1992 Presidential Election
by Joyce E. Berg, John Geweke and Thomas A. Rietz
Legend
Estimated Distribution
Historical Distribution
VS Bounds
WTA Bounds
Mean of Estimated Distribtuion
Estimated P(f>0.5)Contingent Claim Cutoffs
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Republican Convention
Republican Convention
Republican Convention
Republican Convention
Perot Re-Enters Race
VP Debate
1st Presidential Debate
Debate 1
New Contingent Contracts Introduced(Bush > or < 42% of two-party vote)
2nd Presidential Debate
3rd Presidential Debate