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3360 Unit 03.1 2014-I-01

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    ENGR 3360U Winter 2014

    Unit 3.1-3

    Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    Dr. J. Michael Bennett, P. Eng., PMP,

    UOIT,

    Version 2014-I-01

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    Change Record

    2014-I-01 Initial Creation

    e!t re"erence Cha#ter 2

    2014-I-013-2 $%r. &ichael 'ennett

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    Co(rse )(tline

    1. Engineering Economics

    2. General Economics

    1. &icroeconomics

    2. &acroeconomics

    3. &one* and the 'an+ o"Canada

    3. Engineering Estimation

    4. Interest and E,(ialence

    . /resent Worth nal*sis

    6. nn(al Cash lo

    . Rate o" Ret(rn nal*sis

    . /ic+ing the 'est Choice

    5. )ther Choosing echni,(es

    10. Uncertaint* and Ris+ 

    11. Income and %e#reciation

    12. "ter-ta! Cash los

    13. Re#lacement nal*sis

    14. In"lation1. &RR election

    16. /(7lic ector Iss(es

    1. What Engineering sho(ld +no

    a7o(t cco(nting

    1. /ersonal Economics "or the

    Engineer 

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    Unit 3 Road &a#

    8 3.1 Engineering cost conce#ts8 3.2 Engineering cost estimating

    8 3.3 hree t*#es o" engineering cost estimating

    8 3.4 Estimating models

    8 3. )7serations on engineering estimating

    2014-I-013-4 $%r. &ichael 'ennett

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    3.1 Engineering Costs

    Costs need to 7e estimated to eal(atealternaties9 :(sti"* e!#endit(res

     (t(re costs are er* critical to theanal*sis o" a #ro:ect. Wh*;

     Engineers generall* hae theres#onsi7ilit* o" cost estimation

     Reen(e generation generall* comes "rommar+eting

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    =(estions to 7e resoled

    or the most #art9 Engineering econom*anal*sis tends to 7e >cost drien?@

    What cost com#onents m(st 7e estimated;

    What a##roaches ill 7e (tiliAed;

    Bo acc(rate sho(ld the estimates 7e;

    What estimation techni,(es ill 7e (tiliAed;

    2014-I-01 $%r. &ichael 'ennett3-6

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    Engineering Costs

    8 Costs are anal*Aed to eal(ate alternaties8 i!ed Costs

    8 Constant (nchanging costs

    8 Daria7le Costs8 %e#end on the leel o" o(t#(t or actiit*

    8 &arginal Costs8 Daria7le cost "or one more (nit

    8 erage Costs8 otal cost diided 7* the n(m7er o" (nits

    2014-I-013- $%r. &ichael 'ennett

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    otal Costs

    8 otal Cost total "i!ed cost F total aria7le cost

    2014-I-013- $%r. &ichael 'ennett

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    /ro"it

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    )ther *#es o" Costs

    8 (n+ Costs   &one* alread* s#ent

       /ast decision

       ho(ld 7e disregarded in engineeringeconomic anal*sis

       Nothing can 7e done at this #oint to change the

    cost

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    )ther *#es o" Costs9 contJd.

    8 )##ort(nit* Costs   he costs associated ith a reso(rce 7eing

    (sed "or an alternate tas+ 

       ometimes re"erred to as K"orgone o##ort(nit*

    costsJ8 Kn o##ort(nit* cost is the 7ene"it that is "orgone

     7* engaging a 7(siness reso(rce in a chosenactiit* instead o" engaging that same reso(rce in a

    "orgone actiit*.J

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    )ther *#es o" Costs

    8 Rec(rring Costs   cost that reocc(rs at reg(lar interals

    8  Non-rec(rring Costs  

    )ne-o"-a-+ind costs rec(rring at irreg(larinterals

    8 Incremental Costs   Cost di""erences 7eteen alternaties

    8 Cash Costs ers(s 'oo+ Costs   Cash costs re,(ire a cash transaction Lcash "loM   'oo+ costs are recorded 7(t are not transactions

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    he nn(al )#erating Cost Estimation

    %irect a7or Costs "or o#erating #ersonnel@

    %irect materials@

    /eriodic maintenance costs@

    Reor+ and re7(ilt@

    )ther costs co(ld 7e )n-line testing and cali7ration@

    /roo"ing r(ns 7e"ore act(al #rod(ction.

     

    2014-I-013-13 $%r. &ichael 'ennett

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    )C E cont.

    >amiliar? #ro:ects Bome constr(ction@

    '(ildings standard designs@

    /etrochemical and energ* #rod(ction.

     ##l* standard ind(str*-ide so"tare #ac+ages.

     &ost #ro:ects no >canned? so"tare #ac+ages e!ist

    ##l* *o(r on +noledge and e!#erience.

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    Cost Estimation ##roaches

    'ottom-(# ##roach reats the "inal cost as an inde#endent Lo(t#(tM

    aria7le and the associated costs as in#(t or

    de#endent aria7les.  %esign-to-Cost ##roach

    reats the com#etitie cost as an in#(t aria7le

    and the associated cost estimates as the o(t#(taria7les.

    2014-I-013-1 $%r. &ichael 'ennett

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    cc(rac* o" Estimates

     No estimate is intended to 7e >e!act?

     '(t m(st 7e reasona7le and acc(rateeno(gh to #roide a ro7(st economic

    anal*sis

     In #reliminar* design #hase Estimates are ieed as >"irst c(t? estimates

    ere as in#(ts to the #ro:ect initial 7(dget

    he >(nit method? is o"ten a##lied here

    2014-I-013-16 $%r. &ichael 'ennett

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    Cost Estimation echni,(es

    E!#ert )#inion< %el#hi &ethod

     Com#arisons ith +non installations@

     /ast e!#erience in the "ield@

     Cost Inde!es here aaila7le@

     Cost Estimating Relationshi#s L"orms o"

    regression anal*sis 7ased (#on historicaldata@ also a77reiated CERsM

     Com7inations o" the a7oe.

    2014-I-013-1 $%r. &ichael 'ennett

    i 3 i i C d C i i

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    3.3 3 *#es o" Cost Estimating

    8 *#es   Ro(gh Estimates

    8 =(ic+

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    Estimation %i""ic(lties

    8 )ne-o"-a-Oind Estimates   irst-r(n #ro:ects and #ro:ects that hae neer 7een done

     7e"ore

        No #reio(s e!#erience o" costs

    8 ime and E""ort aila7le   B(man reso(rces and time aaila7le "or ma+ing estimates

    8 Estimator E!#erience   /ast e!#erience o" similar #ro:ects increases acc(rac* o"

    estimates

       Conersel* limited e!#erience decreases acc(rac*

    2014-I-013-15 $%r. &ichael 'ennett

    U i 3 E i i C d C E i i

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    Unit 3 Engineering Costs and Cost Estimating

    Estimation %i""ic(lties

    8 )ne-o"-a-Oind Estimates   irst-r(n #ro:ects and #ro:ects that hae neer 7een done

     7e"ore

        No #reio(s e!#erience o" costs

    8 ime and E""ort aila7le   B(man reso(rces and time aaila7le "or ma+ing estimates

    8 Estimator E!#erience   /ast e!#erience o" similar #ro:ects increases acc(rac* o"

    estimates

       Conersel* limited e!#erience decreases acc(rac*

    2014 I 013 20 $%r &ichael 'ennett


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