omental capital
SR-E27: Housing as adeterminant omental capital
SR-E29: Cognitive neuralprosthetics
SR-E31: Cellular and molecularlogic o neural circuitassembly
Learning through lie:
Future challenges
SR-A2: Learning at work
SR-A3: Skills
SR-A4: Participation inlearning
SR-A5: Evidence-inormedprinciples rom theTeaching and LearningResearch Programme
SR-A7: Estimating the eectso learning
SR-A9: Sel-regulation andexecutive unction
SR-A10: Lielong learningacross the world
SR-A11:Non-cognitive skills
SR-A12: Future technologyor learning
Mental health:
Future challenges
SR-B1: Genetics andsocial actors
SR-B2: Mental healtho older people
SR-B3: Positive mental health
SR-B4: Mental disordersin the young
SR-B5: Prisoners
SR-B6: The homeless
SR-B7: Children in localauthority care
SR-B8: The costs o mentaldisorders
SR-B9: Serious and enduringmental illness
SR-B10: Personality disorders
SR-B11: Violence
SR-B12:Ageing
SR-B13:Migrants
SR-B14: Substance abuse
SR-B15: Depression
Mental Capital andWellbeing:Making the mosto ourselves in the21st centuryFinal Project Report
Wellbeing and work:Future challenges
SR-C1: Work