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2014 12 FY - Presentation

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FY2014 Results Presentation 19 January 2015
Transcript
  • FY2014 Results Presentation 19 January 2015

  • 1

    Forward looking statements Important note

    This presentation and the following discussion may contain forward looking statements

    by M1 Limited (M1) relating to financial trends for future periods

    Some of the statements contained in this presentation or arising from this discussion

    which are not of historical facts are statements of future expectations with respect to

    financial conditions, results of operations and businesses, and related plans and

    objectives. Such forward looking statements are based on M1s current views and

    assumptions including, but not limited to, prevailing economic and market conditions

    and currently available information. These statements involve known and unknown risks

    and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ

    materially from those in the forward looking statements. Such statements are not, and

    should not be construed, as a representation as to future performance or achievements

    of M1. In particular, such statements should not be regarded as a forecast or projection

    of future performance of M1. It should be noted that the actual performance or

    achievements of M1 may vary significantly from such statements.

  • 2

    Overview

    Service revenue increased 1.4% YoY to S$831m

    EBITDA margin improved to 40.4% of service revenue

    Net profit after tax increased 9.7% YoY to S$176m

    Margin improved to 21.2%

    Postpaid ARPU for 4Q14 increased to S$63.1

    Mobile data was 38.8% of service revenue for 4Q14

    66% of postpaid customers on tiered data plans

    22% exceeded data bundle

    Fibre customer base increased 18,000 YoY to 103,000

    Proposed final dividend of 11.9 cents

    Estimate moderate growth in FY2015 net profit after tax

    Performance

    highlights

    Dividend &

    Outlook

    Financial

    highlights

    for 2014

  • 3

    Financial highlights

    Performance highlights

    Developments and outlook

    Agenda

  • 4

    Operating revenue (S$m)

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    Service revenue (S$m) 207 204 209 207 211 820 831

    172163 164 168 168

    644

    671

    2027 24 24 22

    114 89

    191636

    17 18

    62 71

    135

    72

    1631 43

    188245

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    Handset sales

    Fixed services

    International call services

    Mobile services

    +24.3%

    +38.4%

    240 250

    346

    240

    279

    1,008

    1,076

    +6.8%

  • 5

    Cost of sales (S$m)

    8 99 88 31 3313

    1110

    11 9

    39 38

    8

    14

    9

    17 15

    70 5264

    157

    98

    57 53

    284 330

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    Handset costs

    Traf f ic Expenses

    Other costs

    Wholesale costs of f ixed services

    +37.7%

    +98.8%

    86

    +6.8%

    93

    185

    89

    424

    453

    134

  • 6

    Other operating expenses (S$m)

    346

    38

    13 1168

    3 6 525 247

    878

    1924 308 782 8

    25 302019

    30

    20

    3

    7881

    2929

    2928 28

    109114

    29

    22

    31 27 28

    115114

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    Depreciation & amortisation

    Staf f costs

    Facilities expenses

    Leased circuit costs

    Other G&A expenses

    Advertising & promotion

    Doubtful debt provision

    +10.1%

    +3.9%

    97 98

    388404

    102106

    97

    +4.1%

  • 7

    EBITDA & net profit after tax

    EBITDA (S$m) & margin

    on service revenue

    Profit after tax (S$m) & margin

    on service revenue

    84 8679 82

    83

    336

    312

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    +9.3%

    +2.3%

    +7.4%

    4544 4541

    43

    176

    160

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    +9.9%

    +0.1%

    +9.7%

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    PAT margin

    (on service revenue)19.6% 21.0% 21.0% 21.5% 21.1% 19.5% 21.2%

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    EBITDA margin

    (on service revenue)38.2% 40.0% 39.8% 40.8% 40.9% 38.1% 40.4%

  • 8

    Capex & free cash flow

    Capex (S$m) Free cash flow (S$m)

    27

    67

    (42)5

    41

    176

    93

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    -973.3%

    -163.0%

    -47.0%

    283946 39

    33

    12514040

    40

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    Cost of spectrum

    -14.5% / +72.7%

    -0.2% / +101.6%

    +11.4% / +43.4%

  • 9

    Financial leverage

    S$m FY2013 FY2014 Change

    Cash & cash equivalents 54.5 22.8 -58.2%

    Net debt 195.5 279.2 42.8%

    Net assets 395.1 394.6 -0.1%

    Net debt/equity (x) 0.5 0.7 43.0%

    Net debt/EBITDA (x) 0.6 0.8 32.9%

    EBITDA/Interest (x) 70.1 83.0 18.4%

    Net assets per share (cents) 42.8 42.4 -0.9%

    EPS - diluted (cents) 17.4 18.8 8.3%

  • 10

    Financial highlights

    Performance highlights

    Agenda

    Developments and outlook

  • 11

    Mobile customers

    Postpaid customer base (000) Prepaid customer base (000)

    1,130 1,138 1,148 1,147 1,149

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

    979 966

    855

    756 703

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

  • 12

    Postpaid mobile

    Postpaid mobile revenue (S$m) Postpaid monthly ARPU (S$)

    148 147 151143 145

    558

    591

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    +5.9%

    +2.7%

    +5.8%

    54.4 55.1 55.5 55.2 56.8 53.4 55.6

    61.8 62.2 63.162.3 62.3 62.4 61.8

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    ARPU allocated to handset sales

    +2.1%

    +1.4%

    +1.0%

  • 13

    Prepaid mobile

    Prepaid mobile revenue (S$m) Prepaid monthly ARPU (S$)

    20 20 2121 19

    86

    80

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    +1.5%

    +2.4%

    -6.7%

    13.6 12.6

    13.7

    15.7 16.9

    14.8 14.5

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    +7.6%

    +24.3%

    -2.0%

  • 14

    Mobile market share

    Overall market share* Postpaid & prepaid market share*

    * - Based on published statistics available at the time of submission

    25.1% 25.0%24.1%

    23.3% 23.1%

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 Oct-14

    25.0% 24.9% 24.9% 24.7% 24.6%

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 Oct-14

    Postpaid

    25.2% 25.0%23.2%

    21.6% 21.1%

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 Oct-14

    Prepaid

  • 15

    Postpaid mobile

    Acquisition cost

    per postpaid customer (S$) Monthly churn rate (postpaid)

    Note: Cash basis

    396

    309

    268

    369

    438

    346 355

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    +10.6%

    +18.7%

    +2.6%

    1.1% 1.1%1.2%1.2%

    1.1% 1.1% 1.1%

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

  • 16

    Data plan ARPU & non-voice contribution

    Data plan ARPU (S$) Mobile data and SMS contribution

    to service revenue

    19.6 19.5 19.7 18.3 18.3

    20.8

    18.9

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    -6.6%

    0.0% -9.1%

    31.0%32.7% 34.4%

    36.4%38.8%

    28.9%35.6%

    12.4%12.3% 11.7%

    11.5%11.1%

    12.7%

    11.7%

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    SMS

    Mobile Data

    46.1%47.9%

    49.9%47.3%

    45.1%43.4%

    41.6%

  • 17

    Fibre monthly ARPU (S$) Fibre Customer base (000)

    Fixed services

    8590

    9498 103

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

    43.641.7 41.9

    45.046.4 46.1

    43.9

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    +6.4%

    +3.1% -4.8%

  • 18

    International call services

    International retail minutes

    (million mins)

    International call services

    revenue (S$m)

    291276

    314

    250

    324

    1,131

    1,303

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    -23.0%

    -9.4%

    -13.2%

    24 22 2024

    27

    114

    89

    4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY13 FY14

    -23.4%

    -9.3%

    -21.6%

  • 19

    Financial highlights

    Performance highlights

    Developments and outlook

    Agenda

  • 20

    Developments and outlook for 2015

    Faster network and devices will drive data growth

    First nationwide LTE-Advanced network supporting

    300Mbps

    Data usage of smartphone users

    Contributed 65% of total data traffic, up from 55% a year ago

    Average data usage grew to 3.0GB/month in 4Q14, from

    2.5GB/month a year ago

    Continue to invest in smart solutions and M2M platforms

    Support Smart Nation initiatives and machine-based

    applications

    Mobile

    services

    Residential

    Take-up of higher speed fibre plans will be ARPU accretive

    Corporate

    Focus on product and service differentiation

    Well-placed to capture growth with increasing fibre adoption

    Fixed

    services

  • 21

    Guidance for 2015

    Estimate moderate growth in FY2015 net profit after tax

    Capex to be around S$120m

    Financial

    guidance

    At least 80% payout ratio

    Regularly review capital requirements

    Dividend

    policy

  • 22

    Thank you


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