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Introduction The need to evaluate the reliability implications of the TEPPC studies was identified as part of 2011 WECC 10-Year Regional Transmission Plan and it has remained strong. As a result and at the request of TEPPC, the Technical Studies Subcommittee (TSS) and its System Review Work Group (SRWG) built the 2022 Light Spring Scenario Base Case 1 as part of its 2012 Base Case Compilation Schedule. This section presents the results of a high-level N-1 contingency analysis performed on the 2022 Light Spring Scenario Base Case. Base Case Modeling and Specification The specification for the 2022 Light Spring Scenario Base Case was taken from the March 31, 2022 2:00 p.m. hour of the 2022 Common Case production cost simulation, an hour in which the Western Interconnection was lightly loaded and had high renewable penetration. The steady-state and dynamic models for the 2022 Light Spring Scenario Base Case were developed in the WECC-approved General Electric (GE) Positive-Sequence Load Flow (PSLF) format and the thermal and voltage analysis module of the GE Energy Steady-State Analysis Tools (SSTools) was utilized to perform a high-level, N-1 contingency analysis on the case. For more detail about steady-state and dynamic models and contingency analysis, please refer to the “Steady-State and Dynamics Models” sub-section of the Tools and Models Report. Steady State Power Flow Analysis The steady-state power flow analysis of the 2022 Light Spring Scenario Base Case involved evaluating: 1) the starting/intact state of the system, as it was built by SRWG; and 2) the resulting state of the system in the event of the loss of any one generator, transformer or transmission line. These states are also typically referred to as N-0 1 Posted among the TSS Base Cases on the WECC website as the “2022 LSP1-SB TEPPC Approved Base Case.” Page 1 of 22 2022 Common Case Reliability Assessment of Light Spring Condition September 19, 2013
Transcript

IntroductionThe need to evaluate the reliability implications of the TEPPC studies was identified as part of 2011 WECC 10-Year Regional Transmission Plan and it has remained strong. As a result and at the request of TEPPC, the Technical Studies Subcommittee (TSS) and its System Review Work Group (SRWG) built the 2022 Light Spring Scenario Base Case1 as part of its 2012 Base Case Compilation Schedule. This section presents the results of a high-level N-1 contingency analysis performed on the 2022 Light Spring Scenario Base Case.

Base Case Modeling and SpecificationThe specification for the 2022 Light Spring Scenario Base Case was taken from the March 31, 2022 2:00 p.m. hour of the 2022 Common Case production cost simulation, an hour in which the Western Interconnection was lightly loaded and had high renewable penetration. The steady-state and dynamic models for the 2022 Light Spring Scenario Base Case were developed in the WECC-approved General Electric (GE) Positive-Sequence Load Flow (PSLF) format and the thermal and voltage analysis module of the GE Energy Steady-State Analysis Tools (SSTools) was utilized to perform a high-level, N-1 contingency analysis on the case. For more detail about steady-state and dynamic models and contingency analysis, please refer to the “Steady-State and Dynamics Models” sub-section of the Tools and Models Report.

Steady State Power Flow AnalysisThe steady-state power flow analysis of the 2022 Light Spring Scenario Base Case involved evaluating: 1) the starting/intact state of the system, as it was built by SRWG; and 2) the resulting state of the system in the event of the loss of any one generator, transformer or transmission line. These states are also typically referred to as N-0 and N-1, respectively, with the “N” meaning any single power system element. This analysis will reference these states as Category A and B events, respectively, which are the official classifications used by WECC and the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC).

Analysis Guidelines and CriteriaDetailed steady-state contingency analyses are regularly conducted at or below the Bulk Electric System (BES) level per NERC Transmission Planning (TPL) standards and as part of area planning activities. Category B contingencies where run for all facilities above 100 kV in the Western Interconnection; however, the scope of the analysis was a high-level reliability assessment of the Western Interconnection, so only issues that appeared on transmission lines, transformers2, and buses above 200 kV were evaluated. In addition, transmission lines and

1 Posted among the TSS Base Cases on the WECC website as the “2022 LSP1-SB TEPPC Approved Base Case.”

2 Transformers were evaluated if either of their buses were above 200 kV.

Page 1 of 15

2022 Common Case Reliability Assessment of Light Spring Condition

September 19, 2013

transformers with loading above 100 percent of their applicable rating were flagged during the contingency runs; however, only those with loading at or above 110 percent were evaluated as they were likely the most regionally significant. Table 1 and Table 2 summarize the criteria and guidelines against which the 2022 Light Spring Scenario Base Case was evaluated. Southwest Area Transmission (SWAT) suggested voltage ranges as part of the 2011 WECC 10-Year Regional Transmission Plan and their suggestions were retained in this analysis.

Table 1: Criteria for Transmission Line and Transformer Loading

System Event Branch LoadingCategory A Less than 110% of Spring Normal Rating3

Category B Less than 110% of Spring Emergency Rating4

Table 2: Voltage Range Guidelines5 and WECC/NERC Category B Voltage Deviation Criteria6

Nominal Voltage (kV) Operating Limit, kV (Per Unit) Ideal Voltage Range, kV (Per Unit) Category B Voltage Deviation

500 495-551 (0.990-1.102) 525-540 (1.050-1.080) Not to exceed 5% at any bus.

500 (SWAT N-0) 495-545 (0.990-1.090) -- Not to exceed 5% at any bus.

500 (SWAT N-1) 475-545 (0.950-1.090) -- Not to exceed 5% at any bus.

345 327-363 (0.948-1.052) 345-357 (1.000-1.035) Not to exceed 5% at any bus.

345 (SWAT N-0) 342-362 (0.990-1.050) -- Not to exceed 5% at any bus.

287 273-301 (0.951-1.049) 287-293 (1.000-1.021) Not to exceed 5% at any bus.

240 227-253 (0.948-1.052) 240-248 (1.000-1.035) Not to exceed 5% at any bus.

230 218-242 (0.948-1.052) 230-238 (1.000-1.035) Not to exceed 5% at any bus.

230 (SWAT N-0) 228-242 (0.990-1.050) -- Not to exceed 5% at any bus.

220 218-240 (0.991-1.091) 220-235 (1.000-1.068) Not to exceed 5% at any bus.

138 131-145 (0.949-1.051) 138-142 (1.000-1.029) Not to exceed 5% at any bus.

115 110-129 (0.957-1.122) 114-121 (0.991-1.052) Not to exceed 5% at any bus.

Analysis Results - Category AThe 2022 Light Spring Scenario Base Case had no >200 kV branches load at or above 110 percent of their spring normal (Category A) rating; however, it did contain 10 bus voltages which were more than 5 percent different from their scheduled values and outside of the operating limit guidelines specified in Table 2. Table 3 summarizes these buses, their location, and the high-

3 In the WECC-approved GE PSLF model, spring normal and emergency ratings are rating number 7 and 8, respectively.

4 In the WECC-approved GE PSLF model, spring normal and emergency ratings are rating number 7 and 8, respectively.

5 Acceptable voltage ranges are facility-specific and are, therefore, specified by each facility’s owner. The voltage range guidelines are based on the CISO Voltage and VAR Control Procedure No. 3320, feedback from Southwest Area Transmission (SWAT) as part of the 2011 WECC 10-Year Regional Transmission Plan, and expert judgment. The scheduled voltage in the GE PSLF model is also used as a reference - if the voltage is within 5 percent of the scheduled voltage then it is likely an acceptable value.

6 Category B Voltage Deviation taken from the Post Transient Voltage Deviation Standard in WECC System Performance TPL-001-WECC_RBP-2 Regional Business Practice.

Page 2 of 15

level concerns associated with each. It is important to note that these are strictly concerns based on a high-level screening of the Western Interconnection. As such, they should be used as a starting point for investigations by local planning authorities to improve the review and tuning that goes into the construction of power flow base cases.

Table 3: Notable voltage concerns in the 2022 Light Spring Scenario Base Case prior to any contingency7

Bus NameNominalVoltage

(kV)

Power flowArea Power flow Zone

ObservedVoltage

(kV)

Model'sScheduled

Voltage (kV)DIXIE_345 345 Sierra SPP-TM Load 372.8 345OREANA_345 345 Sierra Zone27 373.5 345

LOU CR.4 240 AB AIES-Swan Hills 253.3 265.6

605S_HV1 240 AB AIES-Hanna 258 240

SNVLY 230 AZ APS 246.8 230

WIND 11 230 NWUS Portland General - BES S/S 244.9 230

DIXNV230 230 NWUS PAC:ROSE 247.1 230

SIMLA 230 WAPA R.M. ZoneCS 245.3 226.1

PERSON 230 WAPA R.M. ZoneCS 245.7 224

CALHAN 230 WAPA R.M. ZoneCS 245.8 222.8

Analysis Results - Category BThe 2022 Light Spring Scenario case was subjected to 16,604 single element contingencies and only 29 (0.17 percent) resulted in unsolved conditions. This analysis focuses only on the results of the 16,575 solved contingency runs because: 1) they represent the gross majority of the run contingencies; and 2) the remaining unsolved runs would require more detailed knowledge of local areas which is beyond the scope of Western Interconnection planning. As stated previously, it is important to note that these are strictly concerns based on a high-level screening of the Western Interconnection and are intended as a proposed starting point for investigations by local planning authorities, who can run these contingencies with the most accurate information and quantify their impact(s).

7 Concern: >5 percent above scheduled voltage; >1 percent above operating limit guideline.

Page 3 of 15

Bus Voltage ConcernsThere were 13 Category B contingencies which caused multiple voltage concerns in Arizona, southern California, British Columbia, Nevada, New Mexico and Alberta. Table 4 provides a summary of these contingencies and the concerns they raises.

Table 4: Notable Category B Contingencies which caused multiple voltage concerns

Category B Contingency

Concerning ResultsElement Lost8

ElementPower flow

Area

ElementPower flow

Zone

Westwing - Perkins 500-kV Line # 1 AZ WAPA-DSW

Multiple high voltage conditions on 500k-V buses in power flow zones WAPA-DSW and SRP-TSW

RSHASC1 - RSHASC2 500-kV Line # 1

NV ZoneN2

Multiple low voltage conditions on 500-kV, 345-kV, & 230-kV buses in numerous zones of the NEVADA and SIERRA power flow areas

Greenlee - Copper River 345-kV Line # 1

AZ Phelps-DodgeMultiple low voltage conditions on 230-kV & 345-kV buses in the Phelps-Dodge power flow zone in Arizona

San Juan - Ojo 345-kV Line #1 NM ZonePN

Multiple high voltage conditions on 345-kV buses in power flow zones ZoneNO and ZonePN in New Mexico

KMO - KMO SC 287-kV Line # 1 BCH ALCAN

Multiple low voltage conditions on 287-kV buses in the B.C. Hydro and ALCAN power flow zones in the B.C. Hydro

MATLB 240-kV Phase Shifter AB AIES-

Glenwood

Multiple high voltage conditions on 230-kV & 240-kV buses in Alberta's Glenwood and Montana's GTFALLS power flow zones

S. Creek - BCKSP_01 240-kV Line # 18

AB AIES-Fort McMurray

Multiple low voltage conditions on 240-kV buses in Alberta's power flow zones Edmonton/Fort Sask Annex & Fort McMurray

Conklin - BCKSP_01 240-kV Line # 71

BCH ALCAN

Multiple low voltage conditions on 240-kV buses in Alberta's power flow zones Edmonton/Fort Sask Annex & Fort McMurray

Glencany 230kV Phase Shifter AZ WAPA-DSW

Multiple high voltage conditions on 230-kV buses in Arizona's WAPA-DSW power flow zones

8 Some of the names are rather cryptic as a result of how they appear in the power flow model. Local transmission authorities should be consulted to verify the actual real-life names of these facilities.

Page 4 of 15

NIC 230 - AJX 230P 230-kV Line # 1 BCH BC HYDRO

Multiple low voltage conditions on 230-kV buses in B.C. Hydro power flow area and zones

Frannie - Yellow Tlp 230-kV Line # 1 PACE WY NO EA

Multiple high voltage conditions on 230-kV buses in PacifiCorp East power flow zones

Control - Inyo 115-kV Line # 1 CA_South SCE KRAMER

Multiple low voltage conditions on 230-kV buses in the southern California and Los Angeles Department of Water & Power power flow areas

Blackglade - Shiprock 230-kV Line # 1

WAPA R.M. ZoneR4

Multiple high voltage conditions on 230-kV buses in WAPA R.M. power flow zones

There were 23 Category B contingencies which caused singular voltage concerns in the Northwest, Nevada, Arizona, California, Alberta, British Columbia, Colorado and Montana portions of the Western Interconnection. Figure 1 provides a view of all of the concerning bus voltages resulting from the Category B contingencies, including both the buses associated with multiple concerns per contingencies (listed in Table 4) as well as the singular concerns for added perspective.

Figure 1: Concerning Bus Voltages resulting from Category B Contingencies9

9 Locational data was not available for all of the buses associated with concerning bus voltages.

Page 5 of 15

Delta Voltage ConcernsThere were 49 Category B contingencies which caused multiple bus voltage deviations in excess of 5 percent of the bus’ pre-contingency (Category A) voltage. Table 5 provides a summary of these contingencies and the concerns they raised.

Table 5: Notable Category B Contingencies which caused multiple voltage deviation concerns

Category B Contingency

Concerning ResultsElement Lost10

ElementPower flowArea

ElementPower flowZone

LANGDON 240-kV Phase Shifter

AB AIES-CalgaryMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 500-kV & 240-kV buses in Alberta's Calgary power flow zone

KMO - KMO SC 287-kV Line # 1

BCH ALCANMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 500-kV & 287-kV buses in British Columbia's B.C. Hydro & ALCAN power flow zones

RSHASC1 - RSHASC2 500-kV Line # 1

NV ZoneN2Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 500-kV, 345-kV, & 230-kV buses in Nevada's ZoneN2 and Sierra's Zone27, TM load, Carlin Trend, & East Tie power flow zones

Garrison - Taft 500-kV Line # 1orGarrison - Taft 500-kV Line # 2

NWUS Western Montana

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 500-kV buses in Northwest's Western Montana power flow zone

Grassland - Cedar Springs 500-kV Line # 1

NWUSPortland General - BES S/S

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 500-kV & 230-kV buses in Northwest's Portland power flow zones

AEMNC 500-kV Line # 1

PACE WY SO WEMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 500-kV buses in the Southwest part of Wyoming in PacifiCorp East's power flow area

Clover 500-/345-kV Transformer # 1

PACE UT EA UTMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 500-kV buses in PacifiCorp's Southwest Wyoming, Southwest Utah, & Eastern Utah power flow zones

San Juan - Ojo 345-kV Line #1

NM ZonePNMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 345-kV buses in New Mexico's ZoneNO & ZonePN power flow zones

10 In some cases, multiple contingencies lead to the same concerns. These instances have been aggregated into single rows. In addition, some of the names are rather cryptic as a result of how they appear in the power flow model. Local transmission authorities should be consulted to verify the actual real-life names of these facilities.

Page 6 of 15

Category B Contingency

Concerning ResultsElement Lost

ElementPower flowArea

ElementPower flowZone

Pinto PS - Four Corners 345-kV Line # 1

PACE UT PINTOMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 345-kV buses in PacifiCorp East's UT Pinto power flow zone

Border Town 345-kV Phase Shifter

Sierra SPP-TM LoadMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 345-kV buses in Sierra's TM Load and #27 power flow zones

Hill Top 345-/230-kV Transformer # 1

Sierra Zone27Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 345-kV buses in Sierra's #27 & TM Load power flow zones

RBFLC - Falcon 345-kV Line # 1

Sierra Zone27 Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 345-kV buses in Sierra's #27 power flow zone

Kit - Kit SC 287-kV line # 1orKit - Kit SC 287-kV line # 2orKit SC87 - KMO SC87 287-kV Line CXorKit SC88 - KMO SC88 287-kV Line CXorKMO87 - KMO SC 287-kV Line # 2orNCT29 - TXW29 500-kV Line # 1orSB1 - SBT 287-kV Line # 1orTXW31 - NCT31 500-kV Line # 1

BCH ALCANMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 287-kV buses in British Columbia's ALCAN & B.C. Hydro power flow zones

9LA57 Tap - BWC01 240-kV Line # 57

AB AIES-Fort McMurray

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 240-kV buses in Alberta's Fort McMurray, #578, #579, & Edmonton/Fort Sask Annex power flow zones

Page 7 of 15

Category B Contingency

Concerning ResultsElement Lost

ElementPower flowArea

ElementPower flowZone

Conklin - BCKSP_01 240-kV Line # 71

AB

AIES-Edmonton/Fort Sask Annex

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 240-kV buses in Alberta's Fort McMurray, Edmonton/Fort Sask Annex, Athabasca/Lac La Biche, & Cold Lake power flow zones

Genesee - Livoc 500-kV Line # 44

ABAIES-Lake Wabamun Generation

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 240-kV buses in Alberta's Fort McMurray power flow zone

Half - TWR Rd 138-kV Line # 97

ABAIES-Fort Saskatchewan 2000

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 240-kV buses in Alberta's #579 power flow zone

J Fish - S Creek 240-kV Line # 99

AB

AIES-Edmonton/Fort Sask Annex

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 240-kV buses in Alberta's Edmonton/Fort Sask Annex power flow zone

Keep Generator # 3

ABAIES-Lake Wabamun Generation

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 240-kV buses in Alberta's Drayton Valley and Backbone power flow zones

MATLB 240-kV Phase Shifter

AB AIES-Glenwood

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 240-kV & 230-kV buses in Alberta's Glenwood and Montana's Great Falls power flow zones

Peigan 7 - Sodgl Tap 138-kV Line # 3

AB AIES-Fort MacLeod

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 240-kV buses in Alberta's Backbone power flow zone

Ruth Lake - Salt Creek 240-kV Line # 23

AB ZONE579Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 240-kV buses in Alberta's Edmonton/Fort Sask Annex & #579 power flow zones

S Creek - BCKSP_01 240-kV Line # 18

AB AIES-Fort McMurray

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 240-kV buses in Alberta's Edmonton/Fort Sask Annex & Fort McMurry power flow zones

Page 8 of 15

Category B Contingency

Concerning ResultsElement Lost

ElementPower flowArea

ElementPower flowZone

SEV Generator # 1

BCH BC HYDROMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 240-kV buses in Alberta's Backbone power flow zone

MATLB 240-/230-kV Transformer # 1

AB AIES-Lethbridge

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in Montana's Great Falls power flow zone

Copper River - Frisco 230-kV Line # 1

AZ Phelps-DodgeMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in Arizona's Phelps-Dodge power flow zone

Glencany 230-kV Phase Shifter

AZ WAPA-DSWMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in Arizona's WAPA-DSW power flow zone

Greenlee - Copper River 345-kV Line # 1

AZ Phelps-DodgeMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in Arizona's Phelps-Dodge power flow zone

Parker - Gene 230-kV Line # 1

AZ WAPA-DSWMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in the Municipal Water Department portion of southern California Edison in southern California

NIC - AJX 230-kV Line # 1

BCH BC HYDROMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in British Columbia's B.C. Hydro power flow zone

Mill Creek 230-kV Phase Shifter

MT BUTTE_MTMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in Montana's Butte power flow zone

Pillar - Burnham 230-kV Line # 1

NM ZoneWHMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in New Mexico's ZoneWH power flow zone

Cascade Tap - Sherwood 230-kV Line # 1

NWUSPortland General - BES S/S

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in the Portland Area of the Northwest

Page 9 of 15

Category B Contingency

Concerning ResultsElement Lost

ElementPower flowArea

ElementPower flowZone

Fairmont - Port Ang 230-kV Line # 1orHappy Valley - Port Ang 230-kV Line # 1

NWUSSeattle Area, Olympic Peninsula

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in Northwest's Seattle/Olympic Peninsula power flow zones

Lane - Wendson 230-kV Line # 2

NWUS Western Oregon

Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in the Western Oregon portion of the Northwest

Frannie - Yellow Tlp 230-kV Line # 1

PACE WY NO EAMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in PacifiCorp East's Central and Northeast Wyoming power flow zones

Grass Creek - Thermo Pl 230-kV Line # 1

PACE WY NO EAMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in the Northeast part of Wyoming in PacifiCorp East's power flow area

Control - Inyo 115-kV Line # 1

CA_South SCE KRAMERMultiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in the southern California and Los Angeles Department of Water & Power power flow areas

Blackglade - Shiprock 230-kV Line # 1

WAPA R.M. ZoneR4Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in WAPA R.M. power flow zones

Hayden - Foidelck 230-kV Line # 1

WAPA R.M. Zone69Multiple >5% voltage deviations on 230-kV buses in Public Service of Colorado's ZoneRW power flow zone

There were 79 Category B contingencies which caused singular voltage deviations in excess of 5 percent of the bus’ pre-contingency (Category A) voltage. provides a view of all of the concerning voltage deviations resulting from the Category B contingencies, including both the buses associated with multiple concerns per contingencies (listed in Table 5) as well as the singular concerns for added perspective.

Page 10 of 15

Figure 2: Concerning Bus Voltage Deviations resulting from Category B Contingencies11

Branch Loading ConcernsThere were eight branches (three transmission lines and five transformers) loaded at more than 110 percent of their Spring Emergency (Category B) rating as a result of 11 Category B contingencies. Table 6 provides a summary of these branches and the contingencies which caused their high loading.

11 Locational data was not available for all of the buses associated with concerning bus voltage deviations.

Page 11 of 15

Table 6: Branches loaded 110% or higher due to Category B contingencies

Monitored Branch with Concerning Loading Category B Contingency

Branch Name

Spr.Cat ARating(MVA)

Spr.Cat BRatin

g(MVA)

Cat ALoading

(%)

Cat BLoading

(%)

Power flowArea

Power flowZone Element Lost Power flow

AreaPower flow

Zone

DR E Tap - Dalreed 230-kV Line # 1 348 348 95.9 158.9 NWUS PAC:DALR Santiam - Tmbl Creek 230-kVLine # 1 NWUS Western Oregon

DR W Tap - Dalreed 23-0kV Line # 1 401 401 84.3 139.1 NWUS PAC:DALR Santiam - Tmbl Creek 230-kV

Line # 1 NWUS Western Oregon

Falcon 345-/120-kVTransformer # 1 150 150 17.7 126.3 Sierra SPP-Carlin Trend Valmy - Falcon 345-kV

Line # 1 Sierra SPP-Carlin Trend

Glencany 345-/230-kVTransformer # 1 300 300 92.8 171.8 AZ WAPA-DSW Glencany 345-/230-kV

Transformer # 2AZ WAPA-DSW

Glencany 345-/230-kVTransformer # 1 300 300 92.8 116.7 AZ WAPA-DSW Four Corners - Moenkopi

500-kV Line # 1AZ APS

Glencany 345-/230-kVTransformer # 1 300 300 92.8 111.7 AZ WAPA-DSW Four Corners 500-/345-kV

Transformer # 1AZ APS

Glencany 345-/230-kVTransformer # 2 300 300 92.8 171.8 AZ WAPA-DSW Glencany 345-/230-kV

Transformer # 1AZ WAPA-DSW

Glencany 345-/230-kVTransformer # 2 300 300 92.8 116.7

AZWAPA-DSW

Four Corners - Moenkopi 500-kVLine # 1

AZAPS

Glencany 345-/230-kVTransformer # 2 300 300 92.8 111.7 AZ WAPA-DSW Four Corners 500-/345-kV

Transformer # 1AZ APS

Green-Southwest 345-/230-kVTransformer # 1 193 241 55.5 124.1 AZ SWTC Copper River - Frisco 230-kV

Line # 1AZ Phelps-Dodge

Green-Southwest 345-/230-kVTransformer # 1 193 241 55.5 123.8 AZ SWTC Greenlee - Copper River 345-kV

Line # 1AZ Phelps-Dodge

WELD PS 230-/115-kVTransformer # T2 150 150 48.4 126.4 PS CO ZoneRN Weld PS - Weld LM 115-kV

Line # 1 WAPA R.M. ZoneFH

Wolcott - Foidelck 230-kVLine # 1 180 180 88.7 113.7 PS CO ZoneRW Craig - Meeker 345-kV

Line # 1 WAPA R.M. Zone69

Wolcott - Foidelck 230-kV Line # 1 180 180 88.7 111.7 PS CO ZoneRW Gorepass - Hayden 230-kVLine # 1 PS CO ZoneRW

Page 12 of 15

Conclusions and Recommendations

Category A: Need for greater collaboration and improved base case reviewThe bus voltage issues identified in the 2022 Light Spring Scenario case can likely be eliminated with further tuning the power flow case, such as reviewing the scheduled voltages on these buses and making sure that they accurately reflect their real-life voltage set points. These concerns should have been identified and fixed during the construction and review of the base case; however, they are minimal considering the amount of data contained in the power flow.

The effort to construct the base case from specifications taken from a PCM was major cross-functional effort between regional planning engineers and resource planners across the Western Interconnection. As a result, improving current power flow model review processes and increasing collaboration between local planning authorities would likely reduce the prevalence of these issues.

Category B: Voltage concerns are most likely due to the large renewable resource injection across the Western InterconnectionThe regional bus voltage concerns resulting from the Category B contingencies were largely in Alberta, southern Nevada, central California, Arizona and New Mexico. The regional bus voltage deviation concerns were located in similar portions of the Western Interconnection, as well as in Wyoming, Oregon, and the west cost of British Columbia.

The bus voltage concerns are expected because most of these areas are the primary locations for future renewable resources. The 2022 Light Spring Scenario Base Case was built from an RPS-compliance PCM which contained many renewable resource projects that were only in the planning stages, most of which did not have definite capabilities, site configurations, or locations. As a result, modeling the PCM’s planned resources involved making general assumptions with regard to their configuration, capability and point of interconnection. In addition, the main effort was in constructing the case rather than running sensitivities to identify appropriate reinforcements necessary to adequately integrate these resources into the power system.

Branch loading are most likely due to discrepancies in facility ratings or incomplete switching information due to the loss of certain elements.The branch loading concerns occurred in the Northwest, Sierra, Arizona and Public Service of Colorado power flow areas. Many of the branches with concerning flows have the same rating for Spring Normal and Emergency. A facility’s emergency/temporary rating is typically more than its normal/continuous, so many of these concerns would likely be resolved after reviewing the facilities’ ratings. In addition, this analysis did not account for any local automated switching in response to the loss of certain facilities, so these actions may also alleviate these concerns.

Recommended starting point for local planning authorities’ investigationsTable 7 shows the 62 contingencies run during this analysis which resulted in regionally significant concerns regarding bus voltage values, bus voltage deviations and branch loading.

Page 13 of 15

2022 PC1 Common Case

Local planning authorities should verify that these or more updated/accurate versions of these contingencies are run during their regular planning activities.

Table 7: Category B Contingencies which resulted in Regional Concerns

ElementPower flowArea

Element Lost

AB

9LA57 Tap - BWC01 240-kV Line # 57Conklin - BCKSP_01 240-kV Line # 71Genesee - Livoc 500-kV Line # 44Half - TWR Rd 138-kV Line # 97J Fish - S Creek 240-kV Line # 99Keep Generator # 3LANGDON 240-kV Phase ShifterMATLB 240-/230-kV Transformer # 1MATLB 240-kV Phase ShifterPeigan 7 - Sodgl Tap 138-kV Line # 3Ruth Lake - Salt Creek 240-kV Line # 23S Creek - BCKSP_01 240-kV Line # 18S. Creek - BCKSP_01 240-kV Line # 18

AZ

Copper River - Frisco 230-kV Line # 1Four Corners - Moenkopi 500-kV Line # 1Four Corners 500-/345-kV Transformer # 1Glencany 230-kV Phase ShifterGlencany 345-/230-kV Transformer # 1Glencany 345-/230-kV Transformer # 2Greenlee - Copper River 345-kV Line # 1Parker - Gene 230-kV Line # 1Westwing - Perkins 500-kV Line # 1

BCH

Conklin - BCKSP_01 240-kV Line # 71Kit - Kit SC 287-kV line # 1Kit - Kit SC 287-kV line # 2Kit SC87 - KMO SC87 287-kV Line CXKit SC88 - KMO SC88 287-kV Line CXKMO - KMO SC 287-kV Line # 1KMO87 - KMO SC 287-kV Line # 2NCT29 - TXW29 500-kV Line # 1NIC - AJX 230-kV Line # 1

BCH

NIC 230 - AJX 230P 230-kV Line # 1SB1 - SBT 28-7kV Line # 1SEV Generator # 1TXW31 - NCT31 500-kV Line # 1

MT Mill Creek 230-kV Phase Shifter

Page 14 of 15

2022 PC1 Common Case

ElementPower flowArea

Element Lost

NV RSHASC1 - RSHASC2 500-kV Line # 1

NMPillar - Burnham 230-kV Line # 1San Juan - Ojo 345-kV Line #1

NWUS

Cascade Tap - Sherwood 230-kV Line # 1Fairmont - Port Ang 230-kV Line # 1Garrison - Taft 500-kV Line # 1Garrison - Taft 500-kV Line # 2Grassland - Cedar Springs 500-kV Line # 1Happy Valley - Port Ang 230-kV Line # 1Lane - Wendson 230-kV Line # 2Santiam - Tmbl Creek 230-kV Line # 1

PACE

AEMNC 500-kV Line # 1Clover 500-/345-kV Transformer # 1Frannie - Yellow Tlp 230-kV Line # 1Grass Creek - Thermo Pl 230-kV Line # 1Pinto PS - Four Corners 345-kV Line # 1

PS CO Gorepass - Hayden 230-kV Line # 1

Sierra

Border Town 345-kV Phase ShifterHill Top 345-/230-kV Transformer # 1RBFLC - Falcon 345-kV Line # 1Valmy - Falcon 345-kV Line # 1

CA_South Control - Inyo 115-kV Line # 1

WAPA R.M.

Blackglade - Shiprock 230-kV Line # 1Craig - Meeker 345-kV Line # 1Hayden - Foidelck 230-kV Line # 1Weld PS - Weld LM 115-kV Line # 1

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