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2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on...

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Page 1: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich
Page 2: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

2016 Yellowstone Fires

Presenter
Presentation Notes
2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars which was relatively unprecedented.
Page 3: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich
Presenter
Presentation Notes
100 square miles of fire was spread over the Northern half of the Park in 2016. Note the proximity to developed areas and roads, as well as, the distance between fires and HQ at Mammoth. 51,555 is final acreage of Maple per CBI imagery.
Page 4: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich
Page 5: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich
Presenter
Presentation Notes
I like to joke that there a lot of places in Yellowstone that I can hide a 10,000 acre fire. The Maple Fire wasn’t one of those fires. West Yellowstone isn’t one of those places.
Page 6: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Planning for Success

Guidance for Implementation

of Federal Wildland Fire Management

Policy

National Cohesive Strategy

NPS Wildland

Fire Strategic

Plan

Yellowstone National Park

FMP & EA

Presenter
Presentation Notes
The outstanding job of developing all of the overarching plans that allow for fire’s natural role on the landscape to be preserved at the Park level should be recognized. Without these plans none of our successes are possible, and we are back to cutting fireline in the snow.
Page 7: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Organizational Alignment

Superintendent’sOffice

Chief Ranger FMO

Presenter
Presentation Notes
The decisions to manage several fires on the landscape in 2016 was the direct result of several years of cultivating trust and communication between the FMO, Chief Ranger, and the Agency Administrator.
Page 8: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Success begets Success(794K in ’88)

Presenter
Presentation Notes
The latter half of the past 40 years of fire management in the Park has been considerably more active than the former. 10,000 acre seasons are the new normal, with some pushing 20K or 30K and now 70K+
Page 9: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

BUILT to

BURN

BITHversusYELL

Presenter
Presentation Notes
185 acres of NPS land per mile of boundary with private landowners versus 7400 acres of NPS land per mile of boundary with GYCC Federal partner boundary. <1% of YELL boundary is with private landowners. A portion of that is in West Yell.
Page 10: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Decision Support Tool

Page 11: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Critical 1000-hour Fuel Moistures

Maple Fire Start

Page 12: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Maple Fire Start

Page 13: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Maple Fire – Point of Origin August 8 1900 hours

Page 14: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Extremely favorable

Page 15: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

1008/

1

8/6

8/11

8/16

8/21

8/26

8/31 9/

5

9/10

9/15

9/20

9/25

9/30

Tem

pera

ture

and

RH

Dates

Maximum Temperature and Minimum RH During 2016 Maple Fire

Minimum RH

Maximum Temp

Majority of Maple Fire Growth

Page 16: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich
Page 17: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Maple Fire burning in ’88 scar

Page 18: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Challenges• Managing an IMT2 and 2 IMT3 at once

(Maple, Tatanka, & Centennial IMTs)• Distance between fires, ICP, & HQ• Competing priorities for AA and FMO• Internal and External Information• Finding Unit Leaders for IMT3• READs and Mechanical Fuels treatments

Page 19: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Positive Outcomes• 100 square miles of fire on the

landscape – most of it in ‘88 scar• Cost per acre ~$150/acre• No significant injuries• No structures lost• 80 acres of defensible space created

around community of West Yellowstone

Page 20: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Lessons Learned• Increased Fire Behavior in the ’88 scar• Exponential PIOF ordering• Earlier AREP/LOFR engagement• IBA & Buying Team support for IMT3• Mergers, Complexes, and Splits – Oh my!

Page 21: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

What’s next?• More research in the ’88 fire scar• Connecting research and management• Building depth and relationships• proactive fuels mngt. & IDT revamp• Applications of Quadrivectors• Water deficit climate models• Climate Smart Goals & Objectives

Page 22: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

QUADRIVECTORS

1000 acre growth days on Maple Fire

Page 23: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Climate Analyzer Model

Page 24: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Questions?

Page 25: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich
Page 26: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich
Presenter
Presentation Notes
You just never know when the
Page 27: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich
Page 28: 2016 Yellowstone Fires€¦ · 2016 Yellowstone Fires. 2016 was the largest fire season based on acreage burned since 1988. A majority of this acreage was inside of 1988 fire scars\ഠwhich

Mechanical Fuels treatment

Presenter
Presentation Notes
BITH staff have forgotten more about mechanical fuels treatment than I will ever learn. And their expertise was critical in formulating a mechanical fuels treatment along the west boundary of the Park to serve as a contingency line. Contingency operations have been and will likely always be some of the more controversial fire activities that we initiate. If it never is needed it was a bad idea. If is isn’t heavy enough you have wasted your time; if it is too heavy-handed it will reflect unfavorably on the whole operation. 50+ thousand acres of Maple fire on the landscape and I spent every day arguing with READs about 80 acres of thinning along a boundary that sits across the street from a community of thousands.

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