2017 Program Priorities

October 12th 2017

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Outline of Today’s Talk

• Five Decades of Environmental Stewardship

• 2016 Achievements

• Major Legislation Moving Us Forward

• Key Ongoing Actions

• Short-Lived Climate Pollutants Strategy

• Reinforcing California’s Leadership in 2017

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Five Decades of Environmental Stewardship

• 2017 marks CARB’s 50th anniversary of clearing California’s air

• 239 Stage 1 & 2 smog alerts in 1967 reduced to zero in 2016

• Black carbon emissions reduced by 90% since 1967

• Air quality improvements benefit Californians’ health

• Groundbreaking for new motor vehicles laboratory in Riverside that will be a world-class emissions testing and research facility

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2016 Achievements

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Progress in Improving Air Quality and Reducing Toxic

Emissions• EPA attainment determination:

• San Joaquin Valley 1-hour ozone

• San Luis Obispo and Mariposa 1-hour ozone

• Imperial 24-hour PM2.5

• Diesel cancer risk decreased 68% since 1990

• Greatest diesel PM reductionat monitors in EJ communities

• More action is still needed

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EJ Sites

Non-EJ Sites

Air Quality Attainment

• Over 12 million Californians still breathing unhealthy air

• Key challenges:• South Coast ozone• San Joaquin Valley PM2.5

• Need 80 percent reduction in NOx by 2031 to meet ozone standard in South Coast

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State Strategy for the SIP

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• Comprehensive set of actions for mobile sources and consumer products

• CARB’s commitment to achieve reductions needed for attainment in the South Coast and San Joaquin Valley

On-Track to Meet 2020 Climate Commitments

• On-track to meet 2020 commitments

• 100% of covered entities complied with cap-and-trade requirements

• Over $3 billion appropriated for climate investments

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Trends in California's Economy, and Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions Since 2000

Gross State Product

(GSP)

GHG Emissions

Deployment of Cleaner Technologies

In addition to regulatory requirements, incentives have helped create or move forward:

• Over 315,000 ZEVs and PHEVs on the road

• 42 ZEV&PHEV models now available – 6 with over 200 mile range

• Over 13,360 EV charging stations, 31 retail hydrogen stations

• Demo projects of cleaner technology trucks/equipment at ports

• Solar generation has more than doubled since 20139

Major Legislation A unified vision for transformation

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Major Legislation

• SB 32, Pavley: sets GHG emissions limit for 2030, to 40% below 1990 levels.

• AB 197, Eduardo Garcia:• increases transparency of integrated emissions data; • adds environmental justice members to the Board;• includes the social cost of GHG emissions.

• SB 1383, Lara: sets emission reduction targets for methane (CH4), black carbon, and hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) emissions, as directed by SB 605’s Short-Lived Climate Pollutant Strategy.

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Major Legislation

• AB 1550, Gomez: focuses California Climate Investment funding in disadvantaged communities.

• AB 398, Eduardo Garcia: codifies Cap-and-Trade extension to 2030.

• AB 617, Cristina Garcia: creates a new structure for community air monitoring and emissions reductions.

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Key Ongoing Actions

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Reduce Toxics and Health Risk

Key priorities:

• Integrate strategies for air quality, risk reduction, and climate goals

• Enhance CARB’s air toxics program in light of new evidence on health impacts of exposure to air toxics

• Identify opportunities for direct emission reductions under AB 197, AB 617, and incentives under AB 1550

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Focusing on Environmental Justice

• Continue expanding outreach and enforcement

• Recommendations on eliminating barriers to zero emission transportation

• Incorporate disadvantaged communities and low-income investment requirements into funding programs

• Integrate environmental justice considerations throughout agency/programs

• Appointment of Assistant Executive Officer for Environmental Justice under AB 617 15

Meeting Post 2020 Climate Goals

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• Finalize 2017 Scoping Plan Update to reflect SB 32, AB 398, and SB 1383 targets

• Implement actions identified in Short Lived Climate Pollutant Strategy

• Enhance existing programs such as Cap & Trade and LCFS

• Partner with districts to reduce GHGs and criteria/TACs

• Integrate EJAC recommendations into programs

2030 GHG Target

Investing in the Transformation

• Defining and prioritizing funding needs

• Focused funding in low-income/disadvantaged communities AB 1550, SB 350 and SB 535

• Encouraging innovative funding sources and approaches

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Next Steps in Implementing Measures in the SIP Strategy

• Identify and deploy clean technologies

• Secure funding for accelerated turnover to clean technologies

• Identify additional regulatory measures

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South Coast Emissions Inventory Key Sources

• NOx benefits by 2031 with current programs • Mobile source emissions reduced

over 50 percent• Heavy-duty vehicle emissions

reduced by nearly 70 percent

• Heavy-duty trucks and federal sources remain largest contributors

• Heavy-duty trucks emit 33 percent of statewide NOx, 509 tpd

• Need to reduce heavy-duty NOx by 90 percent

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Achieving Healthful Air in the San Joaquin Valley

• Requires comprehensive integrated strategy addressing all PM2.5 standards

• Address multiple source types throughout the year

• CARB rule making and incentives to accelerate clean technology deployment

• District actions and partnership on incentive programs

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CA’s Midterm Review Light-Duty Vehicle Conclusions

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• Adopted MY 2022-2025 GHG standards remain appropriate

• Continue with existing technology-forcing ZEV requirements to develop the market

• Direct staff to immediately begin rule development for MY 2026 and beyond

• Continue and expand complementary policies

• PM standard is feasible but further action needed to ensure robust control

Future Light-Duty Vehicle Regulations

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• Begin work on 2026 and subsequent model year standards for future light duty regulations based these guiding principles:• Real-world emission reductions

• Increased certainty of future ZEV volumes

• Similar or lower system-wide emissions from new mobility options

• Implementation feasibility (costs, jobs, infrastructure, consumers)

Future Light-Duty Vehicle Regulations

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• Next Steps• Call for concepts to help solicit ideas on vehicle regulations in

future years

• Stakeholder meetings and workgroups

• Public workshop to be held early 2018

• Tentative 2020 Rulemaking for 2026 and beyond model years

Planned On-Road Heavy-DutyMeasures to Reduce NOx

• Establish Low-NOx Heavy-Duty Engine Standard• Develop more stringent NOx engine standard and revise

test procedures• Work collaboratively with U.S. EPA to establish national

low-NOx engine standard• Board date: 2019 Implementation: 2023 - 2027

• Improve In-Use Emission Performance• Revise warranty and useful life requirements• Revise Manufacturer Required In-Use Testing Protocol• Comprehensive Heavy-Duty I/M • Board date: 2018 – 2020, Implementation: 2018-2022

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Advanced Clean Local Trucks Measure

• Regulation Overview:• Accelerate early market for zero emission trucks

• Manufacturer sales requirements beginning with 2023 model year

• Long term transition to performance based goals

• Proposal Concept:• A percentage of medium- and heavy-duty sales by chassis

manufacturers must consist of zero emission capable vehicles

• Manufacturers must generate credits equivalent to a percentage of their total model year sales

• Class 2B-3

• Class 4-7 (with optional credits for Class 8)

• Board date: 2018 25

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Vocational Vehicles

Large Pickups and Vans

Combination Tractors

Trailers Pulled by Combination Tractors

Implementation: 2018-2027 for trailersTimeline 2021-2027 for all other segments

24% reduction

25% reduction

9% reduction

16% reduction

Adopt California Phase 2 Heavy-Duty GHG Regulation

Short-Lived Climate Pollutant Strategy

40% reduction of methane from 2013-levels by 2030

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SB 1383 SLCP Emission Reduction Targets

Inventory(2013)

Forecast(2030)

Targets(2030)

Percent Reduction from

2013 Levels

Methane 118 117 71 40%

HFCs 40 65 24 40%

Black Carbon(Anthropogenic) 38 26 19 50%

Emission Levels in MMTCO2e (using 20-year GWPs)

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Methane Emission Reductionsby Organics Diversion

• CalRecycle – develop organics diversion regulations by end of 2018:

50% diversion by 2020 from 2014-level

75% diversion by 2025 from 2014-level

20% recovery of edible foods by 2025

• Progress report on meeting goals by July 1, 2020

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Methane Emissions within the Livestock and Dairy Sector

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SB 1383 directs ARB in consultation with CDFA, to develop, technically, economically and legally feasible regulations to reduce methane emissions from livestock and dairy manure.

Methane Emissions Capturedby Anaerobic Digesters

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VS.

Methane Emissions Reductionsby Composting

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Compost from organic waste diversion:

• Increases soil heath

• Increases water-holding capacity (saves water)

• May contribute to long-term soil carbon sequestration

2017 – Reinforcing California’s Leadership

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• Build on success to date as we move forward over next 50 years

• Continue to lead at state, national, and international levels

• Demonstrate clean air and a thriving economy go hand in hand