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SOLAR ENERGY ROYALTIES: STABLE LONG TERM REVENUES
1839 Photo Voltaic (PV) effect first observed: selenium when exposed to UV light produces electricity
1923 Einstein demonstrates PV effect on silicon, wins Nobel Prize 1959 First commercial PV panels convert 10% of light to electricity;
Explorer 6 launched with large solar array, solar PV electricity becomes the norm in space exploration and satellites
1960: 14% PV efficiency achieved in commercial panel manufacture 1960’s: early uses in space, buoys, navigational aids, irrigation pumps 1973 oil crisis: Petroleum companies invest in solar research 1970’s; small commercial systems marketed: boats & mobile homes 1980’s: Research intensifies and manufacturing techniques refined 1990”s: PV in utilities: Germany starts with 600 kW, now (2013)
at 33 GW, 5% of total electricity consumption, 5,000% increase over 20 years
2000-13: PV efficiencies increase: 17% is norm, 34% is possible With economies of scale PV costs now compete with coal &
nuclear
Solar Electricity: Brief History
Solar PV pioneered in space
Components of a solar PV array
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Solar PV: How it works: power use on site or fed into the grid (AC mains)
Solar PV: Power where the sun shines
Solar PV: Power where the sun shines
Solar PV: Power where the sun shines
Solar PV: Power where the sun shines
Main raw material is silicon, one of the most abundant and inexpensive natural resources on the planet
Solar cells are semiconductor devices and share processing and manufacturing techniques with other semiconductor devices such as computer memory chips
Cost decreases with improved manufacturing techniques and economies of scale
Typical warranty is 25 years with rated output decreasing at 0.75% per year
Panels are expected to function for a period of 30 to 35 years
Efficiency norm has increased to 17% conversion of light Panels are now in production which can achieve 34%
efficiency through use of light concentrators
Solar PV: Panel manufacture, lifespan and efficiency
Solar PV and the Power Grid 1
Black=Power Generation Blue = Transmission (high tension lines) Green = Distribution to customers Large scale central generation (nuclear, big hydro, coal, gas,
big wind) requires transmission lines, high capital investment, high environmental impact
Generation facilities of up to 10 MW can deliver power directly to distribution lines which deliver to users
10 MW of solar PV panels (optimal size for large solar park) requires 100 acres of land
PV installations from 10 kW (house rooftop) to 10 MW can feed directly into existing distribution lines saving costs
Distributed Generation = energy from diverse sources + lower environmental impacts + improved security of supply
Solar PV and the Power Grid 2 (refer last slide)
Solar Resource Assessment: With site latitude and longitude it is possible to measure long term output of any given PV panel configuration
Space requirements: rooftop or open space with unimpeded south exposure; prime farm land use not normally permitted
Property must be adjacent to distribution lines with right voltage for feed-in; e.g. 10 MW project requires minimum 26 kV distribution lines
Access to property secured by purchase or long term lease Permits to feed power into the grid Long term contract to sell power at guaranteed prices:
Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) Financing for construction costs: +/- $2,500,000 per MW
Requirements: Grid connected Solar PV installation
A FIT is a standard rate paid to private power producers to feed power into the grid
FIT rates are guaranteed over several years to encourage new suppliers and energy sources
FIT concept pioneered in the USA in the 1970’s and proliferated in Europe in the 1990’s
Canadian Province of Ontario implemented a renewable energy FIT program, 2006-09 and currently leads in North America with this comprehensive renewable energy incentive
Early stage Ontario FIT contracts (2010-11) offered high FIT as incentive to developers
Ontario FIT contract rates guaranteed for contract life (20 years) Through FIT programs, improved technology and manufacturing improvements,
solar PV installed costs are now competitive with coal, nuclear and gas in many countries; this is called Grid Parity
The need for FIT will eventually disappear but it provides guaranteed long term revenues to early stage developers to cover up-front risks
Ontario FIT project sizes from 10 kW (house roof) to 10 MW (100 acre solar park)
Solar PV and the Feed-In Tariff (FIT)
Solar PV FIT program, Ontario, CANADA
Population 13.5 million, 40% of Canadian total, capital city Toronto, USA border towns: Detroit MI and Buffalo NY
Surface Area = Texas + California combined One purchaser of electric power in the Province: Ontario Power
Authority (OPA) Power is transmitted and distributed by the major utility, Hydro One
and several local utilities OPA first offered standard fixed price contracts in 2006 for renewable
energy: solar, wind, small hydro, biogas, biomass Full scale FIT program commenced in October, 2009 Ontario FIT follows German model, aims to replace coal 2016 Ontario FIT most ambitious renewable energy program in the Americas Thousands of new jobs created in manufacturing renewable energy
equipment Solar PV is a major component of the Ontario FIT program Complete information: http://fit.powerauthority.on.ca/fit-program
Solar PV FIT program, Ontario, CANADA
Royalty Seller is a developer of solar energy projects Royalty Payer is a large multinational USA based publicly
traded power company 20 year royalty, estimated start date December 2013 Royalty estimates are based on third party engineer
estimates of power generation over 20 years FIT rate guaranteed paid by the OPA is $0.443 per kWh Royalty is 1.85% of gross power sales of Royalty Payer Estimated average annual royalty payment: $119,300 Estimated total royalty payments: 20 years: $2,386,000 Project is fully financed; total cost estimated at
$25,000,000; estimated $5,000,000 disbursed to date
Ontario solar FIT royalty for sale
2007-09: Royalty Seller completed early stage work and secured land by way of a long term lease
April 2010: Royalty Seller sold project to Royalty Payer in return for cash and future royalty considerations
February 2011: OPA awards Royalty Payer a 20 year PPA August 2011: OPA waives any rights to terminate the PPA:
http://fit.powerauthority.on.ca/program-updates/newsroom/newsroom-2011/option-waiver-opa-termination-rights
November 2012: Permitting complete, final submission made to Ministry of Environment (MOE)
November 2012-May 2013: statutory waiting period before Notice to Proceed (NTP) from the OPA
May – November 2013: construction (installation of PV panels and grid connection) undertaken by Royalty Payer & contractors
December 2013: Commercial Operation Date (COD) royalty payments commence
Ontario FIT Royalty sale: Timelines
Non-confidential interactive spread sheet available from the Royalty Exchange (TRE) to calculate purchase payments and returns
Full file review requires signature of non-disclosure and non-circumvention agreement (NDNCA) available through TRE
On signing NDNCA, you will receive a confidential information package and can submit questions to the seller
Royalty purchase payments can be in 3 disbursements, terminating on COD
Purchase an Ontario solar royalty
Royalties as long as the sun shines !