What We Will Cover Today • Thank you for taking the time to be here today!
• Input into Strategic Planning Cycle
• Major issues currently facing community colleges nationally and state wide
• Changes in the County in the past ten years
• CCC comparison on recruitment, student performance, retention and completion
• CCC trends in modes of instruction
National Scene
National Scene
• Data-driven decisions
• College Readiness
• Economic Development
• Higher Education Completion
• Workforce Readiness
Lumina’s big goal: To increase the proportion of Americans with high-quality degrees and credentials to 60 percent by the year 2025
The Big Goal
• Critical Outcome 1: Preparation
Students are prepared academically, financially and socially for success in education beyond high school.
• Critical Outcome 2: Success
Higher education attainment rates are improved significantly.
• Critical Outcome 3: Productivity
Higher education productivity is increased to expand capacity and serve more students.
20 year Educational Pendulum Technical training vs liberal education (now both): •Logic & empathy •Focus & synthesis •Skills & meaning •Depth & breadth
Public community colleges had the greatest enrollment increase in 2009
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Research Master's Community College
Mill
ion
s o
f St
ud
en
ts
99
04
08
09
Delta Cost Project, IPEDS database, 1987-2009, unmatched set, as published in Trends in College Spending, 1999-2009, Lumina Foundation
Comparison of Costs per Student FTE Nationally and at CCC
Public Community Colleges - 2009
Coconino Community College -2010
Instruction $5,103 (1) $3,179 (1)
Research $64 $0
Student services $1,258 (3) $800 (3)
Public service $351 $79
Academic support $990 (5) $767 (4)
Institutional support $1,842 (2) $1,926 (2)
Operation and maintenance of plant
$1,224 (4) $654 (5)
Delta Cost Project IPEDS database, 1987-2009, 11-year match set as published in Trends in College Spending, 1999-2009, Lumina Foundation and CCC Comprehensive Annual Financial Report, 2010
State Scene
A Decade of Change Demographics and Economics
Population Growth
134,421 116,320
0
25,000
50,000
75,000
100,000
125,000
150,000
2010 2000
Coconino County Grew by 15.6% or 18,101 residents
* Arizona grew by 25%
U.S. Census Bureau
Coconino County Population Change by Ethnicity
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
2010
2000
Native American and Hispanics increase by 9,000 residents
U.S. Census Bureau
Coconino County Population Change by Age
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
Under5
years
5 to 9years
10 to14
years
15 to19
years
20 to24
years
25 to34
years
35 to44
years
45 to54
years
55 to59
years
60 to64
years
65 to74
years
2009
2000
About 5,000 more college going age adults now than in 2000
U.S. Census Bureau
Coconino County Median Household Income
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
Coconino 2000
Coconino 2009
Arizona 2000
Arizona 2009
U.S. 2000
U.S. 2009
County resident income gap persists at $3,166 less than U.S. median
U.S. Census Bureau
Coconino County Workforce Employment
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Private wage andsalary workers
Government workers Self-employedworkers in own not
incorporated business
2009
2000
Private jobs increased by almost 7,000 positions
U.S. Census Bureau
Coconino County Workforce by Occupation
0 5,0
00
10
,00
0
15
,00
0
20
,00
0
25
,00
0
Farming, fishing, and forestryoccupations
Construction, extraction,maintenance, and repair…
Production, transportation, andmaterial moving occupations
Service occupations
Sales and office occupations
Management, professional, andrelated occupations
2009
2000
U.S. Census Bureau
Coconino County Employment by Industry
0 5000 10000 15000 20000
Information
Wholesale trade
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting,…
Finance, insurance, real estate, and rental…
Other services (except public administration)
Manufacturing
Transportation and warehousing, and…
Professional, scientific, management,…
Public administration
Construction
Retail trade
Arts, entertainment, recreation,…
Educational, health and social services
2009
2000
Manufacturing and health fields led in increased number of jobs
U.S. Census Bureau
Coconino County Persons in Poverty
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
Coconino Arizona U.S.
2010
2000
Countywide poverty continues to be malignant
U.S. Census Bureau
Relationship of Unemployment to Educational Level – Coconino County
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Unemployed
Without HSDiploma
These are the same people
U.S. Census Bureau and AZ Dept of Labor
Relationship Unemployment to Educational Level – Maricopa County
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
Unemployed
Without H.S. Diploma
U.S. Census Bureau and AZ Dept. of Labor
Easier to get a job without a college education there
A Decade of Change Educational Attainment
Coconino County Educational Enrollment
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
Nurseryschool,
preschool
Kindergarten Elementaryschool
(grades 1-8)
High school(grades 9-12)
College orgraduate
school
2009
2000
College level gained 2,200 students and elementary level lost 1,300 students
U.S. Census Bureau
CCC Number of Credit Students Enrolled
3,203
4,944
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Spg 00 Spg 01 Spg 02 Spg 03 Spg 04 Spg 05 Spg 06 Spg 07 Spg 08 Spg 09 Spg 10
CCC has played its part in increased numbers of residents in college
CCC Enrollment Management
Coconino County Residents Enrolled at NAU
2,207 2,035
2,076 2,057
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2007 2008 2009 2010
NAU Planning and Institutional Analysis
NAU county resident data prior to 2006 is unreliable
The number of residents attending NAU has been stable but flat
Highest Education Level Attained by Coconino County Residents 25 Years and Older
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
Less than9th grade
9th to 12thgrade, nodiploma
High schoolgraduate(includes
equivalency)
Somecollege, no
degree
Associatedegree
Bachelor'sdegree
Graduate orprofessional
degree
2009
2000
Residents with associate degrees increased by over 1,100
U.S. Census Bureau
Highest Education Level Attained by Coconino County Residents 25 Years and Older
86%
37% 32%
84%
36% 30%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
At least high school At least associate's At least bachelor's
2009
2000
Residents are becoming more educated
In 2000, 24% of adults in Coconino County had a Bachelor’s degree
Educational Attainment of 18 to 24 Year Olds by Race/Ethnicity – 2005 Arizona
12.6%
32.2%
40.9%
14.2%
35.4%36.5%
21.5%
6.6%
31.7%
43.6%
22.4%
2.4%
17.1%
28.0%
44.8%
10.1%
6.6%
25.4% 25.0%
42.9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Less than High School High School Some College College Degree
White Hispanic/Latino Native American African American Asian, Pacific Islander
Source: American Community Survey (ACS)
Coconino County Capture Rates - 2008 (The percentage of recent high school graduates who directly
enter college)
37%
12% 16% 9% 0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Total CCC NAU Elsewhere
CCC Institutional Research, NAU Planning & Inst. Analysis, and AZ Dept of Ed
Capture Rate Comparison - 2008
37%
51% 63%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Coconino Arizona (44th) U.S.
Tom Mortensen, Postsecondary Opportunity
Social and economic consequences are staggering
Retention Rate Comparison - 2009 (The percentage of first time students who return for their
second year of study)
45%
60%
23%
37%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
CCC Full-Time AZ CC Full-Time CCC -Part-Time AZ CC Part-Time
National Center for Education Statistics
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Spg 00 Spg 01 Spg 02 Spg 03 Spg 04 Spg 05 Spg 06 Spg 07 Spg 08 Spg 09 Spg 10
Full-Time
Total
Part-Time
Number of Full and Part-Time Students Enrolled at CCC
Current ratio is 3 part-timers to 1 full-time student
Comparison of Financial Aid to First Time Full Time Students -2010
$760
$1,680
$5,624
$4,179
$0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000
CCC Institutional Grants
AZ CC Institutional Grants
CCC Loans
AZ CC Loans
National Center for Education Statistics
CCC students receive aid are more loan dependent and less grant dependent
Educational Attainment
What Our Graduates Tell Us
95% 90% 87%
76%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Overall, I amsatisfied with the
education I receivedat CCC.
I would recommendmy program to
another student.
My studies at CCCmet the educational
goal that I had inmind when I
enrolled.
I would send mychild(ren) to CCC.
Percent of Graduates in Agreement with Overall College Qualities
Percent of Graduates in Agreement with Educational Qualities
92% 92% 86%
78% 75% 72% 71%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
I learned avariety of new
intellectualconcepts
during mycollege
education.
In general, CCCfaculty wereavailable andwilling to helpme complete
my program ofstudy.
I learned thetheoretical
foundations ofthe acacemicdisciplines I
studied duringmy collegeeducation.
The technicalskills I learnedat CCC were
complete andup-to-date.
CCC preparedme well for my
field ofspecialization.
My studies atCCC enhancedmy ability to
get a job.
My programprovided me a
detailedunderstanding
of myanticipated
career.
Characteristics of the Commuter Student
58% 62%
65%
73% 75% 79%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Rarely or nevermet with faculty
members outsideof regular
classroom hours.
Soughtadvisement lessfrequently than
once a year.
Worked at leastpart-time.
No involvementin campusactivities.
Has NOT talkedabout personalproblems with a
CCC faculty orstaff member.
No involvementwith student
organizations.
Characteristics of the Commuter Student
12%
26%
62%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
At least once a semster At least once a year Less frequently than oncea year
Sought formal advisement --
One in Five are not Engaged Do they choose to be that way?
31%
24%
19% 18% 21%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Not developed aclose personal
relationship withat least one
faculty or staffmember at CCC.
Not developedclose personal
relationships withother students.
Do NOT sharevalues similar tomost students at
CCC.
It has NOT beeneasy for me to get
to know otherstudents.
Am financiallyresponsible for
other members ofyour family.
Part-Time Commuter Student
Inherently will take longer, and encounter many challenges to achieve the next step to completion:
• Enroll for successive semesters
• Declare a major
• Complete 30 hours
• Seek advice and assistance
• Engage with the College
Educational Attainment
CCC Current Efforts
Developmental Learners Who Complete College Level Math/English Course
30%
20%
57%
37%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
CCC Success AfterDevelopmental
Math
AZ CC SuccessAfter
DevelopmentalMath
CCC Success AfterDevelopmental
English
AZ CC SuccessAfter
DevelopmentalEnglish
CCC IR and ACCPC
Volume of Learning Assistance Sessions
Discipline Area 2010-11
Nursing 2
Political Science 2
Spanish 3
Accounting/Business 19
Social Science 37
Science 75
English /writing 185
Mathematics 1,702
Total 2,023
LEC Assessment Report
Demand is predominately math but also runs across discipline areas
Student Services (advising, recruitment, disability
resources, career services, testing) 2010-2011
• 16% increase in utilization of services over 2009-2010
• 8,497 students had walk-in and scheduled appointments with staff
• Approx. 2,250 unduplicated students
Student Services assessment template
Total of 546 active CCC2NAU Participants at CCC and 133 students transitioned to NAU
0
50
100
150
200
250
Fall 2008N=11
Spring2009N=60
Fall 2009N=73
Spring2010
N=101
Fall 2010N=106
Spring2011
N=137
Fall 2011N=219
5
27 46
69
90 90
219
6
33 27 32 16 19
0
Transition Status of CCC2NAU Students by Cohort
Active CCC2NAU Participants Transitioned to NAU
Third Semester Retention at NAU for Fall 2009 Entering Cohort
94%
78% 73%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
CCC2NAU CCC Transfer Sample All Transfers
By the end of summer 2011, 6 CCC2NAU students have graduated from NAU
Special Programs Student Credit Hour Production
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
FA 2004 FA 2005 FA 2006 FA 2007 FA 2008 FA 2009 FA 2010
Web
NAU X
Short
CAVIAT
Dual
Fast Fridays
ITV Receiving
Community & Corporate Learning Fiscal Summary FY09-FY11
$-
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
$180,000
$200,000
SBDC (Total$408,200)
Lifelong Learning(Total $138,153)
Contract Training(Total $140,929)
Grants (Total$55,441)
Testing (Total$37,978)
$92,654
$70,635
$21,736
$- $-
$122,381
$40,388
$26,928
$- $-
$193,165
$27,130
$95,536
$55,441
$37,978
FY09 FY10 FY11
Community & Corporate Learning Corporate Clients
W.L. Gore & Associates
Mountain Heart
Coconino County, Human Resources
Grand Canyon Park
Hopi Tribal Agencies
Department of Interior, National Park Service
Goodwill Industries of Northern Arizona
NACET
AZ Department of Public Safety
Nestle-Purina Northern Arizona Healthcare
Flagstaff Chamber of Commerce
North Country Healthcare
Walgreens
City of Flagstaff
CAVIAT
Tooh Dine Industries
SCA Tissue
Coconino County, Sheriff’s Office
Mohave County Workforce Connection
Prent Corporation
Related information available at Strategic Planning at CCC web page:
http://www.coconino.edu/research/Pages/StrategicPlanningSupport.aspx
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Keep track of current developments via the CCC intranet: President’s Office, to Shared Documents, to Strategic Planning.
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