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2015 Investment Opportunities in European Education

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2015 Investment Opportunities in European Education February 2015
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  • 2015 Investment Opportunities in European Education February 2015

  • Parthenon | Page 2

    Agenda Introduction to Parthenon and EY

    Introduction to Parthenons Education Practice

    Overview of Investing in European Education

  • Parthenon | Page 3

    Introduction to Parthenon and EY Deep industry expertise in numerous sectors

    Consumer Education Financial

    Services

    Healthcare Life Sciences Information

    and Media

    Private Equity Industrial Technology

    $

  • Parthenon | Page 4

    Introduction to Parthenon and EY Comprehensive coverage of strategy and transaction processes

    * Services delivered in collaboration with other TAS and Advisory competencies.

    Commercial due diligence

    Divestiture preparation

    Forecast achievability

    assessment

    Merger and acquisition strategy

    Target identification/prioritization

    Brand audit

    Cost optimization

    Marketing mix effectiveness

    Pricing

    Sales force effectiveness

    Product strategy

    Post-merger integration

    Growth strategy

    Market diligence

    Market entry strategy

    Intellectual property monetization

    New market development

    Portfolio optimization

    Strategic options assessment

    Corporate/business unit strategy

    Competitive analysis and strategy

    Economic forecasting/modeling

    Innovation

    Marketing/distribution strategy

    Strategic resource allocation

  • Parthenon | Page 5

    Agenda Introduction to Parthenon and EY

    Introduction to Parthenons Education Practice

    Overview of Investing in European Education

  • Parthenon | Page 6

    Introduction to Parthenons Education Practice Over 1,000 education projects in more than 70 countries

    Major offices

    Education projects

    completed by Parthenon

    Pre-Kindergarten K-12 University Vocational

    and Other

    Career and

    Professional

  • Parthenon | Page 7

    Pre-K, Primary and Secondary

    Introduction to Parthenons Education Practice across the entire education landscape

    Nurseries K-12

    Higher Education

    Further, Vocational and

    Employability

    Tutoring and Test Preparation

    Pathway

    6th Form

    Continuous

    Fo

    un

    da

    tio

    n

    Post-secondary

    Pro

    fessio

    na

    l a

    nd

    Ex

    ec

    uti

    ve

    Co

    rpo

    rate

    Language (Including EFL)

    Publishing

    Ed

    uc

    ati

    on

    De

    live

    ry

    Ed

    uc

    ati

    on

    Su

    pp

    ort

    Se

    rvic

    es

    Technology Assessment Professional

    Support

    Po

    lic

    y Government Policy

    Foundation & Not-for Profit Policy

    Traditional Publishing

    Digital Content

    Technology Platforms and e-Learning Tools

    Testing School Improvement

    Legal and Financial

    Recruit-

    ment

    Infrastr

    ucture

    IT

    Accommodation Property and Construction Technology Infrastructure

    Specialist SEN and Educational Care

    Managed Services

    Facilities Management (e.g. Catering, cleaning, security)

    Software

    Training

    & Prof.

    Dev.

    Administration (e.g. Payroll)

    Other Services

    Learning Services (e.g. Learning Specialist Support)

    Learning Supplies

    Hardware Supplies

    Awarding Bodies

    Educational Tours & Travel

    Procure-

    ment

  • Parthenon | Page 8

    Agenda Introduction to Parthenon and EY

    Introduction to Parthenons Education Practice

    Overview of Investing in European Education

    Recent Deal Activity

    Global Education Themes

    Businesses to Watch in 2015

  • Parthenon | Page 9

    Recent Deal Activity ~200 PE deals have taken place in the sector since 2004; deal volumes between ed. support and ed. delivery are broadly inline with private spend

    Number of PE Deals in Education by Sector, Europe, 2004 2014

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100%

    Educational Delivery

    Pathway Provider

    Language (including EFL)

    Tutoring and Test Preparation

    Higher Education

    Corporate Training

    Nurseries

    Specialist SEN and Educational care

    K-12

    Professional Training

    Further, Vocational Employability

    142

    Educational Support

    DigitalContent

    Recruitment

    Technology Platforms ande-Learning Tools

    Traditional Publishers

    59 Total = 201

    Other ServicesTraining and Professional Development

    ~90B ~3BPublic and and Private Expenditure

    ~10B ~3BPrivate Expenduture

    UK Market

    Size

    Source: Preqin, Baird, Parthenon Analysis

  • Parthenon | Page 10

    Recent Deal Activity Deal volumes have grown; the growth is in education delivery rather than services

    Source: Preqin and Baird

    Number of PE Deals in Education by Year & Segment, Europe, 2004 2014

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    2004

    4

    5

    9

    2005

    6

    2

    8

    2006

    5

    10

    15

    2007

    7

    16

    23

    2008

    5

    14

    19

    2009

    4

    10

    14

    2010

    6

    19

    25

    2011

    5

    17

    22

    2012

    3

    16

    19

    2013

    9

    22

    31

    2014

    5

    11

    16

    Educational Support

    Educational Delivery

    Growing deals in sector driven by educational delivery

    Softening in 2014; deal volume expected to be close to 22

  • Parthenon | Page 11

    Recent Deal Activity The proportion of deals in the UK is falling as European markets grow: deal volume typically fall before elections

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    2004

    1

    6

    1

    1

    9

    2005

    5

    1

    2

    8

    2006

    3

    3

    5

    1

    1

    2

    15

    2007

    2

    2

    15

    1

    1

    2

    23

    2008

    2

    3

    10

    1

    1

    2

    19

    2009

    4

    4

    4

    1

    1

    14

    2010

    4

    2

    8

    4

    1

    3

    2

    1

    25

    2011

    2

    2

    7

    9

    11

    22

    2012

    1

    1

    13

    1

    1

    1

    1

    19

    2013

    4

    4

    14

    6

    1

    2

    31

    YTD2014*

    2

    2

    6

    4

    1

    1

    16

    67% 45% 38%63% 33% 65% 53% 29% 32% 32% 68%% UK

    UK

    Sweden

    Germany

    Netherlands

    France

    Switzerland

    Spain

    Other

    Number of PE Deals in Education by Year & Country, Europe, 2004 2014

    UK General

    Elections

    UK General

    Elections

    UK General

    Elections

    Source: Preqin and Baird

  • Parthenon | Page 12

    Agenda Introduction to Parthenon and EY

    Introduction to Parthenons Education Practice

    Overview of Investing in European Education

    Recent Deal Activity

    Global Education Themes

    Businesses to Watch in 2015

  • Parthenon | Page 13

    Global Education Themes Post-secondary enrolment growth is being driven by rising wage differentials and emerging market household income growth

    Rising Tertiary Enrolment Ratios and Income Differentials Rising Household Income Driving Student Mobility

    Bilateral Flows of International Students

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100%

    2007

    47%

    2008

    50%

    2009

    53%

    2010

    57%

    2011

    62%

    Germany HE Gross Enrolment Ratio

    0X

    1X

    2X

    3X

    Hungary

    0.7

    X 1.0

    X

    2.1

    X

    Germany

    0.9

    X

    1.0

    X

    1.6

    X

    UK

    0.7

    X 1.0

    X

    1.6

    X

    Below Upper Secondary

    Upper Secondary (Base)

    Tertiary

    Earnings of 25-64 Year Olds by Qualification Level, 2011

    Higher Education Professional and Executive K-12 Pathway & HE Language (EFL)

    University of Kent BPP Nord Anglia

    Education

    Cambridge

    Education Group

    British

    Council

  • Parthenon | Page 14

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100%

    EmployabilitySkills

    %o

    fE

    mp

    loye

    rsM

    en

    tio

    nin

    g

    82%

    Degree Subject

    68%

    Relevant WorkExperience

    67%

    Degree Result

    50%

    UniversityAttended

    8%

    ForeignLanguage Capability

    4%

    0 20 40 60 80 100%

    USUniversityStudent

    Population

    Industry SwitcherCareer StarterCareer Accelerator

    Aca

    de

    mic

    Wa

    nd

    ere

    r

    Coming ofAge

    Aspiring Academics 100%

    Emerging Education Themes leading to the rise of the non-traditional students and liberalisation of the private market

    Non-traditional Students Liberalisation and Role of the Private Sector

    Growth in Private & Public HE Enrolments,

    Selected Countries, 2010-12 (CAGR)

    US University Student Segments

    Employers Most Important Recruitment Criteria, UK

    Higher Education Professional and Executive

    Further, Vocational and

    Employability Higher Education

    Professional

    and Executive

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    70%

    US

    5%

    1%

    France

    3%

    0%

    UK

    69%

    -3%

    Germany

    20%

    5%*

    37% 18% 6% 5%Private Share(2012)

    Private

    Public

    BKF University of

    Applied Sciences,

    Budapest

    QA learndirect Bimm The University

    of Law

  • Parthenon | Page 15

    Emerging Education Themes In parallel, technology and accountability are driving the development of new products, especially in K-12

    E-volution Increased Accountability & Competition

    Maths PISA Scores, 2012 E-Learning Developments

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    Shanghai-China

    613

    Singapore

    573

    HongKong-China

    561

    ChineseTaipei

    560

    Korea

    554

    Germany

    514

    France

    495

    UnitedKingdom

    494

    UnitedStates

    481

    1 362 3 4 5 16 25 26Rank (/65)

    Time

    Innovation Trigger

    Peak of Inflated

    Expectations

    Trough of Disillusionment

    Slope of Enlightenment

    Plateau of Productivity

    E-L

    earn

    ing E

    xpecta

    tions

    Testing

    Professional

    Support

    Technology Platforms and

    e-Learning Tools

    Renaissance

    Learning

    Education

    Personnel itslearning

    Publishing and

    Digital Content Testing

    Technology Platforms and

    e-Learning Tools

    Renaissance

    Learning GL Education itslearning

  • Parthenon | Page 16

    Emerging Education Themes Attractive investment theses currently include most of post-secondary education and special educational needs

    Private Higher Education

    Vocational (Mainly UK) Corporate Training SEN (Mainly UK) Technology

    Post-secondary K-12

    Investm

    en

    t T

    hesis

    In

    vesto

    rs a

    nd

    T

    heir

    Assets

    Fastest HE enrolment growth

    will come from non-

    traditional students looking

    for employment related

    courses

    Private for-profit providers

    will benefit most as they are

    focused on:

    - Career orientated subjects

    (e.g. IT, business etc.)

    - More tailored University

    experience with smaller

    class sizes and

    specialised facilities

    - Career office and

    counselors focused on

    specific industries with

    strong links to employers

    Providers best positioned to

    grow have:

    Quality outcomes and ratings

    - Employer connections

    - National

    coverage/capability

    - Online offering

    - The sector remains

    fragmented and subject to

    consolidation

    Corporate spend on

    professional training will

    increase as economic growth

    recovers

    Spend on outsourced

    training will be prioritized for

    specialist areas

    Online capabilities which

    allow for flexibility (time and

    location) will be most

    attractive to employers and

    students

    There is an increasing

    preponderance for provision

    of special education needs

    which is being supported by

    robust government funding

    and a continued pupil bulge

    Opportunities exist for a

    multisite strategy similar to

    what has been achieved in

    traditional K-12 models

    US K-12 technology

    companies developing real

    scale

    Most of Europe still have to

    small domestic markets to

    build scale

    Sovereign

    Capital

    CEE Equity

    Partners

    Studialis Bregal

    Capital

    GSM

    London BKF

    Sovereign

    Capital LDC

    Lifetime

    Training

    Bridges

    Ventures

    learndirect

    Babington

    Business

    College

    Auctus Bregal

    Capital

    Career

    Partner QA

    Hellman &

    Friedman EQT

    Renaissance

    Learning itslearning

    Teachers'

    Pension Plan

    Acorn Care and Education

  • Parthenon | Page 17

    Whilst parental demand for a premium fee-paying K-12 school continues to grow,

    without an existing platform it may be a challenge to secure the acquisition of an

    asset

    The UK market has become increasingly crowded with several established

    platforms looking to grow through acquisition

    Opportunities may exist in Europe and globally

    GEMS Schools

    Emerging Education Themes but two of the most attractive investment theses in recent years (K-12 and traditional international pathways) may becoming more challenging for new entrants

    Buy-and-build UK, US, Aus

    K-12 Traditional International Pathways

    Ch

    allen

    ges t

    o In

    vestm

    en

    t T

    heses

    Is its possible to enter the market through a smaller asset and compete with the large global pathway providers?

    There are examples of some growing smaller providers, but it is becoming more challenging to find the opportunities to scale

    There may be an opportunity to target students at a younger age. Parents from key source countries are making their childs HE decisions at an earlier age for a number of reasons

    - Immersive English language

    - Assess to higher ranked universities

    - Greater portability of international school qualifications

    Minerva Education Cognita

    Teaching Excellence

    Bellevue

    Education

    Kings Group ACS International

    Schools

    EDUCAS Alpha Plus

    HIG Capital Magnum Capital

    Industrial Partners

    International School

    of Europe

    International Schools

    Partnership Laude Colegios

    Nace Centros

    Educativos

    Cambridge

    Education Group

    Navitas

    INTO

    StudyGroup

    Kaplan

    Shorelight

    Education

    Kinds

    Education

    Oxford International

    ISIS Education

  • Parthenon | Page 18

    Agenda Introduction to Parthenon and EY

    Introduction to Parthenons Education Practice

    Overview of Investing in European Education

    Recent Deal Activity

    Global Education Themes

    Businesses to Watch in 2015

  • Parthenon | Page 19

    Pre-K K-12 Corporate &Professional

    HigherEducation

    Vocational andEmployability

    EducationalServices

  • Parthenon | Page 20

    Pre-K K-12 Corporate &Professional

    HigherEducation

    Vocational andEmployability

    EducationalServices

  • Parthenon | Page 21

    Agenda Appendix

  • Parthenon | Page 22

    Appendix About Parthenon and the Education Practice

    About Parthenon-EY Parthenon combined with Ernst & Young LLP on August 29, 2014. Parthenon is a leading advisory organization focused on strategy consulting. We are

    committed to combining our unconventional thinking with our clients smarts to deliver actionable strategies. In todays comp lex business landscape, creativity has

    become a necessary ingredient for sustained success. Together with EY, we have an ideal balance of strengths specialized expertise with broad executional

    capabilities, intimate client relationships with larger networks of support, and proven processes along with a progressive spirit to unlock opportunity for our

    clients, amplify the impact of our strategies, and make Parthenon the global partner of choice for business leaders.

    About Parthenons Education Practice Parthenon has served as an advisor to the education sector since our inception in 1991. Our Education Practice the first of its kind across management

    consulting firms has an explicit mission and vision to be the leading strategy advisor to the global education industry. To achieve this, we invest significantly in

    dedicated management and team resources to ensure that our global expertise extends across public sector and non-profit education providers, foundations, for-

    profit companies and service providers, and investors. Parthenon has deep experience and a track record of consistent success in working closely with

    universities, colleges, states, districts, and leading educational reform and service organizations across the globe.

    Learn more about us at www.parthenon.ey.com

    Matthew Robb

    Managing Director

    [email protected]

    +44 (0) 207 201 0475

    +44 (0) 779 134 9 228

    Follow Us

    for Regular

    Updates

    Twitter | @Parthenon_Group

    Facebook | www.facebook.com/ParthenonGroup

    LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/company/the-parthenon-group

    Courtney Gainer

    Vice President

    [email protected]

    +44 (0) 207 201 0459

    +44 (0) 781 468 5339

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    please visit ey.com.

    Ernst & Young LLP is a client-serving member firm of

    Ernst & Young Global Limited operating in the US.

    2014 Ernst & Young LLP.

    All Rights Reserved.

    This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax, or other

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