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3th WorkshopPráctica Clinica Baseada em Evidências
Rio de Janeiro, 2009
SYSTEMATIC REVIEWS AND META-ANALYSIS
Dra. Luz María Letelier Saavedra.Associate Professor, Internal Medicine
Faculty of Medicine Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile
Sailing arround SRs.....
What is a SR & why are they useful.
How to use / analyze a SR.
Where to find SRs.
Are we up to date on medical Are we up to date on medical information?information?
• How many articles do you read a month?
• How many should you read?
• How big is the gap?
Informação disponíveis Available information
Medline index 1530 new articles each day. Haynes, ACP 2005
How about RCTs...
– Cochrane Library gathers 20.000 new RCTs a year. (58/ day)
» Haynes ACP 2005
– Keeps growing.......
DilemmaDilemma
• Need to:Handle large amounts of information in order to deliver the best possible care to our patients
• Difficult to:
Collect and appraise all these information
•FRUSTRATIONFRUSTRATIONfrustrar-sefrustrar-se
Why do we have trouble with Why do we have trouble with information?information?
Difficulties finding the right information• Knowledge and skills for efficient searches
• Knowledge of different databases
You are experts on efficient literature searches.√
CLINICAL SCENARIO
Your last patient, a heavy smoker,
asks if he should take vitamin A
to prevent lung cancer.
Lets assumeLets assume
Using PubMedUsing PubMed
Search Terms Hits
2003
Hits
2006
Hits
2009Beta-carotene or vitamin A
33.000 40.065 45.656
(Beta-carotene or vitamin A)
and lung cancer
751 875 1107
At this point....At this point....
Use a more efficient searching tool.
Clinical Query: Therapy & specific
94 hits
Let’s quickly scan through the titles and abstracts.....
BETA-CAROTENBETA-CAROTENEE ANDAND LUNGLUNG CANCER CANCER PREVENPREVENTTIONION
• NEJM 1994; 330:1029-1035 • The Effect of Vitamin E and Beta Carotene on the
Incidence of Lung Cancer and Other Cancers in Male Smokers. Beta Carotene Cancer Prevention Study Group The Alpha-Tocopherol
• CONCLUSIONS: We found no reduction in the incidence of lung cancer among male smokers after five to eight years of dietary supplementation with alpha-tocopherol or beta carotene. In fact, this trial raises the possibility that these supplements may actually have
harmful as well as beneficial effects.
BETA-CAROTENBETA-CAROTENEE ANDAND LUNGLUNG CANCER CANCER PREVENPREVENTTIONION
• N Engl J Med 1996 May 2;334(18):1150-5 • Effects of a Combination of Beta Carotene and Vitamin
A on Lung Cancer and Cardiovascular Disease. CARET Study
• CONCLUSIONS: After an average of four years of supplementation, the combination of beta carotene and vitamin A had no benefit and may have had an adverse effect on the incidence of lung cancer and on the risk of death from lung cancer, cardiovascular disease, and any cause in smokers and workers exposed to asbestos.
BETA-CAROTENBETA-CAROTENEE ANDAND LUNGLUNG CANCER CANCER PREVENPREVENTTIONION
• Cancer Causes Control 2000 Aug;11(7):617-26
• Effects of beta-carotene supplementation on cancer incidence by baseline characteristics in the Physicians' Health Study (PHS).
• CONCLUSIONS: The PHS found no overall effect of beta-carotene on total cancer, or the three most common site-specific cancers. The possibility of risk reduction within specific subgroups remains.
BETA-CAROTENBETA-CAROTENEE ANDAND LUNGLUNG CANCER CANCER PREVENPREVENTTIONION
Am J Clin Nutr 2000 Oct;72(4):990-7
Intake of specific carotenoids and risk of lung cancer in 2 prospective US cohorts
CONCLUSION: Data from 2 cohort studies suggest that several carotenoids may reduce the risk of lung cancer.
BETA-CAROTENBETA-CAROTENEE ANDAND LUNGLUNG CANCER CANCER PREVENPREVENTTIONION
• Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2006 ;15(8):1562-4. • Lung cancer chemoprevention: a
randomized, double-blind trial in Linxian, China.
Conclusion: Supplementation with combinations of vitamins and minerals at nutrient-repletion levels for 5.25 years did not reduce lung cancer mortality in
this nutrient-inadequate population in Linxian, China.
BETA-CAROTENE AND LUNG CANCER PREVENTION
RecapitulaçãoSummarizing:
• 2 studies show benefit • 2 studies show possible harm• 2 studies show neither benefit or harm
EVEN
WHICH RESULTS DO YOU APPLY?
BETA-CAROTENE AND LUNG CANCER PREVENTION
Are the studies similar?
In their risk of bias (validity)In their resultsIn their applicability
ENTÃO
• Besides handling large amounts of information
• How to decide which results to believe....and apply to our patient?
SOLUÇÃO
Collect some information and give your best opinion.
“Narrative Review”or expert opinion
Better solution???
SOLUÇÃO
• Gather all available information using an explicit, reproducible and systematic method
SYSTEMATIC REVIEW
DEFINIÇÃO
SYSTEMATIC REVIEW
Summary of ALL available information regarding a specific clinical question, using explicit methods towards reducing bias.
Therapy / diagnosis / prognosis questions.
REVIEWS
Narrative Review a topic in several
different aspects. No explicit method for
searching the evidence. No explicit method for
selecting information. No explicit method for
appraising information Should not have
statistical analysis.
Systematic Answers a specific
question. Explicit method for
searching the evidence Explicit method for
selecting information. Explicit method for
appraissing information. Might have statistical
analysis.
Sailing arround SRs.....
What are SR & why are they useful.
How to appraise a SR.
Where to find SRs.
Appraising aAppraising a SR
STEP 1
DEFINING THE QUESTION:
SENSIBLE AND SPECIFIC Any antibiotic for any infection Any macrolide for any respiratory infection Claritromicine for Community Acquired
Pneumonia (CAP) ATS I&II Claritromicine 250 vs 500 bid for CAP in 20
years old patients with asthma and allergy to penicillin.
NOT TOO BROAD NOT TOO NARROW
Appraising aAppraising a SR
STEP 2
INCLUSION - EXCLUSION CRITERIA
Explicit and related to the question Easy to apply by different reviewers Applied before knowing studies’s results
Appraising aAppraising a SR
STEP 3
SEARCH FOR ALL AVAILABLE EVIDENCE Sensitive search strategy:
Several databases.Hand search:
References Grey literature: abstracts from conferences
Ask experts and researchers on the topic, for unpublished data.
AVOID PUBLICATION BIAS
Appraising aAppraising a SR
STEP 4
CRITICAL APPRAISAL OF INCLUDED STUDIES
Very importantCould be done:
DescriptiveQuantitative: Scores (ie. Jadad score)
Appraising aAppraising a SR
STEP 5
REPRODUCIBILITY OF PROCESS
2 Reviewers:SelectionInclusionCritical Appraisal
REDUCE BIAS AND RANDOM ERROR
Appraising aAppraising a SR
STEP 6
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS (META – ANALYSIS)
Establish possible sources of heterogeneity, a priori. Test for heterogeneity: Q, chi square, I2
Decide whether to pool or not
HIERARQY OF EVIDENCE
Clinical Experience or Case ReportsBias +++
Observational StudiesBias ++
Randomized Trials (RCT)Bias +
Systematic Review of RCT
Bias + Precision ++
EBM: The explicit, conscientious, judicious use of the best available evidence
in clinical decision making.....
Hormonal replacement therapy to prevent coronary events in post-menopausal women:
Meta-analysis of observational studies
1992 Annals of Internal Medicine versus RCTs HERS 1998
WHI 2002
Sailing arround SRs.....
What are SR & why are they useful.
How to appraise a SR.
Where to find SRs.
Where to find SRs?
• Pubmed: – Clinical Query SR– Límits: publication type: Meta-analysis
• Databases of SR
THE COCHRANE LIBRARY
The Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews
• S. Reviews: 1.596 (2003)
4.320 (2006)
5.676 (2009)
Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effectiveness
• 3.075 (2004)
• 6.019 (2006)
• 9.403 (2009)
Back to our question....
Lung cancer prevention and beta-carotene.
Searching the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews.
BETA-CAROTENE AND LUNG CANCER PREVENTION
• Drugs for preventing lung cancer in healthy people M Caraballoso, M Sacristan, C Serra, X BonfillThe Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2006 Issue 2
• Includes beta – carotene
• Includes smokers
BETA-CAROTENE AND LUNG CANCER PREVENTION
• Drugs for preventing lung cancer in healthy people M Caraballoso, M Sacristan, C Serra, X Bonfill
The Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2006 Issue 2
Pre-defined method:• 4 RCTs• 109.304 participants • Beta-carotene alone or combined to other
antioxidants• Placebo controlled• Duration of treatment 2 to 12 years• Follow up 2 a 5 years
Drugs for preventing lung cancer in healthy people M Caraballoso, M Sacristan, C Serra, X BonfillThe Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2006 Issue 2
BETA-CAROTENE AND LUNG CANCER PREVENTION
• Drugs for preventing lung cancer in healthy people M Caraballoso, M Sacristan, C Serra, X Bonfill
The Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2006 Issue 2
• Authors' conclusions
• There is currently no evidence to support recommending vitamins such as alpha-tocopherol, beta-carotene or retinol, alone or in combination, to prevent lung cancer. A harmful effect was found for beta-carotene with retinol at pharmacological doses in people with risk factors for lung cancer (smoking and/or occupational exposure to asbestos). More research from larger trials and with longer follow-up is needed to analyze the effectiveness of other supplements.
RECAPITULAÇÃORECAPITULAÇÃO
SYSTEMATICS REVIEWS :Summarizes evidence regarding a specific
question.Should have explicit methods to minimize bias.Should be critically appraised by users.If methodologically well done = highest level of
evidence.Important tool to evidence based health care as
they help handling large amounts of information.