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20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ......

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Dr. Justin Ram Director, Economics Caribbean Development Bank Bridgetown, Barbados February 7, 2019 2019 ANNUAL NEWS CONFERENCE
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Page 1: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

Dr. Justin RamDirector, EconomicsCaribbean Development BankBridgetown, BarbadosFebruary 7, 2019

2019ANNUAL NEWS CONFERENCE

Page 2: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

LOW GROWTH

HIGH DEBT

HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT

Caribbean Region’s challenges

Page 3: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

LOW GROWTH

HIGH DEBT

HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT

Caribbean Region’s challenges

CLIMATE CHANGE

Page 4: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

LOW GROWTH

HIGH DEBT

HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT

Caribbean Region’s challenges

CLIMATE CHANGE

INCREASINGUNCERTAINTY

?

Page 5: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

A Policy Blueprint for Caribbean Economies

Showed that challenges are interrelated, and lead to persistent weak social outcomes

Page 6: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

A Policy Blueprint for Caribbean Economies

Showed that challenges are interrelated, and lead to persistent weak social outcomes

Stressed the urgent need for reform and action

Page 7: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

A Policy Blueprint for Caribbean Economies

Showed that challenges are interrelated, and lead to persistent weak social outcomes

Stressed the urgent need for reform and action

Leveraged relationships to ensure research responded to countries’ needs, and positioned them to deliver better results

Page 8: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY

Damage from 2017 Hurricane

Season

VIRGIN ISLANDS damage and losses

from Hurricanes Irma, Maria

ANGUILLAdamage from

Hurricane Irma

100US$ bn 300%

of GDP

100%

of GDP

Page 9: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

Emergency relief loan US$67 million

PBL aims to strengthen fiscal management, enhance governance and labour-market flexibility, improve social resilience, and strengthen disaster management and climate resilience

VIRGIN ISLANDS

Exogenous-shock policy-based loan US$50 million

Page 10: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

ANGUILLA

Hurricane recovery support loanUS$5.6 million to meet external debt payments

Policy-based loanUS$9.3 million to implement reforms

Page 11: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

BUILDING ECONOMIC &FISCAL RESILIENCE

Page 12: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

BARBADOS

US$75 million loan to support implementation of BERT

Builds on work CDB started in 2016

Page 13: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

Barbados Economic Recovery and Transformation Pillars

FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY

INSTITUTIONAL REFORMS FOR GROWTH

1 2 3

SOCIAL PROTECTION

Page 14: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

Support to BERT

Programme signalled the Government’s commitment to address the country’s unsustainably high level of debt

BERT charts a path for the transformation of the economy to improve the wellbeing of its citizens

Page 15: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

Support to BERT

Aims to improve business environment to position economy for stronger growth, improve social protection

By 2033Debt levels projected to decline to 60% of GDP

Page 16: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

ADDRESSING THE REGION’S IMPLEMENTATION

CHALLENGE

Page 17: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

20%Rate of implementation for public projects in some countries in the Region.

Page 18: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

SAINT LUCIA

CDB supporting a US$5 million project to help Government establish Implementation and Delivery Mechanism

Saint Lucia approached CDB to determine how it might best be able to deliver on national transformation agenda

Page 19: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

TOURISM AGRICULTURE INFRASTRUCTURE CITIZENSECURITY

EDUCATION HEALTH CARE

Saint Lucia: Priority areas

Page 20: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

BUILDING RESILIENCE IN ALL ITS FORMS

Page 21: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

LOOKING AHEAD TO 2019

Research that focuses on assessing and measuring vulnerability and resilience of our BMCs

Page 22: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

LOOKING AHEAD TO 2019

Research that focuses on assessing and measuring vulnerability and resilience of our BMCs

Work will improve index CDB uses to allocate its most concessional resources

Page 23: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

LOOKING AHEAD TO 2019

Research that focuses on assessing and measuring vulnerability and resilience of our BMCs.

Work will improve index CDB uses to allocate its most concessional resourcesResearch expected to inform country engagements regarding resilience-building

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As we support this resilience-building,

we will also seize opportunities to exploit our resources to better

support economic growth.

Page 25: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

A proposal to better leverage our seas and coastal assets for

sustainable economic development, and social and

environmental resilience

Caribbean Blue Economy

Page 26: 20190207-FINAL-Economics Presentation...1 2 3 SOCIAL PROTECTION. Support to BERT ... resilience-building. As we support this resilience-building, we will also seize opportunities to

Digital transformation

Ongoing research

Regional energy markets

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Transformation requires fiscal discipline, human development, environmental resilience and an improved business environment.

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Our CommitmentTo carry out research and give policy

advice that provides pathways to solutions that meet the needs of our

citizens.


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