The National Development Plan 2030:

Implications for Project Managers

16 September 2013

Dr. Bridgette Gasa

Our future - make it workImplications of the NDP for Project Managers

NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2030

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National Planning Commission Background

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2012

Apr President Zuma appoints the Commission

Jun Diagnostic Report published

Nov Draft National Development Plan released

Public consultation

2013 onwards2010 2011 2011/12

Aug Handover to President and Nation

Sep Cabinet adopts the Plan

Focus on implementation

Dec ANC Conference adopts the Plan

The NPC

The National Planning

Commission is

an advisory body

that advises government

and South Africa

on long term planning

issues

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Policy making in a

complex world

Population dynamics to 2030

ANC National Policy Conference 6

•Population projected to grow by 8.5 million to about 58.5 million in 2030

•Urban population projected to rise by 11 million to 41 million

•People under 18 now less than 30% of population and percentage over 60

below 7% - the so-called demographic window

•HIV/Aids reduced life expectancy significantly up to 2005, this is now

beginning to be reversed with anti-retroviral treatment

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NDP – Our Roadmap for the next 20 years

“The Plan has been adopted as a National Plan

for the whole country. It is our roadmap for the

next 20 years. All the work we do in government

is now part of the comprehensive National

Development Plan, including all operational

plans be they social, economic or political.”

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President Zuma, 3 February 2013

Key characteristics of the NDP

Not just a vision - a long-term strategic

plan that serves four broad objectives:

• Providing overarching goals to be achieved by

2030

• Building consensus on the key obstacles and

specific actions to be undertaken

• Providing a common framework for detailed

planning

• Creating a basis for making choices about how

best to use limited resources

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The pillars of the NDP

The Plan is founded on six pillars:

• Mobilisation of all South Africans

• Active engagement of citizens in

their own development

• Expansion of the economy &

making growth inclusive

• Building of key capabilities

(human, physical & institutional)

• Building a capable and

developmental state

• Fostering of strong leadership

throughout society

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The Plan aims to enable everyone to

achieve a decent standard of living

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Many of the

elements of

a decent

standard of

living

depend on

provincial &

local

government

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Cycle of

development

- Inclusive rural economy

Objectives and Targets of the Plan

- Reduce unemployment

- Improve quality of education

- Provide quality public services

(water, sanitation, electricity, etc.)

- Better built environment

- Critical infrastructure

- Effective & affordable public transport

Eliminate poverty and reduce inequality

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Key Targets for

2030

Improve public services - Example:

• Produce sufficient energy at competitive prices

• Make high-speed broadband internet available

& affordable

• Expand food production, including by small-

scale farmers

• Entrench a comprehensive social security

system

• Provide quality health care, promote health &

well-being

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KEY MESSAGES IN THE

NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT

PLAN

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Economy and employment

• New growth path priorities– Lowering the cost of living and

improving the business environment

– Increasing infrastructure investment

– Focusing on sectors with strong domestic linkages

• NDP supports these priorities, calls for enhancement through– Better coordination within

government

– More explicit understanding that we need higher exports to finance higher investment

– Some reforms to improve the functioning of the labour market, reduce tension and ease access for young people

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Education, skills and innovation

• Need clear accountability chain, including holding schools accountable for performance

• Expand pre-school education to 2 years and put in place a nutrition programme

– ... But delivery mechanism missing

• Introduce performance agreements for principals and reduce union and political interference in appointments

• Improve quality of FET education while expanding the size of the sector

• The plan sets key targets for the entire sector

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Some improvements in education

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The performance in Maths Grade 6 (ANA Results 2012)

• Support for teachers to develop better ways of delivering

the curriculum and improve their own knowledge of the

subjects they teach

• Improve school performance and management to optimise

utilisation of time and available resources – time on task

• Select and monitor a few indicators (e.g. learner

attendance, curriculum coverage, ANA results)

• Principals should be accountable for the performance of

their schools

• Principals should gradually be given more powers to

administer schools

Education - quality learning & teaching

State capacity –

the engine room for

implementation

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Capable & developmental state

• We need a capable and developmental state that acts to resolve historical inequities through delivering better public services and facilitating investment

• Capable – capacity to formulate and implement policies that serve the national interest

• Developmental – focus on overcoming the root causes of poverty and inequality, and building the state’s capacity to fulfil this role

Capable and developmental state

• We need a capable and

developmental state that acts

to resolve historical

inequities through delivering

better public services and

facilitating investment– Key failings in the state include

the administrative – political

interface, long term skills

planning, strengthening

accountability and improved

coordination for implementation

– Accountability is critical at all

levels, starting with

parliamentary oversight

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NDP Implications for

provincial and local

government

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Implications for provincial government (1)

• Improve the quality of public services

• Focus on core provincial responsibilities such as education

and health, and supporting local govt

• Address governance weaknesses – quality of decisions

• Pay greater attention to the quality of management within

departments

• Address weaknesses in procurement systems to ensure a

greater focus on value for money

• Address specific weaknesses in operations systems to

improve the quality of service delivery

• Strengthen administrative relations between provincial

departments and their national counterparts

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Implications for provincial government (2)

• Use the provincial 5 year plan to focus attention on how to

improve outcomes in core provincial functions

• Identify specific NDP proposals where implementation can

start immediately – consider pilots where we have more to

learn

• Actively engage citizens in development programmes

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Spatial settlement patterns

• Key priorities include:

– Planning adequately for urbanisation

– Finding an institutional location for spatial planning

– Resolving fragmentation in public planning

– Densifying cities which will require spatially efficient buildings

– Attracting investment into townships

– Finding different solutions to rural local government capacity

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Economic infrastructure

• Need to raise public infrastructure spending to 10% of GDP

• Key priorities include– Energy and water security

– Freight logistics

– Public transport

– Support to the mining value chain

– Urban reticulation systems

– ICT and broadband

• Plan sets out principles on financing, cushioning the poor, lessons on sequencing and prioritisation and institutional and regulatory matters

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Facilities Management 1

• SA economy is constrained by inadequate investment and ineffective operation and maintenance of existing infrastructure

• Resolve maintenance and refurbishment backlogs

• Poor investment decisions commandeer the state’s financial resources and hinder other important investments,

• Current investment levels are insufficient and maintenance programmes are lagging.

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Facilities Management 2

• Municipal investments in infrastructure have been inadequate, with maintenance and refurbishment backlogs now exceeding R35 billion.

• Priority should be given to infrastructure programmes that contribute to regional integration:– Inclusive of north-south

corridor and sector-specific projects such as enhancing border facilities, improving energy access and information and communications technology (ICT) connectivity, and revising transport links.

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• Healthcare: Building of hospitals and clinics;

• Education: The need for schools infrastructure keeps growing.

2200 schools across 16 African countries by 2014, scaled up to

600,000 schools by 2019.

• Energy: Essential to development and sustained growth. We need

clean, affordable and accessible sources of energy. Much of rural

Africa still lacks electricity.

• Distribution and generation methods including scaling up existing

transmission infrastructures and harnessing hydropower. A

commitment to electrify 11,000 households in the Democratic

Republic of Congo and Lesotho.

Facilities Management 3

Rural economy

• Focus on improving small scale and commercial agriculture

• High potential agricultural land in former homeland areas identified, needs to be developed

• Plan focuses on building links between small farmers and food consumers

• The plan provides an example of how land reform can be fast-tracked, – but recognises that

weaknesses at national and municipal level bedevil implementation.

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Environmental sustainability & resilience

• Environmental sustainability covers all natural resources

• Scorecard approach proposed to assess impact on the environment– Complementary offset proposal

to balance developmental needs

• Introduce an economy-wide price on carbon

• Support for renewables, but concerns raised about institutional arrangements

• We need to transition to a more energy efficient and lower carbon economy at a pace that makes sense for us

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Health and wellness

• Long term health determinants must be tackled through– Exercise, nutrition and diet,

curbing alcohol and substance abuse, changing sexual behaviour

• NHI support, though efforts need to focus on the building blocks– HR capacity in the sector

– Improving the quality of public health care

– Lowering the costs of private health care

– Building a district health system complete with patient database

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Community safety

• Social determinants of crime are covered in other parts of the plan

• Need to professionalise the police– Skills, recruitment practices,

training etc

– Build specialised units in complex crime areas

– Enhance capacity in detective services and improve crime scene analysis

• Improve capacity in prosecutorial services and lower courts

• Improve efficiency of civil justice system

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Social protection

• Long term vision for comprehensive social security

• Social security reforms have to balance broadening coverage with rising employment– Getting this sequencing wrong will result in

job losses

• Need for alignment and rationalisation of institutions

• Short term reforms focusing on broadening coverage of existing social security benefits

• Longer term priorities include mandatory savings, risk benefits and health insurance

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Corruption

• Three pronged strategy– Enforcement

• Ensure that anti-corruption agencies have requisite resources and independence

– Prevention• Focus on systems, institutional

arrangements and accountability

– Education in society• Understand social dimensions of

corruption

• Procurement reforms– Differential rules for different types

of tenders– Use technology and transparency

to curb corruption– Audit value for money in

procurement contracts– Clarify rules of business interests

of public servants

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South Africa in the region and the world

• Greater regional economic

integration is necessary for

long term development

• Many of our problems such as

energy and food security can

be solved taking a regional

respective

• Obstacles include

infrastructure, border post

corruption, protectionism and

weak regional institutions

• Plan also covers global

linkages and need for break

into fast growing markets

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Social cohesion and nation building

• Social cohesion is necessary to transform the country while reducing poverty and enhancing opportunity for young people are critical to building social cohesion

• Despite diverging interests, success will depend on building partnerships across society

• Rallying people around the Constitution and its values

• Active citizenship through enhancing communication channels between government and society

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Critical success factors: the plan

• Focused leadership over a long period of time

• This is a plan for all South Africans, and everyone in society has a role to play in implementing the plan

• Institutional reform required

• Mobilisation of resources and agreeing on trade-offs

• Clarity on responsibility in each area

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Work of the Commission going forward

Over the next two and half years, the Commission is:

– Mobilising support in society for the plan

– Conducting research on long term development

priorities

– Advising government and the broader society on

implementation of the plan

– Working with relevant bodies to report progress

on the targets in the plan.

Priorities and sequencing

Priority proposals:

• Improve quality of learning outcomes

• Create jobs and promote inclusive growth

• Build state capacity

Sequencing should be informed by:

• Actions that unlock implementation of other

proposals

• Availability of resources

• Capacity to implement

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