Date post: | 15-Apr-2017 |
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Trendlines in 2015
By SMF
21.3 23.8
21
25.4
30
25.6 27.1
17.4 17
11.3
6 8.3
2012 2013 2014 2015
Rural area
Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP
15 12.2 11.9
16.2
26.5
32.2
37.1
19.6
14.3
9.1 7.5
13.6
2012 2013 2014 2015
UB
Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP
31.9 27.9
31.9 29.8
38.9 33.4
42.4 47
54
33
12.1
23.6
17.3 11.4
18.9
2012 Apr 2012 Jun 2013 2014 2015
Nationwide (valid only)
Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP
19.7%
14.0%
30.9%
25.4%
7.6% 8.4%
Countryside Ulan Bator
If the Parliamentary elections were held today, which party would you most likely
support?
Mongolian People's Party Democratic Party Mongolian People's Revolutionary Party
Distribution of Voters since Election 2012 (parties)
2012 Next Elections
MPP DP
MPRP,
MNDP
Coalition
Mongolian People’s Party 84.0% 15.5% 0
Democratic Party 4.9% 68.2% 0
MPRP 5.8% 8.3% 94.7%
Civic Will - Green Party 1.3% 3.8% 1.3%
MNDP .9% 1.5% 2.6%
Other Party 3.1% 2.7% 1.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1995SepUB
1996JanUB
1996AprUB
1997JanUB
1998MarUB
1998NovUB
1999OctUB
2000MarUB
2000Nov
2001Nov
2002Oct
2003May
2004Mar
2004Nov
2005Nov
2006Oct
2007Oct
2008Oct
2009Oct
2010Oct
2012Apr
2013Apr
2015Mar
Standard of Living
VERY GOOD GOOD NOT GOOD, NOT BAD RATHER BAD BAD
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Axi
s Ti
tle
Life level comparing to the last year
WORSE
THE SAME
BETTER
7069846
7394823
7905555
April 2013 March 2014 Mar 2015
Annual income of HH
30.5% 23.8%
22.1% 17.9%
14.7% 15.5%
12.9% 27.1% 26.7%
34.7% 33.3% 33.1% 32.4%
37.4% 33.1%
31.5% 41.0% 41.5%
32.0% 27.2%
22.5% 28.4% 28.0% 29.3%
23.9% 29.4% 28.9%
27.8% 32.9%
23.6% 26.2%
23.7% 24.9% 25.6% 25.8%
22.6%
69.5% 76.2%
77.9% 82.1%
85.3% 84.5%
87.1% 72.9% 73.3%
65.3% 66.7% 66.9% 67.6%
62.6% 66.9%
68.5% 59.0% 58.5%
68.0% 72.8%
77.5% 71.6% 72.0% 70.7%
76.1% 70.6% 71.1%
72.2% 67.1%
76.4% 73.8%
76.3% 75.1% 74.4% 74.2%
77.4%
1997 Oct UB
1998 Oct UB
1999 Apr UB
2000 Mar UB
2000 Nov
2001 Nov
2002 Oct
2003 May
2004 Mar
2004 Nov
2005 Nov
2006 Oct
2007 Oct
2008 Oct
2009 Oct
2010 Oct
2012 April
2014 Mar
Do political parties represent public opinion?
YES NO
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
1997OctUB
1998NovUB
1999OctUB
2000May
2001Mar
2002Apr
2003Mar
2003Oct
2004Jun
2005Apr
2006Apr
2007Mar
2008May
2009Apr
2010Apr
2011Apr
2012June
2014Mar
WITH THE GOVERNMENT WITH THE OPPOSITION
Confidence to State Institutions
29.2
13.2 10.9
23.4
6.9 16.3
32.5
29.4 28.5
40.9
26.1
36.2
20.7
29 27.8
21.4
28.8
22.2
11.3 19.3
23.3
8.7
28.3
15.7
President Parliament Judiciarysystem
Gvt admin Politicalparties
Civil society
2014
confident rather confident
rather not confident not confident
12.5 7.9 11.5
20.9
3.9 11.8
27.8
24.3
32.3
43.3
21.1
39.4
26.8
31.6
27.2
23.5
30.6
22.5
28 30.1 22.8
10.3
36.5
17.8
President Parliament JudiciarySystem
Gvt admin Politicalparties
Civil society
2015
confident rather confident
rather not confident not confident
2012 2013 2014 2015 Column1
Column2
Column3
Column4
Column5
Column6
Column52
Column63
1. Unemployment
27.8
Unemployment
33
Unemployment
31.1
Unemployment
32.2 2. Standard of living\
poverty\ income
15.6
Standard of living\
poverty\ income
15.9
Price increase\
Inflation
20.8
Standard of
living\ poverty\
income 17.8 3. Price increase\
Inflation
14.6
Price increase\
Inflation
15.1
Standard of
living\ poverty\
income 17.6
Price increase\
Inflation
15.3 4. Law enforcement
8.9
Law enforcement
7.3
Economy\
manufacturing\
mining 5.8
Economy\
manufacturing\
mining 8.1 5. Corruption
8
Social Justice
5.4
Law
enforcement 5.1
Law
enforcement 5.7 6. Social Justice
4.9
Economy\
manufacturing\mini
ng 5
Education
5.1
Corruption
5.4 7. Economy\
manufacturing\ mining 4.4
Corruption
4.9
Corruption
4.5
Education
4.6 8. Education 4.2 Education 4.3 Social Justice 4 Social Justice 3.4 9. Ecology\
Environment 3.7
Ecology\
Environment 3.4
Ecology\
Environment 2.3
State
administration 2.8 10. State
administration 3.5
State
administration 2.5
State
administration 2.1
Ecology\
Environment 1.4
Biggest success of the government
2012 Column1 2013
Column2 2014
Column3 2015
Column5
1. Agriculture 25.1 Dealing with
Corruption 14 Dealing with
Corruption 10.9 Agriculture 7.8
2. Economy\
manufacturing\mining 10.5 Agriculture 7.2 Agriculture 10.3 Dealing with
Corruption 5.6
3. Education 8.1 Economy\
manufacturing\ mining 6.3 Economy\
manufacturing\ mining 7.4 Education 5.5
4. Reduction of
unemployment 3.2 Education 5.5 Education 6.1 Ecology\ Environment 3.3
5. Improving of
standard of living\
poverty\ income
2.6 Reduction of
unemployment 4 Reduction of
unemployment 5.8 Infrastructure 3.3
6. Ecology\
Environment 1.9 Law enforcement 3.3 Infrastructure 3.8 Economy\
manufacturing\ mining 3.1
Dealing with Corruption 1.8 State administration 2.7 Law enforcement 2.7 Law enforcement 2.3
8. Election/Election
promises 1.8 Social security 2.3 Ecology\ Environment 2.5 Reduction of
unemployment 2.2
9. Social Justice 1 Ecology\ Environment 1.9 State administration/
open government 2.3 State administration/
open government 1.8
10. Price increase\
Inflation 0.9 Improving of standard
of living 1.6 Social Justice 1.9 Improving of standard
of living\ poverty\
income
1.5
18 - 24 25 - 29 30 - 39 40 - 49 50 - 59 60 + Total
(No answer) 1.3 0.4 1.2 0.6 0.6
(Don't know) 8.1 6.9 6.3 3.3 2.4 3.2 4.9
100% Foreign 0.4 0.4 0.2
more than 51% foreign 1.3 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.5
Equal 13.1 10.6 10.7 9.4 11.4 7.1 10.4
more than 51% Mongolian 55.6 51.9 58.1 62.4 70.5 71.6 61.8
100% Mongolian 21.9 29.4 23.7 22.4 15.7 16.8 21.7
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Proportion of Mongolian and Foreign investment in strategic mining
18 - 24 25 - 29 30 - 39 40 - 49 50 - 59 60 + Total
(No answer) 1.9 1.9 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.6 1.2
(Don't know) 9.4 6.3 8.1 9.0 4.3 5.2 7.2
Only private business 6.3 6.3 3.3 4.1 6.2 3.2 4.8
Mixed 50.0 53.1 47.8 46.9 46.2 48.4 48.4
Only state 32.5 32.5 39.6 38.8 42.9 42.6 38.5
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Proportion of Mongolian investment
18 - 24 25 - 29 30 - 39 40 - 49 50 - 59 60 +
Russia 62.7 65.0 77.1 77.2 86.7 95.6
China 18.3 17.9 24.4 29.4 30.9 38.0
USA 31.0 23.1 23.9 13.3 11.5 4.4
EU 14.3 12.0 8.0 6.1 5.5 1.5
Japan 31.7 25.6 22.4 25.6 16.4 6.6
S Korea 14.3 12.0 9.5 7.8 7.3 5.8
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
Best partner by age group