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3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Sumeet Patil 1 S. K. Pattanayak 2 , K Dickinson 3 , J-C Yang 3 , C. Poulos 3 1 NEERMAN, Mumbai (formerly RTI International) 2 Duke University, USA (formerly RTI International) 3 RTI International, USA. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign Sumeet Patil 1 S. K. Pattanayak 2 , K Dickinson 3 , J-C Yang 3 , C. Poulos 3 1 NEERMAN, Mumbai (formerly RTI International) 2 Duke University, USA (formerly RTI International) 3 RTI International, USA
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Page 1: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

3ie Delhi Seminar Series

Shame or SubsidyWhat explains the impact of Total Sanitation

Campaign

Sumeet Patil 1

S. K. Pattanayak 2, K Dickinson 3, J-C Yang 3, C. Poulos 3

1 NEERMAN, Mumbai (formerly RTI International)

2 Duke University, USA (formerly RTI International)

3 RTI International, USA

Page 2: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

2

Study Team Partners

Rajiv Gandhi Drinking Water Mission, Govt of India

Orissa State Water and Sanitation Mission and Department of Rural Development –

World Bank – Funders

WHO, USAID, UNICEF, ICMR - Multidisciplinary technical advisory group

RTI International – Principal investigating agency

Duke University – Analysis and publication phase

NEERMAN – Analysis and publication phase

TNS Mode – Survey agency

Page 3: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Overview of Presentation

Policy Context for Study (4 slides)

Study Objectives (1 slide)

Intervention (3 slides)

Methodology and Implementation (9 slides)

Results (12 slides)

Approximately, 45 minutes

Page 4: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Race against Time

Source: WSP 2009 calendar

Page 5: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Policy Context for Study

Child Diarrhea - key underlying link for India’s MDG targets

Sanitation is expected to break fecal-oral transmission and thus improve health

Universal access to toilets (no open defecation) by 2022 is a goal of Nirmal Bharat Abiyaan (NBA)

Heated comparison between supply “pushed” subsidy based TSC and CLTS based demand driven “no subsidy” based approaches

Limited evidence to guide implementers and policy makers

Page 6: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

Govt M&E/MIS data highly unreliableSource: Chambers and Von Medeazza (2013): working paper

6

Page 7: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Policy Context for Study

Evidence to make determination is very thin Impact evaluation in sanitation sectors (are (were) fewCross-sectional assessments (lacking baseline, control,

statistical power)

Need for rigorous impact evaluation2005 RCT. Hammer and Spear (2013). Working Paper2006 RCT. Pattanayak et al. (2009). This paper2011 RCT. Patil et al. (2013). Working Paper2011 4-arm QE. We hope that endline happens

Page 8: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Overview of Presentation

Policy Context for Study

Study Objectives Intervention

Methodology and Implementation

Results

Page 9: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Study Objectives

Whether CLTS based behavior change coupled with subsidy based intervention (TSC) impacts latrine use and child health?Track the logic chain from inputs to intermediate outputs

to outcomes to health impactsGenerate operational knowledge to guide policy

Ability to study the effect of Shame only and shame + subsidy because of the TSC program design feature

Page 10: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Overview of Presentation

Policy Context for Study

Study Objectives

Intervention Methodology and Implementation

Results

Page 11: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Community-Led Total Sanitation in Bhadrak

Knowledge Links

Page 12: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Intervention: Community-Led Total Sanitation (Kar, IDS)

Knowledge alone does not change behavior; need to create “triggering events” and intensive Behavior Change campaign “walk of shame” “defecation mapping” “fecal calculation”

TSC related Incentives for BPL for latrine construction (Rs 1500)

Supply side: masons, rural sanitation mart, know how, motivation, monitoring

Immediate outputs: Out of 20 villages, 9 resolved to end OD, 2 agreed in principle, 5 decided to meet, and 4 were unable to reach a consensus

Page 13: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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CLTS Program – Logic Model

Subsidized labor & materials

Number of IHL constructed

Use of IHL

Improvements in child health

Satisfaction with IHL

Personal benefits

Broader welfare impacts

PROGRAM INPUTS PROGRAM OUTPUTS PROGRAM OUTCOMES PROGRAM IMPACTS

Knowledge

Attitudes

Preferences

MEDIATING FACTORS

Community-ledTotal Sanitation (CLTS)

Emphasis on dignity & privacy

IHL construction know-how

Communication on water-washed diseases

Budging social norms

Page 14: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Overview of Presentation

Policy Context for Study

Study Objectives

Intervention

Methodology and Implementation

Results

Page 15: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Study Design

Randomized Control ExperimentWell controlled. Random and blind assignment of

treatment

Sample Size: 20 CLTS villages + 20 control villages and 25 HHs per village (with u5 children)

Baseline (2005) and Endline (2006) Panel Surveys

2 rounds, same season, same households

Difference in Difference (DID) estimation of impactsDifference: Before and After and With and Without

Page 16: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Sample Selection

Selected a district (Bhadrak) with adequate water

Selected blocks (Tihidi & Chandbali) without prior TSC

Restricted villages to have >70 HHs and < 500 HHs

Restricted to 1 village per GP to reduce spill over

Selected 40 villages & randomly assigned 20 to treatment

Listed and mapped all households in 40 villages

Randomly selected and surveyed 25 households with child < 5 yrs in each village

Page 17: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Study Villages

10 0 10 Km.

N

EW

S

20.- Controlled Villages of RTI - WB Study

LEGEND:

VillagesControl village

Baliarpur

Dhurbapahalipur

Taladumka

Sasankhas

Balipada

Begunia

Nuasahi

Birabarpur

Talabandha

Rajnagar

Madhupur

Barikpur

Hatapur

Ambolo

Padisahi

Bhimpur

Badapimpali

Budhapur

Gouriprasad

Sansamukabedhi

T I H I D I B L O C K

C H A N D B A L I B L O C K

OraliHengupati

Bhuinbruti

Satuti

Baincha

JashipurSanasingpur

Haripur

Nayananda

Balisahi

Arjunbindha

Jaladharpur

Mangrajpur

Guanal

Deuligaan

Bahu

Amarpur

Jaydurgapatna

Aigiria

Tentulida

Tentulida

Page 18: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Data: Measurements

Outputs, Outcomes, Impacts: Household pit latrines (IHL): constructed, operational and in-use Diarrhea frequency & severity (> 3 episodes in 24-hr, 2-week recall) Child growth (anthropometrics – MUAC, weight, height)

Additional parameters: Individual - sex, age, class, caste, religion Household - family size and composition, education, housing

conditions, asset holdings, occupation and expenditures, services Community – roads, electricity, environmental sanitation,

employment, clinics, schools, credits, markets Institutional - main governmental and NGO programs, local

government size and composition Water quality (E. coli & total coliform) – community sources (all), in-

house (50%)

Page 19: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Data: Household Survey

Respondent - Primary Care Giver Water samples collected from approx 50% of surveyed households Modular questionnaire

Knowledge, Attitudes Household SEC Sanitation Behaviors – outputs and outcomes Hygiene Behaviors Water Sources and their use Water Treatment/safety behaviors Food safety behaviors Environmental conditions – HH and community Budget constraints Community Participation

Page 20: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Data: Community Survey

Respondent – sarpanch, GP member, Informal leader, Doctor, etc Water samples collected from up to 10 in-use drinking water

sources Modular questionnaire design

Background: population, households, area, arable land, major crop grown Public infrastructure: roads, water supply, sanitation, hygiene,

electricity, clinics, schools, STD booths, telegraph offices, post offices, credits and markets

Environmental sanitation: general cleanliness, drainage, animal and household waste, use of water sources, open defecation practices

WSS scheme: Swajaldhara, piped water, hand pumps, etc Development Programs: Health, education, women support etc Economy: employment opportunities, major governmental and NGO

programs, prices Local government: structure, composition, activities

Page 21: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Survey Implementation - I

Schedule & Resources 1 month of data collection to catch the monsoons!! Field Teams – RTI (3 + 1 consultant) and TNS (30 field

people + 2 researchers)

Focus groups

Pre-testing (2 rounds of 50 household surveys)

Training (8 days. Mix of in-class and field practice)(manuals prepared)

Supervision: Supervisors executives Managers Researchers. Back checks, spot checks.

Page 22: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Fieldwork

Page 23: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Survey Implementation - II

Data Processing On field editing, 100% scrutiny before data entry CSPro based data entry Cross-tabulation based cleaning

WQ Samples 50% HHs and up to 10 in use sources. Sterilized bottles Cold chain transport to lab within 24 hours

Page 24: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Overview of Presentation

Policy Context for Study

Study Objectives

Intervention

Methodology and Implementation

Results

Page 25: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Baseline Balance - I

T C p-valueSEC

From scheduled caste 28 26 0.858From other backward classes 29 24 0.449Below poverty line 60 61 0.91

WASHUsed improved water sourced 37 42 0.602Boiled or treated drinking water 9 13 0.192Adults washed hands at 5 critical instances 11 9 0.564Dumped garbage outside of house 68 69 0.794Threw wastewater in the backyard 46 48 0.705With individual household latrine 6 12.7 0.03

Page 26: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Baseline Balance - II

T C P-valueAttitudes

Completely dissatisfied with current sanitation 72 61 0.011Water supply is most important improvement 7 12 0.149Sanitation is most important improvement 5 8 0.264Women lack privacy during defecation 32 30 0.82Women are not safe defecating in the open 29 29 0.463Government should bear the cost of sanitation 53 50 0.561

Health U5 diarrhea in past 2 weeks 28 23 0.218(MUAC)-for-age z-score for U5 -1.3 -1.3 0.677height-for-age z-score for U5 -2 -1.9 0.687weight-for-age z-score for U5 -2.2 -2.3 0.341

Page 27: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

Estimation

27

Page 28: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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% Households owning & using Toilets(by intervention and year)

I indicates the 95% confidence interval.

6%

32%

13% 13%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

2005 2006 2005 2006

CLTS Villages Control Villages

0%26%

DID= 26%-0%= 26%***

Page 29: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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E Coli Levels in HH Drinking Water

0

5

10

15

20

25

2005 2006 2005 2006

CLTS Control

Page 30: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

Elusive Health Impacts

30

BL/EL T C T-C DID

U5 diarrhea Prevalence0 27% 23% 4.30%

-4.90%1 14% 15% -0.60%

MUAC-for-age z-score0 -1.34 -1.33 -0.011

0.1331 -1.2 -1.32 0.123

Height-for-age z-score0 -1.95 -1.94 -0.007

0.2811 -2.01 -2.29 .273*

Weight-for-age z-score0 -2.16 -2.25 0.088

-0.1921 -2.22 -2.3 0.069

Page 31: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

Shame or Subsidy?

Triple Difference to get the relative effect of shame and subsidy

BPL = Subsidy + Shame and APL = Shame alone

DID for BPL – DID for APL = 34.2 – 20.7 = 13.5%

13 % effect (about 1/3rd) by the “subsidies”

Full sample BPL APLImpact (mean test with EL) 19 23.7 12Impact DID 28.7 34.2 20.7

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Page 32: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

Is this result replicable elsewhere?

Another RCT in Madhya Pradesh

A scaled up and more “realistic” program

50% to shame + “less subsidy” and 50% to shame and “more subsidy (by Rs 2700)

32

Control Treatment N Mean N DifferenceOverall 1514 0.22 1525 0.19 (0.035) ***Poor 375 0.17 300 0.32 (0.046) ***Non-poor 1139 0.24 1225 0.15 (0.037) ***

Page 33: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Are effects sustainable?

Percent of Households Owning a Latrine, Treatment Villages

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Ambo

la

Badap

impa

la

Baliar

pur

Balipa

da

Barikp

ur

Begun

ia

Bhimpu

r

Biraba

rapu

r

Bodha

pur

Dhrub

apah

alipu

r

Goura

pras

ad

Hatap

ur

Mad

hupu

r

Nuasa

hi

Padhi

sahi

Rajnag

ar

Sanas

amuk

aved

i

Sasan

khas

Talab

andh

a

Talad

umuk

a

2004 GoO Data2005 HH Survey2006 HH Survey2006 Community Survey2007 GoO Data

Page 34: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

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Findings from Mixed Methods - I

Some factors indicate “possibility of sustainability” Increased satisfaction with sanitation situation Increased belief that improving sanitation is the family’s

responsibility

Lack of knowledge of the “germ theory” is not the most important BUT privacy and dignity are key

Households prioritize. Toilets may be “our” priority, not theirs: 80% want health dispensary, 59% roads. Compare to 7-9% for water supply and sanitation

Page 35: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

Findings from Mixed Methods - II

Support structure – NGOs, district officials, involvement of triggering team, village institutional capacity are important success factors

Subsidies are tricky business may have created an incentive for NGOs to “cut

corners” and produce lower quality latrines Concern that subsidies in general defeat the sense of

self-reliance Will subsidy be counteractive in long term?

How and when you give subsidies will matter Community based incentives (e.g. NGP) instead of

individuals? Is “post” incentives practical for poor population?

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Page 36: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

7 years later…

Credible evidence that “shaming” works BUT, so do subsidies BUT, does the relative contributions depend on

“intensity” of CLTS or amount of subsidy?

Seems to be continued increase in toilet coverage BUT, what about use? And toilet maintenance? BUT, will we reach 100% open defecation free status?

BUT, what about health impacts?

7 year later, we still stare at above critical questions without credible answers36

Page 37: 3ie Delhi Seminar Series Shame or Subsidy What explains the impact of Total Sanitation Campaign

Thank You

Sumeet Patil: [email protected] Other papers

Pattanayak et al. (2010), “ “How valuable are environmental health interventions?...” Bull WHO, 88:535-542.

Pattanayak et al. (2009), “Shame or subsidy revisited:…” Bull WHO, 87:1-19.

Pattanayak et al. (2009), “Of taps and toilets….”, J of Water and Health, 7(3): 434–451.

World Bank (2011). “Of Taps an Toilets”. WB report on Evaluation of CDD program in RWSS.

37


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