2005 NDIA/AAC Air Armament Symposium

Long Range Strike Industry Panel BriefOctober 5, 2005

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 2

Long Range Strike Industry Panel

LibertyWorksLibertyWorksTMTM

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 3

Panel Membership

• Alliant Tech Systems

– Robert Blake

– Douglas Lewis

– Gordon Snurr

• Aerojet– Mark Director

– Pat Hewitt

• Boeing– Carl Avila

– Bob Marinan

– Carl Miller

– Steve Morrow

– Ron Mutzleburg

– John Reilly

– Glenn Vogel

– Steve Vukelich

• General Electric– Bill Dwyer

• Honeywell– Dan Shockley

• Liberty Works– John Arvin

• Lockheed Martin– Barry Brown– Jim Enault– Bob Hartmann– Richard Mitchell– Ed Whalen

• Northrop Grumman– Gail Allen– Russ Prechtl– Dave Rosenblatt

• Orbital Sciences– Kevin Richardson

• Pratt & Whitney– Richard Kazmar

• Raytheon– Dave Andrews

– Louis Galto

– Robert Nelson

– Charles Stevens

• Rockwell Collins– Nick Holoviak

– Ken Kato

• Williams International– Mike Bak

– Scott Cruzen

– Carl Schiller

Panel Chair: Carl AvilaCo-Chair : Ed WhalenCo-Chair: Bob Nelson

Panel Advisors Marya Bard: AAC/XREd Jackanowski: ASN/RDA

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 4

Long Range Strike Capability

SOFSOF

NuclearNuclear

C/BC/B

LeadershipLeadership

LRS

LRSSOFSOF

F/A-22 / F-35Range

SOFSOFSOFSOF

Enablers

•Objective Capability To Achieve Desired Effects Rapidly, Persistently, On Any Target, In any Environment, Anywhere, At Any Time

Requirements•Phase 1: Bomber Forces Upgrade:

•Link -16 Connectivity, Stand Off, Precision, Radar, Targeting

•Phase 2: Field Mid-Term Strike Capability:

•Range, Persistence, L/O, Speed, GIG

•Phase 3: Field Long Range Strike Capability

•Long Range, Persistence, L/O, Speed, GIG, Transformational Technologies

USAF Next Generation Long Range Strike Study

Potential missions/targetsPotential missions/targets: : TCS, Relocatable Targets, Fixed Targets, TCS, Relocatable Targets, Fixed Targets, Counter-WMD, GWOT, HDBT, SUW, …Counter-WMD, GWOT, HDBT, SUW, …

Global Strike WeaponGlobal Strike Weapon(High Speed Weapon)(High Speed Weapon)

What it isWhat it is: : A A WeaponWeapon SYSTEMSYSTEM,, NOT just a speed/propulsion… NOT just a speed/propulsion…

Potential launch platformsPotential launch platforms: : TacAir, Surface Ships, Submarines, TacAir, Surface Ships, Submarines,

Bombers, …Bombers, …

Mach NumberMach Number

66

““High Speed”High Speed” ““Hypersonic”Hypersonic”

22

It all depends on… the It all depends on… the CAPABILITIESCAPABILITIES Required RequiredIt all depends on… the It all depends on… the CAPABILITIESCAPABILITIES Required Required

Milestone B

• Target Set• Launch Platform

• PK

• C4ISR ConOps• Cost Analysis

• TRL Assessment

• Target Set• Launch Platform

• PK

• C4ISR ConOps• Cost Analysis

• TRL Assessment

JCIDSJCIDS

JOINTNESS/FundingJOINTNESS/Funding

AoAAoA1010

NotionalNotional

ScheduleSchedule

NotionalNotional

ScheduleSchedule

0505 0606 0707 0808 0909 1313 1414////FYFY

AoAAoAJCIDSJCIDS

MS BMS BRFPRFPSourceSelSourceSel

IOC?IOC?StudiesStudies

Sea Strike

• Stealth / Standoff Platforms• Long Range (w/ tanking/support)• Various POR/Cruise Weapons • Various conventional payloads

• Stealth / Standoff Platforms• Long Range (w/ tanking/support)• Various POR/Cruise Weapons • Various conventional payloads

• Medium Range: XXX - XXX+ nm• Speed: Mach X+• Warhead: XXX - XXX lbs• GW: ~XXXX lbs

• Medium Range: XXX - XXX+ nm• Speed: Mach X+• Warhead: XXX - XXX lbs• GW: ~XXXX lbs

“Platforms & Subsonic/LOE Weapons” “JHS Strike Tactical Weapon”

Launch Platforms: B-2; F-117; Next-Gen High-Speed Bombers; CG/DDG; SSN; SSGN; TACAIR

Launch Platforms: TACAIR, SSGN, SSN, CG/DDG

• Long Range: >3000 nm• Type: Conventional ICBM / IRBM • Large Warhead: >1000 lbs• GW: >3000 lbs

• Long Range: >3000 nm• Type: Conventional ICBM / IRBM • Large Warhead: >1000 lbs• GW: >3000 lbs

“Prompt Global Strike Weapons”

Launch Platforms: Silo’s, Heavy Bombers, SSGN

Fills Time Critical Warfighter Gap / Multi-Mission CapableFills Time Critical Warfighter Gap / Multi-Mission Capable Allows Long Range Strike in Direct Attack TimelinesAllows Long Range Strike in Direct Attack Timelines

Notional TCS Capabilities TriadNotional TCS Capabilities Triad

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 7

C4ISR

WEAPONS

PLATFORMS

SENSOR TO SHOOTER

DELAY TIME

UNIVERSAL ARMAMENT INTERFACE

DATALINK CONNECTIVITY

IT ALL DEPENDS ON: IT ALL DEPENDS ON: THE THE CAPABILITIESCAPABILITIES REQUIRED REQUIRED

POTENTIAL MISSIONS/TARGETSPOTENTIAL MISSIONS/TARGETS: : TIME CRITICAL, RELOCATABLE, FIXED, TIME CRITICAL, RELOCATABLE, FIXED, COUNTER-WMD, GWOT, HDBT, SUW, - -COUNTER-WMD, GWOT, HDBT, SUW, - -

POTENTIAL LAUNCH PLATFORMSPOTENTIAL LAUNCH PLATFORMS: : TACAIR, MARITIME PATROL, SURFACE TACAIR, MARITIME PATROL, SURFACE

SHIPS, SUBMARINES, BOMBERS, - -SHIPS, SUBMARINES, BOMBERS, - -

CURRENT AND FUTURE

CARRIAGE CONSTRAINTS

LRS and HSW are System of Systems(Not Just a Range or Speed)

TIME OF FLIGHT

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 8

Warfighter’s Stand OffTime Critical Requirement

Kill Chain

Fix Track Target Engage AssessFind

Major Investments Being Made in This Part Of The

Kill Chain

Focus on Sensor to Shooter Delay Times of

10 Minutes or Less

We Focused on the “Weapons” Piece of the Kill

Chain

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 9

• Time Critical Strike– Integrated Defense

– Theatre Ballistic Missiles

• Mobile/Moving Surface Targets. • Limited "Deep" GS Against HVT • CBRNE Defense • Maritime CAS • Fixed Targets • Close Air Support • Underground Facility

Customer’s Desired Capabilities

• Time Critical Strike

• Relocatable Targets • GWOT/High Value Targets• Counter-WMD• Surface Warfare (SUW)• Fixed Targets• Naval Surface Fire Support• Hard/Buried Targets

USAF USN

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 10

Analysis ProcessDerived System Characteristics

C4ISR & Targeting Performance

Target Set

Defensive Threat

Launch Platforms

Lethality

Block Speed

AccuracySurvivability

Effectiveness

Compatibility

Probability of Survival

Reliability

Range

Capability Needs & Constraints

System Attributes or Key Performance Parameters

System Characteristics/TPM

Cost Affordability

Payload Type/Size

Acquisition Cost

Technical RiskNeed Date TRL

Reliability

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 11

Concept 1190” Length 2320 lbs Maximum Weight 20.4” Diameter

Concept 2 250” Length 2320 -5500 lbs 20.4” Diameter

Vehicle SizingPlatform and Configuration Constraints

• Solid Rocket• Turbine• Pulse DetonationLiquid Fuel RamjetSolid Fuel RamjetVariable Flow Ducted RocketDual Combustion RamjetScramjet

PropulsionSubsystem Candidates

Subsystem ConstraintsBooster Required for Air Launch(All Require Boosters For Surface Launch)

LAUNCH PLATFORM CANDIDATES

• F/A-18 E/F• F/A-22 (EXTERNAL)• JSF (EXTERNAL) • F-16, F-15 E• B-2, B-52H, B-1 • CG, DDG (MK-41/-75 VLS)• SSGN/SSN

TACTICAL FIGHTER AIR LAUNCH (F/A-18 E/F, JSF, F-16, F/A-22, F-15E)• 194 IN. CONTAINER LENGTH FOR CV MAGAZINE ELEVATOR• 1965 LB F/A-18 E/F ASYMMETRIC RECOVERY LIMIT - POTENTIALLY 2320 LB

• BOMBER, VLS/CLS (SSN, CG, DDG, SSGN)• 22 IN. BY 22 IN. MK-41 VLS CANISTER CROSS SECTION• 250 IN. LENGTH OVER ALL (WITH BOOSTER) BOMBER• 3300 LB MISSILE WEIGHT LIMIT (USING MK-41 VLS CANISTER)• 5000 LB FOR BOMBERS

LAUNCH PLATFORM SIZE CONSTRAINTS

TACTICAL FIGHTER AIR LAUNCH (F/A-18 E/F, JSF, F-16, F/A-22, F-15E)• 194 IN. CONTAINER LENGTH FOR CV MAGAZINE ELEVATOR• 1965 LB F/A-18 E/F ASYMMETRIC RECOVERY LIMIT - POTENTIALLY 2320 LB

• BOMBER, VLS/CLS (SSN, CG, DDG, SSGN)• 22 IN. BY 22 IN. MK-41 VLS CANISTER CROSS SECTION• 250 IN. LENGTH OVER ALL (WITH BOOSTER) BOMBER• 3300 LB MISSILE WEIGHT LIMIT (USING MK-41 VLS CANISTER)• 5000 LB FOR BOMBERS

TACTICAL FIGHTER AIR LAUNCH (F/A-18 E/F, JSF, F-16, F/A-22, F-15E)• 194 IN. CONTAINER LENGTH FOR CV MAGAZINE ELEVATOR• 1965 LB F/A-18 E/F ASYMMETRIC RECOVERY LIMIT - POTENTIALLY 2320 LB

• BOMBER, VLS/CLS (SSN, CG, DDG, SSGN)• 22 IN. BY 22 IN. MK-41 VLS CANISTER CROSS SECTION• 250 IN. LENGTH OVER ALL (WITH BOOSTER) BOMBER• 3300 LB MISSILE WEIGHT LIMIT (USING MK-41 VLS CANISTER)• 5000 LB FOR BOMBERS

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 12

Target Set Considerations

•Traditional fixed targets

•Time Critical Targets

•Mobile Targets

•Moving Targets

• WMD, Chem, Bio

• HDBT

LRS And HSW Must Address Traditional, Time Critical and High Value Targets

Payload and Range Requirements for Different Target Sets Drive Vehicle Configurations

• No single vehicle/ordnance pairing does it all

• Delivery Vehicle Must Accommodate• Ordnance ~ Blast Frag, Submunitions, Penetrator, CBRNE• Delivery accuracy

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 13

Payload and Accuracy

Target TypePayload HDBT MVR Hard Med Soft

250

500

750

1000

DE

SubMn

Cluster

Good Moderate Poor

HardBunker, Shelter

MedRunway, Bridge

Armor

SoftPersonnel, POL

HDBTCBRNE, C2

SubMn1000 750 500 250

CEP

SKRLLDL

GPSINS

HLDL

Today’s Guidance CapabilitySatisfies Accuracy Needs

Most Target Types At Risk WithSmaller Warhead

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 14

Strike BattlespaceDefined by Missile Range vs Time-of-Flight

200

600

1000

1400

1800

30 60

Ra

ng

e T

o T

arg

et (

nm

i)

Time of Flight (min)

Current Air/Surface Launch Tactical Strike Capability

Mach 1

Mach 2

Mach 3Mach 4Mach 5Mach 6Mach 6Mach 6

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 15

Long Range High-Speed Missile Improves Time-Range Battlespace

200

600

1000

1400

1800

30 60

Ra

ng

e T

o T

arg

et (

nm

i)

Time of Flight (min)

Art of the Possible Air/Surface Launch Long-Range Strike Capability

Mach 1

Mach 2

Mach 3Mach 4Mach 5

Current Air/Surface Launch Tactical Strike Capability

Mach 6

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 16

High-Speed Missile System Range vs Time-of-Flight Battlespace

200

600

1000

1400

1800

30 60

Ra

ng

e T

o T

arg

et (

nm

i)

Near-TermTechnology

Fly out designed for fuel load, speed, and thermal

In-ServiceTechnology

Mach 1

Mach 2

Mach 3Mach 4Mach 5

Time of Flight (min)

Mach 6

Mid-TermTechnology

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 17

Low Risk Vehicle Design Points Provide Substantially Improved Battlespace

200

600

1000

1400

1800

30 60

Ra

ng

e T

o T

arg

et (

nm

i)

Near-TermAir/Surface Launch 2320-5500 lb

(Concept 2)

Near-TermAir/Surface Launch 2320 lb

(Concept 1)

Mach 2

Mach 3Mach 4Mach 5

Time of Flight (min)

Mach 6

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 18

Warfighter Sensitivity to Speed

Initial Standoff Strike - Near-Peer Adversary Asset Laydown

More Targets Reachable Before Hide Using High-speed Long-range Weapon

15 300

25

50

75

100

125

2,500 ft/sec5,000 ft/sec

1,000 ft/sec

Cap

abil

itie

s-B

ased

An

alys

is

Sensor-to-Shooter Delay (min)

No

rmal

ized

Tar

get

s E

ng

agab

leWeapon

Block Speed

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 19

Operations Research Models Long Range High-Speed Strike Weapons Benefits

Supersonic missile added to a baseline weapon set to examine campaign level effect

Case 2Baseline + HSW vs . Stationary TCTs• Range = 600 nm

• Targets = Stationary TCTs

• Platform = Surface Launch

Case 3Baseline + HSW vs . Stationary TCTs• Range = 600 nm

•

• Platform = Surface Launch+AIR

Case 1Baseline• JDAM• JSOW A• JSOW B• Paveway• Maverick• JASSM• Tomahawk• ERGM

TCTs: Time Critical TargetsHSW: High-Speed Weapon

Targets = Stationary TCTs

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 20

High-Speed Long-Range Capabilities Achieve Objectives Sooner

• Air-launched Fast Weapons Showed The Most Benefit Due To High Sortie Rate

• Benefit Achieved Is A Shorter Campaign

0

200

400

600

800

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Days of Campaign

Cu

mu

lati

ve T

CT

Kil

ls

1. Current Weapons

2. High-Speed Weapon(HSW)Stationary TargetSurface Platform

3. HSW, Stationary Targets,Air & Surface Platforms

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 21

Survivability is Altitude, Speed and Observable Dependent

Speed

Altitude

Low PSModerate PS

Good PS

Excellent PS

HighLow

Low

High

Stealth Driven Improvement

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 22

Operational Availability

• Long Range Strike Weapons Will Be Highly Reliable– Reliability Designed In and Verified in Development

– Wooden Round

– Reliability As a Key Performance Parameter

• Minimum Support Infrastructure

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 23

Technology Readiness Level (TRL) Flight Vehicle Subsystems Focus

•System Integration

•Airframe - Structure - Control Surfaces - Thermal protection

• Guidance, Navigation, and Control - Guidance and Control Unit ~ IMU ~ Data Link - Actuators - Seeker/Radome/IR Dome ~ as required

• Payload - Penetrator/Blast Frag /Thermobaric /Fuzing/ Submunitions/Advanced Payloads

• Propulsion - Inlet/Flow Path - Fuel [Liquid/Solid] - Combustor/Turbine/Fuel Control

BLUE: Design/Development Materials/Processes Readily Available Across IndustryGREEN: Focus Investment to Attain TRL >6/7; Target Set/Mach Number Dependent

Generic Vehicle Architecture

Concept 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Solid Rocket 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Supersonic Turbojet 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Liquid Fueled Ramjet 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Variable Flow Ducted Rocket

8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Dual Combustion Ramjet

6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Solid Fueled Ramjet 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

SCRAMJET 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Pulse Detonation Engine

4 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Propulsion Technology Readiness Levels

HyFly Flight Demo Program (M=4-6)

Fiscal Year

VAATE Ground Testing (M=4+)

NASA Wind Tunnel Tests

GQM-163A Flights (M=2.5); In Production

MA-31 Operational Use (M=2.5-3.5)

Many Examples of Operational Solid Rockets

RATTLRS Flight Testing (M=3-4)

SED Flight Tests (M=4.5-6.5)

LRS/HSW Considerations

Low ISP, Sizing Not Suitable

RATTLRS/VAATE Adding Maturity

Mature, in Production

Mature, in Production

HyFly Adding Maturity

Funding Limited Schedule to Mature

No Govt. Funded Plans to Mature

No Govt. Funded Plans to Mature

Propulsion Technology Supports FY-08 Program Start

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 25

Vehicle Concepts

SCRAMJET

Dual Combustion RAMJET

Variable Flow Ducted Rocket

Supersonic Turbo JetLiquid Fuel RAMJET

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 26

Notional Acquisition Program

• Constant Base Year 2005 Dollars

• SDD Period of Performance : Oct 2007 thru Sept 2012

• 50 Equivalent Test Units Delivered

• Production Quantity Assumed to be 4,000 Units

• Excludes Pre-SDD Concept / Technology Development Cost

• Assumes All Up Round – no GFE Required for Production

• Excludes Government Program Office, Test Facility, and Support Costs

• Integration on one USAF and One USN platform2005 2006

MS BMS A MS C

Ongoing Risk Reduction

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

System Design & Development

DT / OT

IOC

SDD Program = $800-900 M AUPP= $500-800 K

Full ProductionLow Rate Production

NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 27

Summary and Recommendations

• High Speed, Long Range Weapons Have The Potential To Be A Significant Force Multiplier

• Technology Readiness of Critical Subsystems Supports FY-08 Program Start

• USAF and USN Studies are Addressing the Same Requirement• Development Cost Consistent with Current Generation Weapons• Strong, Competitive Industrial Base

• Establish Joint Requirements (JCIDS)• Coordinate Government Planned AoAs in FY-06 (USAF & USN)• Conduct Program Cost Estimates to Support FY-08 POM

Recommendations

Summary