+ All Categories
Home > Documents > [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev...

[2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev...

Date post: 27-Jul-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 0 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
70
Page 1 of 70 DRAFT NRC Responses to Public Comments [2013-06-21] Japan Lessons-Learned Project Directorate Interim Staff Guidance JLD-ISG-2013-01: Guidance for Assessment of Flooding Hazards Due to Dam Failure (Docket ID NRC-2013-0073) ADAMS Accession No. MLXXXX MONTH 2013
Transcript
Page 1: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

1 of

70

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nses

to P

ublic

Com

men

ts [2

013-

06-2

1]

Japa

n Le

sson

s-Le

arne

d Pr

ojec

t Dire

ctor

ate

Inte

rim S

taff

Gui

danc

e JL

D-IS

G-2

013-

01:

Gui

danc

e fo

r Ass

essm

ent o

f Flo

odin

g H

azar

ds D

ue to

D

am F

ailu

re

(Doc

ket I

D N

RC

-201

3-00

73)

AD

AM

S A

cces

sion

No.

MLX

XX

X

MO

NTH

201

3

Page 2: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

2 of

70

I. In

trod

uctio

n Th

is d

ocum

ent p

rese

nts

the

U.S

. Nuc

lear

Reg

ulat

ory

Com

mis

sion

(NR

C) s

taff’

s re

spon

ses

to c

omm

ents

rece

ived

on

the

Dra

ft in

terim

sta

ff gu

idan

ce (I

SG

) doc

umen

t, “J

LD-IS

G-2

013-

01: G

uida

nce

for A

sses

smen

t of F

lodi

ng H

azar

ds D

ue to

Dam

Fai

lure

.” T

he

draf

t IS

G w

as p

ublis

hed

in th

e Fe

dera

l Reg

iste

r on

Apr

il 25

, 201

3 (7

8 FR

244

39).

The

pub

lic c

omm

ent p

erio

d cl

osed

on

May

28,

201

3; th

ere

wer

e no

late

com

men

ts re

ceiv

ed.

Com

men

t sub

mis

sion

s on

the

draf

t doc

umen

t are

ava

ilabl

e el

ectro

nica

lly a

t the

NR

C’s

Ele

ctro

nic

Rea

ding

Roo

m a

t ht

tp://

ww

w.n

rc.g

ov/re

adin

g-rm

/ada

ms.

htm

l . F

rom

this

pag

e, th

e pu

blic

can

gai

n en

try in

to th

e A

genc

ywid

e D

ocum

ents

Acc

ess

and

Man

agem

ent S

yste

m (A

DA

MS

), w

hich

pro

vide

s te

xt a

nd im

age

files

of N

RC

's p

ublic

doc

umen

ts.

This

com

men

t res

olut

ion

docu

men

t is

also

ava

ilabl

e el

ectro

nica

lly a

t the

NR

C’s

Ele

ctro

nic

Rea

ding

Roo

m u

nder

AD

AM

S A

cces

sion

N

o. M

L13X

XX

XX

.

The

final

ISG

can

be

foun

d in

AD

AM

S a

t Acc

essi

on N

o. M

L13X

XX

XX

.

II.

Com

men

t sub

mis

sion

s Th

e N

RC

rece

ived

[Num

ber]

(X) c

omm

ent s

ubm

issi

ons.

The

NR

C-d

esig

nate

d id

entif

ier f

or e

ach

uniq

ue c

omm

ent s

ubm

issi

on, t

he

nam

e of

the

subm

itter

, the

sub

mitt

er’s

affi

liatio

n (if

any

), an

d th

e A

DA

MS

Acc

essi

on N

umbe

r is

prov

ided

bel

ow.

Sum

mar

y Ta

ble

Nam

e A

ffilia

tion

AD

AM

S

Acc

essi

on N

o.

Kar

in M

. Hol

liste

r S

arge

nt &

Lun

dy, L

LC

ML1

3XX

XX

X

Mar

k M

oens

sens

W

estin

ghou

se E

lect

ric C

ompa

ny

ML1

3XX

XX

X

Jam

es H

. Rile

y N

ucle

ar E

nerg

y In

stitu

te

ML1

3XX

XX

X

J. W

. She

a Te

nnes

see

Val

ley

Aut

horit

y M

L13X

XX

XX

K. C

anav

an

Ele

ctric

Pow

er R

esea

rch

Inst

itute

M

L13X

XX

XX

M. M

cCan

n ??

? M

L13X

XX

XX

Page 3: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

3 of

70

III.

Publ

ic C

omm

ents

and

NR

C R

espo

nse

Page 4: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

4 of

70

Tabl

e 1:

Com

men

ts

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

1.

[K. H

ollist

er]

Loca

tion:

Var

ious

Com

men

t: In

the T

erms

and D

efinit

ions s

ectio

n, pr

ovide

a de

finitio

n for

each

re

servo

ir/poo

l leve

l disc

usse

d in t

he do

cume

nt. F

or ex

ample

, Sec

tion

4.2.2.

2 disc

usse

s the

"max

imum

norm

al po

ol ele

vatio

n," S

ectio

n 5.6

discu

sses

"max

imum

norm

al op

erati

ng ("

full-p

ool")

and a

vera

ge

rese

rvoir l

evels

," an

d Sec

tion 6

.2.2 d

iscus

ses "

norm

al po

ol ele

vatio

n (in

vert

of the

high

est o

utlet

or sp

illway

)" an

d "top

of da

m/ma

ximum

high

po

ol."

Plea

se in

clude

a de

finitio

n for

thes

e lev

els an

d any

othe

rs tha

t are

inc

luded

in th

e fina

l ver

sion o

f the D

am F

ailur

e ISG

.

Resp

onse

: Ma

ximum

norm

al po

ol ele

vatio

n is d

efine

d as t

he

eleva

tion c

orre

spon

ding t

o the

top o

f the a

ctive

sto

rage

. Th

e ave

rage

rese

rvoir l

evel

(ave

rage

pool

eleva

tion)

is

the 50

% ex

ceed

ance

dura

tion p

ool le

vel

calcu

lated

using

aver

age d

aily w

ater l

evels

for t

he

perio

d of r

ecor

d. “fu

ll poo

l”, “n

orma

l poo

l”, “m

axim

um hi

gh po

ol” ar

e no

long

er us

ed in

the d

ocum

ent.

Actio

n:

1)

defin

itions

adde

d to a

ppro

priat

e sec

tions

to

the T

erms

and d

efinit

ions s

ectio

n (un

der s

torag

e)

2)

“full p

ool” i

s no l

onge

r use

d in t

he do

cume

nt

2.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: G

ener

al Co

mm

ent:

In ge

nera

l, it d

oes n

ot ap

pear

that

there

is a

direc

t off r

amp o

r red

uced

pa

th for

the i

nstan

ce w

here

a da

m, le

vee,

emba

nkme

nt, et

c. is

owne

r co

ntroll

ed an

d lice

nsed

by th

e NRC

as a

seism

ic ca

tegor

y I st

ructu

re.

Thes

e stru

cture

s wer

e orig

inally

quali

fied i

n the

safet

y ana

lysis

repo

rt su

bmitte

d with

the l

icens

ee's

appli

catio

n and

verifi

ed by

the N

RC sa

fety

evalu

ation

repo

rt. A

dire

ct sta

temen

t(s) s

hould

be in

clude

d in t

he IS

G to

Resp

onse

: Fo

r ons

ite w

ater c

ontro

l stru

cture

s suc

h as d

ams,

levee

s, im

poun

dmen

ts, et

c. (in

cludin

g seis

mic

categ

ory I

, but

exclu

ding t

anks

), fai

lure d

ue to

hy

drolo

gic or

sunn

y-day

mec

hanis

ms ar

e to b

e ev

aluate

d as p

art o

f the R

2.1 F

loodin

g Ree

valua

tion.

Me

thods

acce

ptable

to th

e staf

f for t

his pu

rpos

e are

de

scrib

ed in

this

ISG.

Seis

mic f

ailur

e of s

uch

Page 5: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

5 of

70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

clear

ly sta

te wh

at is

requ

ired f

or se

ismic

categ

ory I

stru

cture

s. Cu

rrentl

y, the

ISG

does

not m

ake a

ny di

recti

on m

entio

n to t

he te

rm

seism

ic ca

tegor

y I.

struc

tures

falls

unde

r the

scop

e of th

e R2.1

Seis

mic

Reev

aluati

on.

Actio

n:

Text

adde

d to S

ectio

n 2.1

(scop

e) to

clar

ify th

is po

sition

.

3.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age 1

, Sec

tion 1

Co

mm

ent:

Add "

of' af

ter th

e wor

d "co

mbina

tion"

in th

e sec

ond p

arag

raph

Resp

onse

: Ca

nnot

find t

his w

ord i

n 2nd

para

grap

h. Co

mbina

tion

is us

ed in

3rd pa

ragr

aph,

but is

alre

ady f

ollow

ed by

“o

f”.

Actio

n: N

o cha

nge t

o tex

t

4.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age 1

, Sec

tion 1

.1 Co

mm

ent:

Is no

t it m

ore r

ealis

tic to

only

utiliz

e this

ISG

rathe

r tha

n refe

rring

back

to

Reg.

1.59 w

hich i

s ver

y muc

h outd

ated?

Resp

onse

: Th

is IS

G su

pplem

ents

and c

larifie

s othe

r NRC

gu

idanc

e tha

t disc

usse

s dam

failu

re su

ch as

RG-

1.59.

Actio

n: N

o cha

nge t

o tex

t

5.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age 2

, Sec

tion 1

.1 Co

mm

ent:

If the

re ar

e diffe

renc

es on

a ce

rtain

issue

betw

een t

he di

ffere

nt gu

idanc

e, wh

ich gu

idanc

e sho

uld be

follo

wed?

The

mos

t strin

gent?

Mo

reov

er, if

the L

icens

ee al

so ow

ns a

dam,

does

it ne

ed to

be in

co

mplia

nce w

ith al

l regu

lation

s or o

nly th

e nuc

lear o

nes?

Resp

onse

: In

gene

ral, t

his IS

G sh

ould

be fo

llowe

d if th

ere a

re

differ

ence

s in N

RC gu

idanc

e. Ho

weve

r, lic

ense

es

are n

ot re

quire

d to f

ollow

NRC

guida

nce.

As st

ated i

n sec

tion 1

.1, th

is gu

idanc

e sho

uld in

no

way s

uper

sede

or be

used

in lie

u of g

uidan

ce

deve

loped

by an

y age

ncy t

hat o

wns,

oper

ates o

r re

gulat

es th

e dam

(s) of

inter

est.

Page 6: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

6 of

70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

The p

urpo

se of

this

ISG

is to

prov

ide gu

idanc

e in

estim

ating

the c

onse

quen

ces o

f pote

ntial

dam

failur

es in

term

s of fl

ood h

azar

ds at

the N

PP.

Actio

n: N

o cha

nge t

o tex

t

6.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age 4

, Sec

tion 1

.3.2

Com

men

t: Do

es N

RC re

quire

a P.

E en

ginee

r cer

tifica

tion f

or br

each

analy

sis (b

ut no

t the s

creen

ing an

d sim

plifie

d ana

lyses

)? If

so, d

oes h

e/she

need

to

have

the P

.E fr

om th

e stat

e whe

re th

e dam

is lo

cated

?

Resp

onse

: Si

nce t

he flo

od ha

zard

reev

aluati

on re

ports

are t

o be

subm

itted u

nder

“Oath

and A

ffirma

tion”

, it is

ex

pecte

d tha

t the t

echn

ical w

ork b

e per

forme

d by

comp

etent

profe

ssion

als. H

owev

er N

RC do

es no

t ha

ve ex

plicit

requ

ireme

nts re

gard

ing lic

ensu

re. O

ther

state

or fe

dera

l age

ncies

with

juris

dictio

n for

dam

safet

y may

have

such

requ

ireme

nts.

Actio

n: N

o cha

nge t

o tex

t

7.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age 4

, Sec

tion 1

.3.2

Com

men

t: Se

cond

para

grap

h, do

es th

is IS

G re

comm

end u

sing t

he cu

rrent

NOAA

hy

drom

eteor

ologic

al re

ports

for d

am fa

ilure

analy

sis, s

ome o

f whic

h da

te ba

ck to

the l

ate 19

70's

but a

re st

ill the

"cur

rent"

repo

rt for

a re

gion?

Resp

onse

: Th

e NOA

A/NW

S hy

drom

eteor

ologic

al re

ports

(H

MRs)

are t

he m

ost c

ompr

ehen

sive i

nform

ation

on

extre

me ra

infall

estim

ate av

ailab

le at

this t

ime.

Ho

weve

r, du

e to t

he ag

e of th

ese r

epor

ts (e

.g. H

MR-

51 w

as pu

blish

ed in

1978

), the

licen

see s

hould

ex

ercis

e due

dilig

ence

and e

xami

ne th

e rec

ord o

f ex

treme

stor

ms in

the r

egion

of in

teres

t to pr

ovide

as

sura

nce t

hat th

e HMR

estim

ates a

re st

ill va

lid.

Actio

n:

Follo

wing

text

adde

d to S

ectio

n 1.3.

2: Ex

isting

estim

ates f

or de

sign s

torms

and f

loods

(e.g.

, PM

P an

d PMF

) in th

e reg

ion of

inter

est d

evelo

ped b

y

Page 7: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

7 of

70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

feder

al, st

ate or

othe

r age

ncies

may

be us

ed.

Howe

ver,

some

of th

ese r

epor

ts ma

y be q

uite o

ld (e

.g. th

e NOA

A/NW

S Hy

drom

eteor

ologic

al Re

port

51

for th

e Eas

tern U

.S. w

as pu

blish

ed in

1978

). T

he

licen

see s

hould

exer

cise d

ue di

ligen

ce an

d exa

mine

the

reco

rd of

extre

me st

orms

and f

loods

in th

e reg

ion

of int

eres

t to pr

ovide

assu

ranc

e tha

t the e

xistin

g es

timate

s are

still

valid

.

8.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age 4

, Sec

tion 1

.3.2

Com

men

t: If f

lood l

evels

do no

t rea

ch th

e site

, doe

s the

licen

see s

till ne

ed to

ev

aluate

the t

rans

port

of se

dimen

ts an

d deb

ris?

Resp

onse

: Se

dimen

t tran

spor

t sho

uld be

cons

idere

d in t

he

analy

sis. Ig

norin

g sed

imen

t dep

ositio

n may

resu

lt in

unde

resti

mates

of w

ater le

vel e

levati

ons.

Co

nver

sely,

igno

ring s

edim

ent e

rosio

n may

mea

n tha

t pote

ntiall

y dan

gero

us sc

ourin

g aro

und

struc

tures

is ig

nore

d. If f

lood l

evels

do no

t rea

ch th

e site

, then

wate

rbor

ne

debr

is im

pacts

wou

ld no

t nee

d to b

e con

sider

ed at

the

site.

How

ever

, wate

rbor

ne de

bris

impa

cts on

an

upstr

eam

dam

may s

till be

germ

ane.

Secti

on 4.

2.8 of

the r

evise

d ISG

prov

ides m

ore d

etail

on es

timati

ng w

aterb

orne

debr

is im

pacts

. De

tailed

guida

nce o

n sed

imen

t tran

spor

t mod

eling

is

beyo

nd th

e sco

pe of

this

ISG,

but S

ectio

n 9.3

of the

re

vised

guide

prov

ed re

feren

ces.

In m

any

case

s,

sim

plifi

ed c

onse

rvat

ive

estim

ates

for e

rosi

on a

nd

sedi

men

tatio

n m

ay b

e us

ed in

lieu

of d

etai

led

anal

ysis

..

Page 8: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

8 of

70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Actio

n:

Secti

on 9.

3 of h

as be

en ad

ded t

o the

revis

ed gu

ide.

9.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

8, S

ectio

n 1.

4.2

Com

men

t: Ad

d "is"

after

"it"

to re

ad "i

t is ac

cepta

ble"

Resp

onse

: Se

ction

1.4 h

as be

en re

orga

nized

and t

his ph

rase

is

no lo

nger

used

. Ac

tion:

No

chan

ge to

text.

10.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

10, S

ectio

n 1.

5.3

Co

mm

ent:

On th

e sixt

h line

of th

e firs

t bull

et, "d

evelo

pi" is

miss

pelle

d

Resp

onse

: Ac

tion:

Sp

elling

corre

cted.

11.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

11, S

ectio

n 1.

6

Com

men

t: Th

e sec

tion s

tates

that,

"Deta

ils of

dam

brea

ch m

odeli

ng ar

e disc

usse

d in

ISG

Secti

on 7.

" This

shou

ld be

Sec

tion 8

Resp

onse

: Ac

tion:

Se

ction

cros

s refe

renc

e cor

recte

d,

12.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

11, S

ectio

n 1.

6

Com

men

t: Th

e sec

tion s

tates

that,

"Deta

ils of

flood

routi

ng ar

e disc

usse

d in I

SG

Secti

on 9.

" This

shou

ld be

Sec

tion 1

0

Resp

onse

: Ac

tion:

Se

ction

cros

s refe

renc

e cor

recte

d

13.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

11, S

ectio

n 1.

6

Com

men

t: Re

spon

se:

In the

revis

ed IS

G, op

erati

onal

failur

es an

d

Page 9: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

9 of

70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

The s

ectio

n des

cribe

s the

orga

nizati

on of

the g

uidan

ce bu

t doe

s not

desc

ribe S

ectio

n 7, "

Oper

ation

al Fa

ilure

s and

Con

trolle

d Rele

ases

." co

ntroll

ed re

lease

s are

disc

usse

d in s

ectio

n 4.2.

7 Ac

tion:

No

chan

ges t

o tex

t in se

ction

1.6

14.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

24, S

ectio

n 3.

2 Co

mm

ent:

Do yo

u inc

lude "

all" d

ams (

items

1.a a

nd 2.

b) or

only

"all"

dams

that

are

cons

eque

ntial

(i.e., a

fter s

creen

ing)?

The

text

contr

adict

s wha

t is on

Fig

ure 1

0.

Resp

onse

: Th

e figu

re 10

is co

rrect.

Inco

nseq

uenti

al da

ms m

ay

be ex

clude

d befo

re im

pleme

nting

the s

creen

ing

proc

edur

es di

scus

sed.

Actio

n:

Clar

ificati

on ad

ded t

o tex

t for s

creen

ing st

eps 1

.a an

d 2.b

and 3

.b

15.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

ages

33,

38,8

1; S

ectio

ns 4

.2.2

.1,4

.2.7

,10

Com

men

t: Do

es N

RC re

comm

end t

he ut

ilizati

on of

2D / 3

D mo

delin

g soft

ware

pa

ckag

e suc

h as F

LO-2

D or

Delf

t3D in

stead

of H

EC-R

AS to

acco

unt fo

r se

dimen

t pro

ducti

on an

d tra

nspo

rt, m

ud flo

ws, a

nd de

bris

trans

port?

Resp

onse

: Th

e nee

d to a

ddre

ss m

ud flo

ws ha

s bee

n rem

oved

fro

m the

ISG.

Ce

rtain

wide

ly-us

ed m

odeli

ng so

ftwar

e pac

kage

s are

me

ntion

ed in

the I

SG fo

r illus

trativ

e pur

pose

s, bu

t the

NRC

does

not r

ecom

mend

spec

ific so

ftwar

e pa

ckag

es. I

n gen

eral,

hydr

ologic

and h

ydra

ulic

simula

tion m

odels

acce

pted i

n stan

dard

engin

eerin

g pr

actic

e by F

eder

al ag

encie

s and

othe

r auth

oritie

s re

spon

sible

for si

milar

desig

n con

sider

ation

s may

be

used

. Ac

tion:

La

ngua

ge si

milar

to th

e pre

cedin

g par

agra

ph ha

s

Page 10: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

10 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

been

adde

d to t

he re

vised

ISG

secti

on 1.

1 (Pu

rpos

e)

16.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

37, S

ectio

n 4.

2.4

Com

men

t: Th

ere a

ppea

rs to

be an

extra

bulle

t at th

e end

of th

e Staf

f pos

ition i

n Se

ction

4.2.4

. Is th

is an

extra

bulle

t or w

as an

addit

ional

staff p

ositio

n sta

temen

t sup

pose

d to b

e loc

ated h

ere?

Resp

onse

: Ac

tion:

Ex

tra bu

llet r

emov

ed.

17.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

38, S

ectio

n 4.

2.7

Com

men

t: Ca

n the

licen

see u

tilize

the R

USLE

meth

od to

iden

tify th

e pote

ntial

for

eros

ion in

the w

atersh

ed?

Resp

onse

: Th

e RUS

LE m

ethod

was

deve

loped

to es

timate

er

osion

for a

gricu

ltura

l app

licati

ons.

The

datab

ase

used

to de

velop

the m

ethod

was

base

d on

agric

ultur

al plo

t-sca

le sit

es w

ith di

sturb

ed so

ils. In

ge

nera

l, it w

ould

not b

e app

licab

le to

the la

rge

water

shed

s of in

teres

t in th

is IS

G wi

thout

signif

icant

modif

icatio

n. H

owev

er, th

e req

uirem

ent to

cons

ider

mud f

lows h

as be

en re

move

d fro

m the

ISG,

so th

is co

mmen

t is no

long

er re

levan

t. Ac

tion:

Th

e sec

tion o

n mud

flows

has b

een r

emov

ed.

18.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

40, S

ectio

n 4.

2.7.

2 Co

mm

ent:

The f

irst p

arag

raph

after

Tab

le 3 r

efere

nces

the 2

005 v

ersio

n of

ASCE

/SEI

7-05

. The

re is

a mo

re re

cent

versi

on, A

SCE/

SEI 7

-10.

Resp

onse

: Th

e meth

odolo

gy de

scrib

ed in

the m

ost r

ecen

t ve

rsion

(ASC

E/SE

I 7-1

0) di

ffers

some

what

from

the

older

meth

od in

the I

SG. N

RC st

aff ha

ve re

viewe

d the

newe

r meth

odolo

gy an

d fou

nd it

to be

ac

cepta

ble.

Actio

n:

Page 11: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

11 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

This

secti

on ha

s bee

n mod

ified t

o refl

ect th

e me

thodo

logy i

n the

mos

t rec

ent v

ersio

n of th

e ACS

E sta

ndar

d.

19.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

40, S

ectio

n 4.

2.7.

2 Co

mm

ent:

USAC

E ER

DC/C

RREL

TR-

02-2

evalu

ated s

ever

al dif

feren

t meth

ods o

f es

timati

ng de

bris

loadin

g for

logs

. It co

nclud

ed th

at "a

ll thr

ee

appr

oach

es ca

n be d

erive

d fro

m a s

ingle-

degr

ee-o

f-fre

edom

mod

el of

the co

llision

and a

re eq

uivale

nt." T

here

fore,

it is r

ecom

mend

ed th

at the

NA

ASTR

A (H

ighwa

y Brid

ge D

esign

Spe

cifica

tion)

and A

ASHT

O (L

RFD

Bridg

e De

sign

Spec

ificat

ions)

meth

ods a

lso be

refer

ence

d in S

taff

Posit

ion bu

llet 3

.

Resp

onse

: Th

e USA

CE re

port

show

s tha

t the m

ethod

s are

eq

uivale

nt for

a ce

rtain

rang

e of v

elocit

ies an

d und

er

certa

in as

sump

tions

rega

rding

the s

tiffne

ss of

the

debr

is an

d stru

cture

impa

cted.

If the

NAS

STRA

me

thod (

work

ener

gy m

ethod

) or t

he A

ASHT

O me

thod (

conta

ct sti

ffnes

s meth

od)

are u

sed,

the

licen

see s

hould

justi

fy tha

t the r

esult

s are

equiv

alent

or m

ore c

onse

rvativ

e tha

n the

impu

lse m

omen

tum

appr

oach

outlin

ed in

the A

SCE

stand

ard.

Actio

n:

No ch

ange

to te

xt.

20.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

43, S

ectio

n 5

Com

men

t: Th

ere i

s a se

ction

cros

s refe

renc

e tha

t app

ears

to ha

ve be

en lo

st at

the

end o

f the l

ast s

enten

ce in

the t

hird p

arag

raph

.

Resp

onse

: Cr

oss r

efere

nce i

s to s

ectio

n 5.6

Actio

n:

Adde

d cro

ss re

feren

ce to

secti

on 5.

6

21.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

43, S

ectio

n 5.

1.1

Com

men

t: W

ill NR

C ac

cept

a reg

ional

PSHA

stud

y or a

nothe

r stud

y fro

m a

neigh

borin

g site

or is

it a "

must"

to co

nduc

t a si

te-sp

ecific

PSH

A as

part

Resp

onse

: A

site-

spec

ific an

alysis

shou

ld be

perfo

rmed

. Ac

tion:

No

chan

ge to

text.

Page 12: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

12 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

of the

dam

failur

e ana

lysis

due t

o seis

mic e

vent?

22.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

46, S

ectio

n 5.

2.1

Com

men

t: In

the la

st se

ntenc

e of th

e 3rd

para

grap

h, "d

owns

tream

" is r

epea

ted.

One o

f the i

nstan

ces s

hould

prob

ably

be up

strea

m.

Resp

onse

: Ac

tion:

Re

peate

d wor

d dele

ted.

23.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

52, S

ectio

n 5.

4.1

Com

men

t: In

staff p

ositio

n bull

et 1,

the te

rm "U

HRS"

is us

ed, b

ut no

t pre

vious

ly de

fined

. Sho

uld th

is ter

m be

UHS

, as d

efine

d in S

ectio

n 5.7.

1.4?

Resp

onse

: Sh

ould

be U

HS

Actio

n:

Text

corre

cted.

24.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

52, S

ectio

n 5.

4.1

Com

men

t: St

aff po

sition

bulle

t 1 st

ates t

hat, "

...(ba

sed o

n the

UHR

S an

d ac

coun

ting f

or si

te am

plific

ation

) as d

escri

bed i

n Sec

tion 5

.4.1."

The

re

feren

ce to

Sec

tion 5

.4.1 s

hould

prob

ably

be ch

ange

d to S

ectio

n 5.7

.1.4.

Resp

onse

: Re

feren

ce is

to 5.

3.1

Actio

n:

Refer

ence

corre

cted.

25.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

52, S

ectio

n 5.

4.1

Com

men

t: In

staff p

ositio

n bull

et 2,

the te

rm "U

HS" i

s use

d, bu

t not

prev

iously

de

fined

. It is

defin

ed la

ter in

Sec

tion 5

.7.1.4

.

Resp

onse

: Re

peat

of pr

eviou

s com

ment.

Ac

tion:

No

chan

ge

26.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

52, S

ectio

n 5.

4.1

Com

men

t: Re

spon

se:

Repe

at of

prev

ious c

omme

nt

Page 13: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

13 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

The l

ast s

enten

ce of

Staf

f pos

ition b

ullet

1 stat

es th

at, ".

..in lig

ht of

the

UHS

deve

loped

in S

ectio

n 5.4.

1 inc

luding

effec

ts of

..." T

he re

feren

ce to

Se

ction

5.4.1

shou

ld pr

obab

ly be

chan

ged t

o Sec

tion 5

.7.1.4

.

Actio

n:

No ch

ange

27.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

67, S

ectio

n 6.

1.3

Com

men

t: Th

e tex

t of th

e Lev

ee se

ction

was

remo

ved b

ased

on pa

st co

mmen

ts bu

t the s

ectio

n hea

der r

emain

s. It i

s rec

omme

nded

that

a stat

emen

t be

adde

d und

er th

e hea

der t

hat S

unny

Day

Fail

ure i

s not

appli

cable

to

levee

s sinc

e the

y are

not n

orma

lly lo

aded

.

Resp

onse

: Ac

tion:

Se

ction

head

er re

move

d.

28.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

68, S

ectio

n 6.

2 &

6.2.

2 Co

mm

ent:

On P

age 6

8 the

re ar

e two

insta

nces

of w

here

Sec

tion 7

is re

feren

ced.

Thes

e sho

uld be

refer

ence

s to S

ectio

n 8.

Resp

onse

: Ac

tion:

Cr

oss r

efere

nce u

pdate

d.

29.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

79, S

ectio

n 9

Com

men

t: Th

e sec

ond w

ord o

f the 3

rd pa

ragr

aph s

hould

be "f

rom,

" not

"form

."

Resp

onse

: Ac

tion:

Te

xt co

rrecte

d.

30.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

82, S

ectio

n 10

.1.2

Co

mm

ent:

With

resp

ect to

the l

ast p

arag

raph

, ther

e is a

state

ment

abou

t the u

se of

1D

flood

mod

els in

flat-ly

ing to

pogr

aphy

. The

para

grap

h doe

s not

direc

tly st

ate th

at 1D

mod

eling

shou

ld no

t be u

sed i

n this

case

. 1D

mode

ling t

ools

are a

poor

choic

e of m

odeli

ng to

ols fo

r this

scen

ario.

Lo

w re

lief a

reas

whe

re di

stribu

tary f

low m

ay oc

cur s

hould

rely

on 2D

(at

Resp

onse

: Te

xt sta

tes th

at, in

this

case

, a 2D

mod

el wi

ll bett

er

simula

te flo

ws in

flat to

pogr

aphy

. Ac

tion:

No

chan

ge to

text.

Page 14: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

14 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

minim

um) m

odels

to de

al wi

th the

comp

lexity

of no

n-ch

anne

lized

flow.

Th

ere i

s a tr

emen

dous

amou

nt of

acad

emic

rese

arch

on th

is, an

d it is

n't

clear

why

1 D

mode

ls ar

e still

used

in th

ese a

reas

. The

ISG

shou

ld tak

e a f

irm po

sition

for t

he ap

plica

bility

of 1D

versu

s 2D

/ 3D

mode

ling.

31.

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

83, S

ectio

n 10

.2

Com

men

t: Th

is se

ction

ambig

uous

ly re

feren

ces t

he m

odels

used

in H

EC-R

AS. It

is

reco

mmen

ded t

o stat

e dire

ctly t

hat H

EC-R

AS is

appr

opria

te wh

en it

is de

termi

ned t

hat a

one-

dimen

siona

l flow

mod

el is

suita

ble.

Resp

onse

: Th

e disc

ussio

n in q

uesti

on is

aime

d at th

e effic

acy o

f 1D

vs. 2

D mo

delin

g app

roac

hes a

nd ap

plies

to an

y hy

drau

lic m

odeli

ng pa

ckag

e. Th

e NRC

does

not r

ecom

mend

spec

ific m

odeli

ng

softw

are p

acka

ges.

Actio

n:

No ch

ange

to te

xt.

32

[M. M

oens

sens

] Lo

catio

n: P

age

100,

ASC

E (2

005b

) Co

mm

ent:

The r

efere

nce s

hould

be up

dated

to A

SCE/

SEI 7

-10 s

ince t

his is

the

most

up-to

-date

refer

ence

for t

he st

anda

rd.

Resp

onse

: Re

feren

ce up

dated

. Ac

tion:

Re

feren

ce to

ASC

E/SE

I 7-0

5 has

been

repla

ced w

ith

ASCE

/SEI

7-10

.

33

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Gen

eral

Com

men

t:

The I

SG is

not c

lear o

n how

off-s

ite te

mpor

ary s

tructu

res c

an be

cre

dited

for f

lood p

rotec

tion

Resp

onse

: On

-site

or o

ff-sit

e te

mpo

rary

stru

cture

s can

cont

inue

to b

e cr

edite

d in

the

R2.1

flood

haz

ard

reev

aluat

ion if

such

cred

it has

bee

n ev

aluat

ed a

nd a

ccep

ted

by

NRC

staff p

rior t

o the

50.54

(f) in

forma

tion r

eque

st

Page 15: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

15 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Conc

ern:

Te

mpor

ary o

ff-sit

e stru

cture

s may

alre

ady b

e in p

lace f

or so

me pl

ants.

Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n: N

ot p

rovid

ed

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

Not

pro

vided

(USN

RC 20

12).

All o

ther t

empo

rary

struc

tures

, or

meas

ures

(inclu

ding m

itigati

on or

comp

ensa

tory

meas

ures

), sh

ould

not b

e cre

dited

in th

e floo

d ha

zard

reev

aluati

on. T

empo

rary

struc

tures

or

meas

ures

not c

redit

ed in

the h

azar

d ree

valua

tion

may b

e pro

pose

d as i

nterim

actio

ns an

d disc

usse

d in

the ap

prop

riate

secti

on(s)

of th

e haz

ard r

eeva

luatio

n re

spon

se as

desc

ribed

in th

e 50.5

4(f)

infor

matio

n re

ques

t lette

r (US

NRC

2012

).

Actio

n:

The p

rece

ding t

ext h

as be

en ad

ded t

o sec

tion 4

.2.2

34

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

. 1 / p

. 1

Com

men

t: “F

ailur

es of

wate

r-stor

age o

r wate

r-con

trol s

tructu

res (

such

as on

site

cooli

ng or

auxil

iary w

ater r

eser

voirs

and o

nsite

leve

es) t

hat a

re lo

cated

at

or ab

ove t

he gr

ade o

f safe

ty-re

lated

equip

ment

are p

otenti

al flo

oding

me

chan

isms.”

Co

ncer

n:

List s

hould

spec

ificall

y exc

lude

tank

s. No

te th

at th

e 50

.54(

f) let

ter o

nly a

sks f

or e

xtern

al flo

od e

valua

tions

Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n:

Spec

ificall

y inc

lude “

tanks

” in th

e list

. Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s:

We

need

to d

evelo

p ad

dition

al gu

idanc

e on

the

scop

e of

the

ISG

as w

ell Re

spon

se:

Tank

s are

exclu

ded.

Actio

n:

Tank

exclu

sion a

dded

to S

ectio

n 1.1

(Sco

pe)

Page 16: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

16 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

as th

e flo

oding

reev

aluat

ions i

n ge

nera

l.

35

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

1.3.1

, p 2

Com

men

t: Ma

ny si

tes ha

ve ow

ner-c

ontro

lled l

evee

s, em

bank

ments

, dam

s, co

oling

po

nds,

etc. a

bove

powe

r bloc

k gra

de th

at ar

e lice

nsed

by th

e NRC

as

Seism

ic Ca

tegor

y I. T

hese

stru

cture

s wer

e eva

luated

as S

eismi

c Ca

tegor

y I in

the l

icens

ing ba

sis / s

afety

analy

sis re

port

and a

ffirme

d as

such

by th

e NRC

in a

safet

y eva

luatio

n rep

ort. T

hese

stru

cture

s are

typ

ically

contr

olled

via o

pera

ting p

roce

dure

s, pr

even

tative

ma

inten

ance

s, an

d sur

veilla

nce t

ests.

How

ever

, the D

am F

ailur

e ISG

do

es no

t disc

uss a

n alte

rnati

ve, s

horte

ned a

sses

smen

t or s

creen

ing

path

spec

ificall

y for

thes

e typ

es of

stru

cture

s, no

r doe

s the

ISG

make

an

y refe

renc

e to t

he te

rm S

eismi

c Cate

gory

I. Do S

eismi

c Cate

gory

I wa

ter re

tentio

n stru

cture

s qua

lify fo

r an a

bbre

viated

scre

ening

proc

ess

that c

redit

s the

ir NRC

appr

oved

desig

n and

oper

ation

? Co

ncer

n:

The

ISG

is no

t clea

r on

how

seism

ic ca

tego

ry 1

stru

cture

s are

to b

e ev

aluat

ed fo

r floo

ding

effe

cts. A

llowi

ng fo

r the

ana

lysis

of th

ese

struc

ture

s dur

ing th

e Fu

kush

ima

50.5

4(f)

lette

r seis

mic

reev

aluat

ions

could

lead

to q

uesti

ons o

n th

e co

mple

tene

ss o

f the

Inte

grat

ed

Asse

ssm

ent w

hich

may

hav

e be

en co

mple

ted

prior

to th

e se

ismic

reev

aluat

ion.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Not

pro

vided

Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s: N

ot p

rovid

ed

Resp

onse

: Th

is IS

G is

appli

cable

to es

timati

ng flo

od ha

zard

s du

e to f

ailur

e of b

oth on

site a

nd of

fsite

water

contr

ol str

uctur

es an

d imp

ound

ments

(exc

luding

tank

s). F

or

offsit

e stru

cture

s, hy

drolo

gic, s

eismi

c and

sunn

y-day

fai

lure m

echa

nisms

are w

ithin

the sc

ope o

f the R

2.1

Flood

ing H

azar

d Ree

valua

tion a

nd th

is IS

G. F

or

onsit

e stru

cture

s, on

ly hy

drolo

gic an

d sun

ny-d

ay

mech

anism

s are

in sc

ope.

Seis

mic f

ailur

e of o

nsite

str

uctur

es fa

lls w

ithin

the sc

ope o

f the R

2.1 S

eismi

c Re

evalu

ation

s and

is no

t disc

usse

d in t

his IS

G.

Actio

n:

The p

rece

ding t

ext h

as be

en ad

ded t

o the

ISG

36

Loca

tion:

Sec

. 1.3.

2 / p.

4 Re

spon

se:

Page 17: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

17 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

[J. R

iley]

Com

men

t: 4th

full p

arag

raph

of p.

4, la

st se

ntenc

e: “In

lieu o

f a de

tailed

analy

sis,

one c

an si

mply

assu

me th

at the

dam

fails

unde

r app

ropr

iate l

oadin

g an

d mov

e on t

o esti

matio

n of th

e con

sequ

ence

s.”

Conc

ern:

In

lieu o

f a de

tailed

analy

sis, d

oes t

he lic

ense

e hav

e any

alter

nate

optio

ns to

justi

fy tha

t a da

m (w

hich i

s not

scre

ened

-out

acco

rding

to

Secti

on 3)

will

not fa

il, ra

ther t

han s

imply

assu

ming

dam

failur

e?

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Ex

plain

what

is me

ant b

y a de

tailed

analy

sis –

analy

ze no

n-fai

lure o

r an

alyze

how

the fa

ilure

wou

ld oc

cur.

Clar

ify if

there

are a

ny al

terna

tive o

ption

s to s

imply

assu

ming

dam

failur

e in l

ieu of

a de

tailed

analy

sis. F

or ex

ample

, if a

feder

al ag

ency

ca

n pro

vide j

ustifi

catio

n tha

t the d

ams t

hey o

wn an

d ope

rate

will n

ot fai

l un

der t

he sc

enar

ios de

scrib

ed in

this

ISG,

clar

ify if

the lic

ense

e can

rely

on th

e ass

ertio

n of a

fede

ral a

genc

y in l

ieu of

a de

tailed

analy

sis.

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

W

e und

ersta

nd th

at the

detai

ls of

shar

ing an

alysis

resu

lts pe

rform

ed by

oth

er fe

dera

l age

ncies

is st

ill be

ing de

velop

ed an

d tha

t the i

ntent

of the

IS

G is

to all

ow us

e of a

nalys

es pr

epar

ed by

othe

r age

ncies

as lo

ng as

the

analy

sis m

eets

the gu

idanc

e in t

he IS

G.

The c

urre

nt sta

ff pos

ition i

s tha

t hyd

rolog

ic fai

lure

and s

eismi

c fail

ure c

an be

ruled

out w

ith ap

prop

riate

justifi

catio

n. F

or da

ms th

at ar

e not

scre

ened

out

acco

rding

to se

ction

3 (i.e

. the d

am is

“pote

ntiall

y cri

tical”

), thi

s will

requ

ire a

detai

led an

alysis

. The

de

tailed

analy

sis ca

n be f

rom

an ex

isting

stud

y pe

rform

ed by

the d

am ow

ner,

A su

nny-d

ay fa

ilure

ca

nnot

be ru

led ou

t, eve

n by d

etaile

d ana

lysis,

sinc

e the

re is

no w

idely

acce

pted m

ethod

ology

for

estim

ating

failu

re pr

obab

ilities

on th

e ord

er of

1e-6

pe

r yea

r. A

detai

led an

alysis

is ge

nera

lly on

e tha

t take

s into

ac

coun

t site

-spec

ific ch

arac

terist

ics of

the w

atersh

ed

and t

he da

m(s)

and d

oes s

o in a

man

ner t

hat

incor

pora

tes m

ore o

f the p

hysic

s tha

n the

scre

ening

ap

proa

ches

.. We d

o not

prov

ide a

prec

ise de

finitio

n for

detai

led an

alysis

. The

comp

onen

ts of

a deta

iled

analy

sis w

ill va

ry on

a ca

se-b

y-cas

e bas

is.

Profe

ssion

al jud

gmen

t is re

quire

d. St

udies

by ot

her f

eder

al ag

encie

s can

be us

ed to

ru

le ou

t hyd

rolog

ic or

seism

ic fai

lure,

but n

ot su

nny-

day f

ailur

e. A

ctio

n:

No pr

opos

ed ch

ange

s to t

ext.

37

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

1.3.

2, p.

4 Co

mm

ent:

Resp

onse

: Th

e scre

ening

meth

ods d

escri

bed i

n Sec

tion 3

are

inten

ded t

o be p

erfor

med u

sing p

ublic

ly av

ailab

le

Page 18: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

18 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

“Dam

failu

re flo

od ha

zard

estim

ation

will

requ

ire co

llecti

ng da

ta on

the

dam

(s) to

be an

alyze

d (e.g

., des

ign do

cume

nts, c

onstr

uctio

n rec

ords

, ma

inten

ance

, and

insp

ectio

n pro

gram

, plan

ned m

odific

ation

s)”

Conc

ern:

W

hat c

an be

done

if re

cord

s can

not b

e loc

ated?

Are

ther

e any

re

ason

able

assu

mptio

ns th

at ca

n be m

ade?

Are

ther

e a m

inimu

m se

t of

reco

rds n

eede

d. No

te tha

t the r

igor o

f justi

ficati

on is

going

to be

depe

nden

t on t

he

avail

abilit

y of in

forma

tion.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

If d

etaile

d hist

orica

l infor

matio

n can

not b

e obta

ined,

rece

nt (la

st 5

year

s) ins

pecti

on re

ports

and e

valua

tions

by th

e dam

regu

lator

can b

e us

ed to

deter

mine

if the

re ar

e flaw

s or v

ulner

abilit

ies th

at sh

ould

be

evalu

ated f

or da

m fai

lure r

isk.

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

Not

pro

vided

infor

matio

n (e.g

. pub

lic N

ID fie

lds).

Deta

iled

analy

ses w

ill ge

nera

lly re

quire

the t

ypes

of

infor

matio

n refe

renc

ed in

the c

omme

nt.

The t

ype a

nd am

ount

of inf

orma

tion r

equir

ed to

su

ppor

t a de

tailed

analy

sis w

ill va

ry on

a ca

se-b

y-ca

se ba

sis. I

n som

e cas

es co

nser

vativ

e as

sump

tions

may

be us

ed in

lieu o

f data

. Pr

ofess

ional

judgm

ent is

need

ed. If

suffic

ient

infor

matio

n to s

uppo

rt de

tailed

analy

sis is

not

avail

able,

failu

re sh

ould

be po

stulat

ed an

d the

co

nseq

uenc

es an

alyze

d. Ac

tion:

No

text

chan

ge.

38

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

1.3.2

, p. 4

Co

mm

ent:

“Tra

nspo

rt of

sedim

ent a

nd de

bris

by flo

od w

aters

shou

ld be

co

nside

red.”

Co

ncer

n:

Not c

lear w

hat th

is sta

temen

t is re

quirin

g and

how

to pe

rform

a se

dimen

t and

debr

is an

alysis

beyo

nd en

ginee

ring j

udgm

ent. W

here

is

sedim

ent a

conc

ern?

Wha

t sca

le/typ

e of d

ebris

is of

conc

ern?

Th

e ISG

leav

es th

is ev

aluati

on up

to th

e lice

nsee

and w

ill pr

obab

ly re

sult i

n lar

ge va

riatio

n. Ad

dition

al gu

idanc

e on h

ow to

deal

with

debr

is

Resp

onse

: An

alysis

meth

ods f

or flo

od-b

orn d

ebris

are d

iscus

sed

in se

ction

4.2.8

. Th

e main

conc

erns

rega

rding

sedim

ent tr

ansp

ort

includ

e: 1)

impa

cts to

pred

icted

wate

r sur

face

eleva

tions

(e.g.

sedim

ent d

epos

ition w

ill re

sult i

n hig

her w

ater le

vels

for a

given

disc

harg

e); 2

) sco

ur at

SS

C str

uctur

es; a

nd 3)

sedim

ent a

ccum

ulatio

n in

UHS

impo

undm

ent.

How

ever

, deta

iled g

uidan

ce on

sedim

ent tr

ansp

ort

mode

ling i

s bey

ond t

he sc

ope t

his IS

G.

Page 19: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

19 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

and s

edim

ent in

the d

am br

eak f

lood w

ave i

s nee

ded.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

If a

n ana

lysis

is re

quire

d and

expe

cted t

o be p

art o

f the r

epor

t, this

sta

temen

t wou

ld ne

ed to

be ex

pand

ed to

furth

er ch

arac

terize

whe

n se

dimen

t and

debr

is ne

eds t

o be c

onsid

ered

and t

he sp

ecific

conc

erns

tha

t nee

d to b

e add

ress

ed. If

the c

once

rn is

to co

nside

r sou

rces o

f larg

e de

bris

in the

routi

ng pa

th tha

t cou

ld be

tran

spor

ted to

the n

uclea

r site

, it

shou

ld be

state

d as s

uch.

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

Not

pro

vided

Actio

n:

Adde

d sec

tion 9

.3 wh

ich di

scus

ses g

ener

al co

nside

ratio

ns fo

r sed

imen

t tran

spor

t mod

eling

and

prov

ides r

efere

nces

to th

e tec

hnica

l liter

ature

.

39

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

. 1.4.

2, p.

7 Co

mm

ent:

Gene

ral c

omme

nt: T

his se

ction

state

s tha

t the p

roba

bility

targ

et for

jud

ging t

he lik

eliho

od of

a pa

rticula

r fail

ure m

ode/s

cena

rio (e

ither

from

a sin

gle ha

zard

or ap

prop

riate

comb

inatio

n) is

1x10

-6 an

nual

prob

abilit

y. Fr

om th

e abo

ve st

ateme

nt it a

ppea

rs tha

t dam

s whic

h are

safe

for

flood

s with

a pr

obab

ility o

f 10-

6 per

year

need

not to

be ch

ecke

d for

fai

lure d

uring

PMF

. Co

ncer

n:

If it c

an be

demo

nstra

ted th

at a d

am w

ill no

t fail d

uring

a flo

od w

ith

prob

abilit

y of 1

0-6 p

er ye

ar, c

an hy

drolo

gic da

m fai

lure b

e exc

luded

wi

thout

cons

iderin

g PMF

? Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n:

More

clar

ificati

on is

requ

ired t

o clar

ify th

at da

ms no

t failin

g for

10-6

flo

oding

can b

e con

sider

ed as

safe

and p

otenti

al fai

lure d

uring

PMF

do

es no

t nee

d to b

e eva

luated

Resp

onse

: Du

e to t

he la

ck of

wide

ly ac

cepte

d meth

ods f

or

estim

ating

failu

re pr

obab

ilities

on th

e ord

er of

1e-6

pe

r yea

r, thi

s sec

tion h

as be

en re

vised

. The

revis

ed

appr

oach

for p

otenti

ally c

ritica

l/criti

cal d

ams i

s as

follow

s:

1)

PMF

for hy

drolo

gic fa

ilure

2)

1e

-4 ha

zard

curve

for s

eismi

c fail

ure

3)

Assu

me su

nny d

ay fa

ilure

Ac

tion:

Th

is se

ction

has b

een r

evise

d to r

eflec

t the a

ppro

ach

outlin

ed ab

ove.

Page 20: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

20 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

W

e und

ersta

nd th

at the

10-6

crite

ria w

ill be

remo

ved.

40

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

1.4.2

, p. 7

Co

mm

ent:

Last

bulle

t - st

aff po

sition

state

s “…

acce

ptable

to us

e the

1x10

-4 an

nual

frequ

ency

grou

nd m

otion

s, at

spec

tral fr

eque

ncies

impo

rtant

to the

dam,

for

seism

ic ev

aluati

on of

dams

, inste

ad of

1x10

-6, a

s disc

usse

d abo

ve.

Howe

ver,

appr

opria

te en

ginee

ring j

ustifi

catio

n mus

t be p

rovid

ed to

sh

ow th

at the

dam

has s

uffici

ent s

eismi

c mar

gin. O

therw

ise th

e 1x1

0-6

grou

nd m

otion

s sho

uld be

used

.”

Conc

ern:

• I

t is no

t clea

r how

the 1

0-4 a

nd 10

-6 cr

iteria

shou

ld be

used

. If

suffic

ient m

argin

cann

ot be

estab

lishe

d with

the 1

0-4 c

riteria

, how

could

ad

equa

te jus

tifica

tion b

e ach

ieved

with

the 1

0-6 c

riteria

whe

n it is

as

socia

ted w

ith a

large

r ear

thqua

ke?

• Wha

t con

stitut

es su

fficien

t mar

gin if

a 10-

4 seis

mic h

azar

d ana

lysis

is pe

rform

ed ve

rses a

10-6

seism

ic ha

zard

analy

sis?

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

• C

larify

how

the tw

o seis

mic c

riteria

are t

o be u

sed

• Pro

vide g

uidan

ce on

wha

t amo

unt o

f mar

gin is

suffic

ient.

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

W

e und

ersta

nd th

at the

10-6

crite

ria w

ill be

remo

ved.

Resp

onse

: Du

e to t

he la

ck of

wide

ly ac

cepte

d meth

ods f

or

estim

ating

failu

re pr

obab

ilities

on th

e ord

er of

1e-6

pe

r yea

r, thi

s sec

tion h

as be

en re

vised

. The

revis

ed

appr

oach

for p

otenti

ally c

ritica

l/criti

cal d

ams i

s as

follow

s:

1)

PMF

for hy

drolo

gic fa

ilure

2)

1e

-4 ha

zard

curve

for s

eismi

c fail

ure

3)

Assu

me su

nny d

ay fa

ilure

Ac

tion:

Th

is se

ction

has b

een r

evise

d to r

eflec

t the a

ppro

ach

outlin

ed ab

ove.

41

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Se

c 1.4

.2, p

. 8

Com

men

t: Re

spon

se:

Due t

o the

lack

of w

idely

acce

pted m

ethod

s for

Page 21: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

21 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

2nd b

ullet

on p.

8, ne

xt to

last s

enten

ce: “

Howe

ver,

appr

opria

te en

ginee

ring j

ustifi

catio

n mus

t be p

rovid

ed to

show

that

the da

m ha

s su

fficien

t seis

mic m

argin

.” Co

ncer

n:

No qu

antita

tive c

riteria

for “

suffic

ient m

argin

” are

prov

ided.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Th

e 10-

4 ann

ual fr

eque

ncy g

roun

d moti

on is

comp

arab

le to

GMRS

. Fa

ctor o

f safe

ty in

NRC

regu

lator

y guid

ance

for li

quefa

ction

and s

lope

stabil

ity fo

r GMR

S ca

n be u

sed t

o dem

onstr

ate “s

uffici

ent m

argin

.” Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s:

We u

nder

stand

that

the 10

-6 cr

iteria

will

be re

move

d.

estim

ating

failu

re pr

obab

ilities

on th

e ord

er of

1e-6

pe

r yea

r, thi

s sec

tion h

as be

en re

vised

. The

revis

ed

appr

oach

for p

otenti

ally c

ritica

l/criti

cal d

ams i

s as

follow

s:

1)

PMF

for hy

drolo

gic fa

ilure

2)

1e

-4 ha

zard

curve

for s

eismi

c fail

ure

3)

Assu

me su

nny d

ay fa

ilure

Ac

tion:

Th

is se

ction

has b

een r

evise

d to r

eflec

t the a

ppro

ach

outlin

ed ab

ove.

42

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

. 1.4

.2, p

.8

Com

men

t: 2n

d bull

et on

p. 8,

last

sente

nce:

“Othe

rwise

10-6

grou

nd m

otion

s sh

ould

be us

ed.”

Conc

ern:

Th

e 10-

6 gro

und m

otion

crite

ria ap

pear

s to b

e mor

e con

serva

tive t

han

NRC

ISG-

20, “

PRA

base

d Seis

mic M

argin

s Ana

lysis”

whe

re 1.

67 *

GMRS

is us

ed as

a sc

reen

ing cr

iteria

. Co

mmen

t also

appli

es to

Sec

5.3.1

, p. 4

8, 1s

t par

agra

ph.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

“O

therw

ise 10

-6 gr

ound

moti

ons s

hould

be us

ed.”

shou

ld be

repla

ced

by “O

therw

ise da

m se

ismic

capa

city g

reate

r tha

n 1.67

*(10-

4 gro

und

Resp

onse

: Th

e 1e-

6 crite

ria ha

s bee

n rem

oved

. How

ever

, the

staff p

ositio

n tha

t ana

lysis

to sh

ow th

at 1e

-6 cr

iteria

is

met is

not s

tate o

f pra

ctice

infor

ms th

e pos

ition t

o re

quire

sunn

y-day

failu

re be

assu

med a

nd

cons

eque

nces

analy

zed.

Due t

o the

lack

of w

idely

acce

pted m

ethod

s for

es

timati

ng fa

ilure

prob

abilit

ies on

the o

rder

of 1e

-6

per y

ear,

this s

ectio

n has

been

revis

ed. T

he re

vised

ap

proa

ch fo

r pote

ntiall

y criti

cal/c

ritica

l dam

s is a

s fol

lows:

1)

PM

F for

hydr

ologic

failu

re

Page 22: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

22 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

motio

ns) s

hould

be de

mons

trated

.” Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s:

We u

nder

stand

that

the 10

-6 cr

iteria

will

be re

move

d.

2)

1e-4

haza

rd cu

rve fo

r seis

mic f

ailur

e 3)

As

sume

sunn

y day

failu

re

Actio

n:

This

secti

on ha

s bee

n rev

ised t

o refl

ect th

e app

roac

h ou

tlined

abov

e.

43

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

. 1.5.

3, p.

10

Com

men

t: St

aff P

ositio

n, 1s

t bull

et: “I

f a fe

dera

lly ow

ned d

am is

iden

tified

as

critic

al to

the flo

oding

rean

alysis

, the l

icens

ee sh

ould

conta

ct NR

C pr

omptl

y. NR

C wi

ll act

as th

e inte

rface

betw

een t

hese

agen

cies a

nd

licen

sees

. Mem

oran

da of

Agr

eeme

nt or

othe

r mec

hanis

ms ar

e bein

g de

velop

ed to

facil

itate

shar

ing of

data

(inclu

ding n

eces

sary

safeg

uard

s to

prote

ct se

nsitiv

e info

rmati

on) b

etwee

n NRC

and t

he ap

prop

riate

feder

al ag

encie

s.”

Conc

ern:

• I

f infor

matio

n fro

m a f

eder

al ag

ency

is co

nside

red c

lassif

ied, w

ould

this

infor

matio

n be l

imite

d to t

he go

vern

ment

agen

cies o

r wou

ld the

licen

see

be in

volve

d?

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Fo

llowi

ng th

e dev

elopm

ent o

f the M

emor

anda

of A

gree

ment,

inclu

de in

thi

s ISG

infor

matio

n reg

ardin

g how

to ha

ndle

requ

ests

for in

forma

tion

that m

ay be

cons

idere

d clas

sified

by a

feder

al ag

ency

. Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s:

We

unde

rsta

nd th

at a

Mem

oran

dum

of A

gree

men

t is u

nder

Resp

onse

: St

ill wo

rking

on th

e MOA

. How

ever

, the d

etails

on

the co

ntent

of the

MOA

is no

t the s

ubjec

t of th

is IS

G Ac

tion:

No

chan

ge to

text.

Page 23: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

23 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

deve

lopm

ent t

hat w

ill de

scrib

e ho

w inf

orm

ation

can

be co

mm

unica

ted

and

cont

rolle

d.

45

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

. 1.5.

3 / p

. 10

Com

men

t: St

aff P

ositio

n, 1s

t bull

et: “I

t is im

porta

nt to

note

that in

man

y cas

es

feder

al ag

encie

s tha

t own

or op

erate

dams

have

a co

nduc

ted de

tailed

fai

lure a

nalys

is. T

o the

exten

t thes

e ana

lyses

are a

pplic

able,

they

sh

ould

be us

ed in

the R

ecom

mend

ation

2.1 f

loodin

g rea

nalys

is.”

Conc

ern:

De

tails

of the

agen

cy’s

exist

ing da

m fai

lure a

nalys

es m

ay no

t be

prov

ided t

o the

licen

see o

r may

be co

nside

red c

lassif

ied. If

the f

ull

detai

ls of

the ag

ency

’s ex

isting

analy

ses a

re no

t ava

ilable

to th

e lic

ense

e, it m

ay no

t be p

ossib

le to

deter

mine

that

the an

alyse

s are

ap

plica

ble an

d mee

t the c

riteria

for t

he R

ecom

mend

ation

2.1 f

loodin

g re

analy

sis.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Cl

arify

whe

ther t

he on

us is

on th

e lice

nsee

or th

e fed

eral

agen

cy to

de

termi

ne th

at the

exist

ing da

m fai

lure a

nalys

es pe

rform

ed by

fede

ral

agen

cies a

re ap

plica

ble an

d mee

t the c

riteria

for t

he R

ecom

mend

ation

2.1

flood

ing re

analy

sis, in

the e

vent

that th

e deta

ils of

thes

e ana

lyses

ar

e not

prov

ided t

o the

licen

see.

Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s:

We

unde

rsta

nd th

at a

Mem

oran

dum

of A

gree

men

t is u

nder

de

velop

men

t tha

t will

desc

ribe

how

infor

mat

ion ca

n be

com

mun

icate

d an

d co

ntro

lled

Resp

onse

: St

ill wo

rking

on th

e MOA

, but

the de

tails

of the

MOA

ar

e bey

ond t

he sc

ope o

f this

ISG.

Ac

tion:

No

Cha

nge t

o tex

t.

46

Loca

tion:

Re

spon

se:

Page 24: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

24 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

[J. R

iley]

Sec 1

.5.3,

p. 10

Co

mm

ent:

Staff

Pos

ition,

1st b

ullet:

“In t

he ca

se of

dams

and l

evee

s own

ed or

op

erate

d by U

.S. fe

dera

l age

ncies

, the f

eder

al ag

ency

resp

onsib

le (o

wner

/oper

ator)

for th

e dam

shou

ld be

invo

lved i

n any

disc

ussio

ns,

includ

ing po

ssibl

y rev

iewing

any a

nalys

is pe

rform

ed.”

Conc

ern:

It i

s unc

lear if

this

poss

ible r

eview

is to

occu

r as p

art o

f the e

valua

tion o

r co

ncur

rentl

y with

NRC

revie

w. It

is no

ted th

at the

NRC

-man

dated

sc

hedu

le for

evalu

ation

s may

not p

ermi

t suc

h age

ncies

to pe

rform

a re

view

given

their

othe

r com

mitm

ents

and r

espo

nsibi

lities

. This

sta

temen

t wou

ld ap

pear

to im

ply su

ppor

t for u

sing p

revio

us an

alyse

s of

upstr

eam

struc

tures

that

have

been

revie

wed a

nd ac

cepte

d by t

he

feder

al ow

ner/o

pera

tors o

f suc

h stru

cture

s. FE

RC is

a fed

eral

agen

cy

which

does

not o

wn or

oper

ate da

ms, b

ut dir

ectly

regu

lates

dam

safet

y of

licen

sed h

ydro

powe

r dam

s.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Not

pro

vided

Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s: N

ot p

rovid

ed

The a

ction

s disc

usse

d her

e are

envis

ioned

as ta

king

place

durin

g the

evalu

ation

. Us

e of e

xistin

g stud

ies, a

s app

licab

le, is

envis

ioned

. Ac

tion:

No

chan

ge to

text.

47

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

1.5.3

, p. 1

0 Co

mm

ent:

Staff

Pos

ition,

3rd b

ullet:

“In m

ost c

ases

dams

and l

evee

s will

be ow

ned

and o

pera

ted by

priva

te en

tities

and r

egula

ted by

a sta

te ag

ency

. In th

is ca

se, th

e lice

nsee

shou

ld int

erac

t dire

ctly w

ith th

e own

er an

d reg

ulator

. Th

e lice

nsee

shou

ld no

tify N

RC if

they e

ncou

nter d

ifficu

lties i

n obta

ining

inf

orma

tion.

On a

case

-by-c

ase b

asis,

NRC

may

be ab

le to

prov

ide

some

assis

tance

in in

terfac

ing w

ith st

ate ag

encie

s.”

Resp

onse

: Th

e lice

nsee

shou

ld no

tify N

RC if

they e

ncou

nter

diffic

ulties

in ob

tainin

g info

rmati

on

Actio

n:

No ch

ange

to te

xt.

Page 25: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

25 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Conc

ern:

Ba

sed o

n exp

erien

ce, m

any d

am ow

ners

cons

ider d

am sa

fety-r

elated

inf

orma

tion t

o be h

ighly

sens

itive.

Diss

emina

tion o

f infor

matio

n rela

ted

to da

m fai

lure m

echa

nisms

, dam

stab

ility,

and h

ydra

ulic c

apac

ity is

lik

ely to

be re

strict

ed. F

ERC

has a

spec

ific de

signa

tion,

“CEI

I,” (C

ritica

l En

ergy

Infra

struc

ture I

nform

ation

) tha

t is ap

plied

to “s

ensit

ive”

infor

matio

n, the

reby

, labe

led as

non-

publi

c. Th

e NRC

shou

ld co

nside

r pr

oacti

vely

reac

hing o

ut to

state

dam

safet

y reg

ulator

y age

ncies

to

infor

m the

m of

forthc

oming

infor

matio

n req

uests

from

plan

t own

ers a

nd

to em

phas

ize th

e imp

ortan

ce of

this

infor

matio

n to s

uppo

rt the

se

evalu

ation

s. Th

ere c

an be

hund

reds

or ev

en th

ousa

nds o

f dam

s in t

he

water

shed

upstr

eam

of a n

uclea

r fac

ility;

there

fore,

direc

t inter

actio

n wi

th ea

ch ow

ner w

ould/

could

be co

st an

d tim

e pro

hibitiv

e.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Not

pro

vided

Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s: N

ot p

rovid

ed

48

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

. 2.2.

3, p.

20

Com

men

t: La

st bu

llet in

list: “

Inabil

ity to

war

n in a

dvan

ce…

” Co

ncer

n:

Unlik

e the

othe

r bull

ets in

the l

ist, th

is bu

llet s

eems

mor

e like

a co

nseq

uenc

e of fa

ilure

rathe

r tha

n a ca

usati

ve fa

ilure

mec

hanis

m,

exce

pt po

ssibl

y in t

he ca

se of

a ca

scad

ing fa

ilure

sequ

ence

, whic

h is

discu

ssed

in th

e nex

t sec

tion.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Su

gges

t dele

ting b

ullet,

or cl

arify

ing ho

w it m

ight a

pply

as a

failur

e me

chan

ism.

Resp

onse

: Op

erati

onal

failur

es an

d con

trolle

d rele

ases

are o

f co

ncer

n main

ly in

flood

ing sc

enar

ios.

Actio

n:

Disc

ussio

n of o

pera

tiona

l failu

res a

nd co

ntroll

ed

relea

ses m

oved

into

secti

on on

hydr

ologic

failu

res.

Page 26: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

26 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

It is u

nder

stood

that

the fa

ilure

mec

hanis

m is

asso

ciated

with

the f

ailur

e of

upstr

eam

dams

Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s:

We

unde

rsta

nd th

at th

e te

xt wi

ll be

mod

ified

to in

dicat

e th

e co

ncer

n wi

th

upstr

eam

dam

s and

to fo

cus o

n fa

ilure

s tha

t my r

esult

in in

abilit

y to

warn

in a

dvan

ce.

49

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

3.2,

p. 23

Co

mm

ent:

Why

was

500-

year

flood

data

selec

ted to

be us

ed fo

r ana

lyses

rathe

r tha

n 100

-year

data?

Co

ncer

n:

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Not

pro

vided

Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s: N

ot p

rovid

ed

Resp

onse

: Th

e 500

-year

flood

was

selec

ted to

cons

erva

tively

ac

coun

t for a

ntece

dent

cond

itions

. Ac

tion:

No

chan

ge te

xt.

50

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

. 3.2,

p. 2

4 Co

mm

ent:

Item

4: “H

ydro

logic

Mode

l Meth

od (s

ee F

igure

13):

Use a

n ava

ilable

ra

infall

-runo

ff-ro

uting

softw

are p

acka

ge (e

.g. H

EC-H

MS) t

o ass

ess d

am

failur

e sce

nario

s.”

Conc

ern:

Ca

n HEC

-1 be

used

as th

e hyd

rolog

ical m

odel

metho

d?

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Not

pro

vided

Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s: N

ot p

rovid

ed

Resp

onse

: Ch

oice o

f mod

eling

pack

age i

s up t

o lice

nsee

. The

NR

C do

es no

t end

orse

spec

ific m

odeli

ng so

ftwar

e pa

ckag

es.

Actio

n:

No ch

ange

to te

xt.

51

Loca

tion:

Sec

3.2.1

, p. 2

8 Re

spon

se:

Page 27: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

27 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

[J. R

iley]

Com

men

t: 2n

d par

a. : “

Topo

grap

hic in

forma

tion f

rom

LiDAR

or a

DEM

at the

loc

ation

of th

e hyp

otheti

cal d

am is

used

to de

velop

a sta

ge-st

orag

e fun

ction

for t

he hy

pothe

tical

dam.

This

stag

e stor

age f

uncti

on is

used

to

deter

mine

the w

ater s

urfac

e elev

ation

of th

e hyp

otheti

cal d

am.”

Co

ncer

n:

Grou

ping a

larg

e num

ber o

f dam

s tog

ether

wou

ld re

sult i

n an

unre

alisti

cally

larg

e res

ervo

ir volu

me. A

pplyi

ng ac

tual to

pogr

aphic

inf

orma

tion t

o dev

elop a

stag

e-sto

rage

func

tion f

or su

ch a

rese

rvoir m

ay

resu

lt in v

ery l

arge

wate

r sur

face e

levati

ons a

nd, th

us, v

ery l

arge

hy

drau

lic he

ad. T

he IS

G sh

ould

ackn

owled

ge (s

imila

r to t

he w

ordin

g in

the th

ird pa

ragr

aph)

that

the hy

pothe

tical

dam

shou

ld be

repr

esen

tative

of

the co

llecti

ve da

m he

ights

of the

indiv

idual

struc

tures

it re

pres

ents,

wh

ile si

multa

neou

sly re

pres

entin

g an a

ppro

priat

ely co

nser

vativ

e sc

enar

io thr

ough

the a

pplic

ation

of a

hypo

thetic

al co

llecti

ve st

orag

e vo

lume.

In

addit

ion, s

electi

ng br

each

deve

lopme

nt pa

rame

ters,

such

as br

each

de

velop

ment

time,

requ

ire en

ginee

ring j

udgm

ent in

cons

idera

tion o

f the

fact th

at the

dam

in qu

estio

n is h

ypoth

etica

l and

not a

n actu

al str

uctur

e. Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n: N

ot p

rovid

ed

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

Not

pro

vided

The I

SG st

ates i

n the

third

para

grap

h tha

t clus

tering

of

dams

shou

ld ma

ke hy

drolo

gic se

nse.

Th

e poin

t is th

at wa

ter vo

lumes

shou

ld be

co

nser

ved,

not h

eights

of da

ms. I

f the D

EM is

not

used

to de

velop

a sta

ge-st

orag

e cur

ve, th

e stag

e-sto

rage

curve

for t

he hy

pothe

tical

dam

may b

e de

rived

by su

mming

the s

tage-

stora

ge cu

rves o

f the

indivi

dual

dams

. The

heigh

t of th

e hyp

otheti

cal d

am

deve

loped

in th

is ma

nner

will

be eq

ual to

the h

eight

of the

talle

st ac

tual d

am.

Brea

ch m

odels

cons

isten

t with

the s

creen

ing le

vel

analy

sis in

this

secti

on sh

ould

requ

ire on

ly ba

sic

infor

matio

n (he

ight o

f dam

and p

erha

ps re

servo

ir vo

lume)

. Mor

e deta

iled b

reac

h mod

els w

ould

not b

e ap

prop

riate

for th

e scre

ening

analy

sis.

Actio

n:

Para

grap

h add

ed to

desc

ribe a

ltern

ative

appr

oach

: A

s an

alte

rnat

ive

(if a D

EM is

not u

sed t

o dev

elop a

sta

ge-st

orag

e cur

ve),

the st

age-

stora

ge cu

rve fo

r the

hy

pothe

tical

dam

may b

e der

ived b

y sum

ming

the

stage

-stor

age c

urve

s of th

e ind

ividu

al da

ms. T

he

heigh

t of th

e hyp

otheti

cal d

am de

velop

ed in

this

mann

er w

ill be

equa

l to th

e heig

ht of

the ta

llest

actua

l dam

. The

actua

l elev

ation

of da

m wo

uld be

de

rived

from

the D

EM.

Page 28: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

28 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

No ch

ange

to te

xt.

52

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

4.2

.2.3

, p. 3

4 Co

mm

ent:

Staff

Pos

ition,

2nd b

ullet:

“…at

least

one t

urbin

e sho

uld al

ways

be

assu

med t

o be d

own (

e.g., f

or m

ainten

ance

or ot

her r

easo

ns) in

pe

rform

ing flo

od ro

uting

s.”

Conc

ern:

Da

m op

erato

rs typ

ically

perfo

rm th

eir m

ainten

ance

activ

ities o

utside

of

the flo

od se

ason

. Ass

umpti

on th

at on

e unit

is ou

t of s

ervic

e is

exce

ssive

. • O

verly

cons

erva

tive a

ssum

ption

Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n:

• Ass

ume a

ll unit

s are

usab

le, us

e full

powe

r plan

t disc

harg

e cap

acity

. • I

n lar

ge riv

er sy

stems

with

mult

iple g

ener

ating

dams

does

each

ge

nera

ting d

am ha

ve to

cons

ider o

ne tu

rbine

out o

f ser

vice?

. Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s:

We u

nder

stand

that

the do

cume

nt ma

y be r

evise

d to a

llow

for

justifi

catio

n of tu

rbine

avail

abilit

y in l

arge

river

syste

ms w

ith m

ultipl

e ge

nera

ting d

ams.

Resp

onse

: W

ith re

gard

to cr

editin

g rele

ase c

apac

ity th

roug

h ap

purte

nanc

es ot

her t

han t

he sp

illway

(e.g.

, outl

ets,

turbin

es),

exist

ing fe

dera

l guid

ance

is no

t con

sisten

t. Fo

r exa

mple,

USA

CE en

ginee

ring m

anua

l EM

1110

-2-

1603

, “Hy

drau

lic D

esign

of S

pillw

ays”

states

that

a po

werh

ouse

shou

ld no

t be c

onsid

ered

as a

relia

ble

disch

arge

facil

ity w

hen c

onsid

ering

the s

afe

conv

eyan

ce of

the s

pillw

ay. C

onve

rsely,

FER

C En

ginee

ring G

uideli

nes f

or th

e Eva

luatio

n of

Hydr

opow

er P

rojec

ts sta

tes th

at tho

se re

lease

fac

ilities

whic

h can

be ex

pecte

d to o

pera

te re

liably

un

der t

he as

sume

d floo

d con

dition

can b

e cre

dited

for

flood

routi

ng. U

SBR

best

prac

tice g

uideli

nes

(USB

R 20

11) s

ugge

st tha

t at le

ast o

ne tu

rbine

sh

ould

alway

s be a

ssum

ed to

be do

wn (e

.g. fo

r ma

inten

ance

or ot

her r

easo

ns) in

perfo

rming

flood

ro

uting

. St

aff P

ositi

ons:

Relea

se ca

pacit

y thr

ough

appu

rtena

nces

oth

er th

an th

e spil

lway

(e.g.

, outl

ets,

turbin

es) m

ay be

cred

ited a

s par

t of th

e tota

l av

ailab

le re

lease

capa

city,

with

appr

opria

te en

ginee

ring j

ustifi

catio

n tha

t thes

e ap

purte

nanc

es w

ill be

avail

able

and r

emain

op

erati

onal

durin

g a flo

od ev

ent.

Acce

ss to

the

site

durin

g a flo

od ev

ent s

hould

be

Page 29: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

29 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

cons

idere

d.

• Th

e gen

erato

rs an

d tra

nsmi

ssion

facil

ities t

o su

ppor

t the c

redit

ed tu

rbine

(s) m

ust b

e sh

own t

o be o

pera

tiona

l und

er co

ncur

rent

flood

and e

xpec

ted pr

evail

ing w

eathe

r co

nditio

ns if

the tu

rbine

s are

cred

ited a

s par

t of

the to

tal av

ailab

le re

lease

capa

city.

Ac

tion:

IS

G re

vised

to in

clude

the t

ext a

bove

,

53

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

4.2.2

.3, p

. 34

Com

men

t: “T

he po

tentia

l for f

lood-

born

e deb

ris to

redu

ce sp

illway

capa

city s

hould

be

cons

idere

d.”

Conc

ern:

Th

e crite

ria fo

r con

sider

ing po

tentia

l deb

ris bl

ocka

ge at

a sp

illway

are

not c

lear.

If a sp

illway

is ga

ted w

ith 40

-foot

wide

gates

, are

ther

e crite

ria

for ho

w mu

ch bl

ocka

ge sh

ould

be co

nside

red o

r how

the s

pillw

ay

capa

city m

ay be

redu

ced b

y floo

d-bo

rne d

ebris

? • “

This

statem

ent n

eeds

a re

feren

ce.”

Could

not fi

nd th

e sou

rce

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

If d

ebris

bloc

kage

is co

nside

red a

s a po

tentia

l vuln

erab

ility o

f a sp

illway

, cla

rify cr

iteria

rega

rding

spillw

ay ca

pacit

y red

uctio

n. Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s:

Resp

onse

: Th

e disc

ussio

n of s

pillw

ay bl

ocka

ge ha

s bee

n ex

tende

d to p

rovid

e add

itiona

l guid

ance

. Hist

orica

l inf

orma

tion a

nd de

bris

studie

s are

prop

osed

as th

e be

st so

urce

s of in

forma

tion.

Guida

nce f

or sp

illway

ca

pacit

y red

uctio

n is p

rovid

ed fo

r dam

s with

debr

is ma

nage

ment.

Ac

tion:

Mo

re de

tailed

staff

posit

ions o

n spil

lway

bloc

kage

ha

ve be

en ad

ded t

o this

secti

on:

• Th

e po

tentia

l for

flo

od-b

orne

de

bris

to re

duce

sp

illwa y

ca

pacit

y sh

ould

be

cons

idere

d. H

istor

ical in

forma

tion

on d

ebris

pr

oduc

tion

in the

wa

tersh

ed

or

simila

r wa

tersh

eds

shou

ld be

use

d to

asse

ss th

e po

tentia

l deb

ris vo

lumes

. •

For d

ams

that h

ave

debr

is ma

nage

ment,

a

Page 30: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

30 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

We u

nder

stand

that

this a

dditio

nal g

uidan

ce is

being

deve

loped

. se

nsitiv

ity

study

as

sumi

ng

a 5-

10%

re

ducti

on in

cap

acity

sho

uld b

e pe

rform

ed.

Desc

ribe

struc

tures

, eq

uipme

nt an

d pr

oced

ures

us

ed

to pr

even

t sp

illway

blo

ckag

e by w

aterb

orne

debr

is.

• Fo

r da

ms t

hat

lack

debr

is ma

nage

ment

grea

ter

capa

city

redu

ction

s sh

ould

be

cons

idere

d.

The

appr

opria

te ca

pacit

y re

ducti

on w

ill va

ry on

a c

ase-

by-ca

se b

asis.

Ju

stific

ation

for t

he re

ducti

on us

ed sh

ould

be

prov

ided

(e.g.

, de

bris

studie

s for

the

wa

tersh

ed or

simi

lar w

atersh

eds).

54

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

4.2.

6, p

38

Com

men

t: St

aff P

ositio

n: As

writt

en, th

e guid

ance

is am

biguo

us as

to th

e ev

aluati

on(s)

that

shou

ld be

cond

ucted

for g

ate fa

ilure

. Fur

ther,

it doe

s no

t add

ress

gate

failur

e for

mult

iple u

pstre

am da

ms.

Conc

ern:

Th

ere a

re in

finite

perm

utatio

ns fo

r fail

ure o

f gate

s give

n the

infor

matio

n pr

ovide

d. Th

e sec

ond s

taff p

ositio

n is i

ncom

plete

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Cl

arify

the g

uidan

ce fo

r gate

failu

re.

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

W

e und

ersta

nd th

at thi

s add

itiona

l guid

ance

is be

ing de

velop

ed.

Resp

onse

: Di

fficult

to pr

ovide

detai

led gu

idanc

e on g

ate fa

ilure

du

e to w

ide va

riety

of ga

te typ

es. T

he co

ncer

n her

e is

that r

easo

nable

allow

ance

shou

ld be

mad

e for

po

tentia

l failu

res.

If a ga

te fai

lure c

an be

hand

led

(e.g.

, free

boar

d still

adeq

uate)

, goo

d. If a

ll gate

s av

ailab

le re

quire

d to a

void

over

toppin

g (i.e

., ev

eryth

ing ne

eds t

o wor

k per

fectly

), the

n the

re

shou

ld be

some

conc

ern.

Fuse

plug

s are

gene

rally

cons

idere

d to b

e reli

able,

bu

t ther

e is s

ome i

nher

ent u

ncer

tainty

abou

t the

exac

t dep

th an

d dur

ation

of ov

ertop

ping n

eede

d to

initia

te br

each

. The

re is

also

unce

rtaint

y abo

ut the

ex

act r

ate of

brea

ch de

velop

ment.

Und

ersta

nding

the

mag

nitud

e of th

ese u

ncer

tainti

es is

impo

rtant

beca

use d

elaye

d ope

ratio

n of th

e fus

e plug

to le

ad to

fai

lure o

f the d

am.

Page 31: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

31 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Staff

posit

ion:

• W

ith re

gard

to fu

se pl

ugs,

one s

hould

show

tha

t floo

d rou

tings

are n

ot se

nsitiv

e to t

he

depth

and d

urati

on of

over

toppin

g nee

ded t

o ini

tiate

brea

ch so

that

delay

ed op

erati

on

does

not le

ad to

failu

re of

a ma

in da

m.

Actio

n:

Text

adde

d for

fuse

plug

s

55

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

4.2.7

.1, p

38

Com

men

t: St

aff P

ositio

n: Th

e pote

ntial

for ba

sin to

gene

rate

mud/d

ebris

flows

shou

ld be

co

nside

red.

Conc

ern:

W

hat is

the s

ignific

ance

and c

once

rn w

ith m

ud/de

bris

as it

relat

es to

da

m fai

lure a

nalys

is or

impa

ct to

the re

servo

ir? A

re ba

sin sp

ecific

stu

dies b

eing r

ecom

mend

ed or

requ

ired?

Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n:

The p

urpo

se an

alyzin

g mud

/debr

is ne

eds t

o be d

escri

bed i

nclud

ing th

e ha

zard

/risk a

ssoc

iated

with

mud

flows

. Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s:

We u

nder

stand

that

this s

ectio

n may

be de

leted

or m

odifie

d to a

ddre

ss

debr

is an

d sed

imen

t, not

mud.

Resp

onse

: Mu

d flow

s rem

oved

. Ac

tion:

Se

ction

mod

ified t

o add

ress

debr

is an

d sed

imen

t.

56

Loca

tion:

4.2.

7.2,

p 3

9 Re

spon

se:

Page 32: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

32 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

[J. R

iley]

Com

men

t: St

aff P

ositio

n: Im

pact

loads

on st

ructu

res d

ue to

wate

rbor

ne de

bris

shou

ld be

co

nside

red.

In ge

nera

l, meth

ods o

utline

s in t

he F

EMA

Coas

tal

Cons

tructi

on M

anua

l and

aver

age s

ize/w

eight

for ob

jects

spec

ified i

n AS

CE S

tanda

rds a

re ac

cepta

ble

Conc

ern:

W

hat s

tructu

res n

eed t

o be e

valua

ted fo

r impa

ct loa

ds fo

r the

HRR

ve

rsus t

he IA

? Doe

s this

apply

only

to the

dams

and a

ppur

tenan

ces?

If thi

s ana

lysis

is int

ende

d for

the N

PP si

te, di

scre

te ve

locitie

s will

be

requ

ired a

t eac

h stru

cture

being

evalu

ated.

The d

ebris

sour

ces a

long

with

the si

ze an

d dep

th of

the flo

od w

ill de

termi

ne th

e volu

me

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Cl

arify

posit

ion on

the c

ondit

ions b

eing u

sed t

o gen

erate

the d

ebris

(P

MF or

dam

failur

e, etc

) and

whe

re im

pact

loads

mus

t be e

valua

ted. If

IA

assu

mes a

ll floo

ded S

SC’s

are l

ost, w

ould

debr

is dy

nami

c loa

d an

alysis

wou

ld no

t be r

equir

ed, o

r is it

only

inten

ded t

o dete

rmine

if flo

od re

tainin

g stru

cture

s sur

vive t

he de

bris

impa

cts?

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

W

e und

ersta

nd th

at the

follo

wing

two s

taff p

ositio

ns w

ill be

adde

d to

addr

ess t

his ite

m:

• Loa

ds du

e to w

aterb

orne

debr

is ca

rried

by flo

od w

aters

shou

ld be

co

nside

red w

ith re

gard

to im

pacts

on th

e dam

(i.e.,

gates

and

asso

ciated

mec

hanic

al eq

uipme

nt, ap

purte

nanc

es, p

arap

ets, e

tc.).

• In t

he ca

se of

dam

brea

k floo

d wav

es, d

ebris

impa

cts to

SSC

s im

porta

nt to

safet

y sho

uld be

cons

idere

d.

Poten

tial fo

r wate

rbor

ne de

bris

impa

cts to

dama

ge

emba

nkme

nt or

key a

ppur

tenan

ces s

hould

be

cons

idere

d. In

the ev

ent th

at the

dam

fails,

wate

r bor

ne de

bris

impa

cts sh

ould

be co

nside

red f

or S

SCs i

mpor

tant to

sa

fety.

Actio

n:

No ch

ange

to te

xt.

Page 33: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

33 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Note

that w

e beli

eve t

hat th

e sec

ond o

f the a

bove

bulle

ts sh

ould

be

chan

ged a

s foll

ows t

o pro

vided

addit

ional

clarifi

catio

n: “…

loads

due t

o de

bris

impa

ct …

shou

ld be

deter

mine

d.”

57

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

5.2

.1, p

. 46

Com

men

t: 3r

d par

a. : “

This

type o

f cra

cking

even

tually

lead

s to i

solat

ed bl

ocks

wi

thin t

he da

m tha

t sub

sequ

ently

rotat

e and

swing

down

strea

m or

do

wnstr

eam,

relea

sing t

he re

servo

ir.”

Conc

ern:

Pl

ease

rewo

rd th

is se

ntenc

e to c

larify

the i

ntent.

Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n: N

ot p

rovid

ed

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

Not

pro

vided

Resp

onse

: Th

e inte

nt is

to de

scrib

e the

conv

entio

nal w

isdom

ab

out h

ow ar

ch da

ms m

ay fa

il in s

eismi

c eve

nt. T

his

infor

matio

n cou

ld be

used

to m

odel

brea

ch, if

ne

eded

. Ac

tion:

No

chan

ge to

text.

58

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

5.2.

4, p

48

Com

men

t: St

aff po

sition

for le

vee f

ailur

e dur

ing a

seism

ic ev

ent -

assu

mptio

n of

startin

g wate

r leve

l is no

t indic

ated

Conc

ern:

Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n:

Star

ting w

ater le

vel s

hould

be co

nsist

ent w

ith th

at as

sume

d for

a se

ismic

dam

failur

e eva

luatio

n Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s: N

ot p

rovid

ed

Resp

onse

: Th

e mod

ified a

ppro

ach t

o seis

mic f

ailur

es st

ates t

hat

the 50

0 yea

r floo

d sho

uld be

used

whe

n the

dam

fails

unde

r ½ of

the 1

e-4 s

eismi

c haz

ard.

So,

when

da

m fai

lure i

s ass

umed

w/o

any s

eismi

c ana

lysis,

the

500-

year

flood

cond

ition s

hould

be us

ed.

Actio

n:

Text

in se

ction

mod

ified t

o add

staff

posit

ion

Staf

f Pos

ition

:

If seis

mic f

ailur

e is s

imply

assu

med w

ithou

t ana

lysis,

the

seism

ic fai

lure s

hould

be as

sume

d to o

ccur

un

der 5

00-ye

ar flo

od co

nditio

ns.

Page 34: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

34 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

59

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

.5.6,

p. 5

5 Co

mm

ent:

Staff

Pos

ition,

1st b

ullet:

“Dam

failu

re du

e to a

n ear

thqua

ke sh

ould

be

cons

idere

d for

both

maxim

um no

rmal

oper

ating

(“ful

l poo

l”) an

d ave

rage

re

servo

ir lev

els.”

Conc

ern:

• T

he “m

axim

um fu

ll poo

l leve

l” gen

erall

y cor

resp

onds

to a

10%

/year

fre

quen

cy. T

hus,

the jo

int ev

ent fa

ilure

prob

abilit

y con

sider

ing th

e ma

ximum

norm

al op

erati

ng fu

ll poo

l leve

l is co

nser

vativ

e by a

n ord

er of

ma

gnitu

de.

• Hea

d wate

r/tail

wate

r rela

tions

hip pr

escri

bed i

s not

poss

ible f

or

multip

le re

servo

irs be

ing si

mulat

ed in

a co

ntinu

ous h

ydra

ulic m

odel

for

casc

ading

dam

failur

es.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

• S

ugge

sted c

hang

e: “D

am an

alysis

to sh

ow su

fficien

t mar

gin fo

r 10-

4 gro

und

motio

ns sh

ould

cons

ider m

edian

(or a

vera

ge) r

eser

voir l

evels

. Max

imum

oper

ating

full

pool

level

(10 p

erce

ntile)

shou

ld be

cons

idere

d with

10-3

grou

nd m

otion

s.”

• Rev

ise gu

idanc

e for

the h

ead w

ater/t

ail w

ater r

elatio

nship

as ap

plied

to

casc

ading

dam

failur

es

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

Not

pro

vided

Resp

onse

: Us

e max

imum

norm

al po

ol ele

vatio

n (i.e

. top

of

activ

e stor

age p

ool).

Othe

r star

ting w

ater s

urfac

e ele

vatio

ns m

ay be

used

, with

appr

opria

te jus

tifica

tion.

Justi

ficati

on sh

ould

be ba

sed o

n op

erati

ng ru

les an

d ope

ratin

g hist

ory o

f the

re

servo

ir.

Use h

ydro

dyna

mica

lly co

nsist

ent h

eadw

ater/t

ailwa

ter

relat

ions f

or ro

uting

. But

favor

able

head

water

/tailw

ater r

elatio

ns sh

ould

not b

e ass

umed

in

the se

ismic

capa

city a

nalys

is Ac

tion:

St

aff po

sition

s mod

ified t

o clar

ify w

ater s

urfac

e ele

vatio

n and

head

water

/tailw

ater p

ositio

ns.

60

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

. 5.6

, p. 5

5 Co

mm

ent:

“Give

n the

haza

rd fr

eque

ncy t

arge

t of 1

x10-

6 disc

usse

d in S

ectio

n 1.4

.2, th

e dam

failu

re flo

od w

ave a

t the s

ite sh

ould

be co

mbine

d with

flo

ws of

a fre

quen

cy th

at re

sult i

n a co

mbine

d ann

ual p

roba

bility

of

1x10

-6. F

or ex

ample

, if th

e dam

fails

unde

r a 10

-4 gr

ound

moti

on,

Resp

onse

: Un

derst

andin

g is c

orre

ct. IS

G wi

ll rev

ert to

mod

ified

ANS-

2.8 ap

proa

ch in

whic

h SSE

is re

place

d by 1

e-4

seism

ic ha

zard

and O

BE is

repla

ced b

y half

of th

e 1e

-4 ha

zard

.

Page 35: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

35 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

comb

ine th

e dam

brea

k floo

d wav

e with

a 10

0-ye

ar flo

od. If

the d

am

fails

unde

r a 10

-3 gr

ound

moti

on, c

ombin

e the

dam

brea

k floo

d wav

e it

with

a 100

0-ye

ar flo

od.”

Conc

ern:

• I

n the

exam

ple, th

e com

bined

even

t pro

babil

ity do

es no

t rea

sona

bly

acco

unt fo

r the

fact

that th

e 100

0-ye

ar flo

od is

a se

ason

al ev

ent a

nd th

e ma

ximum

flood

wate

r leve

l at th

e plan

t site

for t

he 10

00-ye

ar riv

er flo

od

is pr

esen

t for a

limite

d par

t of th

e yea

r only

. The

earth

quak

e gro

und

motio

n (an

d the

resu

lting f

lood w

ave)

and t

he 10

00-ye

ar flo

od ar

e ind

epen

dent

even

ts. T

hus,

the jo

int pr

obab

ility o

f occ

urre

nce o

f the

comb

ine ev

ent s

hould

cons

ider t

he lim

ited d

urati

on of

the m

axim

um

flood

leve

l for a

1000

-year

flood

. • T

he co

mbini

ng of

an ea

rthqu

ake a

nd

a floo

d by s

imply

mult

iplyin

g the

ir ann

ual p

roba

bilitie

s of o

ccur

renc

e do

es no

t allo

w for

the v

ery s

mall d

urati

on w

ithin

a yea

r for

the

earth

quak

e to c

oincid

e with

a lon

ger b

ut sti

ll only

a fai

rly sm

all fr

actio

n of

a yea

r for

the d

urati

on of

mos

t floo

ds.

• This

para

grap

h is c

hang

ed fr

om pr

eviou

sly ex

pres

sed N

RC po

sition

s as

disc

uss i

n pub

lic m

eetin

gs

• Wha

t com

binati

on sh

ould

be ap

plied

if se

ismic

failur

e is j

ust a

ssum

ed?

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

• S

ugge

sted c

hang

e: “F

or ex

ample

, if th

e dam

fails

unde

r a 10

-4 gr

ound

mo

tion,

comb

ine th

e dam

brea

k floo

d wav

e with

a 10

-year

flood

. If th

e da

m fai

ls un

der a

10-3

grou

nd m

otion

, com

bine t

he da

m br

eak f

lood

wave

with

a 10

0-ye

ar flo

od. T

his ex

ample

assu

mes t

hat th

e high

flood

lev

el at

the pl

ant s

ite fo

r the

10-ye

ar an

d 100

-year

flood

s will

last

appr

oxim

ately

1-mo

nth (1

0% of

one y

ear)

or le

ss be

fore r

eced

ing.”

• See

meth

odolo

gy in

: Eve

nt Co

mbina

tion A

nalys

is for

Des

ign an

d Re

habil

itatio

n of U

.S. A

rmy C

orps

of E

ngine

ers N

aviga

tion S

tructu

res

Actio

n:

Text

modif

ied to

follo

w the

mod

ified A

NS-2

.8 ap

proa

ch.

Page 36: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

36 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

by B

ruce

R. E

llingw

ood,

Contr

act R

epor

t ITL-

95-2

, July

1995

, US

Army

Co

rps o

f Eng

ineer

s, W

aterw

ays E

xper

imen

t Stat

ion

• Use

even

t com

binati

ons a

s pre

vious

ly de

scrib

ed in

publi

c mee

tings

: 1.

seism

ic ha

zard

freq

uenc

y tar

get o

f 1x1

0-4 w

ith 25

year

flood

, 2. 0

.5 x

seism

ic ha

zard

freq

uenc

y tar

get o

f 1x1

0-4 w

ith 50

0 yea

r floo

d. Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s:

We u

nder

stand

that

the A

NS 2.

8 seis

mic a

nd flo

oding

even

t co

mbina

tions

(mod

ified w

ith 10

-4 gr

ound

moti

on) w

ill be

used

in th

e fin

al ve

rsion

of th

e ISG

. i.e.,

• 1

0-4 g

roun

d moti

on w

ith 25

year

flood

(Alt 1

), • ½

of 10

-4 gr

ound

moti

on w

ith ½

-PMF

or 50

0 yea

r floo

d, wh

ichev

er is

les

s (Al

t 2)

60

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

. 6.1.

3 / p

. 67

Com

men

t: Ge

nera

l com

ment:

It is

uncle

ar w

hethe

r the

sunn

y day

failu

re

mech

anism

is ap

plica

ble to

leve

es, s

ince l

evee

s are

norm

ally s

ubjec

t to

water

load

ing on

ly du

ring f

loodin

g eve

nts.

Conc

ern:

It i

s rec

ogniz

ed th

at lev

ee fa

ilure

shou

ld be

assu

med i

f the l

evee

is

over

toppe

d. Le

vee f

ailur

e at e

levati

ons l

ess t

han o

verto

pping

shou

ld be

inv

estig

ated;

howe

ver,

it is d

ebata

ble w

hethe

r the

se co

nditio

ns ca

n be

cons

idere

d “su

nny d

ay.”

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Su

gges

t con

sider

ation

be gi

ven t

o rem

oving

leve

es fr

om th

e sun

ny da

y fai

lure m

echa

nism

secti

on, a

nd ad

ding t

he in

forma

tion a

bout

levee

Resp

onse

: Su

nny-d

ay fa

ilure

of le

vee i

s not

very

likely

to re

sult

in flo

oding

. Ac

tion:

Su

nny-d

ay fa

ilure

of le

vees

remo

ved f

rom

ISG

Page 37: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

37 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

failur

es in

clude

d her

e to t

he hy

drolo

gic fa

ilure

mec

hanis

m, w

ith

addit

ional

infor

matio

n as n

eede

d.

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

Th

e guid

ance

on le

vees

was

mov

ed fr

om th

is se

ction

but th

e hea

ding

for th

e 6.1.

3 still

need

s to b

e dele

ted.

61

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

6.2,

p 6

8 Co

mm

ent:

“Sun

ny da

y fail

ure m

ay be

exclu

ded f

rom

furthe

r con

sider

ation

if it c

an

be sh

own b

y the

licen

see t

hat th

e pro

babil

ity of

failu

re is

10-6

per y

ear

or le

ss. T

he 10

-6 va

lue is

chos

en si

nce t

here

is no

t suff

icien

t data

to

allow

for a

ccur

ate ca

lculat

ions o

f this

even

t. Rea

sona

ble ar

gume

nts

justify

ing th

e cas

e for

a low

er fa

ilure

prob

abilit

y inc

lude b

ut ar

e not

limite

d to a

recu

rring

dam

inspe

ction

and m

onito

ring p

rogr

am, e

xper

t as

sess

ments

that

the da

m is

in go

od co

nditio

n, an

d deta

iled i

nspe

ction

re

ports

.” Co

ncer

n:

Wha

t meth

odolo

gy fo

r esti

matin

g a pr

obab

ility o

f failu

re is

10-6

per y

ear

or le

ss w

ould

be ac

cepta

ble to

the N

RC fo

r sun

ny-d

ay fa

ilure

inclu

ding

piping

or in

terna

l ero

sion f

ailur

es.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s:

We u

nder

stand

that

a pro

babil

istic

appr

oach

to su

nny d

ay da

m fai

lure

exclu

sion w

ill no

t be i

nclud

ed in

the d

ocum

ent. S

unny

day f

ailur

es w

ill ne

ed to

be co

nside

red f

or al

l criti

cal d

ams a

ssum

ing th

e dam

s with

stand

hy

drolo

gic ev

ent

Resp

onse

: Cu

rrent

staff p

ositio

n is t

hat s

unny

-day

failu

res o

f cri

tical

dams

shou

ld be

postu

lated

and

cons

eque

nces

analy

zed.

Actio

n:

ISG

modif

ied to

remo

ve pr

obab

ilistic

analy

sis fo

r su

nny-d

ay fa

ilure

s.

Page 38: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

38 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

62

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

. 6.2.

1 / p

. 68

Com

men

t: St

aff P

ositio

n bull

et: “R

easo

nable

argu

ments

justi

fying

the c

ase f

or a

lower

failu

re pr

obab

ility i

nclud

e but

are n

ot lim

ited t

o…”

Conc

ern:

It i

s unc

lear w

hat “

lower

failu

re pr

obab

ility”

mean

s in t

his co

ntext.

Doe

s it m

ean l

ower

than

10-6

failu

re pr

obab

ility?

Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n:

Addit

ional

desc

riptio

n of h

ow to

apply

prob

abilit

y to t

he su

nny d

ay

failur

e mec

hanis

m an

d pos

sible

pathw

ays t

o tak

e cre

dit fo

r non

-failu

re

would

be he

lpful.

Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s:

We u

nder

stand

that

a pro

babil

istic

appr

oach

to su

nny d

ay da

m fai

lure

exclu

sion w

ill no

t be i

nclud

ed in

the d

ocum

ent.

Resp

onse

: Cu

rrent

staff p

ositio

n is t

hat s

unny

-day

failu

res o

f cri

tical

dams

shou

ld be

postu

lated

and

cons

eque

nces

analy

zed.

Actio

n:

ISG

modif

ied to

remo

ve pr

obab

ilistic

analy

sis fo

r su

nny-d

ay fa

ilure

s.

63

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

. 6.2

.1 /

p. 6

8 Co

mm

ent:

The S

taff P

ositio

n stat

es th

at re

ason

able

argu

ments

for a

lowe

r tha

n 10-

6 per

year

risk o

f sun

ny da

y fail

ure c

an be

mad

e usin

g the

exist

ence

of

recu

rring

dam

inspe

ction

, mon

itorin

g pro

gram

, exp

ert a

sses

smen

ts tha

t the

dam

is in

good

cond

ition a

nd de

tailed

insp

ectio

n rep

orts.

Co

ncer

n:

Fede

ral a

genc

y dam

owne

rs ge

nera

lly ha

ve al

l of th

is inf

orma

tion a

t ha

nd. U

tilitie

s wou

ld ha

ve to

requ

est th

is da

ta fro

m the

Fed

eral

agen

cy

dam

owne

rs.

Resp

onse

: Cu

rrent

staff p

ositio

n is t

hat s

unny

-day

failu

res o

f cri

tical

dams

shou

ld be

postu

lated

and

cons

eque

nces

analy

zed.

Actio

n:

ISG

modif

ied to

remo

ve pr

obab

ilistic

analy

sis fo

r su

nny-d

ay fa

ilure

s.

Page 39: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

39 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Pr

opos

e tha

t the N

RC as

k the

fede

ral a

genc

y dam

owne

rs to

agre

e via

an M

OU to

prov

ide th

is da

ta to

certif

y tha

t their

dams

need

not b

e an

alyze

d in d

etail f

or a

sunn

y day

failu

re.

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

Not

pro

vided

W

e und

ersta

nd th

at a p

roba

bilist

ic ap

proa

ch to

sunn

y day

dam

failur

e ex

clusio

n will

not b

e inc

luded

in th

e doc

umen

t

64

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

6.2.2

/ p. 6

8 Co

mm

ent:

The S

taff P

ositio

n to u

se th

e max

imum

obse

rved o

r max

imum

norm

al po

ol ele

vatio

n for

the s

unny

day b

reac

h ana

lysis

is ex

cess

ive.

Conc

ern:

• “

the m

axim

um ob

serve

d poo

l elev

ation

” may

be a

very

extre

me ev

ent

and n

ot re

flect

sunn

y day

cond

itions

, whic

h if c

onsid

ered

in co

njunc

tion

with

runo

ff fro

m a P

MP co

uld re

sult i

n an u

nrea

sona

ble pr

edict

ed

maxim

um po

ol ele

vatio

n. Su

ch an

extre

me hi

storic

al ev

ent m

ay ha

ve a

very

low fr

eque

ncy a

nd sh

ort d

urati

on re

lative

to hi

storic

al op

erati

on

depe

nding

on th

e rive

rine s

ystem

and t

he up

strea

m wa

tersh

ed.

• The

impli

catio

n of th

e ter

m “su

nny d

ay” is

that

it occ

urs d

uring

non-

flood

cond

itions

. Use

of th

e max

imum

obse

rved p

ool li

nks i

t to th

e infl

ow

of re

cord

for t

he da

m.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

• T

he de

fault s

tartin

g wate

r sur

face e

levati

on us

ed in

flood

routi

ngs f

or

evalu

ation

of ov

ertop

ping o

r sun

ny da

y fail

ure i

s the

max

imum

norm

al po

ol ele

vatio

n. Ot

her s

tartin

g wate

r sur

face e

levati

ons m

ay be

used

with

Resp

onse

: In

view

of the

unce

rtaint

ies in

volve

d in e

stima

ting

rese

rvoir l

evels

that

migh

t rea

sona

bly be

expe

cted t

o pr

evail

at th

e tim

e of fa

ilure

, the d

efault

star

ting w

ater

surfa

ce el

evati

on us

ed in

flood

routi

ngs f

or

evalu

ation

of ov

ertop

ping s

hould

be th

e max

imum

no

rmal

pool

eleva

tion (

i.e. to

p of a

ctive

stor

age p

ool).

Ot

her s

tartin

g wate

r sur

face e

levati

ons m

ay be

used

, wi

th ap

prop

riate

justifi

catio

n. Ju

stific

ation

shou

ld be

ba

sed o

n ope

ratin

g rule

s and

oper

ating

histo

ry of

the

rese

rvoir.

The

oper

ating

histo

ry us

ed sh

ould

be of

su

fficien

t leng

th to

supp

ort a

ny co

nclus

ions d

rawn

(e

.g., 2

0 yea

rs or

mor

e). B

ut co

nside

ratio

n sho

uld be

giv

en to

poss

ible i

nstan

ces w

here

the o

pera

ting

histor

y and

/or ru

les ha

ve be

en in

fluen

ced b

y an

omalo

us co

nditio

ns su

ch as

drou

ght.

Actio

n:

Prec

eding

text

used

as st

aff po

sition

.

Page 40: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

40 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

appr

opria

te jus

tifica

tion.

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

W

e und

ersta

nd th

at the

text

will b

e mod

ified t

o rea

d: “…

the de

fault i

nitial

wate

r leve

l use

d in b

reac

h ana

lysis

and f

lood

routi

ngs f

or ev

aluati

on of

sunn

y-day

failu

re sh

ould

be th

e high

er of

the

maxim

um ob

serve

d poo

l elev

ation

or th

e max

imum

norm

al po

ol ele

vatio

n. Ot

her w

ater le

vels

may b

e use

d with

justi

ficati

on (e

.g.,

reco

rds s

howi

ng th

at wa

ter le

vels

abov

e max

norm

al po

ll are

infre

quen

t an

d of s

hort

dura

tion)

.” No

te tha

t it w

ould

be us

eful to

desc

ribe t

he at

tribute

s of a

justi

ficati

on of

“in

frequ

ent”

and “

shor

t dur

ation

”.

65

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

8.1,

p. 72

Co

mm

ent:

2nd p

arag

raph

: “Ho

weve

r, by

using

a da

m-br

each

flood

pred

iction

mo

del a

nd m

aking

seve

ral a

pplic

ation

s of th

e mod

el wh

erein

the b

reac

h wi

dth pa

rame

ter re

pres

entin

g the

comb

ined l

ength

s of a

ssum

ed fa

iled

mono

liths i

s var

ied in

each

appli

catio

n, the

resu

lting r

eser

voir w

ater

surfa

ce el

evati

ons c

an be

used

to in

dicate

the e

xtent

of re

ducti

on of

the

loadin

g pre

ssur

es on

the d

am. S

ince t

he lo

ading

dimi

nishe

s as t

he

brea

ch w

idth i

ncre

ases

, a lim

iting s

afe lo

ading

cond

ition w

hich w

ould

not c

ause

furth

er fa

ilure

may

be es

timate

d.”

Conc

ern:

Th

e ben

efit o

f this

proc

ess i

s unc

lear.

The m

axim

um lo

ading

cond

ition

durin

g an o

verto

pping

even

t wou

ld be

pres

ent a

t time

zero

for a

ll mo

nolith

s. Si

nce f

ailur

e of a

sing

le mo

nolith

is as

sume

d to b

e quit

e sh

ort (

on th

e ord

er of

minu

tes),

redu

ction

s in u

pstre

am w

ater le

vels

are

likely

to no

t be s

ignific

ant e

noug

h to r

educ

e pre

ssur

es on

othe

r

Resp

onse

: Th

e loa

ding c

ondit

ions o

n the

rema

ining

mon

oliths

aft

er on

e has

faile

d will

be si

gnific

antly

diffe

rent

than

befor

e fail

ure (

e.g. th

e mon

oliths

on ei

ther s

ide of

the

failed

secti

on w

ill be

subje

ct to

hydr

odyn

amic

force

s of

the w

ater f

lowing

thro

ugh t

he br

each

). T

he

stabil

ity of

the d

am un

der t

he m

odifie

d loa

ding

cond

ition i

s poin

t to co

nside

r.

Actio

n:

No ch

ange

to te

xt.

Page 41: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

41 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

mono

liths.

Sens

itivity

analy

ses i

ncor

pora

ting p

eak d

owns

tream

brea

ch

flows

and w

ater s

urfac

e elev

ation

s sho

uld al

so be

cons

idere

d as

appr

opria

te ap

proa

ches

to es

timati

ng br

each

widt

h. Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n: N

ot p

rovid

ed

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

Not

pro

vided

66

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

8.2.2

, p 76

Co

mm

ent:

“How

ever

, their

pape

r doe

s not

prov

ide cl

ear c

riteria

for s

electi

ng th

e er

odibi

lity in

dex.”

Co

ncer

n:

Xu an

d Zha

ng (2

009)

do no

t pro

vide d

etaile

d crite

ria fo

r sele

cting

the

erod

ibility

inde

x bec

ause

they

state

that

they u

sed d

efinit

ions i

n a pa

per

by B

riaud

, whic

h pro

vides

detai

led de

finitio

ns.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Not

pro

vided

Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s:

We u

nder

stand

that

the X

u and

Zha

ng (2

009)

brea

ch m

ethod

ology

alo

ne is

not r

ecom

mend

ed fo

r the

2.1 h

azar

d re-

analy

sis an

d if u

sed,

would

have

to be

benc

h-ma

rked a

gains

t ano

ther a

ppro

ach.

Resp

onse

: Xu

& Z

hang

state

that

their e

rodib

ility i

ndex

is ba

sed

on th

e clas

sifica

tions

pres

ented

in th

e Bria

ud pa

per.

Howe

ver,

Briau

d stat

es in

his p

aper

that

the

class

ificati

on sy

stem

is me

ant a

s a pr

elimi

nary

desig

n too

l and

that

the er

ror in

his c

atego

ry as

signm

ents

could

as m

uch a

s plus

or m

inus o

ne

class

ificati

on le

vel.

In ad

dition

, Bria

ud do

es no

t pr

ovide

infor

matio

n reg

ardin

g the

numb

er of

soil

tests

that p

rovid

e the

basis

for t

he cl

assif

icatio

n sy

stem.

It ap

pear

s tha

t the c

lassif

icatio

n is b

ased

on

samp

les te

sted i

n his

EFA

devic

e at T

AMU

(e.g

resu

lts fr

om a

single

devic

e/lab

orato

ry). R

egar

dless

of

the le

vel o

f exp

erim

ental

supp

ort fo

r the

Bria

ud

class

ificati

on sy

stem,

Xu &

Zha

ng al

so st

ate th

at the

ir ero

dibilit

y ind

ex ta

kes i

nto ac

coun

t add

itiona

l fac

tors s

uch a

s dam

cros

s-sec

tiona

l geo

metry

, slop

e su

rface

prote

ction

, and

comp

actio

n meth

od.

Howe

ver,

their p

aper

does

not p

rovid

e any

of th

is ad

dition

al inf

orma

tion f

or th

e dam

s exa

mine

d in t

he

study

or pr

ovide

insig

ht int

o how

thes

e add

itiona

l fac

tors w

ere u

sed t

o dete

rmine

their

erod

ibility

inde

x.

Thus

, ther

e is a

lack

of ob

jectiv

e crite

ria fo

r ass

igning

the

Xu &

Zha

ng er

odibi

lity in

dex t

o new

dams

.

Page 42: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

42 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Actio

n:

No ch

ange

to te

xt.

67

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

8.2

.2, p

76

Com

men

t: “In

addit

ion, a

necd

otal e

viden

ce su

gges

ts tha

t their

relat

ion fo

r fail

ure

time m

ay be

bias

ed in

favo

r of lo

nger

times

(Wah

l, 201

3).”

Conc

ern:

Xu

and Z

hang

defin

e fail

ure t

ime d

iffere

ntly t

han i

n othe

r emp

irical

brea

ch pa

rame

ter st

udies

. This

mea

ns th

at on

e mus

t use

their

failu

re

time e

stima

tes in

a br

each

mod

el (e

.g. H

EC-R

AS) in

a wa

y tha

t is

cons

isten

t with

their

defin

ition.

It is n

ot a f

unda

menta

l defi

cienc

y or f

law

in the

meth

od.

• The

diffe

renc

e in r

epor

ted fa

ilure

time i

s mor

e app

ropr

iately

ch

arac

terize

d as a

diffe

renc

e in h

ow it

is de

fined

base

d on t

he st

artin

g an

d end

ing po

int. N

ot su

re th

at an

ecdo

tal ev

idenc

e is a

ppro

priat

e for

an

ISG

docu

ment

Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n:

Remo

ve th

e stat

emen

t Un

ders

tand

ing

of C

urre

nt S

tatu

s:

We u

nder

stand

that

the X

u and

Zha

ng (2

009)

brea

ch m

ethod

ology

alo

ne is

not r

ecom

mend

ed fo

r the

2.1 h

azar

d re-

analy

sis an

d if u

sed,

would

have

to be

benc

h-ma

rked a

gains

t ano

ther a

ppro

ach.

Resp

onse

: De

finitio

n of fa

ilure

time i

n Xu &

Zha

ng pa

per is

the

wide

ly us

ed de

finitio

n. Bu

t Teto

n Dam

exam

ple gi

ven

in pa

per in

dicate

s tha

t auth

ors d

id no

t con

sisten

tly

apply

the d

efinit

ion. D

efinit

ion of

failu

re tim

e mus

t be

inter

nally

cons

isten

t with

in the

regr

essio

n ana

lysis

and b

etwee

n the

regr

essio

n ana

lysis

and t

he

hydr

ologic

/hydr

aulic

mod

el.

Actio

n:

Addit

ional

text a

dded

to ex

plain

issue

s with

Xu &

Zh

ang p

aper

1)

Inc

onsis

tent u

se of

failu

re tim

e defi

nition

2)

La

ck of

basis

for e

rodil

bility

. Bria

ud’s

work

focus

is on

mea

sure

ment.

Ina

ppro

priat

e for

use w

/ HEC

-RAS

68

Loca

tion:

Sec

8.2.2

.1, p

77

Resp

onse

:

Page 43: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

43 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

[J. R

iley]

Com

men

t: Un

certa

inty i

n Pre

dicted

Bre

ach P

aram

eters

and H

ydro

grap

hs

Conc

ern:

It s

hould

be no

t nec

essa

ry to

cove

r the

extre

me va

lues i

f ther

e is a

so

und b

asis

for lim

iting t

he ra

nge

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

It i

s use

ful to

reco

gnize

that

“unc

ertai

nty” in

regr

essio

n equ

ation

s is

asso

ciated

with

“une

xplai

ned v

arian

ce” a

nd th

at ph

ysica

l ar

gume

nts/en

ginee

ring j

ustifi

catio

ns ca

n be m

ade a

s to w

here

in th

e ra

nge o

f “un

certa

inty”

a par

ticula

r dam

wou

ld be

expe

cted t

o fit g

iven i

ts ph

ysica

l cha

racte

ristic

s tha

t are

not s

pecif

ically

inclu

ded i

n the

“e

xplai

ned v

arian

ce” r

epre

sente

d by t

he m

athem

atica

l form

of th

e re

gres

sion e

quati

on. T

here

fore i

t may

not b

e app

ropr

iate t

o per

form

sens

itivity

analy

ses o

ver t

he en

tire ra

nge o

f unc

ertai

nty on

pred

icted

br

each

para

meter

s (or

pred

icted

peak

brea

ch flo

w ra

tes).

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

Not

pro

vided

Evalu

ating

the a

pplic

abilit

y of th

e pro

pose

d re

solut

ion w

ould

requ

ire in

-dep

th ex

amina

tion o

f the

case

stud

ies th

at we

re us

ed to

deve

lop th

e re

gres

sion e

quati

on, in

orde

r to c

ompa

re th

ese d

ams

(or s

ome s

ubse

t of th

em) t

o the

dam

being

mod

eled.

Th

is do

es no

t app

ear t

o be a

trac

table

appr

oach

in

most

case

s. Ac

tion:

No

chan

ge to

text.

69

[J. R

iley]

Loca

tion:

Sec

10.2,

p. 84

Co

mm

ent:

2nd c

omple

te se

ntenc

e : “A

ccur

ate es

timate

s of fl

ood e

levati

on in

area

s of

chan

ging t

opog

raph

y and

near

larg

e obje

cts in

the f

low fie

ld wi

ll typ

ically

requ

ire tw

o-dim

ensio

nal a

nalys

is.”

Conc

ern:

Su

gges

t add

ing “lo

caliz

ed” t

o sen

tence

, as i

t is ty

picall

y not

nece

ssar

y to

perfo

rm tw

o-dim

ensio

nal a

nalys

is of

the en

tire in

unda

tion a

rea,

which

ma

y be h

undr

eds o

f mile

s lon

g: “…

.will

typica

lly re

quire

loca

lized

two-

Resp

onse

: Co

mmen

t acc

epted

Ac

tion:

Te

xt mo

dified

to cl

arify

that

2D an

alysis

need

ed on

ly in

regio

ns w

here

2D ef

fects

are i

mpor

tant.

Page 44: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

44 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

dimen

siona

l ana

lysis.

” Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n: N

ot p

rovid

ed

Unde

rsta

ndin

g of

Cur

rent

Sta

tus:

Not

pro

vided

70

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

1.3.

2/pa

ge 5

Co

mm

ent:

St

ep 5

-The

read

er is

told

to es

timate

the i

mpac

ts of

sedim

ent a

nd

debr

is tra

nspo

rt.

Conc

ern:

Th

e eva

luatio

n of d

ebris

and s

edim

ent tr

ansp

ort a

nd im

pacts

to flu

id dy

nami

cs re

quire

s exte

nsive

, com

plex a

nalys

is.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Cl

arify

whe

ther "

impa

cts" r

efers

to:(1

) im

pacts

on eq

uipme

nt for

use

durin

g the

integ

rated

asse

ssme

nt; or

(2) im

pacts

on th

e flu

id flo

w be

havio

r itse

lf (ch

ange

s in f

luid d

ynam

ics fr

om ad

dition

al se

dimen

t and

de

bris

in the

flood

routi

ng).

Resp

onse

: W

ith re

spec

t to de

bris,

impa

ct loa

ds du

e to

water

born

e deb

ris ar

e the

key i

ssue

. Impa

ct loa

ds on

the

dam

and k

ey ap

purte

nanc

es sh

ould

be

evalu

ated.

In th

e eve

nt of

dam

failur

e, im

pact

loads

du

e to w

aterb

orne

debr

is sh

ould

be co

nside

red f

or

expo

sed S

SCs i

mpor

tant to

safet

y at th

e NPP

site.

Th

e main

conc

erns

rega

rding

sedim

ent tr

ansp

ort

includ

e: 1)

impa

cts to

pred

icted

wate

r sur

face

eleva

tions

(e.g.

sedim

ent d

epos

ition w

ill re

sult i

n hig

her w

ater le

vels

for a

given

disc

harg

e); 2

) sco

ur at

SS

C str

uctur

es; a

nd 3)

sedim

ent a

ccum

ulatio

n in

UHS

impo

undm

ent.

How

ever

, deta

iled g

uidan

ce on

sedim

ent tr

ansp

ort

mode

ling i

s bey

ond t

he sc

ope t

his IS

G.

With

resp

ect to

equip

ment

for us

e in t

he in

tegra

ted

asse

ssme

nt, im

pact

loads

and s

edim

ent tr

ansp

ort

would

be in

clude

d in t

he “a

ssoc

iated

effec

ts” of

flo

oding

that

shou

ld be

inclu

ded i

n the

haza

rd

reev

aluati

on. T

he im

pact

that th

ese a

ssoc

iated

eff

ects

have

on th

e effe

ctive

ness

of eq

uipme

nt an

d/or p

roce

dure

s reli

ed up

on fo

r mitig

ation

wou

ld be

evalu

ated i

n the

integ

rated

asse

ssme

nt, if

one i

s

Page 45: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

45 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

requ

ired.

Ac

tion:

Ad

ded s

ectio

n 9.3

which

disc

usse

s gen

eral

cons

idera

tions

for s

edim

ent tr

ansp

ort m

odeli

ng an

d pr

ovide

s refe

renc

es to

the t

echn

ical li

teratu

re.

71

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

1.4.

2/pa

ge 8

Co

mm

ent:

Last

bulle

t -Re

quire

s seis

mic a

nalys

is of

1 x 10

-4 w

ith su

fficien

t mar

gin

or se

ismic

analy

sis to

I x 10

-6

Conc

ern:

Th

e ter

m 'su

fficien

t mar

gin" i

s not

defin

ed. A

s use

d, the

term

'suff

icien

t m

argin

" see

ms to

imply

mor

e tha

n mee

ting r

equir

ed fa

ctor o

f safe

ty.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

De

fine "

suffic

ient m

argin

" to b

e the

requ

ired f

actor

of sa

fety p

er F

eder

al Da

m Sa

fety R

egula

tor's

guida

nce.

This

term

occu

rs in

seve

ral p

laces

thr

ough

out th

e doc

umen

t.

Resp

onse

: Th

is se

ction

mod

ified t

o rem

ove r

equir

emen

t to

evalu

ate se

ismic

haza

rds a

t the 1

e-6 a

nnua

l ex

ceed

ance

leve

l. Ac

tion:

Se

ction

1.4.2

mod

ified t

o refl

ect th

e foll

owing

ap

proa

ches

for h

azar

d eva

luatio

n. 1)

PM

F for

hydr

ologic

failu

re

2)

1e-4

haza

rd cu

rve fo

r seis

mic f

ailur

e 3)

As

sume

sunn

y day

failu

re

72

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

3.1/

page

22

Com

men

t: St

aff po

sition

says

'dam

s own

ed by

licen

sees

may

not b

e rem

oved

"

Conc

ern:

Th

ere a

re lic

ense

e-ow

ned d

ams t

hat h

ave m

inima

l or n

o adv

erse

failu

re

cons

eque

nces

beyo

nd th

e own

er's

prop

erty.

For

exam

ple, th

ere a

re

holdi

ng po

nds t

hat a

re on

the N

ation

al Inv

entor

y of D

ams t

hat a

re

Resp

onse

: Re

mova

l of d

ams b

ased

only

upon

dama

ge be

ing

limite

d to t

he ow

ner’s

prop

erty

does

not a

pply

to lic

ense

e own

ed da

ms (o

r ons

ite w

ater c

ontro

l str

uctur

es).

In thi

s situ

ation

addit

ional

analy

sis w

ould

be ne

eded

to ju

stify

that th

e dam

or w

ater c

ontro

l str

uctur

e mee

ts the

inten

t of th

e “inc

onse

quen

tial”

categ

ory a

nd m

ay be

remo

ved f

rom

furthe

r

Page 46: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

46 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

owne

d by T

VA. T

hese

are l

ow ha

zard

dams

whe

re fa

ilure

unde

r nor

mal

(non

-flood

) con

dition

s wou

ld re

sult i

n env

ironm

ental

perm

it com

plian

ce

issue

s with

the s

tate a

nd is

ther

efore

deem

ed as

a fai

lure c

onse

quen

ce

to the

owne

r's pr

oper

ty. F

or flo

od an

alysis

, thes

e hold

ing po

nds w

ould

not in

creas

e the

flood

elev

ation

s at th

e site

s and

are i

ncon

sequ

entia

l.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Gi

ven t

he si

tuatio

n des

cribe

d in t

he co

ncer

n fiel

d and

the f

act th

at thi

s do

cume

nt is

guida

nce,

the pr

opos

ed ch

ange

to th

e stat

emen

t is th

at the

"lic

ense

e own

ed da

ms sh

ould

not b

e rem

oved

from

cons

idera

tion

witho

ut jus

tifica

tion."

cons

idera

tion.

Actio

n:

Secti

on 3.

1 mod

ified t

o now

read

: Re

mova

l of d

ams b

ased

only

upon

dama

ge be

ing

limite

d to t

he ow

ner’s

prop

erty

does

not a

pply

to lic

ense

e own

ed da

ms (o

r ons

ite w

ater c

ontro

l str

uctur

es).

In thi

s situ

ation

addit

ional

analy

sis w

ould

be ne

eded

to ju

stify

that th

e dam

or w

ater c

ontro

l str

uctur

e mee

ts the

inten

t of th

e “inc

onse

quen

tial”

categ

ory a

nd m

ay be

remo

ved f

rom

furthe

r co

nside

ratio

n.

73

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

4.1.3

/page

31

Com

men

t: Th

e staf

f pos

ition r

equir

es en

ginee

ring j

ustifi

catio

n if fa

ilure

of sp

illway

ga

tes an

d outl

et wo

rks is

not c

onsid

ered

for h

ydro

logic

failur

e mod

es.

Conc

ern:

W

ith a

comp

lex riv

er sy

stem

with

multip

le da

ms an

d man

y hyd

ro un

its

(IVA

has 1

09 hy

dro u

nits),

the s

taff p

ositio

n is v

ery d

ifficu

lt to i

mplem

ent

witho

ut ex

tensiv

e ana

lysis,

such

as an

exten

sive u

ncer

tainty

analy

sis

with

Monte

Car

lo sim

ulatio

ns or

othe

r suc

h ana

lyses

. The

sche

dule

for

the flo

od ha

zard

reev

aluati

on do

esn't

supp

ort th

is typ

e of a

nalys

is.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Re

comm

end a

dding

to th

e staf

f pos

ition,

a thir

d opti

on, w

hich w

ould

be

a sim

plifie

d sys

tem ap

proa

ch th

at all

ows p

roba

bility

of fa

ilure

of ga

tes

and g

ener

ating

units

to op

erate

durin

g floo

d eve

nts or

appli

catio

n of a

n av

ailab

ility f

actor

base

d on h

istor

ical fl

oods

.

Resp

onse

: Th

e staf

f pos

ition i

s only

mea

nt to

conv

ey th

e ge

nera

l requ

ireme

nt for

cons

idera

tion o

f red

uced

co

nvey

ance

capa

city d

ue to

such

failu

res.

More

de

tails

are p

rovid

ed in

subs

eque

nt se

ction

s of th

e IS

G.

Actio

n:

The p

resu

mptio

n of fa

ilure

has b

een r

emov

ed fr

om

the st

aff po

sition

.

Page 47: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

47 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

74

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

4.2/p

age 3

2, 5.2

/page

45, &

6.1.1

/page

66

Com

men

t: Th

e guid

ance

is no

t clea

r on t

he es

tablis

hmen

t of lo

ads/d

eman

ds fo

r de

tailed

analy

sis.

Conc

ern:

Th

ere i

s no s

epar

ate se

ction

in th

e guid

ance

for e

stabli

shing

the

dema

nds/l

oads

for t

he de

tailed

analy

sis as

outlin

ed in

the f

lowch

art in

Fig

ure 2

of S

ectio

n 1.3.

The

dema

nds/l

oads

are a

ddre

ssed

in th

e ov

ertop

ping s

ectio

n of th

e doc

umen

t but

only

brief

ly. It

is no

t clea

r to t

he

read

er if

these

load

s are

to in

clude

the c

ombin

ed ef

fects

from

Appe

ndix

H of

NURE

G/CR

-704

6, e.g

., Alte

rnati

ve 1

comb

inatio

n of m

ean m

onthl

y ba

se flo

w, m

edian

soil m

oistur

e, an

antec

eden

t or s

ubse

quen

t rain

that

is the

less

er of

40%

PMP

or 50

0 yea

r rain

fall, t

he P

MP an

d wav

es

induc

ed by

2-ye

arwi

nd sp

eed a

pplie

d alon

g the

critic

al dir

ectio

n.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Pr

ovide

clea

r guid

ance

on th

e esta

blish

ment

of the

dema

nds/l

oads

wh

ich ar

e to b

e use

d for

the d

etaile

d ana

lysis

of the

dams

. This

same

co

mmen

t also

appli

es to

seism

ic loa

d/dem

ands

for d

etaile

d ana

lysis

and f

or su

nny d

ay lo

ads/d

eman

ds fo

r deta

iled a

nalys

is. G

uidan

ce

shou

ld inc

lude s

uch

spec

ifics a

s the

follo

wing

: (1)

head

water

and

tailw

ater le

vels

to be

used

in st

abilit

y ana

lysis;

(2)

whe

ther a

ntece

dent

or su

bseq

uent

rainf

all m

ust b

e com

bined

with

PMP

; (3)

whe

ther o

r not

to inc

lude 2

-year

wind

spee

ds in

the

analy

sis; a

nd (4

) ade

quate

facto

rs of

safet

y.

Resp

onse

:

1)

For h

ydro

logic

failur

e ana

lysis,

the d

am

shou

ld be

able

to pa

ss th

e PMF

via t

he

spillw

ay an

d othe

r disc

harg

e outl

ets. T

he

struc

tural

loads

/dema

nds a

re hy

dros

tatic

and h

ydro

dyna

mic l

oads

of th

e res

ervo

ir lev

el as

socia

ted w

ith th

e PMF

as w

ell as

as

socia

ted ef

fects

such

as w

ind w

aves

and

debr

is loa

ds.

Head

water

/tailw

ater le

vels

will b

e gov

erne

d by

inflo

w an

d the

spillw

ay co

nvey

ance

re

lation

ships

(and

poss

ibly b

ackw

ater

effec

ts). H

eadw

ater/t

ailwa

ter el

evati

ons w

ill be

calcu

lated

by th

e hyd

rolog

ic or

hydr

aulic

ro

uting

mod

el us

ed.

The c

ombin

ation

refer

red t

o in t

he co

mmen

t is

one a

ltern

ative

for d

erivi

ng th

e PMF

. PMF

es

timate

s typ

ically

inclu

de as

sump

tions

re

gard

ing an

teced

ent b

ase f

low, s

oil

moist

ure a

nd ra

infall

cond

itions

. Fa

ctors

of sa

fety u

sed i

n stab

ility a

nalys

is sh

ould

be co

nsist

ent w

ith ac

cepte

d en

ginee

ring p

racti

ce an

d stan

dard

s for

the

struc

ture(

s) in

ques

tion.

2)

For s

eismi

c fail

ure,

the lo

ad/de

mand

are

Page 48: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

48 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

those

effec

ts (vi

brato

ry gr

ound

moti

on,

displa

ceme

nt, liq

uefac

tion)

asso

ciated

with

eit

her t

he 1e

-4 se

ismic

haza

rd (o

r half

of th

e 1e

-4 ha

zard

) Fo

r the

seism

ic sta

bility

calcu

lation

, defa

ult

head

water

elev

ation

shou

ld be

max

norm

al po

ol lev

el. O

ther le

vels

can b

e use

d with

jus

tifica

tion.

Tailw

ater s

hould

be av

erag

e, no

nfloo

d lev

els. F

loodin

g con

dition

s sho

uld

not b

e ass

umed

to in

creas

e the

stab

ility o

f the

dam.

Fa

ctors

of sa

fety u

sed i

n stab

ility a

nalys

is sh

ould

be co

nsist

ent w

ith ac

cepte

d en

ginee

ring p

racti

ce an

d stan

dard

s for

the

struc

ture(

s) in

ques

tion.

If the

dam

fails,

the d

am br

eak f

lood w

ave

shou

ld be

comb

ined w

ith th

e 25 o

r 500

year

flo

od (d

epen

ding u

pon w

hethe

r dam

faile

d un

der t

he 1e

-4 se

ismic

haza

rd or

½ of

the

1e04

seism

ic ha

zard

). W

hen r

outin

g the

flo

od w

ave,

hydr

ologic

ally c

onsis

tent

head

water

/tailw

ater r

elatio

nship

s, as

ca

lculat

ed by

the h

ydro

logic

or hy

drau

lic

routi

ng m

odel,

shou

ld be

used

.

3)

For s

unny

-day

failu

re, th

e fail

ure i

s sim

ply

assu

med t

o occ

ur. T

here

is no

spec

ific lo

ad

Page 49: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

49 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

or de

mand

. How

ever

, a br

each

scen

ario

must

be po

stulat

ed.

For s

unny

-day

failu

re flo

od ro

uting

, the

defau

lt hea

dwate

r elev

ation

shou

ld be

max

no

rmal

pool

level.

Othe

r leve

ls ca

n be u

sed

with

justifi

catio

n. T

ailwa

ter el

evati

ons w

ill be

ca

lculat

ed by

the h

ydro

logic

or hy

drau

lic

routi

ng m

odel

used

.

Actio

n:

TBD

75

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

4.2.2

1pag

e 33

Co

mm

ent:

In ma

ny ca

ses t

he ID

F is

the pr

obab

le ma

ximum

flood

(PMF

) dev

elope

d by

analy

zing t

he im

pacts

of th

e pro

bable

max

imum

prec

ipitat

ion (P

MP)

even

t ove

r the

dams

upstr

eam

water

shed

. Co

ncer

n:

The g

uidan

ce se

ems t

o imp

ly tha

t the d

ams b

e eva

luated

for p

rojec

t sp

ecific

PMF

s and

if the

y are

not a

ble to

pass

the p

rojec

t spe

cific

PMFs

the

n the

y sho

uld be

cons

idere

d to f

ail w

ithou

t con

sider

ation

for o

ther

even

ts. W

ith a

comp

lex riv

er sy

stem

with

multip

le da

ms, th

e staf

f po

sition

is un

reali

stic a

nd ov

erly

cons

erva

tive.

The n

uclea

r pow

er pl

ant

PMP

which

prod

uces

the P

MF is

over

a lar

ge w

atersh

ed w

ith sm

aller

am

ounts

of ra

infall

comp

ared

to th

e pro

ject s

pecif

ic PM

Fs w

hich h

ave

very

high a

moun

ts of

PMP

over

a sm

aller

wate

rshed

.

Resp

onse

: NU

REG-

0800

state

s tha

t dam

failu

re sh

ould

be

evalu

ated u

sing a

ppro

pria

te c

ombi

natio

n of

an

tece

dent

flow

s as

des

crib

ed b

y A

NS

I/AN

S-

2.8-

1992

. ANS

-2.8-

1992

state

s tha

t eac

h pote

ntiall

y cri

tical

dam

shou

ld be

subje

cted a

nalyt

ically

to th

e PM

F fro

m the

ir own

contr

ibutin

g wate

rshed

. ANS

-2.8

-199

2 fur

ther s

tates

that

if an u

pstre

am da

m wo

uld lik

ely fa

il in t

he pr

obab

le ma

ximum

flood

from

its

own w

atersh

ed, it

shall

also

be te

sted i

n the

pr

obab

le ma

ximum

flood

appli

cable

to th

e tota

l plan

t sit

e wate

rshed

. If ju

dged

likely

to fa

il in e

ither

case

, the

resu

lting f

lood w

ave s

hall b

e car

ried d

owns

tream

to

the pl

ant s

ite fo

r com

paris

on an

d sele

ction

of th

e cri

tical

case

.

Page 50: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

50 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

In

addit

ion to

the e

valua

tion o

f the d

ams f

or th

e IDF

, allo

w the

larg

e wa

tersh

ed P

MP an

d ass

ociat

ed P

MF to

be us

ed to

evalu

ate th

e stab

ility

of the

dams

whe

n the

re is

a lar

ge w

atersh

ed w

ith m

any u

pstre

am da

ms.

This

would

be a

furthe

r refi

neme

nt in

the hi

erar

chica

l haz

ard a

nalys

is (H

HA) p

roce

ss.

Actio

n:

No ch

ange

to te

xt

76

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

4.2.2

.2/pa

ge 34

Co

mm

ent:

Staff

posit

ion ta

lks ab

out "

maxim

um no

rmal

pool

eleva

tion"

Co

ncer

n:

Maxim

um no

rmal

pool

eleva

tion t

erm

is no

t defi

ned.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

De

fine w

hat °

maxim

um no

rmal"

is, a

nd/or

prov

ide ex

ample

s for

diffe

rent

kinds

of re

servo

irs. T

VA de

fines

max

imum

norm

al as

the n

orma

l su

mmer

pool.

Maxim

um no

rmal

pool

eleva

tion i

s defi

ned a

s the

ele

vatio

n cor

resp

ondin

g to t

he to

p of th

e acti

ve

stora

ge.

Actio

n:

Adde

d a fig

ure t

o Sec

tion 2

.1.3 t

o clar

ify w

ater le

vels

and s

torag

e volu

me de

finitio

ns. D

efinit

ions a

re al

so

prov

ided i

n the

Ter

ms an

d Defi

nition

s sec

tion (

unde

r sto

rage

)

77

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

4.2.2

.4/pa

ge 35

Co

mm

ent:

Cons

idera

tion o

f deb

ris bl

ocka

ge of

spillw

ay ga

tes.

Conc

ern:

W

ith a

comp

lex riv

er sy

stem

with

multip

le da

ms an

d man

y hyd

ro un

its

(TVA

has 1

09 hy

dro u

nits),

the s

taff p

ositio

n is v

ery d

ifficu

lt to

imple

ment

witho

ut ex

tensiv

e ana

lysis.

The

sche

dule

for th

e floo

d haz

ard

reev

aluati

on do

esn't

supp

ort th

is lev

el of

analy

sis.

Resp

onse

: 5-

10%

capa

city r

educ

tion i

s rea

sona

ble fo

r dam

s wi

th de

bris

mana

geme

nt. F

or da

ms th

at lac

k deb

ris

mana

geme

nt, gr

eater

redu

ction

s may

be

appr

opria

te. C

apac

ity re

ducti

ons a

s lar

ge as

35%

ha

ve be

en ob

serve

d. T

his de

termi

natio

n nee

ds to

be

mad

e on a

case

-by-c

ase b

asis.

Ac

tion:

Mo

dified

text

to inc

lude d

escri

ption

of La

ke Ly

nn

Dam

debr

is blo

ckag

e. M

odifie

d staf

f pos

ition t

o

Page 51: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

51 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Re

comm

end g

uidan

ce pr

ovide

perce

ntage

for s

pillw

ay ga

te blo

ckag

e. TV

A's p

ositio

n tha

t per

forma

nce o

f sen

sitivi

ty an

alyse

s on 5

perce

nt an

d 10

perce

nt sp

illway

gate

block

age i

s app

ropr

iate.

includ

e sen

sitive

ly stu

dy us

ing 5-

10%

capa

city

redu

ction

for d

ams w

ith de

bris

mana

geme

nt. D

ams

witho

ut de

bris

mana

geme

nt sh

ould

cons

ider g

reate

r re

ducti

ons o

n a ca

se-b

y-cas

e bas

is.

78

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

4.2.2

.4/pa

ge 35

Co

mm

ent:

Last

bulle

t -At

leas

t one

turb

ine sh

ould

alway

s be a

ssum

ed to

be do

wn

in pe

rform

ing flo

od ro

uting

s. Co

ncer

n:

Dam

oper

ators

typica

lly pe

rform

their

main

tenan

ce ac

tivitie

s outs

ide of

the

flood

seas

on an

d the

assu

mptio

n tha

t one

unit i

s out

of se

rvice

for

ever

y hyd

ro da

m in

a lar

ge sy

stem

may b

e ove

rly co

nser

vativ

e. TV

A ha

s com

pleted

the h

azar

d ree

valua

tion i

nput

work

for th

e dar

ns (t

he

dam

ratin

g cur

ves)

assu

ming

that

all th

e hyd

ro un

its ar

e ava

ilable

until

the tu

rbine

deck

, swi

tchya

rd or

powe

rhou

se is

flood

ed.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Re

comm

end g

uidan

ce al

low a

simpli

fied s

ystem

appr

oach

that

cons

iders

prob

abilit

y of tu

rbine

outag

es or

appli

catio

n of a

n ava

ilabil

ity

factor

base

d on m

ainten

ance

data

and/o

r hist

orica

l floo

ds.

Resp

onse

: Re

view

of fed

eral

guida

nce o

n cre

diting

disc

harg

e ca

pacit

y thr

ough

show

s tha

t diffe

rent

agen

cies t

ake

differ

ent a

ppro

ache

s. T

here

fore,

turbin

e flow

s can

be

cred

ited,

if eng

ineer

ing ju

stific

ation

is pr

ovide

d.

Actio

n:

Last

bulle

t rem

oved

. Di

scus

sion o

f var

ious f

eder

al gu

idelin

es on

cred

iting

turbin

e/pow

erho

use f

lows i

s add

ed.

Disc

ussio

n on u

se of

site-

spec

ific an

d gen

eric

infor

matio

n on g

ener

ating

unit a

vaila

bility

has b

een

adde

d.

79

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

4.2.6

/pag

e 39

Com

men

t: St

aff po

sition

–“W

ith re

gard

to th

e fus

e plug

s, on

e sho

uld co

nside

r sh

ow th

at ro

uting

” Co

ncer

n:

Resp

onse

: Te

xt sh

ould

have

read

: Fu

se p

lugs

are

gen

eral

ly c

onsi

dere

d to

be

relia

ble,

bu

t the

re is

som

e in

here

nt u

ncer

tain

ty a

bout

the

exac

t dep

th a

nd d

urat

ion

of o

verto

ppin

g ne

eded

to

initi

ate

brea

ch.

Ther

e is

als

o un

certa

inty

abo

ut th

e

Page 52: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

52 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

The s

enten

ce is

inco

mplet

e and

TVA

is un

able

to un

derst

and t

he st

aff

posit

ion re

gard

ing fu

se pl

ugs.

Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n:

Comp

lete t

he se

ntenc

e.

exac

t rat

e of

bre

ach

deve

lopm

ent.

Und

erst

andi

ng

the

mag

nitu

de o

f the

se u

ncer

tain

ties

is im

porta

nt

beca

use

dela

yed

oper

atio

n of

the

fuse

plu

g to

lead

to

failu

re o

f the

dam

.

Staff

posit

ion sh

ould

have

been

: •

With

reg

ard

to f

use

plug

s, o

ne s

houl

d sh

ow

that

flo

od

rout

ings

ar

e no

t se

nsiti

ve t

o th

e de

pth

and

dura

tion

of

over

topp

ing

need

ed t

o in

itiat

e br

each

so th

at d

elay

ed o

pera

tion

does

not

lead

to

failu

re o

f a m

ain

dam

.

Actio

n:

Text

corre

cted.

80

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

4.2.7

.2/pa

ge 39

Co

mm

ent:

No eq

uatio

n pro

vided

. Co

ncer

n:

Edito

rial; n

o equ

ation

and v

ariab

les pr

ovide

d.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Pr

ovide

equa

tion a

nd de

fine v

ariab

les.

Resp

onse

: Ty

pogr

aphic

erro

r. Ac

tion:

Eq

uatio

n and

defin

ition o

f var

iables

prov

ided.

81

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

5/pa

ge 43

Co

mm

ent:

Last

para

grap

h, las

t sen

tence

calls

out a

Sec

tion 0

.

Resp

onse

: Re

feren

ce sh

ould

be to

Sec

tion 5

.6

Page 53: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

53 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Conc

ern:

Ed

itoria

l; use

r is no

t able

to de

termi

ne w

hich s

ectio

n was

mea

nt to

be

refer

ence

d.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Pr

ovide

the c

orre

ct se

ction

refer

ence

.

Actio

n:

Cros

s refe

renc

e pro

vided

.

82

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

5.1/p

age 4

3 Co

mm

ent:

Whe

n usin

g the

HHA

proc

ess a

nd as

sumi

ng a

seism

ic da

rn fa

ilure

wi

thout

a deta

iled a

nalys

is of

the da

m, th

ere i

s no f

lood s

pecif

ied to

use

for hy

drolo

gic ro

uting

with

the a

ssum

ed fa

ilure

. Co

ncer

n:

By no

t spe

cifyin

g to t

he us

er, th

e doc

umen

t see

ms to

imply

that

a de

tailed

seism

ic an

alysis

is re

quire

d to b

e per

forme

d whic

h is c

ontra

ry to

NURE

GICR

-704

6 HHA

. Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n:

Prov

ide th

e floo

d whic

h is t

o be u

sed f

or hy

drolo

gic ro

uting

whe

n the

re

is an

assu

med f

ailur

e of th

e dam

unde

r seis

mic l

oadin

g.

Resp

onse

: Th

e mod

ified a

ppro

ach t

o seis

mic s

tates

that

the 50

0 ye

ar flo

od sh

ould

be us

ed w

hen t

he da

m fai

ls un

der

½ of

the 1e

-4 se

ismic

haza

rd. S

o, wh

en da

m fai

lure

is as

sume

d w/o

any s

eismi

c ana

lysis,

the 5

00-ye

ar

flood

cond

ition s

hould

be us

ed.

Actio

n:

Text

in se

ction

mod

ified t

o add

staff

posit

ion

Staf

f Pos

ition

:

• If

seism

ic fai

lure

is sim

ply a

ssum

ed w

ithou

t an

al ysis

, the

se

ismic

failur

e sh

ould

be

assu

med

to oc

cur

unde

r 50

0-ye

ar f

lood

cond

itions

.

83

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

5.2.3

/page

48

Com

men

t: Se

ismic

analy

sis of

appu

rtena

nt str

uctur

es.

Conc

ern:

Th

is se

ction

impli

es th

e spil

lway

gate

syste

m sh

ould

be se

ismica

lly

Resp

onse

: It i

s com

mon p

racti

ce to

perfo

rm se

ismic

analy

sis of

sp

illway

gates

and o

ther k

ey ap

purte

nanc

es,

beca

use t

heir f

ailur

e can

lead

dire

ctly t

o ove

rtopp

ing

and f

ailur

e of th

e dam

. Ho

weve

r, the

HHA

appr

oach

inclu

des t

he us

e of

Page 54: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

54 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

analy

zed.

It is n

ot co

mmon

prac

tice t

o per

form

detai

led se

ismic

analy

sis

of da

m ap

purte

nanc

es w

ithin

the da

m sa

fety i

ndus

try. T

his is

an

exten

sive a

moun

t of w

ork f

or th

e amo

unt o

f dam

s with

in TV

A's

water

shed

and v

ery d

ifficu

lt for

equip

ment

instal

led 60

-year

s ago

. The

do

cume

ntatio

n of m

ateria

l and

insta

llatio

n deta

ils w

ill be

a ch

allen

ge.

The s

ched

ule fo

r the

flood

haza

rd re

evalu

ation

does

n't su

ppor

t this

type

of an

alysis

. Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n:

Reco

mmen

d staf

f guid

ance

prov

ide an

optio

n to c

onsid

er so

me

cons

erva

tive p

erce

ntage

of fa

ilure

of sp

illway

gates

, outl

et wo

rks an

d oth

er ap

purte

nanc

es in

stead

of co

mpre

hens

ive de

tailed

analy

sis.

cons

erva

tive a

ssum

ption

s in l

ieu of

mor

e deta

iled

analy

sis. I

t wou

ld be

the r

espo

nsibi

lity of

the

licen

see t

o jus

tify th

at so

me pe

rcenta

ge of

failu

re is

co

nser

vativ

e. Ac

tion:

No

chan

ge to

text.

84

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

5.3.3/

page

51

Com

men

t: De

tailed

inve

stiga

tions

wou

ld inc

lude s

urve

ys an

d und

istur

bed s

ampli

ng

borin

gs.

Conc

ern:

Th

is se

ction

impli

es th

e use

of un

distur

bed s

ampli

ng fo

r dire

ct me

asur

emen

ts of

in sit

u den

sities

and d

ynam

ic pr

oper

ties.

Howe

ver in

sit

u tes

ting i

s ofte

n pre

ferre

d for

perfo

rming

lique

factio

n ana

lysis.

Un

distur

bed s

ampli

ng fo

r labo

rator

y tes

ting o

f pote

ntiall

y liqu

efiab

le so

il oft

en re

sults

in m

ixed r

esult

s.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Re

comm

end p

arag

raph

be re

vised

to re

ad: "

Detai

led in

vesti

gatio

ns

would

inclu

de su

rveys

and i

n situ

field

testin

g to (

1) re

fine t

he

preli

mina

ry int

erpr

etatio

n of th

e stra

tigra

phy a

nd th

e exte

nt of

poten

tially

liq

uefia

ble so

ils, a

nd (2

) mea

sure

in si

tu de

nsitie

s and

dyna

mic

prop

ertie

s for

inpu

t to dy

nami

c res

pons

e ana

lyses

. Rec

over

undis

turbe

d

Resp

onse

: Pr

opos

ed re

vised

text

is the

same

as th

e exis

ting

text in

the d

ocum

ent.

Actio

n:

No ch

ange

to te

xt.

Page 55: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

55 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

samp

les fo

r labo

rator

y tes

ting w

hen s

ite so

ils ar

e not

adeq

uatel

y re

pres

ented

in th

e ava

ilable

data

base

.”

85

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

5.3.3

/page

51

Com

men

t: Se

ction

5.3.3

and S

taff P

ositio

n refe

renc

es N

RC R

egula

tory G

uide

1.198

‘Pro

cedu

res a

nd C

riteria

for A

sses

sing S

eismi

c Soil

Liqu

efacti

on

at Nu

clear

Pow

er P

lants"

as pr

ovidi

ng gu

idanc

e and

detai

led

proc

edur

es fo

r eva

luatin

g liqu

efacti

on.

Conc

ern:

Th

e staf

f pos

ition r

efere

nce t

o RG

1.198

could

imply

that

Appe

ndix

B re

quire

ments

are a

pplic

able

to the

ISG

user

s in t

he fu

ture.

Thes

e re

quire

ments

are n

ot ap

plica

ble un

der t

his sc

ope o

f wor

k.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Re

comm

end t

hat th

e ISG

clea

rly st

ate th

at the

App

endix

B

requ

ireme

nts do

not a

pply

or re

move

the r

efere

nce t

o RG

1.198

and

refer

ence

the e

ngine

ering

meth

ods f

or liq

uefac

tion a

nalys

is dir

ectly

.

Resp

onse

: Th

e poin

t of r

efere

ncing

RG-

1.198

was

to pr

ovide

gu

idanc

e with

resp

ect te

chnic

al me

thodo

logy.

The

Ma

rch 20

12 R

eque

st for

Infor

matio

n doe

s not

stipu

late t

hat A

ppen

dix B

requ

ireme

nts ap

ply to

re

spon

ses t

o the

infor

matio

n req

uest.

How

ever

, if

the an

alyse

s sub

mitte

d in r

espo

nse t

o the

requ

est fo

r inf

orma

tion a

re la

ter us

ed fo

r cer

tain l

icens

ing

purp

oses

, App

endix

B re

quire

ments

may

apply

. Ac

tion:

No

chan

ge to

text.

86

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

5.4.1

/page

52

Com

men

t: St

aff po

sition

-Suff

icien

t seis

mic m

argin

in ex

isting

stud

ies.

Conc

ern:

Su

fficien

t seis

mic m

argin

is no

t defi

ned.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

De

fine '

suffic

ient m

argin

" to b

e the

requ

ired f

actor

of sa

fety p

er F

eder

al Da

m Sa

fety R

egula

tor's

guida

nce.

This

term

occu

rs in

seve

ral p

laces

Resp

onse

: Su

fficien

t mar

gin is

usua

lly de

fined

in te

rms o

f a

safet

y fac

tor.

Actio

n:

Prov

ided r

efere

nce t

o FEM

A gu

idelin

es on

ea

rthqu

ake a

nalys

is of

dams

, whic

h disc

usse

s ap

prop

riate

factor

s of s

afety.

Page 56: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

56 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

throu

ghou

t the d

ocum

ent.

88

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

5.5/p

age 5

4 Co

mm

ent:

Figur

e 16 -

appe

ars t

o hav

e a re

peat

in the

last

bulle

t Co

ncer

n:

Edito

rial

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Re

move

the r

epea

t bull

et or

corre

ct the

bulle

t if it

was m

eant

to be

a 3rd

po

int in

the f

igure

.

Resp

onse

: Th

ird bu

llet in

Figu

re 16

was

mea

nt to

read

: “G

roun

d moti

ons c

ausin

g fail

ure a

t Dam

3 ca

nnot

be

exclu

ded f

rom

caus

ing fa

ilure

at D

am 2”

Ac

tion:

Te

xt co

rrecte

d in F

igure

16.

89

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

5.6/pa

ge 56

Co

mm

ent:

Staff

posit

ion -D

am fa

ilure

due t

o an e

arthq

uake

shou

ld be

cons

idere

d for

both

the m

axim

um no

rmal

oper

ating

('full

-poo

l”) an

d ave

rage

re

servo

ir lev

els. N

orma

l, non

-flood

tailw

ater c

ondit

ions s

hould

be us

ed.

Conc

ern:

It i

s not

clear

wha

t is m

eant

by "m

axim

um no

rmal

pool'

. The

wate

r ele

vatio

n use

d in e

arthq

uake

load

case

is ge

nera

lly th

e nor

mal

oper

ating

leve

l. The

high

est n

orma

l ope

ratin

g lev

el is

used

whe

n the

re

are s

easo

nal fl

uctua

tions

of th

e res

ervo

ir.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

It i

s rec

omme

nded

that

the no

rmal

pool

level

with

norm

al tai

lwate

r leve

ls is

used

rathe

r tha

n max

imum

and a

vera

ge po

ol. T

he us

e of th

ese l

evels

ali

gns w

ith th

e TVA

(and

othe

r fed

eral

dam

regu

lator

s) da

m sa

fety

guida

nce f

or se

ismic

stabil

ity an

alysis

.

Resp

onse

: In

vie

w o

f th

e un

certa

intie

s in

volv

ed i

n es

timat

ing

rese

rvoi

r le

vels

tha

t m

ight

rea

sona

bly

be e

xpec

ted

to p

reva

il at

the

tim

e of

fai

lure

, th

e de

faul

t st

artin

g w

ater

sur

face

ele

vatio

n us

ed i

n flo

od r

outin

gs f

or

eval

uatio

n of

sei

smic

fai

lure

con

sequ

ence

s sh

ould

be

the

max

imum

nor

mal

poo

l ele

vatio

n (i.

e. t

op o

f ac

tive

stor

age

pool

). O

ther

sta

rting

wat

er s

urfa

ce

elev

atio

ns

may

be

us

ed,

with

ap

prop

riate

ju

stifi

catio

n.

Ju

stifi

catio

n sh

ould

be

ba

sed

on

oper

atin

g ru

les

and

oper

atin

g hi

stor

y of

th

e re

serv

oir.

The

ope

ratin

g hi

stor

y us

ed s

houl

d be

of

suffi

cien

t len

gth

to s

uppo

rt an

y co

nclu

sion

s dr

awn.

B

ut

cons

ider

atio

n sh

ould

be

gi

ven

to

poss

ible

in

stan

ces

whe

re t

he o

pera

ting

hist

ory

and/

or r

ules

ha

ve

been

in

fluen

ced

by

anom

alou

s co

nditi

ons

such

as

drou

ght.

Page 57: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

57 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Actio

n:

Staff

posit

ion re

flecti

ng th

e pre

cedin

g disc

ussio

n ins

erted

in th

is se

ction

.

90

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

5.6/p

age 5

6 Co

mm

ent:

Staff

posit

ion -T

he flo

od an

d seis

mic c

ombin

ation

s to p

rovid

e a 1x

10-6

ha

zard

freq

uenc

y tar

get.

Conc

ern:

Th

is im

plies

that

a seis

mic f

ragil

ity an

alysis

is re

quire

d for

each

dam

and t

hen f

lood i

nflow

s be d

evelo

ped t

o rou

te wi

th the

failu

re of

the d

am.

This

requ

ires e

xtens

ive an

alysis

for a

comp

lex riv

er sy

stem

and i

s mor

e dif

ficult

to im

pleme

nt tha

n the

two d

eterm

inisti

c com

binati

ons t

hat a

re

defin

ed in

ANS

2.8.

Modif

ied A

NS 2.

8 com

binati

ons h

ave b

een

discu

ssed

with

the s

taff fo

r rep

lacem

ent o

f the d

eterm

inisti

c ear

thqua

ke

with

a pro

babil

istic

earth

quak

e.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Re

comm

end g

uidan

ce in

clude

use o

f the m

odifie

d ANS

2.8

comb

inatio

ns th

at ha

ve pr

eviou

sly be

en di

scus

sed w

ith th

e staf

f.

Tho

se co

mbina

tions

are:

1) 1E

-04 g

roun

d moti

on co

mbine

d with

25

year

flood

and 2

) 1/2

of IE

-04 g

roun

d moti

on co

mbine

d with

less

er of

50

0 yea

r floo

d or 1

/2 PM

F.

Resp

onse

: St

aff po

sition

has b

een m

odifie

d to r

eflec

t the

modif

ied A

NS-2

.8 ap

proa

ch..

Actio

n:

Staff

posit

ion ha

s bee

n mod

ified t

o refl

ect th

e mo

dified

ANS

-2.8

appr

oach

..

91

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

6.2.1

/page

68

Com

men

t: Re

spon

se:

Staff

posit

ion ha

s cha

nged

to re

quire

analy

sis of

su

nny-d

ay fa

ilure

, so t

he co

mpre

hens

ive ris

k

Page 58: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

58 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Th

e ISG

requ

ires a

comp

rehe

nsive

risk a

nalys

is to

asse

ss su

nny d

ay

failur

e mod

es.

Conc

ern:

Si

gnific

ant r

esou

rces w

ill be

requ

ired t

o com

plete

these

analy

ses.

All o

f TV

A da

ms do

not h

ave e

xistin

g Pote

ntial

Failu

re M

ode A

nalys

es

(PFM

A) co

mplet

ed ye

t. The

sche

dule

for th

e floo

d haz

ard r

eeva

luatio

n do

esn't

supp

ort th

is typ

e of a

nalys

is.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Al

low us

e of s

impli

fied b

ut co

nser

vativ

e fail

ure m

odes

whe

n the

re is

a lac

k of a

n exis

ting P

FMA.

analy

sis to

show

nonfa

ilure

is no

long

er re

levan

t. Ac

tion:

Th

e disc

ussio

n of c

ompr

ehen

sive r

isk an

alysis

for

sunn

y-day

failu

re ha

s bee

n rem

oved

.

92

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion :

6.2.2

/page

69

Com

men

t: Th

e nor

mal p

ool e

levati

on (in

vert

of the

high

est o

utlet

or sp

illway

) de

finitio

n nee

ds cl

arific

ation

. Co

ncer

n:

This

is co

nfusin

g as i

t cou

ld be

defin

ed as

a sp

illway

sill e

levati

on w

hich

would

be si

gnific

antly

lowe

r tha

n nor

mal p

ool.

Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n:

Sugg

est IS

G do

cume

nt be

revis

ed to

refle

ct a n

orma

l poo

l elev

ation

wh

ere r

eser

voir i

s main

taine

d for

norm

al op

erati

ons.

Resp

onse

: Th

e staf

f pos

ition h

as be

en m

odifie

d to b

e con

sisten

t wi

th oth

er st

ateme

nts ab

out in

itial w

ater le

vels.

The

de

fault w

ater le

vel is

max

imum

norm

al po

ol (to

p of

activ

e poo

l) or o

ther le

vel, w

ith ju

stific

ation

. Ac

tion:

St

aff p

ositi

on:

In v

iew

of

the

unce

rtain

ties

invo

lved

in

estim

atin

g re

serv

oir

leve

ls t

hat

mig

ht r

easo

nabl

y be

exp

ecte

d to

pre

vail

at t

he t

ime

of f

ailu

re,

the

defa

ult

star

ting

wat

er s

urfa

ce e

leva

tion

used

in

flood

rou

tings

for

ev

alua

tion

of o

verto

ppin

g sh

ould

be

the

max

imum

no

rmal

poo

l el

evat

ion

(i.e.

top

of

activ

e st

orag

e po

ol).

Oth

er s

tarti

ng w

ater

sur

face

ele

vatio

ns m

ay

be u

sed,

with

app

ropr

iate

just

ifica

tion.

Ju

stifi

catio

n sh

ould

be

base

d on

ope

ratin

g ru

les

and

oper

atin

g hi

stor

y of

the

rese

rvoi

r. T

he o

pera

ting

hist

ory

used

sh

ould

be

of

su

ffici

ent

leng

th

to

supp

ort

any

conc

lusi

ons

draw

n (e

.g.,

20 y

ears

or

mor

e).

But

Page 59: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

59 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

cons

ider

atio

n sh

ould

be

give

n to

pos

sibl

e in

stan

ces

whe

re th

e op

erat

ing

hist

ory

and/

or ru

les

have

bee

n in

fluen

ced

by

anom

alou

s co

nditi

ons

such

as

dr

ough

t.

93

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

6.2.2

/page

69

Com

men

t: La

st bu

llet -

max

imum

obse

rved p

ool e

levati

on an

d max

imum

norm

al po

ol ele

vatio

n Co

ncer

n:

Thes

e ter

ms ar

e not

defin

ed in

the d

ocum

ent.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Su

gges

t a de

finitio

n be a

dded

to IS

G do

cume

nt an

d/or p

rovid

e ex

ample

s.

Resp

onse

: Ma

ximum

norm

al po

ol ele

vatio

n is d

efine

d as t

he to

p of

activ

e stor

age.

Refer

ence

to m

axim

um ob

serve

d po

ol lev

el is

no lo

nger

used

. Ac

tion:

St

aff po

sition

now

read

s: In

vie

w o

f th

e un

certa

intie

s in

volv

ed i

n es

timat

ing

rese

rvoi

r le

vels

tha

t m

ight

rea

sona

bly

be e

xpec

ted

to p

reva

il at

the

tim

e of

fai

lure

, th

e de

faul

t st

artin

g w

ater

sur

face

ele

vatio

n us

ed i

n flo

od r

outin

gs f

or

eval

uatio

n of

ove

rtopp

ing

shou

ld b

e th

e m

axim

um

norm

al p

ool

elev

atio

n (i.

e. t

op o

f ac

tive

stor

age

pool

). O

ther

sta

rting

wat

er s

urfa

ce e

leva

tions

may

be

use

d, w

ith a

ppro

pria

te ju

stifi

catio

n.

Just

ifica

tion

shou

ld b

e ba

sed

on o

pera

ting

rule

s an

d op

erat

ing

hist

ory

of th

e re

serv

oir.

The

ope

ratin

g hi

stor

y us

ed

shou

ld

be

of

suffi

cien

t le

ngth

to

su

ppor

t an

y co

nclu

sion

s dr

awn

(e.g

., 20

yea

rs o

r m

ore)

. B

ut

cons

ider

atio

n sh

ould

be

give

n to

pos

sibl

e in

stan

ces

whe

re th

e op

erat

ing

hist

ory

and/

or ru

les

have

bee

n in

fluen

ced

by

anom

alou

s co

nditi

ons

such

as

dr

ough

t.

94

Loca

tion:

7.1/pa

ge 70

Re

spon

se:

Page 60: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

60 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Com

men

t: 4th b

ullet

– los

s of g

ener

ation

by flo

oding

of sw

itchy

ard.

Conc

ern:

In

most

case

s the

tail d

eck c

ontro

ls wh

en ge

nera

tion i

s stop

ped.

Switc

hyar

d is u

suall

y at a

high

er el

evati

on th

an th

e tail

deck

(the

point

at

which

the p

ower

hous

e is f

loode

d due

to hi

gh ta

ilwate

r).

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

Su

gges

t inco

rpor

ating

the c

onsid

erati

on of

loss

of th

e swi

tchya

rd or

the

powe

rhou

se du

e to f

loodin

g, wh

ichev

er is

at a

lower

elev

ation

.

The o

bser

vatio

n is c

orre

ct.

Actio

n:

Modif

ied st

ateme

nt to

refle

ct los

s of p

ower

hous

e, or

sw

itchy

ard.

This

discu

ssion

is no

w in

Secti

on 4.

7.2.1.

95

[J.W

. She

a, T

VA]

Loca

tion:

10.1.

2 and

10.2

/pag

es 82

-84

Co

mm

ent:

NRC

prefe

rs us

e of 2

-D an

alysis

over

a 1-

D an

alysis

. Co

ncer

n:

Effor

ts to

addr

ess t

he is

sues

disc

usse

d in t

his se

ction

can h

ave a

sig

nifica

nt im

pact

on th

e tim

e req

uired

to co

nduc

t the a

nalys

es. E

ffort

to de

velop

and c

alibr

ate a

2-D

mode

l is w

ell be

yond

that

for a

1-D

mode

l and

the c

urre

nt ha

zard

reev

aluati

on an

alysis

sche

dule

does

not

supp

ort a

2-D

analy

sis fo

r a la

rge a

nd co

mplic

ated r

iver s

ystem

. Pr

opos

ed R

esol

utio

n:

TVA

inten

ds to

use a

1-D

HECR

AS an

alysis

. Rec

omme

nd gu

idanc

e inc

lude a

listin

g of 1

-D an

d 2-D

mod

els fo

r whic

h app

ropr

iate a

nalys

es

have

been

revie

wed a

nd ap

prov

ed by

NRC

staff

.

Resp

onse

: Th

e ISG

does

not p

ropo

se 2D

analy

sis fo

r the

entire

wa

tersh

ed or

river

syste

m. 2

D an

alysis

is pr

opos

ed

for ca

ses w

here

it ma

y hav

e a si

gnific

ant e

ffect

on

calcu

lation

of in

unda

tion w

ater le

vel a

nd ve

locitie

s at

the N

PP si

te. T

he N

RC do

es no

t end

orse

spec

ific

mode

ling s

oftwa

re. T

he us

e of a

partic

ular p

acka

ge

shou

ld be

justi

fied b

y the

licen

see.

Actio

n:

No ch

ange

to te

xt.

Page 61: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

61 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

96

[K. C

anva

n, E

PRI]

Loca

tion:

Sec

tion

1.4.2,

from

pag

e 56

Mod

elin

g C

onse

quen

ces o

f Sei

smic

Dam

Fai

lure

“G

iven

the

haza

rd fr

eque

ncy

targ

et o

f 1x1

0-6

disc

usse

d in

Se

ctio

n 1.

4.2,

the

dam

failu

re fl

ood

wav

e at

the

site

shou

ld b

e co

mbi

ned

with

flow

s of a

freq

uenc

y th

at re

sult

in a

com

bine

d an

nual

pro

babi

lity

of lx

1 0-

6. F

or e

xam

ple,

if th

e da

m fa

ils u

nder

a

10-4

gro

und

mot

ion;

com

bine

the

dam

bre

ak fl

ood

wav

e w

ith a

10

0-ye

ar fl

ood.

If th

e da

m fa

ils u

nder

a 1

0-3

grou

nd m

otio

n,

com

bine

the

dam

bre

ak fl

ood

wav

e it

with

a 1

000-

year

floo

d."

Com

men

t: Th

e co

mbi

ning

of a

n ea

rthqu

ake

and

a flo

od b

y si

mpl

y m

ultip

lyin

g th

eir a

nnua

l pro

babi

litie

s of o

ccur

renc

e do

es n

ot

allo

w fo

r the

ver

y sm

all d

urat

ion

with

in a

yea

r for

the

earth

quak

e to

coi

ncid

e w

ith a

long

er b

ut st

ill o

nly

a fa

irly

smal

l fra

ctio

n of

a

year

for t

he d

urat

ion

of m

ost f

lood

s.

Prop

osed

Res

olut

ion:

R

ecom

men

d co

nsid

erat

ion

of m

etho

dolo

gy in

: Eve

nt

Com

bina

tion

Ana

lysi

s for

Des

ign

and

Reh

abili

tatio

n of

U.S

. A

rmy

Cor

ps o

f Eng

inee

rs N

avig

atio

n St

ruct

ures

by

Bru

ce R

. El

lingw

ood,

Con

tract

Rep

ort I

TL-9

5-2,

July

199

5, U

S A

rmy

Cor

ps o

f Eng

inee

rs, W

ater

way

s Exp

erim

ent S

tatio

n.

Resp

onse

: Se

ction

1.4.2

has b

een r

evise

d to r

emov

e this

ap

proa

ch of

comb

ining

earth

quak

e and

flood

. See

re

spon

se to

comm

ent 3

9 Ac

tion:

Se

e res

pons

e to c

omme

nt 39

.

97

[K. C

anva

n, E

PRI]

Loca

tion:

Pag

e 76

"How

ever

, the

ir pa

per d

oes n

ot p

rovi

de c

lear

crit

eria

for

sele

ctin

g th

e er

odib

ility

inde

x."

Com

men

t: X

u an

d Zh

ang

(200

9) d

o no

t pro

vide

det

aile

d cr

iteria

for

sele

ctin

g th

e er

odib

ility

inde

x be

caus

e th

ey st

ate

that

they

use

d

Resp

onse

: Sa

me as

comm

ent 6

6 [J.

Riley

]. See

resp

onse

to

comm

ent 6

6 Ac

tion:

Se

e res

pons

e to c

omme

nt 66

Page 62: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

62 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

defin

ition

s in

a pa

per b

y B

riaud

, whi

ch p

rovi

des d

etai

led

defin

ition

s.

98

[K. C

anva

n, E

PRI]

Loca

tion:

pag

e 76

- "I

n ad

ditio

n, a

necd

otal

evi

denc

e su

gges

ts

that

thei

r rel

atio

n fo

r fai

lure

tim

e m

ay b

e bi

ased

in

favo

r of l

onge

r tim

es (W

ahl,

2013

)."

Com

men

t: X

u an

d Zh

ang

defin

e fa

ilure

tim

e di

ffer

ently

than

in o

ther

em

piric

al b

reac

h pa

ram

eter

stud

ies.

This

mea

ns th

at o

ne m

ust

use

thei

r fai

lure

tim

e es

timat

es in

a b

reac

h m

odel

(e.g

. HEC

-R

AS)

in a

way

that

is c

onsi

sten

t with

thei

r def

initi

on. I

t is n

ot a

fu

ndam

enta

l def

icie

ncy

or fl

aw in

the

met

hod.

Resp

onse

: Sa

me as

comm

ent 6

7 [J.

Riley

]. See

resp

onse

to

comm

ent 6

7 Ac

tion:

Se

e res

pons

e to c

omme

nt 67

99

[K. C

anva

n, E

PRI]

Loca

tion:

pag

es 7

7 an

d 78

- Se

ctio

n 8.

2.2.

1, U

ncer

tain

ty in

Pr

edic

ted

Bre

ach

Para

met

ers a

nd H

ydro

grap

hs a

nd S

ectio

n 8.

2.2.

2, P

erfo

rmin

g Se

nsiti

vity

Ana

lyse

s to

Sele

ct B

reac

h Pa

ram

eter

s. Co

mm

ent:

It is

use

ful t

o re

cogn

ize

that

"un

certa

inty

" in

re

gres

sion

equ

atio

ns is

ass

ocia

ted

with

"un

expl

aine

d va

rianc

e"

and

that

phy

sica

l arg

umen

ts/e

ngin

eerin

g ju

stifi

catio

ns c

an b

e m

ade

as to

whe

re in

the

rang

e of

"un

certa

inty

" a

parti

cula

r dam

w

ould

be

expe

cted

to fi

t giv

en it

s phy

sica

l cha

ract

eris

tics t

hat a

re

not s

peci

fical

ly in

clud

ed in

the

"exp

lain

ed v

aria

nce"

repr

esen

ted

by th

e m

athe

mat

ical

form

of t

he re

gres

sion

equ

atio

n. T

here

fore

it

may

not

be

appr

opria

te to

per

form

sens

itivi

ty a

naly

ses o

ver t

he

entir

e ra

nge

of u

ncer

tain

ty o

n pr

edic

ted

brea

ch p

aram

eter

s (or

pr

edic

ted

peak

bre

ach

flow

rate

s).

Resp

onse

: Sa

me as

comm

ent 6

8 [J.

Riley

]. See

resp

onse

to

comm

ent 6

8 Ac

tion:

No

chan

ge to

text.

100

[M. M

cCan

n]

Gen

eral

Com

men

t

This

is a

n im

porta

nt IS

G fo

r the

NR

C a

nd fo

r the

dam

s in

dust

ry. T

he

Resp

onse

:

Page 63: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

63 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Sta

ff ha

s do

ne a

goo

d jo

b in

pul

ling

it to

geth

er in

a s

hort

perio

d of

tim

e.

No

ne

Actio

n:

None

101

[M. M

cCan

n]

Gen

eral

Com

men

t

The

docu

men

t see

ms

to d

eal w

ith p

art o

f the

pro

blem

ass

ocia

ted

with

da

ms

upst

ream

of N

PP

– S

cree

ning

Ana

lysi

s an

d th

e as

sess

men

t of

flood

ing

at N

PP

site

s. It

doe

s no

t rea

lly a

ddre

ss th

e is

sue

of h

ow th

e ev

alua

tion

of d

am(s

) sho

uld

be c

arrie

d ou

t whe

n th

ey p

ose

a flo

od

thre

at to

a N

PP

.

Resp

onse

: Tr

ue st

ateme

nt. D

etaile

d guid

ance

on st

ructu

ral

analy

sis un

der v

ariou

s loa

ding c

ases

is be

yond

the

scop

e of th

e ISG

. Lo

ok in

to pr

ovidi

ng ge

nera

l guid

ance

, with

re

feren

ces p

ointin

g to m

ore d

etaile

d guid

ance

by

USBR

, USA

CE, F

ERC.

Ac

tion:

TB

D

102

[M. M

cCan

n]

Gen

eral

Com

men

t

From

my

read

of t

he d

raft,

it a

ppea

rs th

ere

is a

mix

ed m

essa

ge w

ith

rega

rd to

the

use

of d

eter

min

istic

and

pro

babi

listic

met

hods

. Thi

s is

, as

a m

inim

um, c

onfu

sing

for t

he p

lant

ow

ner,

tryin

g to

dec

ide

how

to

appr

oach

this

pro

blem

. It s

eem

s to

me

the

Sta

ff ne

eds

to p

rese

nt a

cl

ear a

nd c

onci

se d

irect

ion

and

guid

ance

for d

ealin

g w

ith th

is is

sue.

Resp

onse

: Th

e ISG

focu

ses o

n pro

babil

istic

appr

oach

es fo

r tho

se m

echa

nisms

for w

hich p

roba

bilist

ic an

alysis

is

stand

ard e

ngine

ering

prac

tice (

e.g., s

eismi

c haz

ard)

.Pr

obab

ilistic

appr

oach

es fo

r esti

matin

g the

extre

me

rainf

all an

d floo

d eve

nts of

inter

est in

this

ISG

(e.g.

1e-4

pe

r yr o

r lowe

r ann

ual e

xcee

danc

e pro

babil

ity) e

xist, b

ut the

re ar

e no i

ndus

try co

nsen

sus s

tanda

rds o

r fed

eral

guida

nce t

hat d

efine

curre

nt ac

cepte

d pra

ctice

. Sim

ilarly

for

sunn

y-day

failu

re.

The N

RC is

curre

ntly i

nves

tigati

ng P

FHA

metho

ds,

with

the in

tentio

n of in

corp

orati

ng pr

obab

ilistic

me

thodo

logies

for f

lood h

azar

d esti

matio

n into

its

regu

lator

y fra

mewo

rk, w

here

appli

cable

.

Page 64: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

64 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

Actio

n:

No ch

ange

to te

xt.

103

[M. M

cCan

n]

Gen

eral

Com

men

t

From

my

read

of t

he d

ocum

ent,

it se

ems

as if

the

Sta

ff is

tryi

ng to

take

a

risk-

info

rmed

app

roac

h to

this

pro

blem

(at l

east

for p

arts

of t

he

prob

lem

) – w

hich

I be

lieve

is a

ppro

pria

te. H

owev

er, t

his

is n

ot c

lear

ly

stat

ed a

t the

beg

inni

ng a

nd n

ot fu

lly c

arrie

d ou

t.

Resp

onse

: Re

spon

se to

this

comm

ent is

same

as th

e pre

vious

co

mmen

t. Ac

tion:

No

chan

ge to

text.

104

[M. M

cCan

n]

Gen

eral

Com

men

t

I sug

gest

car

e be

take

n in

refe

rrin

g/ad

optin

g ex

istin

g do

cum

enta

tion

and

met

hods

dev

elop

ed b

y ot

hers

. The

re a

re a

t lea

st fe

w e

xam

ples

w

here

refe

renc

e is

mad

e to

met

hods

of o

ther

s th

at I

belie

ve w

ould

not

m

eet c

urre

nt N

RC

requ

irem

ents

.

Resp

onse

: Th

e pur

pose

of th

is IS

G is

to pr

ovide

guida

nce t

o lic

ense

es w

hen r

espo

nding

to th

e 50.5

4(f)

Requ

est

for In

forma

tion.

The

requ

ireme

nts fo

r res

pond

ing to

an

infor

matio

n req

uest

are n

ot ne

cess

arily

the s

ame

as th

e req

uirem

ents

impo

sed f

or lic

ensin

g acti

ons.

Actio

n:

No ch

ange

to te

xt.

105

[M. M

cCan

n]

Gen

eral

Com

men

t

Sta

ff po

sitio

ns a

re o

ften

over

ly w

ordy

and

/or c

onfu

sing

. I s

ugge

st th

e po

sitio

ns b

e re

view

ed c

lose

ly a

nd w

ritte

n in

a m

anne

r tha

t con

cise

ly

stat

es w

hat t

he S

taff’

s po

sitio

n is

. Spe

cific

com

men

ts la

ter w

ill po

int t

o th

is d

irect

ly.

Resp

onse

: W

ill re

view

docu

ment

for cl

arity

. Ac

tion:

W

ill re

view

docu

ment

for cl

arity

.

106

[M. M

cCan

n]

Gen

eral

Com

men

t

Ther

e ar

e a

num

ber o

f inc

onsi

sten

cies

in th

e S

taff

posi

tions

take

n w

ith

othe

r NR

C p

ositi

ons.

For

inst

ance

, why

is u

se o

f the

US

GS

sei

smic

ha

zard

ana

lysi

s ap

prop

riate

for t

he a

naly

sis

of g

roun

d m

otio

ns a

t dam

Resp

onse

: Ta

lk to

seism

ic fol

ks ab

out th

is….

Actio

n:

Page 65: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

65 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

site

s w

hen

it is

una

ccep

tabl

e fo

r the

eva

luat

ion

grou

nd m

otio

n ha

zard

at

NPP

site

s?

107

[M. M

cCan

n]

Sect

ion

1.4.

2, p

. 7, 8

Sta

ff Po

sitio

ns

Firs

t Pos

ition

-In

gene

ral,

both

the

prob

abili

ty o

f the

haz

ard

and

the

capa

city

/frag

ility

of t

he d

am w

ould

fact

or in

to th

e fa

ilure

like

ho

od d

eter

min

atio

n. H

owev

er, t

o th

e ex

tent

that

the

dam

ca

paci

ty o

r fra

gilit

y is

not

kno

wn,

mor

e w

eigh

t mus

t be

plac

ed

on th

e ha

zard

pro

babi

lity.

The

refo

re, t

he h

azar

d pr

obab

ility

ta

rget

for j

udgi

ng th

e lik

elih

ood

of a

par

ticul

ar fa

ilure

m

ode/

scen

ario

(eith

er fr

om a

sing

le h

azar

d or

app

ropr

iate

co

mbi

natio

n) is

1 x

10-6

ann

ual e

xcee

d pr

obab

ility

with

ju

stifi

catio

n (i.

e., d

am fa

ilure

may

be

excl

uded

from

furt

her

cons

ider

atio

n if

it ca

n be

show

n by

a d

am sp

ecifi

c en

gine

erin

g as

sess

men

t tha

t the

pro

babi

lity

of fa

ilure

is 1

x10-6

per

yea

r or

less

usi

ng c

urre

nt b

est p

ract

ices

). …

……

……

……

……

. Th

is p

ositi

on se

ts th

e st

age

for a

num

ber o

f the

pos

ition

s tha

t ha

ve b

een

laid

out

, so

it is

qui

te im

porta

nt. A

n ov

erar

chin

g co

ncep

t tha

t is b

eing

pro

mot

ed is

the

idea

of s

cree

ning

on

the

basi

s of h

azar

d. A

s an

appr

oach

this

can

be

viab

le. H

owev

er, t

he

inte

nt o

r cla

im th

is is

not

the

appr

oach

that

is b

eing

take

n. F

or

inst

ance

, whe

n yo

u sa

y th

e ut

ility

can

eva

luat

e a

dam

for a

10-4

gr

ound

mot

ion

and

show

ther

e is

suff

icie

nt m

argi

n, e

tc.;

this

is

not a

haz

ards

bas

ed a

ppro

ach,

nor

is it

an

appr

oach

that

pla

ces

mor

e w

eigh

t on

the

haza

rd. I

n fa

ct, i

t is p

laci

ng a

gre

at d

eal o

f w

eigh

t on

frag

ility

of t

he d

am. S

o m

uch

so, t

hat a

stan

dard

has

be

en se

t tha

t the

mar

gin

muc

h be

so g

reat

that

a ri

sk re

duct

ion

of

a fa

ctor

of 1

00 m

ust b

e pr

ovid

ed b

y th

e da

m. T

his i

s unl

ikel

y to

oc

cur.

Resp

onse

: Th

is se

ction

and t

he st

aff po

sition

s hav

e bee

n mo

dified

to re

flect

the pr

actic

al dif

ficult

y of e

stima

ting

haza

rds a

t the 1

e-6 a

nnua

l exc

eeda

nce p

roba

bility

. Ac

tion:

Se

ction

1.4.2

has b

een m

odifie

d as d

escri

bed i

n the

re

spon

se to

comm

ent 3

9 [J.

Riley

]

Page 66: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

66 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

My

sugg

estio

n w

ould

be

that

you

stat

e w

hat i

t is y

ou a

re re

ally

do

ing

and

wha

t you

are

tryi

ng to

ach

ieve

(I th

ink

you

are

taki

ng

a ris

k-in

form

ed a

ppro

ach)

. A

cou

ple

of q

uest

ions

rega

rdin

g th

is p

ositi

on:

a.

Wha

t doe

s the

follo

win

g m

ean

- for

judg

ing

the

likel

ihoo

d of

a

part

icul

ar fa

ilure

mod

e/sc

enar

io.

b.

In th

e ab

ove

quot

e, w

hat d

oes ‘

judg

ing

the

likel

ihoo

d’

mea

n?

c.

Ditt

o –

Wha

t doe

s ‘pa

rticu

lar f

ailu

re m

ode/

scen

ario

’ mea

n?

Doe

s thi

s mea

n a

sing

le fa

ilure

mod

e du

e to

seis

mic

lo

adin

g? D

oes i

t mea

n al

l fai

lure

mod

es fo

r sei

smic

load

ing?

W

hat t

his r

eally

com

es d

own

to is

– w

hat d

oes t

he 1

0-6 re

ally

ap

ply

to?

For i

nsta

nce,

if th

ere

are

10 in

depe

nden

t sei

smic

fa

ilure

mod

es th

at le

ad to

unc

ontro

lled

rele

ase

of a

rese

rvoi

r (th

at p

oses

a p

robl

em fo

r a N

PP),

does

10-6

app

ly to

eac

h fa

ilure

mod

e, to

the

sum

?

109

[M. M

cCan

n]

Sect

ion

1.4.

2, p

. 7, 8

Sta

ff Po

sitio

ns

Seco

nd P

ositi

on -

Whe

n co

nsid

erin

g hy

drol

ogic

failu

re d

ue to

la

rge

flood

s, ex

trem

e ca

utio

n sh

ould

be

exer

cise

d w

ith re

gard

to

atte

mpt

s to

estim

ate

the

prob

abili

ty o

f det

erm

inis

tic e

stim

ates

su

ch a

s the

pro

babl

e m

axim

um p

reci

pita

tion

(PM

P) o

r pro

babl

e m

axim

um fl

ood

(PM

F). M

etho

ds th

at in

volv

e ex

trem

e ex

trap

olat

ion

of d

istr

ibut

ions

such

as l

og- P

ears

on a

nd o

ther

s ba

sed

on li

mite

d da

ta w

ill b

e vi

ewed

with

gre

at sk

eptic

ism

.

Resp

onse

: Ag

ree w

ith re

spec

t to co

mmen

t on e

xtrap

olatio

n. W

ith re

spec

t to co

mmen

t on U

SBR

best

prac

tices

, the

requ

ireme

nts fo

r res

pond

ing to

an in

forma

tion

requ

est a

re no

t nec

essa

rily th

e sam

e as t

hose

for a

lic

ensin

g acti

on (e

.g. w

here

RG

1.200

requ

ireme

nts

Page 67: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

67 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

I am

a b

it pu

zzle

d by

this

pos

ition

. It s

eem

s to

me

phra

ses

like

‘cau

tion

shou

ld b

e ex

erci

sed’

, ‘vi

ewed

with

gre

at s

kept

icis

m’ a

re n

ot c

onsi

sten

t w

ith th

e no

tion

of p

rovi

ding

gui

danc

e. I

wou

ld re

com

men

d th

at a

mor

e di

rect

, pos

itive

sta

tem

ent b

e m

ade

here

. As

it st

ands

it s

eem

s to

me

to

lead

to c

onfu

sion

for u

tiliti

es. M

y re

adin

g of

this

pos

ition

is s

impl

e –

you

will

not

acc

ept e

xtra

pola

tion

or p

oint

est

imat

es o

f the

pro

babi

lity

of

fictit

ious

larg

e ev

ents

like

the

PM

F. If

this

, or s

omet

hing

like

it is

wha

t yo

u m

ean,

then

I th

ink

you

shou

ld s

ay in

a s

impl

e, s

traig

ht fo

rwar

d m

anne

r. W

ith th

e w

ordi

ng y

ou h

ave

chos

en, y

ou le

ave

the

door

ope

n fo

r the

ana

lyst

. My

own

view

is, t

hese

app

roac

hes

you

refe

r to

have

no

plac

e in

a ri

sk-in

form

ed e

valu

atio

n of

a N

PP

. Sim

ilarly

, if t

here

is

som

ethi

ng y

ou w

ould

acc

ept,

say

it as

wel

l.

The

posi

tion

that

the

US

BR

Bes

t Pra

ctic

es is

an

acce

ptab

le a

ppro

ach

mig

ht b

e co

nsid

ered

in th

e fo

llow

ing

cont

ext.

If on

e w

ere

to a

sk th

e qu

estio

n as

to w

heth

er o

r not

thes

e pr

actic

es s

atis

fy th

e P

RA

sta

ndar

d fo

r Cat

egor

y 2

(see

als

o R

G 1

.200

), on

e w

ould

con

clud

e th

at th

ey d

o no

t. A

s su

ch, i

t see

ms

from

a n

ucle

ar re

gula

tory

per

spec

tive

that

thei

r ‘b

est’

is n

ot a

dequ

ate.

You

mig

ht re

-con

side

r thi

s po

sitio

n.

would

apply

). Ac

tion:

Th

is lan

guag

e reg

ardin

g extr

apola

tion h

as be

en

remo

ved f

rom

the IS

G.

110

[M. M

cCan

n]

Sect

ion

1.4.

2, p

. 7, 8

Sta

ff Po

sitio

ns

Thir

d Po

sitio

n - W

hen

cons

ider

ing

seis

mic

dam

failu

re a

nd

prob

abili

stic

seis

mic

haz

ard

asse

ssm

ent (

PSH

A), i

t is i

mpo

rtan

t to

not

e th

at th

e ha

zard

of i

nter

est t

o th

e N

PP is

a c

atas

trop

hic

failu

re re

sulti

ng in

unc

ontr

olle

d re

leas

e of

the

rese

rvoi

r, no

t lo

wer

leve

ls o

f dam

age

that

may

deg

rade

the

serv

ices

that

the

dam

pro

vide

s. It

is a

lso

reco

gniz

ed th

at th

e se

ism

ic d

esig

n of

da

ms t

ypic

ally

incl

udes

sign

ifica

nt m

argi

ns a

nd fa

ctor

s of s

afet

y.

In o

rder

to a

ccou

nt fo

r thi

s lev

el o

f mar

gin

befo

re fa

ilure

, it

acce

ptab

le to

use

the

1x10

-4 a

nnua

l fre

quen

cy g

roun

d m

otio

ns,

at sp

ectr

al fr

eque

ncie

s im

port

ant t

o th

e da

m, f

or se

ism

ic

eval

uatio

n of

dam

s, in

stea

d of

1x1

0-6,

as d

iscu

ssed

abo

ve.

How

ever

, app

ropr

iate

eng

inee

ring

just

ifica

tion

mus

t be

prov

ided

Resp

onse

: In

dust

ry c

onse

nsus

sta

ndar

ds a

nd fe

dera

l gui

danc

e fo

r a ri

sk-in

form

ed fr

amew

ork

for a

ll as

pect

s in

the

eval

uatio

n of

dam

s do

es n

ot c

urre

ntly

exi

st.

Actio

n:

Need

furth

er di

scus

sion w

ith N

RC se

ismic

staff.

Page 68: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

68 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

to sh

ow th

at th

e da

m h

as su

ffici

ent s

eism

ic m

argi

n. O

ther

wis

e th

e 1x

10-6

gro

und

mot

ions

shou

ld b

e us

ed.

As

I hav

e co

mm

ente

d pr

evio

usly

, the

use

of t

he 1

0-4 g

roun

d m

otio

n an

d ‘s

uffic

ient

’ mar

gin

will

not m

eet y

our g

oal o

f 10-6

. For

exa

mpl

e, if

a

utilit

y sh

ows

they

hav

e a

fact

or o

f saf

ety

of 1

.5 (a

larg

e m

argi

n in

the

seis

mic

ana

lysi

s fo

r dam

s), o

ne c

ould

read

ily s

how

this

will

not

be

equi

vale

nt to

the

eval

uatio

n at

the

10-6

gro

und

mot

ion.

I su

gges

t som

e ba

ckgr

ound

wor

k be

don

e to

est

ablis

h an

app

roac

h th

at w

ill be

in

tern

ally

con

sist

ent a

nd m

eet t

he s

tand

ard

you

are

setti

ng.

The

term

suf

ficie

nt m

argi

n is

vag

ue a

nd w

ill b

e co

nfus

ing

for t

he

anal

yst.

Ther

e is

a d

icho

tom

y w

ith re

gard

to p

ositi

ons

1, 2

and

3 fo

r sei

smic

an

d hy

drol

ogic

failu

res.

I po

sitio

n 1

a ty

pe o

f ris

k-in

form

ed a

ppro

ach

is

bein

g ta

ken.

In p

ositi

on 2

, effe

ctiv

ely

no p

ositi

on is

bei

ng ta

ken

othe

r th

an to

say

‘ext

rem

e ca

utio

n’ s

houl

d be

use

d……

…. W

hy n

ot e

stab

lish

a ris

k-in

form

ed fr

amew

ork

for a

ll as

pect

s in

the

eval

uatio

n of

dam

s?

111

[M. M

cCan

n]

Sect

ion

5.1.

3, p

. 45

In g

ener

al I

find

this

sec

tion

to b

e a

dist

ract

ion

and

mis

lead

ing.

It is

a d

istra

ctio

n be

caus

e th

e de

term

inis

tic a

naly

sis

has

no re

leva

nce

to th

e is

sue

bein

g ad

dres

sed

and

the

Sta

ff’s

posi

tion

on th

is s

ubje

ct.

The

refe

renc

es to

the

USG

S a

re n

ot re

leva

nt o

r sup

porti

ve o

f the

S

taff’

s go

als.

It is

mis

lead

ing

beca

use

of th

e af

orem

entio

ned

dist

ract

ion

and

the

impl

icat

ions

that

can

be

deriv

ed fr

om th

e st

atem

ent;

“For

tuna

tely

, m

uch

of th

is w

ork

has

alre

ady

been

don

e by

the

US

GS,

whi

ch h

as

prod

uced

map

s fo

r the

ent

ire U

.S. (

US

GS

, 200

8).”

The

fact

of t

he

mat

ter i

s, th

e U

SG

S m

aps

do n

ot m

eet t

he c

urre

nt s

tand

ard

of p

ract

ice

(am

ong

othe

r thi

ngs

they

do

not e

valu

ate

epis

tem

ic u

ncer

tain

ties

appr

opria

tely

(or a

t all

in s

ome

case

s)).

The

US

GS

map

s ar

e no

t an

acce

ptab

le b

asis

for i

nput

to e

stim

atin

g ris

ks to

nuc

lear

pow

er p

lant

s.

Rel

ativ

e to

the

Sta

ff po

sitio

n on

this

topi

c, I

wou

ld re

com

men

d th

at th

e

Resp

onse

: Ag

ree t

hat d

iscus

sion o

f dete

rmini

stic a

ppro

ache

s is

not n

eede

d. T

he re

feren

ce to

the U

SGS

maps

is a

vesti

ge of

an ea

rlier v

ersio

n of th

e doc

umen

t that

discu

ssed

using

the U

SGS

maps

as a

scre

ening

too

l. Ac

tion:

Se

ction

rena

med t

o “Pr

obab

ilistic

Seis

mic H

azar

d An

alysis

” Pa

ragr

aph o

n dete

rmini

stic a

nalys

is re

move

d. Re

feren

ce to

USG

S ma

ps ha

s bee

n rem

oved

.

Page 69: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

69 o

f 70

Com

men

t No.

C

omm

ent

DR

AFT

NR

C R

espo

nse

posi

tion

be w

orde

d in

suc

h a

man

ner t

hat i

t is

cons

iste

nt w

ith th

e N

RC

’s p

ositi

on w

ith re

spec

t to

PS

HA

and

the

asse

ssm

ent o

f pla

nt ri

sk.

112

[M. M

cCan

n]

Sect

ion

5.3,

p. 4

8

The

proc

ess

outli

ned

in F

igur

e 15

see

ms

reas

onab

le, b

ut m

ay b

e a

bit

prob

lem

atic

in p

ract

ice.

For

inst

ance

, wha

t is

mea

nt b

y D

ocum

ente

d M

argi

n/Fa

ctor

of S

afet

y? in

the

cont

ext o

f the

Sta

ff’s

posi

tion

(i.e.

, 10-6

) an

d th

e us

e of

10-4

. As

I men

tione

d in

my

prev

ious

com

men

ts, I

thin

k a

licen

see

coul

d ac

tual

ly s

how

som

e le

vel o

f mar

gin/

fact

or o

f saf

ety

(i.e.

, m

eets

a C

orps

sta

ndar

d) a

nd fa

ll sh

ort o

f an

acce

ptab

le fr

eque

ncy

of

dam

failu

re. D

o yo

u ha

ve a

bas

is fo

r the

app

roac

h yo

u ar

e pr

opos

ing

and

mor

e im

porta

ntly

do

you

have

a b

asis

to s

how

that

it w

ill w

ork.

From

a p

ract

ical

per

spec

tive

ther

e ar

e qu

estio

ns li

ke:

M

argi

n re

lativ

e to

wha

t – th

e M

CE

?, th

e 10

-4 (

this

of c

ours

e be

com

es a

chi

cken

and

egg

thin

g), e

tc.,

D

o yo

u ha

ve g

uida

nce

for w

hat a

mou

nt o

f mar

gin

is e

noug

h?

S

tatin

g th

e pr

ior b

ulle

t diff

eren

tly, d

o yo

u kn

ow w

hat m

argi

n w

ill be

con

sist

ent w

ith a

10-4

gro

und

mot

ion

leve

l and

a ri

sk

redu

ctio

n of

a fa

ctor

of 1

00?

With

rega

rd to

the

Sta

ff po

sitio

n, I

do n

ot a

gree

with

the

refe

renc

e to

us

ing

the

USG

S to

ols

and

mod

els

for d

evel

opin

g th

e 10

-4 g

roun

d m

otio

ns fo

r rea

sons

sta

ted

abov

e an

d in

my

prev

ious

com

men

t.

Resp

onse

: IS

G ha

s bee

n mod

ified t

o rem

ove t

he 1e

-6 cr

iteria

for

seism

ic ha

zard

. 1e-

4 is t

he ha

zard

targ

et.

Ask s

eismi

c folk

s abo

ut ob

jectio

n to U

SGS

tools…

Ac

tion:

Page 70: [2013-06-21] NRC Responses to Public Comments Japan ... · Response: Since the flood hazard reev aluation reports are to be submitted under “Oath and Affirmation”, it is expected

P

age

70 o

f 70


Recommended