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Page 1: 29 Apr 2015.pdf
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االربعاء2015إبريل 29

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http://www.traveldailynews.asia

Airline alliances have run their course and will

not survive, says aviation analyst OAG

As the leading American and Gulf carriers embroil themselves in

an unfair competition debate, the next stage of the battle for

global air passenger markets has commenced. Those airlines

which are focused purely on traditional alliance models may have

taken their eye off the ball as rapid changes take place, according

to OAG, the market leader in aviation intelligence.

OAG presents its considerations for future international strategies

in its new analysis report ‘The Fight for Global Markets – Is Three the Magic Number?’, to be launched at CAPA’s Americas

Aviation Summit in Las Vegas (27-28 April 2015) by OAG’s EVP

Data and Market Intelligence, John Grant.

John Grant says: “Alliances are no longer the only means of international competition. Increasingly joint ventures, equity stakes and less formal partnerships are being used, all of which challenge existing structures and operations. There are currently more airlines than can realistically exist and in a truly global market where barriers were eased, we would expect to see a consolidation of carriers."

“The global aviation outlook is transforming and there have to be changes to the business structure, the key players and shape of the industry. Alliances are not a long-term solution – they are a fixed solution which have run their course for many circumstances.”

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http://www.traveldailynews.asia

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International capacity for US carriers falls

OAG’s report explores how dominant airlines have arisen and

considers the academic label ‘Rule of Three’, whereby many industries

are dominated by three large players which compete alongside smaller

market specialists.

According to OAG’s Schedules Analyser, two thirds of domestic

capacity is provided by the ‘big three’ US carriers, American, Delta and

United, which together operate 59% of all US seat capacity, up from

37% nearly 20 years ago. With domestic capacity, this share becomes

62%.

Furthermore, these ‘big three’ airlines are ranked as the top three in

the world with a combined share of 13% of global capacity. However,

as industry consolidation has impacted supply, the total seat capacity in

both domestic and international flights is 9% smaller today than it was

in 1996.

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Alongside market maturity has come some convergence of the

business models. Low-cost carriers (LCCs) now provide over a quarter

of capacity and when combined with the big three alliances, they

account for 93% of US domestic capacity.

According to OAG’s report, whilst US carriers have developed

international markets, those markets have been typically in close

proximity to the US. At the same time, new carriers from further afield

have successfully built scheduled services to the US. International

capacity share for US carriers, of which the ‘big three’ account for 83%

of seats, has fallen from 57% to 53%, as Gulf, Chinese and other

carriers increase their respective shares.

In particular, looking at the US-UAE market, the US carriers have

missed potential opportunities, according to OAG, as the Gulf carriers

have sought new markets to serve from their hubs.

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http://www.traveldailynews.asia

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China to overtake US as world’s largest market by 2022

John Grant says: “While the target of the US concern has been Gulf carriers, it could equally have been Chinese carriers. Chinese airlines will operate 140% more seats to the US in a typical week in April 2015 compared to 2010. In contrast, the US carriers will have increased capacity by 80% in that time, leaving the US carriers with slightly more capacity on China-US routes. However, the Chinese carriers are closing in and within seven years China will have replaced the US as the world’s largest aviation market.”

LCCs as global leader contenders

LCCs are playing a major role in all markets, according to OAG. While

their rapid growth makes them contenders to be global leaders, they

have the wrong fleets to currently develop long-haul networks. OAG

reports that the convergence between legacy and low-cost business

models and common branding alongside joint ventures, such as

AirAsia uses, might be the means to take this forward.

The future of alliances

According to OAG, while airline alliances have served a purpose, the

merits of being aligned to a few major carrier brands can become

outweighed by the need to be more flexible and to make strategic

partnerships. Korean Air, a SkyTeam member, announced this year it

will be code-sharing with American, a key member of Oneworld,

highlighting how alliance members will still make decisions in their own

best interests.

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The US carriers, in highlighting the ASK growth of the Gulf carriers,

have drawn attention to airlines with bases a long way off, yet still in

a position to compete for traffic. Turkish Airlines, which ranks 11th in

the world for ASK’s and ahead of British Airways in terms of seat

capacity, is an airline which has developed from a niche carrier to a full

service provider; with the benefit of a large domestic market and

strategically placed hubs, it will continue to grow.

Future global players

OAG’s report concludes that China, Indonesia and Turkey might be the

markets where three globally dominant airlines are based in ten years’

time, benefitting as they do from large domestic markets, growing

economies and advantageous geographic position.

John Grant, OAG’s EVP Data and Market Intelligence, will be speaking

on Day 2 of CAPA’s Americas Aviation Summit in Las Vegas, in the

session: The Strategy behind Airline Network Planning.

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http://gulfnews.com

Donkey at Cairo airport causes media stir

Cairo: To some commentators the sight of a donkey roaming

near Cairo airport was a humorous occasion. To others, it was

a serious security breach at Egypt’s main airport.

A video showing the animal walking unguided in the car park

of the airport’s upscale Terminal 3 went viral, generating

sardonic remarks. In the footage, cleaners are seen chasing

the animal.

The incident caught the attention of the nation’s most serious

talk shows on Monday night. “I don’t know how the donkey

reached the airport where there are security checkpoints,” said

celebrated TV host Lamees Al Hadidi. “Maybe he was waiting

to leave the country,” she added sarcastically on her show

This is the Capital on private broadcaster CBC. “Generally

speaking, this is a scene you wouldn’t see anywhere but in

Egypt,” she said on a serious note.

Ahmad Mousa, another famed TV host, had a more serious

take. “This is a sheer shame. Who is responsible for this?” he

asked. “The donkey could have been loaded with explosives.

Daesh uses such things in carrying out explosions,” he added

on the private satellite TV station Sada Al Balad.

Egypt has in recent months seen a surge of attacks targeting

civil facilities and blamed on Islamist militants.

It was not clear how the animal had reached the perimeter of

the airport on the outskirts of the Egyptian capital. A

spokeswoman for Cairo airport, Hanan Abdul Monem, said

that authorities had ordered an urgent investigation into the

incident.

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http://atwonline.com

US carriers insist they only want talks on Gulf

competition

Senior executives from two of the three major US carriers

involved in the growing dispute over alleged unfair competition

from the Gulf carriers said Tuesday they are simply asking for

government-to-government consultations on the US Open

Skies agreements with the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and

Qatar.

Speaking as panelists at the CAPA Americas Aviation Summit

in Las Vegas April 28, American Airlines SVP-government

affairs Will Ris and Delta Air Lines VP & chief legal officer Ben

Hirst said that both of the Open Skies agreements include a

clause that allows either side to request government-to-

government consultations for any reason related to the

agreement. They said they want those consultations to

happen soon, but are not against the Gulf carriers or against

competition.

There was no representative from the US third airline—United

Airlines—that joined AA and Delta in commissioning a white

paper report alleging that Emirates Airline, Etihad Airways and

Qatar Airways have received a total of more than $40 billion in

subsidies from their state owners that contravene the “fair

competition” conditions of the Open Skies agreements.

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http://atwonline.com

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COMMENTARY: US white paper on Gulf carriers distorts my

academic report

“This is not a campaign. From the American Airlines point of

view, this is not about airlines at all. It’s about US government

trade policy. When you have an airline receiving massive

amounts of government money and unfettered access to the

US, we should do something about that,” Ris said.

Hirst said Delta was being “foreclosed” from serving the India

market because of Gulf carrier capacity there. “We are not

serving those markets because of subsidized flow from the

Gulf,” he said.

Etihad general counsel & company secretary Jim Callaghan

was the only panel representative from the Gulf carriers. He

said he had seen the “exact same playbook” before when he

was formerly at Irish low-cost carrier Ryanair and European

majors “threw the kitchen sink at us.”

Callaghan said, “The three largest carriers not just in the US

but also in the world, and which also control the three clubs—

the global alliances—that control 50% of the world’s traffic, are

trying to shut the door on any competition or potential

competition. That’s what’s going on here.”

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http://www.breakingtravelnews.com

British Airways to go daily on Singapore A380 flight

British Airways has announced that the A380 will make a daily

appearance on the Heathrow to Singapore route, from winter this

year.

The airline already operates a double-daily flight from London to

Singapore and the A380 flies three times a week on the route.

This will increase to a daily service from December 14th, 2015.

The winter A380 BA11 service will depart from Heathrow at 19:10

and the BA12 service will depart from Singapore Changi airport at

23:20, each day.

In addition, the airline also announced that it will be opening its

newly refurbished lounge at Changi Airport Terminal 1 in summer

2015.

ADVERTISEMENT

Stephen Humphreys, British Airways’ head of UK&I sales, said:

“Scheduling the A380 on the Singapore route on a daily basis

signals our commitment to the route and the region.

“It will allow us to fly even more customers from the UK to the Far

East in style.”

Gwyneth Paltrow famously launched the A380 on the British

Airways route to Singapore in October 2014.

The British Airways aircraft boasts four sophisticated cabins and

469 seats.

The airline currently has nine super jumbos in its fleet flying to

Johannesburg, Hong Kong, Singapore, Washington and red

carpet route, Los Angeles.

The aircraft will also commence flights to Miami from October 25

and British Airways’ tenth

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http://www.atn.aero

Turkish Airlines’ 10th flight destination in the Italy is

Bari

With existing services to Rome, Venice, Milan, Turin, Naples,

Bologna, Genoa, Catania and Pisa, Turkish Airlines adds

flights to Bari as its 10th destination in Italy. Beginning from

today, Bari flights will be operated 4 times per week on

Tuesdays, Wednesday Fridays and Sundays in both

directions.

Round trip fares are available from Istanbul to the second

most important economic Centre of mainland Southern Italy

after Naples, Bari starting at 99 Euros (including taxes and

fees). Additionally, for the first 6 months of operation to the

new destinations, there is a special offer for the Miles&Smiles

members with a 25% reduction in the miles needed to redeem

either award tickets or upgrades.

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