The Center works to solve our region’s

toughest problems by engaging diverse

leaders, providing impactful

research, and defining actionable strategies.

During the last three years, we’ve been conducting the largest public-interest, business-led, regional Scenarios project in the country.

Scenarios 2040 presents two distinct stories of our future.

What is a Scenario?A Scenario is a story about a plausible future.

A Scenario is not a forecast or a vision.

One is not good and the other bad.

The Center is not advocating for one scenario or the other.

Why Scenarios?

Scenarios enlarge your lens.They challenge your current assumptions.

They encourage you to look at the uncertainties.They provide a different context for decision-making that includes global, national and local forces.

Why Scenarios?

Scenarios encourage innovation.They don’t answer questions, they help you know what questions to ask.

Scenarios illuminate a complex and uncertain world.They help force decisions based on values, not merely what you know.

Learning

To Live

Playing To Win

Assumptions Learning to Live Playing to Win

Size of Population 7 Million 12 Million

Diversity of Population

Diverse and holding Diverse and rapidly growing

Community Aspiration

Sustainability and quality of life Growth and economic development

Community Concern Education, environment, mobility Resource scarcity, security, mobility

Economic Engine Healthcare, energy, ports and education

Healthcare, energy, ports and water desalination

Economic Trajectory Long period of stagnation followed by a period of slow growth

Short period of stagnation followed by a period of explosive growth

Disparity Gap Narrowing Widening

Power and Influence Rise of the public sector Rise of the private sector

Technological Advances

Clean energy, communication technologies, education delivery mechanisms

Energy, medical devices, pharmaceuticals, water desalination

Comparison of basic assumptions

Which of the two scenarios seems most plausible to you?

a)Learning to Live (green)b)Playing to Win (blue)

Question 1:

Which of the following issues do you think will be most impactful in shaping the future or the region?

a)Population Growthb)Demographic Changesc)Business Climated)Quality of Life Issuese)Resource Scarcity

Question 2:

Which of the following issues do you think will be most impactful in positively shaping the future of the region?

a) Globalizationb) Growth of the Region’s

Logistics/Transportation Sectorc) Growth of the Region’s Energy Sectord) Growth of the Healthcare Sector

(Research, Services and Clinical Delivery)e) Business Climate & In-Migration of

Businesses/Personnel from Other States

Question 3:

Which of the following issues do you think will be most impactful in negatively shaping the future of the region?

a) Globalizationb) Population Growth c) Skilled Labor Deficitsd) Tax Policye) Resource Scarcity

Question 4:

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