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2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of...

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2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010
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Page 1: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27th

July 2010

Page 2: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations

Page 3: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

3

Cautionary Statement

Forward-looking Statements -

Cautionary StatementThis presentation and the associated slides and discussion contain forward-looking statements, particularly those regarding production and income; third quarter E&P turn-around activities and the effect on volumes, costs and margins; our refining and petrochemical margins; capital expenditure; divestment proceeds and timing and their impact on production and income in 2010, and planned disposals over 18 months; dividend payments; expected underlying quarterly charges for Other business & corporate; expected changes in foreign exchange effects; reduction in the net debt level within the next 18 months; R&M pre-tax performance opportunity; completion of OMS roll out; relief well operations;

future costs arising from the Gulf of Mexico oil spill; partner

recovery; financial compensation and environmental restoration; and the adjudication of claims arising out of the spill. By their nature, forward-

looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will or may occur in the future. Actual results may differ from those expressed in such statements, depending on a variety of factors, including the timing of bringing new fields on stream; future levels of industry product supply; demand and pricing; OPEC quota restrictions; PSA effects; operational problems; general economic conditions; political stability and economic growth in relevant areas of the

world; changes in laws and governmental regulations; regulatory or legal actions; exchange rate fluctuations; development and use of new technology; changes in public expectations and other changes in business conditions; the actions of competitors; natural disasters and adverse weather conditions; wars and acts of terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed elsewhere in this presentation. For more information you should refer to our Annual Report and Accounts 2009 and our 2009 Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

Reconciliations to GAAP -

This presentation also contains financial information which is not presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). A quantitative reconciliation of this information to the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP can be found on our website at www.bp.com

Cautionary Note to US Investors -

We use certain terms in this presentation, such as “resources”

and “non-proved reserves”, that the SEC’s

rules prohibit us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the disclosures in our Form 20-F, SEC File No. 1-06262. This form is available on our website at www.bp.com.

You can also obtain this form from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330 or by logging on to their website at www.sec.gov.

July 2010

Page 4: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

Carl-Henric

Svanberg Chairman

Page 5: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

Tony Hayward Group Chief Executive

Page 6: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

6

Agenda

2Q 2010 results

Gulf of Mexico oil spill response update

Operations

Escrow account

Implications for industry

BP going forward

Portfolio high-grading

Asset disposals

Safety, People, Performance

Page 7: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

Byron Grote Chief Financial Officer

Page 8: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

8

Financial results as reported

* Adjusted for all non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

2Q10 Replacement cost profit (loss) ($bn)

(18)

(12)

(6)

0

6

Replacement

cost loss

Gulf of Mexico oil spill NOI

(post-tax)

Other NOIs

& FVAEs

(post-tax)

Underlying replacement cost profit

(RCP)*

($bn) RCPNOI / FVAE

RCP adjNOI / FVAE

Exploration & Production 6.2 (0.1) 6.3

Refining & Marketing 2.1 0.4 1.7

Other businesses & corporate (0.1) 0.1 (0.1)

Gulf of Mexico oil spill (32.2) (32.2) -

Consolidation adjustment 0.1 - 0.1

Replacement cost profit (loss) before interest and tax

(23.8) (31.8) 8.0

Interest & minority interest (0.3) - (0.3)

Tax 7.2 9.9 (2.7)

Replacement cost profit (loss) (17.0) (22.0) 5.0

Page 9: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

9

Gulf of Mexico oil spill costs and provisions (pre-tax, pre-partner recovery)

$bn

Costs incurred through 30 June

2.9

Charge for Future Costs

29.3

Further response and clean up costs

Escrow account

Fines and penalties (Clean Water Act)

Legal expenses

Other announced commitments

32.2

The charge does not reflect any amounts in relation to fines and

penalties except those relating to the Clean Water ActPartner share of the costs is believed recoverable, but this recovery is not recognised in the charges above

Page 10: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

10

Trading environment

Change vs 2009Average realizations 2Q YTD

Liquids $/bbl 39% 54%

Natural gas $/mcf 31% 23%

Total hydrocarbons $/boe 34% 45%

Refining indicator margin $/bbl 10% (23)%

0

4

8

12

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q2009 2010

Gas realization

$/m

cf

0

2

4

6

8

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q2009 2010

Refining indicator margin

$/b

bl

0

20

40

60

80

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q2009 2010

Liquids realization

$/b

bl

Page 11: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

11

Financial results All earnings figures are adjusted for the Gulf of Mexico oil spill and other non-operating

items and fair value accounting effects.

* Excludes payments of $2.1bn related to Gulf of Mexico oil spill**Organic capital expenditure in the second quarter of 2010 excludes acquisitions and asset exchanges

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

2Q09 E&P R&M OB&C Co.adj. 2Q10

Replacement cost profit before interest and tax 2Q10 vs 2Q09 ($bn)

($bn) 2Q09 2Q10

Exploration & Production 4.4 6.3

Refining & Marketing 1.0 1.7

Other businesses & corporate (0.5) (0.1)

Consolidation adjustment 0.1 0.1

Replacement cost profit before interest and tax

4.9 8.0

Interest & minority interest (0.4) (0.3)

Tax (1.6) (2.7)

Replacement cost profit 2.9 5.0

Earnings per share ($c) 15.7 26.5

Cash from operations ($bn)* 6.8 8.9

Dividend paid ($bn) 2.6 -

Organic capital expenditure ($bn)**

4.8 4.4

Dividend per share ($c) 14.0 -

Page 12: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

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Exploration & Production

Stronger environment

Reported production 4% lower –

adjusting for PSA

entitlement effects 2% lower

Seasonal turnarounds

Gulf of Mexico oil spill

Significant loss in gas marketing and trading

Lower depreciation0

2

4

6

8

10

2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

($b

n)

Average hydrocarbon realizations ($/boe)

Pre-tax replacement cost profitAdjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

Average hydrocarbon realizations ($/boe)

US Non-US TotalTNK-BP

Page 13: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

13

Refining & Marketing

Good operational performance

Strong performance in international businesses

Improved Fuels Value Chain margin capture

US returns to profitability

Stronger refining margins

(1.0)

(0.5)

0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10

0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

($b

n)

US Non-US

Refining indicator margin ($/bbl)

Total

Refining indicator m

argin ($/bbl)

Adjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effectsPre-tax replacement cost profit

Page 14: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

14

Other businesses & corporate

Favourable foreign exchange effects

Continued progress in managing the corporate costs

Good operational performance from Alternative Energy assets

2H10 guidance remains at $400 million average underlying quarterly charge

(0.8)

(0.6)

(0.4)

(0.2)

0

0.2

2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10

($b

n)

Adjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effectsPre-tax replacement cost profit

Page 15: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

15

Sources & uses of cash

DividendsDividends

Capex

Capex

Disposals

Operations

Operations

DisposalsGulf of Mexico

oil spill

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Sources Uses Sources Uses

1H09 1H10

$bn

po

st-t

ax

Page 16: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

16

Financial strength

Significant financial liquidity and optionality to meet our obligations

Strong underlying cash flows

Additional $12bn of bank lines added since 1Q

~$10bn interventions in 2010 -

capex and dividend

Significant disposal programme

CASH(end 2Q)

$7bn

CASH(end 2Q)

$7bn

COMMITTEDBANK FACILITIES

$17bn

COMMITTEDBANK FACILITIES

$17bn

2010 INTERVENTIONS

$10bn

2010 INTERVENTIONS

$10bn

DISPOSALS (next 18 months)

$25-30bn

DISPOSALS (next 18 months)

$25-30bn

Page 17: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

17

Net debt

Net debt includes the fair value of associated derivative financial instruments used to hedge finance debt

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Range of $10 to $15bn

2001 20102002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011

$bn

Page 18: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

Tony Hayward Group Chief Executive

Page 19: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

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Gulf of Mexico oil spill Operational update

Source control

Relief wells

Containment and clean up

Offshore

Onshore

Claims

Investigations

Page 20: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

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Gulf of Mexico oil spill Escrow account

BP to provide funds over time−

$5bn in 2010, during 3Q and 4Q−

$1.25bn per quarter after 4Q 2010 until $20bn total−

Commitments assured by US assets valued at $20bn−

Account is neither ceiling nor floor on BP liability−

BP has reversionary interest in account

Purpose of account is to pay−

Claims adjudicated by Gulf Coast Claims Facility (GCCF)−

Final judgements in litigation/settlements−

Natural Resources Damages related costs−

State or local response costs (but not federal or BP response costs)

Gulf Coast Claims Facility administered by Ken Feinberg−

Adjudicates all Oil Pollution Act 1990 and tort claims –

not state or local−

Claimants who accept final determination of GCCF to sign release

upon payment: dissatisfied claimants keep all legal rights

BP retains contribution rights against other parties

Page 21: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

21

Gulf of Mexico oil spill Implications for industry

Surface response capability

Subsea response capability

Deepwater drilling systems and equipment

Operating model for deepwater

BP committed to:

Sharing lessons

Building capability

Funding $500m investment in scientific/environmental knowledge of the Gulf

Page 22: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

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BP going forward Portfolio high grading

$25-30bn in disposals planned over next 18 months

Sale of lower-quality E&P and R&M assets

Rebalanced portfolio

Continued success in access to new opportunities

Azerbaijan

Egypt

China

Indonesia

Devon asset transaction

Page 23: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

23

BP going forward Asset disposals

Qu

alit

y

Materiality

Not indicative of actual BP portfolio

Page 24: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

24

BP going forward

Exploration and Production

Smaller: higher quality

Refining and Marketing

Focused: high quality

$2bn+ p.a. of pre tax performance opportunity over 2-3 years

2010-11 capital spending ~$18bn/year

Expected net debt level range of $10–15bn

Page 25: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

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Safe, reliable and efficient operations

(1) 1H10 RIF excludes Deepwater Horizon incident and response data(2) Data for 2008 onwards is aligned to incident impact severity rather than volume released

Loss of Primary Containment Incidents

0

50

100

150

200

1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10

Integrity Management Major Incidents(2)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 1H10

Recordable Injury Frequency(1)

‘00 ‘01 ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 1H100.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Industry range - six majors through 1Q10

Safety, People & Performance

9

Forward Agenda

Safe and reliable operations

• Continue journey in personal safety

• Implement Operating Management System

• Compliance

People

• Building capability

• Leadership and behaviours

Performance

• Restore revenues

• Reduce complexity and cost

BP vs. Shell / Exxon net income gap

BP gap to Shell BP gap to ExxonMobil

2007 2008 2009 1Q10

$bn

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

Page 26: 2Q 2010 Results Presentation...2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations 3 Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary

26

Q&A

Tony Hayward

Group Chief Executive

Andy Inglis

Chief Executive Exploration & Production

Byron Grote

Chief Financial Officer

Iain Conn

Chief Executive Refining & Marketing

Bob Dudley

President and CEOGulf Coast Restoration Organization

Fergus MacLeod

Head of Investor Relations


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