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Hosted by: Goldman Sachs
Rishi Jhunjhunwala
13 April 2016
The ISG Outsourcing Index®
First Quarter 2016
Global Market Data and Insights
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Covering the state of the outsourcing industry for global, commercial contracts.*
Welcome to the 54th Quarterly ISG Outsourcing Index® Review
Esteban Herrera Partner
John Keppel Partner & President
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
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At a Glance GLOBAL BROADER MARKET ACV UP 20% Y/Y
WITH SMALLER AWARDS DRIVING MARKET GROWTH
NUMBER OF RESTRUCTURING AWARDS SETS QUARTERLY RECORD, WHILE RESTRUCTURING ACV SURGES ALMOST 50% Y/Y
AMERICAS UP 30% ON BEST QUARTERLY PERFORMANCE IN FOUR YEARS
EMEA UP 19% Y/Y WITH STRONG SHOWING IN THE RESTRUCTURING MARKET
ASIA PACIFIC ACV AND NUMBER OF AWARDS DOWN Y/Y;
EXTENDED WEAKNESS ACROSS MANY GEOGRAPHIC MARKETS
Scorecard 1Q16 1Q Y/Y 1Q Q/Q 1Q16 1Q Y/Y 1Q Q/Q ACV ($B)* Change Change Counts Change Change
Global Market Totals $ 6.1 20% -12% 404 32% 13% Mega-relationships $ 1.1 -3% -49% 5 -29% -38%
By Type New Scope $ 3.3 4% 0% 231 11% 3% Restructurings $ 2.8 48% -23% 173 78% 31%
By Scope ITO $ 4.2 24% -21% 301 51% 20% BPO $ 1.9 12% 17% 103 -4% -2%
By Region Americas $ 2.8 30% 6% 217 49% 47% EMEA $ 2.8 19% -26% 160 28% -6% Asia Pacific $ 0.5 -13% -4% 27 -23% -29%
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Broader Market ACV is up 20% Y/Y, and smaller awards drive market growth; ACV surpasses $6B level, while number of awards exceeds the 400 mark.
Broader Market Quarterly ACV ($B)*
Broader Market Quarterly Contract Counts
Broader Market Contract Award Trends
$6.1 $6.9
$5.5 $6.1
$5.1
$6.7 $5.8
$6.8 $6.5
$4.9 $6.3
$4.0
$6.1 $5.7 $6.1 $6.5 $7.3 $7.6
$6.8
$4.7
$24.7 $24.3 $21.9
$24.4 $26.5
1Q164Q3Q2Q1Q154Q3Q2Q1Q144Q3Q2Q1Q134Q3Q2Q1Q124Q3Q2Q11
Quarterly ACV TTM ACV Totals
404 356 336
446
306 387
295 376 358 325
378
233
323 313 263
313 370
332 313 275
1542 1364 1294 1212 1290
1Q164Q3Q2Q1Q154Q3Q2Q1Q144Q3Q2Q1Q134Q3Q2Q1Q124Q3Q2Q11
Quarterly Counts TTM Count Totals
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Americas Quarterly Counts
Americas Contract Award Trends
Americas Quarterly ACV ($B)*
Americas First-Quarter Segment ACV ($B)* Americas Trailing 12 Months ACV ($B)*
Americas ACV rises 30% Y/Y as Restructuring activity achieves record-setting levels; ITO ACV was best in four years, and number of ITO awards was second-best ever.
$2.8 $2.6
$2.2 $2.1
$2.8 $3.2
$1.9
1Q161Q151Q141Q131Q122Q11
217
148 146 134 142 177
119
1Q161Q151Q141Q131Q122Q11
$10.5 $9.9
$6.9 $9.0 $9.5
756 616
488 483 555
2Q15 -1Q16
2Q14 -1Q15
2Q13 -1Q14
2Q12 -1Q13
2Q11 -1Q12
TTM ACV TTM Counts
$1.38 $1.43
$2.13
$0.67 $0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs1Q15 1Q16
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U.S. ACV makes best showing in four years; the number of awards sets record high; best quarter in 10 years for Financial Services as ACV soars 80% Y/Y.
Americas Sub-Regions First-Quarter ACV ($B)*
Americas Industry First-Quarter ACV ($B)*
Americas Contract Award Trends Detail
$0.07 $0.06
$0.01
$0.04
$0.00$0.05$0.10$0.15$0.20$0.25$0.30
Canada Brazil Mexico Other LatAm
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs 1Q15 1Q16
$2.62
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
$3.0
U.S.
$0.69
$0.41 $0.24
$0.48
$0.21 $0.14
$0.22 $0.25 $0.15
$0.0
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
FinancialServices
Manufacturing Telecom &Media
Healthcare &Pharma
BusinessServices
Energy ConsumerPackaged
Goods
Retail Travel,Transport &
Leisure
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs 1Q15 1Q16
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EXL Hinduja Global Solutions
Luxoft Minacs
Mindtree SITEL
Sutherland Global Syntel
UST Global VirtusaPolaris
Co. Revenues < $2 B
Aon Hewitt CGI
CompuCom Convergys Genpact
HCL Infosys
Tech Mahindra Teleperformance
Wipro
Co. Revenues $2 -10 B
Accenture AT&T
BT Capgemini Cognizant
Dell HPE
Hitachi* IBM TCS
ISG Sourcing Market Standouts in the Americas Only one Service Provider change in the Sourcing Standouts for the Americas. First time ever that the Breakthrough 10 experiences no turnover.
*New to group as of the current quarter Placements based on ACV of commercial contract awards in the past 12 months sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®. Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Revenues sourced from Hoovers and individual company financial fillings
The Building 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Breakthrough 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Big 10 Sourcing Standouts
Co. Revenues > $10 B
SOURCING STANDOUTS GROUPED BY COMPANY SIZE
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Asia Pacific ACV slips 13% from a modest Q1 compare with number of contracts also falling; both New Scope and Restructuring ACV lag Y/Y.
Asia Pacific Quarterly Counts
Asia Pacific Contract Award Trends
Asia Pacific Quarterly ACV ($B)*
Asia Pacific First-Quarter Segment ACV ($B)* Asia Pacific Trailing 12 Months ACV ($B)*
$0.5 $0.6
$1.1
$0.6 $0.5 $0.4
1Q161Q151Q141Q131Q122Q11
27
38 35
50
34 32 33
1Q161Q151Q141Q131Q122Q11
$2.1 $2.7 $2.7
$3.6
$2.1
149 156 159 169
133
2Q15 -1Q16
2Q14 -1Q15
2Q13 -1Q14
2Q12 -1Q13
2Q11 -1Q12
TTM ACV TTM Counts
$0.41
$0.07
$0.24 $0.23
$0.0
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs1Q15 1Q16
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One large mega award helps support ANZ and Manufacturing short-term growth; remaining geographic and vertical markets in Asia Pacific struggle to gain traction.
Asia Pacific Sub-Regions First-Quarter ACV ($B)*
Asia Pacific Industry First-Quarter ACV ($B)*
Asia Pacific Contract Award Trends Detail
$0.06 $0.05 $0.01
$0.26
$0.05 $-
$0.04 $0.01 $- $0.0
$0.1
$0.2
$0.3
$0.4
FinancialServices
Telecom &Media
Travel,Transport &
Leisure
Manufacturing Energy ConsumerPackaged
Goods
BusinessServices
Retail Healthcare &Pharma
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs 1Q15 1Q16
$0.28
$0.03 $0.09
$-
$0.08
$- $0.0
$0.1
$0.2
$0.3
$0.4
ANZ India and South Asia Japan Greater China Southeast Asia South Korea
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs 1Q15 1Q16
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Aegis ASG*
ChinaSoft Hollysys Automation
Minacs Neusoft
Sutherland Global TeleTech
UST Global* Xchanging
Co. Revenues < $2 B
CGI Dimension Data*
Emcor Group* Genpact
HCL Indra Sistemas
Infosys NEC
Serco* Wipro
Co. Revenues $2 -10 B
Accenture Canon
Capgemini Cognizant
Fujitsu HPE
Hitachi IBM
Sodexho* TCS
ISG Sourcing Market Standouts in Asia Pacific Most Sourcing Standout segments experience turnover with some BPO providers entering the Top 10 leader boards based on a few recent contract awards.
*New to group as of the current quarter Placements based on ACV of commercial contract awards in the past 12 months sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®. Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Revenues sourced from Hoovers and individual company financial fillings
Co. Revenues > $10 B
SOURCING STANDOUTS GROUPED BY COMPANY SIZE
The Building 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Breakthrough 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Big 10 Sourcing Standouts
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EMEA ACV rises 19% Y/Y due to a surge of Restructuring activity that ranks among some of the best results ever; both BPO and ITO markets made slight Y/Y gains.
EMEA Quarterly Counts
EMEA Contract Award Trends
EMEA Quarterly ACV ($B)*
EMEA First-Quarter Segment ACV ($B)* EMEA Trailing 12 Months ACV ($B)*
$2.8
$3.8
$2.4
$3.4 $2.8
$3.6
$2.5
1Q161Q151Q141Q131Q122Q11
160 170
125
174 147
161
123
1Q161Q151Q141Q131Q122Q11
$12.1 $11.6 $12.3 $11.9 $14.8
637 592
647
560 602
2Q15 -1Q16
2Q14 -1Q15
2Q13 -1Q14
2Q12 -1Q13
2Q11 -1Q12
TTM ACV Totals TTM Count Totals
$1.52 $1.29
$1.85
$0.96
$0
$1
$2
$3
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs1Q15 1Q16
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U.K. inches up Y/Y, while Nordics and Southern Europe make larger gains. DACH market ACV declines Y/Y, even as number of DACH awards increases over 30% Y/Y.
EMEA Sub-Regions First-Quarter ACV ($B)*
EMEA Industry First-Quarter ACV ($B)*
EMEA Contract Award Trends Detail
$0.84 $0.63
$0.32 $0.31 $0.29 $0.06 $0.12 $0.15 $0.10 $0.0
$0.2$0.4$0.6$0.8$1.0$1.2$1.4
FinancialServices
Manufacturing Telecom &Media
Travel,Transport &
Leisure
Energy BusinessServices
ConsumerPackaged
Goods
Retail Healthcare &Pharma
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs 1Q15 1Q16
$1.1
$0.36
$0.7
$0.1 $0.2 $0.1 $0.3
$0.0 $0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
U.K. & Ireland DACH Nordics Benelux France Africa &Middle East
SouthernEurope
E. Europe &Russia
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs 1Q15 1Q16
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Firstsource Solutions* FleetCor*
GFI Informatique* ISON Group
Luxoft Mindtree NGA HR* Transcom
VirtusaPolaris WNS
Co. Revenues < $2 B
Capita Ceva Logistics
CGI G4S* HCL
Infosys Jones Lang LaSalle*
MITIE Serco Wipro
Co. Revenues $2 -10 B
Accenture Atos BT
Capgemini Cognizant
HPE IBM
ISS Global* TCS
T-Systems
ISG Sourcing Market Standouts in EMEA The Breakthrough 10 category experiences 40% turnover during the quarter as several Service Providers featured on the Leader Board re-enter the Top 10 lists.
*New to group as of the current quarter Placements based on ACV of commercial contract awards in the past 12 months sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®. Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Revenues sourced from Hoovers and individual company financial fillings
Co. Revenues > $10 B
SOURCING STANDOUTS GROUPED BY COMPANY SIZE
The Building 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Breakthrough 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Big 10 Sourcing Standouts
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Special Topic First Quarter 2016 PUBLIC SECTOR OUTSOURCING
John Keppel Partner & President
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Relative to the Commercial Sector, Public Sector sees strong five-year growth. Most ACV is generated by ITO awards, with BPO ACV varying by geography.
Public Sector Trailing 12 Months Counts
Global Public Sector Award Trends
1,542 1,364 1,290
1,636 1,629
1,006
2Q15 -1Q16
2Q14 -1Q15
2Q13 -1Q14
2Q12 -1Q13
2Q11 -1Q12
Commercial Sector Public Sector
Public Sector Trailing 12 Months ACV ($B)*
$24.7
$65.6 $52.4
$41.1 $37.0 $31.5
2Q15 -1Q16
2Q14 -1Q15
2Q13 -1Q14
2Q12 -1Q13
2Q11 -1Q12
Commercial Sector Public Sector
Public Sector ITO vs. BPO TTM ACV ($B)*
$51.8
$39.0 $32.1
$26.7 $24.3
$13.9 $13.5 $9.0 $10.3 $7.2
2Q15 -1Q16
2Q14 -1Q15
2Q13 -1Q14
2Q12 -1Q13
2Q11 -1Q12
Public Sector ITO ACV Public Sector BPO ACV
3.25
4.28
3.19
3.77
Average Deal Size and Duration TTM Compare
$16.0 $20.5
$40.1 $31.4
2Q15 -1Q16
2Q14 -1Q15
2Q13 -1Q14
2Q12 -1Q13
2Q11 -1Q12
Commercial Sector Public Sector
Avg. Duration in Yrs.
Avg. Contract Value ($K)
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Global Public Sector Award Trends North America, led by federal government IT spending, accounts for a large share of sourcing. Average deal values increase, whereas durations shorten.
Share of Public Sector ACV for Trailing 12 Months Top Public Sector Providers
in Recent 12 Months
58%
17% 5% 3%
17%
U.S. &Canada
U.K. ContinentalEurope
ANZ Other
*New to List for 2016 Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Placements based on counts of public sector contract awards sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase ®.
U.S. & Canada ANZ
U.K. Continental Europe
Booz Allen Hamilton* CACI* HPE*
Lockheed Martin Northrop Grumman
Raytheon Science Applications
BT Capgemini*
Capita Carillion
CGI Fujitsu*
G4S* HPE
Accenture Atea Atos BT*
Capgemini HPE
Indra Sistemas
Accenture Boeing
Harris Corp. HPE* IBM
Raytheon* SingTel Optus*
Telstra* Public Sector Regional ITO vs. BPO % TTM
79%
31%
88% 76%
21%
69%
12% 24%
U.S. & Canada U.K. ContinentalEurope
ANZ
ITO ACV BPO ACV
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U.S. Public Sector Contract Award Details Department of Defense (DoD) ITO dominates the U.S. Public Sector sourcing; Health and Human Services (HHS) and Homeland Security (DHS) remain active.
$39.2
$30.1
$19.2
$7.2 $3.7 $5.9
$1.2 $1.2 $1.5
$0.4 $0.9 $0.7
$16.3 $7.6 $5.1
2Q15-1Q162Q14-1Q152Q13-1Q14
Local Government
Public Healthcare
Other CentralGovernmentDepartment ofDefense
$48.0 $35.8 $27.3
1,041 1,059 723
2Q15-1Q162Q14-1Q152Q13-1Q14
ACV $B Contract Counts
% of DOD Consortium Contracts up 17 percentage pts in Recent 12 Months
Local Government Capgemini
Dell Harris HPE
Verizon
Public Healthcare Atos
Booz Allen Hamilton HPE
ICF International Kelly Services
Other Federal Government
Accenture CSC HPE
Raytheon Science Applications
DoD Single Provider General Dynamics Lockheed Martin
Northrop Grumman Science Applications
Raytheon
DoD Consortium Participation**
BAE Systems Booz Allen
General Dynamics Leidos
Lockheed Martin
U.S. Activity Details by Sub-Sector
U.S. Public Sector Activity for Last 3 TTMs Top U.S. Public Sector Providers for the Most Recent 12 Months*
*Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Placements based on counts of contract awards in the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase ®. **Providers who had the highest participation rates in consortiums who were awarded DOD contracts.
Other Federal Government
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U.K. Public Sector Contract Award Details Volume of deals increase sharply and by significantly more value in Central Government functions, Healthcare (NHS) and Defence (MoD).
Local Government
Accenture Capita Group
Carillion CSC
Liberata
Public Healthcare BT
Capita CSC
Interserve Serco Group
Other Central Government
Carillion Capita Group
HPE BT Group
Fujitsu
Defence BT
Carillion General Dynamics
HPE Leidos
U.K. Activity Details by Sub-Sector
U.K. Public Sector Activity for Last 3 TTMs Top U.K. Public Sector Providers for the
Most Recent 12 Months*
*Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Placements based on counts of contract awards in the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase ®.
$1.8 $1.1 $0.2
$5.4
$3.9 $2.6
$2.5 $0.3 $0.7
$1.4 $1.2 $2.3
2Q15-1Q162Q14-1Q152Q13-1Q14
LocalGovernment
PublicHealthcare
CentralGovernment
Defense
$11.1
$6.5 $5.9
160 140
167
2Q15-1Q162Q14-1Q152Q13-1Q14
ACV $B Contract Counts
Other Central Government
Defence
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Broader Market starts year on an upswing, with ACV surpassing $6B. Number of awards generated ranks this quarter among the best ever. Americas tops $2B for ninth quarter in a row, aided by strong U.S. and
Financial Services performances. Growth in EMEA driven by several large awards, consistent U.K. markets
and strong activity in the Nordics and Southern Europe. Slowing pace of contracting in Asia Pacific; most sub-regions decelerate.
Expect a difficult compare in 2Q16; if vigorous small-deal activity continues, markets should grow.
Long term, look for ACV to remain in positive territory; Europe and Asia-Pac may see increasing demand across secondary markets; U.S. and U.K. markets likely will maintain consistent demand.
1Q16 ISG Outsourcing Index® - Global Summary and Outlook
summary market
outlook market
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Please contact us with your questions and comments. Learn More
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ISG Momentum +1 508 625 2194
www.isg-one.com John Keppel
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First Quarter 2016 APPENDIX: SCORE CARD FOR TCV
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The ISG Outsourcing Index has moved to ACV as the primary measure of the Broader Market. We will continue to provide a high-level TCV view of the market via a Scorecard analysis.
First Quarter 2016 TCV Scorecard
*Contracts with TCV ≥ $25M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
Scorecard 1Q16 1Q Y/Y 1Q Q/Q
TCV ($B)* Change Change
Global Market $ 19.3 -12% -24%
New Scope $ 13.6 -15% -4%
Restructurings $ 5.7 -3% -49%
Mega-deals $ 3.6 -26% -37%
ITO $ 11.8 -28% -39%
BPO $ 7.6 33% 22%
Americas $ 7.0 -2% -25%
EMEA $ 9.5 -21% -35%
Asia Pacific $ 2.8 5% 107%
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