NIKON PRECISION INC.
450 mm Lithography Development Update
Hamid Zarringhalam
Executive Vice President
Nikon Precision Inc. 2
Overview
• 450 mm Motivation
• The Path Forward
• Litho Requirements
• Nikon 450 mm Program
• Summary
Nikon Precision Inc. 3
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100,000,000
1,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
100,000,000,000
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Transistor Count
Demand Keeps Growing
Demand for transistors and devices will drive Si demand
Ref: Gartner Q1’14, ITU, ARM * 10 year growth 2003-2013
• Growth in mobility followed by
IoT will drive continued growth
for transistors
• …which in turn will drive device
and Si growth
Ref: KITGRU (For Intel at ISSCC), Wagner Consulting
0
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1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Silic
on
de
man
d (
mill
ion
inch
2/y
ear
)
≦4inch
5inch
6inch
8inch
12inch
18inch
Silicon6% Growth*in 10 years
2020IoT Age
Application30B devicesconnected
2012
6B units
Nikon Precision Inc. 4
450 mm Motivation
• Moore’s Law has enabled tremendous growth through scaling and
transistor cost reduction
• To maintain this trend, combination of scaling and wafer size change will
ultimately be needed to keep costs in check – as done historically
Ref: VLSI Research 4/4/14
Wafer size change will be needed to maintain Moore’s Law
Increasingly Complex Devices Downward Pricing
Nikon Precision Inc. 5
450 mm: Economics and Technology
• 450 mm is about economics – 30% die cost saving
Economics Technology
Wafer Area +2.25X and
Effective Chip Area +2.4X: • Reduces increase in per unit area
process costs associated with the
technology evolution
Greater Economies of Scale for
Chip Manufacturing: • Boost property, plant, equipment
(PPE) and employee productivity,
and reduce associated costs
Stimulate Industry Creativity and
Innovation: • Designers have the chance to think
outside of the box
Opportunities for Invention and
Expanded Collaboration: • Tooling, automation,
IC manufacturing processes,
green tech, etc.
• Also presents tremendous opportunities for innovation
Nikon Precision Inc. 6
Lessons Learned at 300 mm
• Industry focus and management required for successful transition
• R&D investment must be optimized and shared across the chain
• Must avoid false starts experienced with 300 mm
• Alignment on industry timing is imperative
2 peaks caused 300 mm to cost 9 x 200 mm
Charts: Ref: VLSI Research
300 mm took about 20 years for payback
Nikon Precision Inc. 7
Is 450 mm Affordable?
• Expected 450 mm development cost ~$14B best case
• Assuming 3.8% average revenue growth rate for equipment companies,
payback occurs 22 years after initial spending…
Ref: VLSI Research
Payback equivalent to 300 mm if development spending is in check
Nikon Precision Inc. 8
Payback: 22 years from initial funding…sound familiar?
Comparison – Boeing 787 Dreamliner
• A massive, globally-coordinated supply chain effort to design and
build – in order to achieve 20% efficiency improvements
Image courtesy Boeing
• Program start: 2004
• Development cost: $15B
• First commercial flight:
• Planned: May 2008
• Actual: October 2011
• Plane sales needed to break even: 2150 units
• Net order received (mid 2013): 979 (almost half way there…)
• Boeing manufacturing capacity: 120 (now)
• Estimated year to break even: ~ 2025
Nikon Precision Inc. 9
Effective management essential in balancing risk and reward
Transition Management
• Timing Alignment
• Initial statements calling for pilot lines as early as 2013…now “latter part of the
decade” for 450 mm
• Industry consensus should be reached “soon” to keep “latter part of the decade”
intact
• Must avoid the double peak…
• R&D Spending and Risk Management
• Simultaneous development of 300 and 450 mm technology
• Sharing risk/reward between device makers and equipment suppliers
• Collaboration on standards, components, etc.
• Importance of G450C:
• Focused on optimizing timing, cost, consensus building, risk sharing, and
collaboration
• Doing a good job in coordinating and communication
Nikon Precision Inc. 10
450 mm Litho Requirements
• Extending 193i, proven core technology, provides solid foundation
• Wafer size transition creates the opportunity to develop innovative
technologies to ensure litho meets die cost reduction goals
Must simultaneously satisfy scaling and wafer size transition requirements
Productivity (m2/hr >300 mm)
Optimized Footprint
Cost (< gained productivity)
Performance Overlay, imaging, focus, and defectivity
meet aggressive scaling roadmap
450 mm litho readiness through ArF immersion extension
Nikon Precision Inc. 11
Lithography Technology Trends
40
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20
10
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
50
1/2
pit
ch
[n
m]
DRAM (1/2pitch)
NAND (1/2pitch)
Logic (M1 1/2Pitch)
3D NAND (1/2pitch)
ArFi(SE) ArFi (SADP/LELE)
DSA (assist to ArFi and EUVL)
EUVL (NA0.33 SADP or NA>0.4 SE) EUVL (SE)
450 mm 450 mm
3D NAND, TSV etc.
ArFi (SAQP/LE ) 3
Scaling
Wafer Size Increase
Integration
Nikon Precision Inc. 12
Nikon Lithography Product Roadmap
~ CY2013 CY2014 CY2015 CY2016 CY2017
ArF
Immersion
ArF
Dry
ArF
Immersion
450 mm Development Patterning Shipping
THP: 96 shots SMO: Single Machine Overlay MMO: Mix-and-Match Overlay
S621D S622D
S320F
Pilot Line
Tool
Platform Upgrade For Immersion/Dry Extension
S630D
S3xxF
HVM
Tool
THP 220 WPH
SMO 3.0 nm
MMO 6.0 nm
THP 230 WPH
SMO 2.0 nm
MMO 5.0 nm
THP 220 WPH
SMO 2.0 nm
MMO 3.5 nm
THP 250 WPH
SMO 1.7 nm
MMO 2.5 nm
Enabling 450 mm HVM at the latter part of the decade
Nikon Precision Inc. 13
Some Say: Benefit from 450 Lithography is Limited
Some don’t see the benefits…
300 450
Poor overlay ?
Low productivity ?
Large and Heavy
Wafer Stage
Reduced acceleration
Decreased stiffness
Added heat dissipation
Nikon Precision Inc. 14
Opportunities for Innovation
Cost
Innovation
Ultra-high
Productivity
Collaboration Reliability/Uptime Productivity & Yield
Advanced Stage Increased Throughput Defectivity Reduction
World-class
Accuracy
Minimized Aberrations Enhanced Overlay and AF Source Mask Optimization
0.1
1
10
100
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Ove
rlay
nm
g-line
i-line
KrF
ArF
ArF Imm
EX12S302
S205
SF140
S307
S210S308
S310S609 S610
S620
S621
S622
S320
S630
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Ch
ip T
hro
ugh
pu
t (m
2/h
)
200mm
300mm
S202S203
S205S207
S208
S210
S620
S621
S622
S630
Nikon innovation will meet new process node requirements in either
environment
Nikon Precision Inc. 15
July 2013
Nikon 450 mm Program
February 2014
April 2014
• Customer orders in place
• Several tools undergoing
manufacturing at our factory
• Advanced litho patterning for
G450C in 2014
And now??
Nikon Precision Inc. 16
Nikon program progressing as planned
450 mm Patterning is Underway
• Nikon development continues per committed plans
• Patterning 450 mm wafers for G450C from Kumagaya
started as scheduled
• Nikon 450 mm immersion scanner will ship to Albany on
time in April 2015
Nikon Precision Inc. 17
Nikon 450 mm will be ready when the industry makes transition
Summary
• Motivations for next wafer size transition are present – economics
and opportunity for innovation
• Industry consensus and commitment for HVM start are paramount –
should be done “soon” to intercept “latter part of the decade”
• Nikon innovations in immersion extension will meet litho process
requirements regardless of wafer size
• Nikon 450 mm program is progressing on schedule and per
commitments made
• 450 mm litho patterned wafers are already here – patterning for
G450C started
• Nikon 450 mm immersion scanner will ship to G450C in Albany on
schedule in April 2015
NIKON PRECISION INC.