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2014 Half Year Report Management team presentation 28 August 2014
Transcript

2014 Half Year Report

Management team presentation

28 August 2014

highlights

Shaikan commercial production and sales

pending projects

Financing

outlook

• Security situation in the Kurdistan Region is stable and Gulf Keystone’s operations remain secure

• Shaikan production and export crude oil sales continue

• Ramp-up of Shaikan production from 10k bopd to over 20k bopd

• 2.2 mln bbl of gross Shaikan production and exports at US$51-56/bbl

• 5.2 mln bbl of total gross Shaikan production to date

• On track to get to 40k bopd by year end subject to the improving security situation

• Revenue of US$18.7 million achieved with US$35 million owed/ not yet recognised

• US$177 million of cash and cash equivalents at 26 August 2014

• Active discussions with the MNR to establish a regular payment cycle for past and future sales

2

H1 2014 highlights

highlights

Shaikan commercial production and sales

pending projects

Financing

outlook

4

Shaikan commercial production since July 2013

• Steady production of between 20,000 bopd and 24,000 bopd

• PF-1 producing at 14,000-15,000 bopd from three wells

• PF-2 started up in May 2014 and is currently producing between 6,000 bopd and 10,000 bopd from two wells

• Total production from Shaikan has now surpassed 5.2 million barrels

0.00

500,000.00

1,000,000.00

1,500,000.00

2,000,000.00

2,500,000.00

3,000,000.00

3,500,000.00

4,000,000.00

4,500,000.00

5,000,000.00

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

Field Daily Production Cumulative Oil

Production up to 21/08/2014

Cu

mu

lati

ve P

rod

uct

ion

(b

arre

ls)

Pro

du

ctio

n (

bar

rel/

day

)

5

Shaikan PF-1 and PF-2

Shaikan 1 Well

Shaikan 3 Well

Shaikan 4 Well

Shaikan 7 and 8 Wells

PF-1

Shaikan 2 Well

Shaikan 5 Well

Shaikan 10 Well

Shaikan 10 and 11

Wells

PF-2

• Near-term target of 40,000 bopd

– Shaikan-10 flowlines have arrived to connect to PF-2

– Shaikan-7 and -8 flowlines are arriving to connect to PF-1

– De-bottlenecking work to be performed at both PF-1 and PF-2

– Continue to target 40,000 bopd of production by the end of 2014

subject to the improving security situation and international

contractors availability

• Looking forward to the Phase 1 target

– 66,000 bopd will be achieved 20-24 months after commitment to

PF-3

– 100,000 will be achieved 20-24 months after commitment to PF-4

– These commitments will be made after a stable payment cycle for

Shaikan export crude oil sales has been established

6

Path to 40,000 ibopd and ibeyond

highlights

Shaikan commercial production and sales

pending projects

Financing

outlook

8

Priorities versus pending projects

Ramp-up of production to 40,000bopd and maintain oil export sales by truck

Establish a steady flow of revenues before making decision on further investment

Investment in PF-3, PF-4 and its associated development drilling and infrastructure

Tie in Shaikan -7, -8 and -10 wells to existing production facilities; drill Shaikan-11

Priorities

Side-track and re-test of Shaikan-6

Drilling of a Shaikan exploration well into the deep Triassic and the Permian

Review of the Shaikan FDP to include Cretacious, Triassic and potentially Permian developments

Completion of the appraisal of the Sheikh Adi discovery and decision on early development

Pending projects

highlights

Shaikan commercial production and sales

pending projects

Financing

outlook

H1 2014 Results 10

Source: GKP

$ million H1 2014 H1 2013 FY 2013

Average gross production (bopd)

12,940 - 1,360

Revenue 18.7 - 6.7

Cost of sales (16.5) - (12.0)

Gross profit/(loss) 2.2 - (5.3)

Loss after tax (29.8) (26.4) (32.0)

Cash balance 223.5 141.2 82.0

Operating revenues and costs • Significant ramp-up in production to rates in excess of 20,000 bopd

in June 2014 • Price realisations at the Shaikan facility of:

• $42/bbl for domestic sales; and • $51-56/bbl estimated for export sales

• H1 2014: domestic sales on accruals basis; export sales on a cash

receipts basis • First 3 payments, totalling $20.2 million, received by the Shaikan

contractors for export sales (Gulf Keystone interest: 80% - $16.2 million)

• H1 2014 unrecognised revenue estimated to be in the region of $35

million

• Cash operating costs per barrel significantly decreased from prior periods as a result of consistent production throughout the period (reduced from $27 to $9 per entitlement bbl)

Net proceeds of $240 million raised from the issue of debt securities and associated warrants in April 2014 funding 40,000 bopd production target. Cash balance of $224 million as at 30 June 2014 and $177 million at 26 August 2014.

(US$m net to GKP)

2014

(SH-

40kbopd)

2015

(SH-40kbopd)

Discretionary

(SH-66kbopd) Comments

Shaikan

PF 1 (including SH-7) 53.0 - - Completion of SH-7 and PF-1 and tie in of associated

wells

PF 2 (including SH-11) 46.5 2.8 - Drilling of SH-11, completion of PF-2 and tie in of

associated wells

PF 3 (including SH-12 to -14) - - 193.1 Construction of PF-3, drilling of SH-12 to SH-14 and

associated facility tie in

Acid gas injection (including SH-9) - - 72.5 Acid gas injection pilot project – SH-9 initially

producer

Development planning & FEED 4.2 0.9 - Continuing subsurface analysis and engineering

design

Sheikh Adi 35.0 2.4 1.7 Completion of SA-3 and development plan;

discretionary spend relates to additional test on SA-3

Ber Bahr 11.9 17.2 * 3-D seismic program and drilling of BB-2

Akri Bijeel 64.7 159.2 * Drilling and completion of 15 wells; production facility

tie in and commissioning

Non-cash items 17.9 - -

Non-cash accounting adjustments including

decommissioning asset and capitalised interest –

excluded from forecast

Total capex 233.2 182.5 267.3

Capex schedule 11

* GKP non-operated; capex within operator control

highlights

Shaikan commercial production and sales

pending projects

Financing

outlook

• Increase Shaikan production capacity to 40,000 bopd through the tie-in of four additional producing wells

(Shaikan-7, -8 , -10 and -11)

• Conclude discussions with the MNR on the establishment of a regular and predictable payment cycle for

past and future Shaikan crude oil export sales to generate steady revenues

• Manage expenditure in a responsible and prudent manner, continuing to review and control capital

commitments

• Once a steady flow of revenues has been established, make decisions on investment in additional

production facilities and associated development drilling and infrastructure to increase production to 66k

bopd and 100k bopd in line with Shaikan FDP

• Continue to review options regarding 20% working interest in the Akri-Bijeel Block

• Complete appraisal of the Sheikh Adi discovery, submit the appraisal report and make a decision

regarding early production and development

13

Outlook

By attending the meeting where this presentation is made, or by reading the presentation slides, you agree to be bound by the following limitations:

The information in this document has been prepared by Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (the "Company") solely for use at a presentation to be held in connection with the proposed offering (the "Offering") of notes (the “Securities”) by the Company.

These materials contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. These statements typically contain words such as "expects" and "anticipates" and words of similar import. Any statement in these materials that

is not a statement of historical fact is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results,

performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. None of the future projections, expectations, estimates or prospects in this presentation should be taken as forecasts or promises nor should they be taken as

implying any indication, assurance or guarantee that the assumptions on which such future projections, expectations, estimates or prospects have been prepared are correct or exhaustive or, in the case of the assumptions, fully stated in the presentation.

We assume no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.

Investment in the Securities will also involve certain risks. A summary of the material risks relating to the Offering will be set out in the section headed "Risk Factors" in the offering memorandum. There may be additional material risks that are currently not

considered to be material or of which the Company and its advisors or representatives are unaware.

This document and its contents are confidential and are being provided to you solely for your information and may not be retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, by any medium or in any form for any purpose.

The opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are subject to change without notice. The Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable but does not guarantee its

accuracy or completeness.

This presentation has not been approved by the UK Financial Conduct Authority. This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities, and nothing contained herein

shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is

subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been verified by the Company or by Deutsche Bank AG, London Branch and Pareto Securities AS (together the “Joint Lead Managers” and each a “Joint Lead

Manager”). Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its shareholders, directors, officers or employees or any of the Joint Lead Managers (and their shareholders, directors,

officers or employees) or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers or employees nor the Joint Lead

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obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this presentation or any additional information or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information which may become apparent.

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purchase Securities in the context of the proposed Offering, if any, should be made solely on the basis of information contained in an offering memorandum or prospectus published in relation to such Offering. No reliance may be placed for any purpose

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which this communication may relate is only available to, and any invitation, offer, or agreement to engage in such investment activity will be engaged in only with, relevant persons. Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this

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The information in this presentation is given in confidence and the recipients of this presentation should not engage in any behaviour in relation to qualifying investments or related investments (as defined in the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000

(FSMA) and the Code of Market Conduct made pursuant to FSMA) which would or might amount to market abuse for the purposes of FSMA.

This presentation and its contents are directed only at and may only be communicated to: (a) within the United States to persons who are qualified institutional buyers (“QIB’s”), defined in rule Rule 144A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the

“Securities Act”); and (b) outside the United States (within the meaning of regulation 5 under the Securities Act). Any investment activity to which this presentation relates is available only to (i) in the United States QIB’s, (ii) in the United Kingdom, Relevant

Persons and (iii) in any member state of the EEA other than the United Kingdom, Qualified Investors, and will be engaged in only with such persons. Persons who are not QIB’s, Relevant Persons or Qualified Investors should not attend the presentation

and should immediately return any materials relating to that meeting currently in their possession.

Neither this presentation nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into, or distributed, directly or indirectly in, Australia, Canada or Japan. This presentation is not a public offer of securities for sale in the United States. The Securities proposed in the

Offering have not been and will not be registered under the Securities Act and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration under the Securities Act. The Company does not intend to register any

portion of the proposed Offering under the applicable securities laws of the United States, Australia, Canada or Japan or conduct a public offering of any Securities in the United States, Australia, Canada or Japan. Subject to certain exceptions, the

Securities may not be offered or sold within the United States, Australia, Canada or Japan. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of U.S., Australian, Canadian or Japanese securities laws, as applicable. The distribution of

this document in other jurisdictions may also be restricted by law, and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions.

The Joint Lead Managers are acting for the Company in connection with the proposed Offering and for no one else and will not be responsible to anyone other than the Company for providing the protections afforded to clients of the Joint Lead Managers,

nor for providing advice in relation to the proposed Offering or any other matter referred to herein. Any prospective purchaser of the Securities in the Company is recommended to seek its own independent financial advice. The Joint Lead Managers have

not authorized the contents of, or any part of, this document.

14

Disclaimer

2014 Half Year Report

Management team presentation

28 August 2014


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